PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET Opportunities …...2 The tourism industry which include traditional and...
Transcript of PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET Opportunities …...2 The tourism industry which include traditional and...
1
Malaysia’s economy grew at slower pace
Malaysia has a population of 31.7 million people
in 2016 with annual growth rate of 1.5%.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Q2 2016 record-
ed a growth of 4%. This was contributed by the
resilient growth in services, manufacturing and
construction sectors. However, the sluggish
growth in agriculture affects the overall econom-
ic performance for this quarter.
Public and private investments in oil and gas
were reported to fall substantially.
Wage growth is stable with non-performing loan
reported to be falling. Unemployment rate was
3.5% as at June 2016.
As at June 2016, Consumer Price Index (CPI) in-
creased by 1.6% to 114.8 compared to 113.0 in
the same month last year.
Source : Department of Statistics, Malaysia
Source : Department of Statistic, Malaysia
Source : InvestPenang/Penang Institute
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments…. Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Penang continues to be the hot spot for
property investment
Penang’s population stood at 1,663,000 as at
2015 with North-East District on Penang Island
being the highest population density followed by
Central Seberang Perai District. The population in
the North-East District grew at an average rate of
1.4% every year with the South Seberang Perai
District being the least dense.
Penang continues to be the top hotspot of
property growth and investment, other than
Iskandar and Klang Valley. Penang is well-placed
geographically in the Indonesia-Malaysia-
Thailand Growth Triangle and the Bay of Bengal
and Penang has always been a choice destination
for property investment.
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
2
The tourism industry which include traditional
and medical tourism continues to contribute to
the stable economy growth for Penang.
Penang, a must-see destination in 2016
In October 2015, an American newspaper pub-
lisher has listed Penang Island as one of “must-
see’ destinations in 2016. The 16 destination list
in the travel section of the Los Angeles
Times described the George Town Unesco World
Heritage Site as a "500-year-old history of trad-
ing and a hotel boom in progress." This news is
indeed encouraging. Penang is expecting more
tourists this year compared to 6.3 million of
tourists arrivals recorded last year.
Indonesia formed the largest numbers of visitors
with 39.3% out of the total international visitors
to Penang followed by Singapore and China.
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
Penang’s economy remain resilient
Manufacturing remains the core contributor of
the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, fol-
lowed by services. Penang is still very much con-
nected to Malaysia’s overall economy health and
it was forecasted that Malaysia will experience a
lower GDP growth in 2016. This will thus have an
impact on Penang’s growth this year.
However, Penang’s economy is expected to con-
tinue to be resilient as the job market remains
healthy with unemployment rate at 1.6% in
2015.
In 2016, Penang recorded the highest Foreign
Direct Investments of RM4.5 Billion compared to
other states. This contributed to 20% of the total
FDI in Malaysia. Penang’s future success is to
seek convergence between manufacturing and
services sectors so that it will be less dependent
on Electronic & Electrical sector.
Penang’s services sector see the emerging eco-
nomic activities of creative multimedia and glob-
al business services. In October 2015, Penang
launched Penang Accelerator for Creative, Ana-
lytics & Technology (@CAT) in 2015 to promote
creative & technology start-up entrepreneurship.
3 Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
Highlights of Budget 2016 - Revision on
Properties
First Time Home Buyers Only
For new housing projects, houses priced below
RM300,000 shall be limited to first time home
buyers only.
First Home Financing Scheme (MyDeposit)
To help the middle 40% income bracket with
household incomes of between RM3,000 and
RM10,000 (M40). It involves a contribution of
10% of the sale price or a maximum of
RM30,000, whichever is lower, to first-time
house buyers to help them buy a house not
more than RM500,000.
Public Housing
For the public housing project involving houses that cost RM35,000, the government will offer, through Bank Simpanan Negara and Bank Rakyat, a financing package at a rate of 4 per cent for more than 10,000 homeowners starting 1 March 2016.
More than 100,000 housing units will be offered
in the government’s integrated house ownership
programme.
Visa Free for China
The implementation of eVisa to several coun-
tries have been identified to facilitate the entry
of tourists.
Tourists from China do not require a visa to visit
Malaysia or Visa Free, commencing from 1
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments…. Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
March to 31 December 2016, subject to specific conditions for a period of stay not exceeding 15 days.
Latest Developments in Penang
The Gurney Wharf or “Park On The Sea”
Gurney Wharf was first unveiled on the 23 Febru-
ary 2016 with the view to obtain feedback from
the public. Once complete, it will become an icon-
ic waterfront destination for Penang.
The seafront Gurney Drive will be reclaimed and
turned into a public park which will comprise of
seaside retail food & beverage, water gardens, a
man-made 400 metres of sandy beach and a
coastal grove.
Spanning over 131 acres, the reclamation work
will be undertaken by Tanjung Pinang Develop-
ment Sdn. Bhd. (TPD), a subsidiary of Eastern &
Oriental Berhad (E&O).
The reclamation cost of Seri Tanjung Pinang
Phase 2A which includes 131 acres of the Gurney
Wharf is estimated at RM1.07 billion. Upon com-
pletion, Gurney Wharf becomes the property of
the State Government.
4 Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
There will be two underpasses :
from Jalan Pemenang to park area (100 m);
to promenade (230 m)
from Jalan Burmah to park area (100 m); to
promenade (140 m)
The reclamation work is expected to be complet-
ed in the first quarter of 2017 which include 8 to
10 months of land reclamation and 6 to 8 months
of soil treatment and settlement.
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments…. Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
The length of the new promenade is approxi-
mately 1.5km. The park area will be completed
in mid-2018 whilst the seafront retail food &
beverage will be ready by 2020.
While the reclamation work is in progress, the
existing Gurney Drive is still accessible and has
now been installed with anti-climb mesh fencing
measuring 2 km. This fencing is expected to re-
main until the whole project completes.
5 Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments…. Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Penang Transport Master Plan
Under the Penang Transport Master Plan, SRS
Consortium, the appointed delivery partner will
be reclaiming 1,497 hectares of land, of which
290 hectares will be for industrial development.
SRS Consortium, a joint venture with Gamuda
holds 60%, with Ideal Property Development Sdn.
Bhd. and Loh Phoy Yen Holdings Sdn. Bhd. hold-
ing 20% each.
PTMP envisioned to change the transportation
and housing landscape in Penang, in terms of up-
grading transport system and improve connectiv-
ity and accessibility as well as reduce traffic con-
gestions.
The RM27billion PTMP will comprise a network
of public transport, highways and roads that will
be integrated with various modes of existing
transport to serve the future population and sup-
port the economic growth of Penang.
Table 1 Penang Island and Seberang Perai
Proposed Lines
PENANG ISLAND
PROPOSED LINES
SEBERANG PERAI PROPOSED LINES Length
(km)
No. of
Station
Length
(km)
No. of
Station
Bayan Lepas LRT George Town (The Light) - Butterworth Penang Sen-
tral - Sg Nyiur LRT
30 27 18 8
Ayer Itam Monorial Raja Uda - Sg Nyiur - Bkt Mertajam - Permatang Ting-
gi Monorial
Extension northwards to Kepala Batas
13 13 28
13
21
10
Tanjung Tokong Monorial Permatang Tinggi - Batu Kawan
Extension northwards to Bkt Tengah - Seberang Jaya
Extension southwards to Nibong Tebal
7 8 14
15
11
15
16
6
Tram Total 2 6 99 76
Total 52 54 Grand total 151 130
PTMP will be financed by the sale of the reclaimed
islands in the southern coast of Penang Island.
Major works will commence in 2017 with the
Bayan Lepas LRT and Pan island Link 1 being the
priority projects.
Heritage sites in the inner city of George Town will
not be affected as the LRT and future transit lines
will be aligned around the perimeter of the herit-
age site and buffer zone. The tram will be on the
ground level.
Some properties may be affected by the construc-
tion and may be acquired to give way for the pro-
ject. The State Government will study and identify
the affected lots and work closely with property
owners and tenants.
There will also be expansion to the airport’s main
terminal, training centre and multi-storey car park.
Penang will continue to enjoy toll-free access to
the highway and aims to improve the integration
of the existing and future infrastructure and
developments. Source : pgmasterplan.penang.gov.my
6
How did the property market perform?
Property prices in Penang remained stable despite
the drop of total value of transaction which rec-
orded at RM11,702 million in 2015 compared to
RM13,770 million in 2014, a decline of 15%.
In terms of the total volume of transactions, 2015
saw a drop of about 4,000 transactions compared
to 25,555 units recorded in 2014.
Chart 1 Total Value of property transactions in
Penang
Chart 2 Total volume of property transactions in
Penang
Source : HB Research/JPPH
The residential market continued to be the most
active sub-sector during 2015 capturing 71% of
the total volume of property transactions, an
increase from 68% registered in 2014. The
commercial sub-sector increased to 10%
compared to 8% last year and the development
land remained status quo at 7%.
The total value of property transactions in the
residential sub-sector in 2015 registered lower at
RM6,173 million, an 18.55% drop compared to
RM7,579 million in 2014 while the development
land sector also saw a decline in value from
RM2,752 million in 2014 to RM1,941 million in
2015. The commercial sub-sector however saw a
slight increase to RM2,070 million in 2015 as op-
Chart 3 Volume of property transactions as at
Q4 2015
Chart 4 Value of property transactions as at
Q4 2015
Source : HB Research/JPPH
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
7
Chart 7 Existing and Supply of Residential Property on Penang Island as at Q2 2016
Source : HB Research/JPPH
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Penang Island has an existing residential supply of
217,467 units which comprises 42,781 units of
landed houses and 174,686 units of stratified
properties. The future supply of landed and strati-
fied properties recorded at 11,391 units and
55,445 units respectively.
-21%
-21%
-16%
-15% 40%
5%
52%
Value
Volume
Declined in volume and value of transac-tions in 2015
Chart 5 Penang’s overall volume and value of residential transactions as at 2015
5%
From the Chart above, we can see that in sum-
mary, the volume of residential transactions shot
up 52% in 2011 and subsequently declined 21%
in 2012 and another 21% drop in 2013. The vol-
ume dropped 16% in 2015.
Similarly in 2011, the value hiked up 40%,
dropped slightly and increased very marginally of
5% in 2013 and hiked further in 2014. Subse-
quently, 2015 saw a drop of 15% in value.
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
[RM
]
Price per unit
Chart 6 Overall Property Transaction Per Unit
Our research revealed that the CAGR for
property transaction per unit from 2006 to
2015 is about 8.4%.
Note : CAGR is a measure of growth rate over
multiple time periods.
Source : HB Research/JPPH
Source : HB Research/JPPH
8
Residential sector is still the best
performing market
Penang’s residential market is one of the most
active market in Malaysia. Penang is amongst the
top 5 areas with the highest average house prices
after Kuala Lumpur, Selangor, Sabah and Sarawak.
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Chart 8 Average House Price in Malaysia as at
2015
In 2011, the volume of residential transactions
went up 40% to 30,674 units but subsequently
declined to 15,291 units in 2015. This was
attributed to the softening of the property mar-
ket beginning 2014 as a result of the various
factors including slowdown in the sales of new
launches, bleak household sentiments and low
consumer confidence.
Value of residential transactions was stable
throughout the last four years but declined 19%
in 2015.
The outcome of our research unveil that the
overall CAGR for residential properties are
about 9.6%.
Property Price Category (RM) CAGR from 2006 to 2015
Below 500,000 -4%
500,000 to 1,000,000 14.7%
Above 1,000,000 21.3%
Source : HB Research
This result showed that capital appreciation
performed better for property prices between
RM500,000 to RM1,000,000 as well as RM1,000,000
and above which transacted at even higher prices
when ownership changes.
Terraced houses has the highest growth rate
Chart 9 Penang State - House Price by Type from
1999 to 2015
Terraced houses recorded a CAGR of 6.9% while
CAGR for high-rise was 6.5%. The growth rate of
detached houses performed better at 3.7% while
semi-detached houses at 3.4%.
Source : HB Research
It is interesting to note further that we have also
analyzed the CAGR for each category of prices
tabulated as follows :
9
Which category of house prices have the
most supply?
As at Q2 2016, Penang State has a total existing
residential stock of 402,494 units comprising
217,467 units on Penang Island and 185,027
units in Seberang Perai.
The planned supply was recorded at 52,854 units
with almost 38% located on Penang Island and
remaining 62% in Seberang Perai. Incoming
supply was registered at 88,072 units with
46,686 units and 41,386 units located on Penang
Island and Seberang Perai respectively.
About 48% of the total existing residential stock
is priced below RM250,000 followed by 29% with
prices between RM250,001 and RM500,000 and
16% with prices between RM500,001 and
RM1,000,000. Only 7% of the existing houses is
priced above RM1,000,000.
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
30% flexibility ruling allows anyone to
buy affordable housing unit.
Penang State Government’s initiative to provide
a “roof under one’s head” is commendable with
constant review of updating the criteria to qualify
for purchase of affordable housing.
For affordable housing applications, the applicant
and spouse must not own any property in any
state in Malaysia. However, a person who al-
ready owns a property can also purchase a unit
of affordable housing provided the market value
is higher than the existing property that he al-
ready owned.
The State had also applied flexibility by releasing
30% of the total affordable housing units to Pe-
nang-born buyers regardless of whether one had
already owned a property. Nevertheless, for non-
Penang-born buyers who are under the talented
and skilled category, applicant must undertake to
reside in Penang for a minimum of 5 years from
the date of handover of keys.
Areas Existing
stock
Incoming supply
Planned supply
Penang Island
217,467 46,686 20,025
Seberang Perai
185,027 41,386 32,829
Penang State
402,494 88,072 52,854
Table 2 : Summary of
existing stock, incoming
supply and planned
supply as at Q2 2016
10
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
Type of Housing Price Range Total household Income
Affordable Housing RM300,001 to RM400,000 RM10,000
Affordable Housing RM200,001 to RM300,000 RM8,000
Affordable Housing RM200,000 and below RM6,000
Low medium cost RM72,500 and below RM3,500
Low cost RM42,000 and below RM2,500
In addition to the Shared-Ownership Scheme
(where the State funds 30% interest-free), Pe-
nang had also introduced Rent-to-Own scheme
in 2014 to help buyers who cannot afford buy-
ing their first home. This scheme allows the
buyers to rent their home at only RM100 per
month for 15 years with service charge at
RM15 per month. In addition, each unit will al-
so be equipped with household items.
The ongoing affordable housing developments
undertaken by private developers on Penang
Island are as follows:
Tri-Pinnacle by Aspen Group
Ramah Pavilion by M Summit Group
One Foresta by Ideal Property Group
I-Santorini by Ideal Property Group
Granito by BSG Group
Table 3 Affordable Housing Price Category
Demand for office space is stable
The demand for office market in Penang is gen-
erally stable. However, there is a lack of suitable
Grade A or even Grade B office buildings in Pe-
nang. Typically Grade A specification includes
office buildings which are brand new or have re-
cently been redeveloped or thoroughly been re-
furbished within the last 15 years. It must also be
highly visible, although may not be significant.
The supply of office space as at Q2 2016 in Pe-
nang recorded at 8.8 million sq. ft. of which 7.2
million sq. ft. is on Penang Island and 1.6 million
sq. ft. in Seberang Perai.
On Penang Island, George Town has the largest
supply of office space with a total of 5.7 million
sq. ft. followed by Bayan Baru/Sg. Nibong/
Gelugor with 0.9 million sq. ft. of space. The
remaining 0.6 million sq. ft. of space is located at
Green Lane, Jelutong and Tanjung Tokong.
The monthly rentals of prime office space on Pe-
nang Island are between RM3 to RM4 per sq. ft.
depending on the exact location, size and
facilities provided.
11
Chart 11 Cumulative Supply of Retail Spaces on Penang Island as at Q2 2016
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments.. Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Source : HB Research/JPPH
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
A total of 11 malls with 7.6 million sq. ft. of
retail space is expected to be completed in the
next 5 years.
Occupancy rates stood at about 85% and 50%
on Penang Island and in Seberang Perai
respectively in 2015.
Generally, retail market in Penang has seen a
drop in consumer spending affected by the
overall economy, weakening Ringgit and the ris-
ing inflation. The weakening Ringgit should how-
ever attract foreign tourists to spend more.
Food & Beverage sub-sector seems to be per-
forming better as more innovative cafes and
modern restaurants open its door to the public.
Monthly rentals of retail space on the ground
and lower ground floors of prime malls on
Penang Island are presently recorded between
RM20 and RM40 per sq. ft. while upper floors
are recorded at between RM10 and RM18 per
sq. ft. depending on the exact location and size
of the retail outlets.
Chart 10 Existing & future supply of office
spaces on Penang Island as at Q2 2016
Retail market worsen?
There is only a marginal increase of retail space
in shopping complexes on Penang Island in Q2
2016. There is no new supply completed in
Seberang Perai. The total retail space recorded
at 11.42 million sq. ft. on Penang Island and at
6.9 million sq. ft. in Seberang Perai.
12
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Cop-
Industrial market remain stable
There is an existing 1,490 industrial units on
Penang Island comprising 855 units located at the
South-West District and 635 units at the North-
East District.
Future supply of industrial units at the South-
West and North-East District recorded at 72 units
and 68 units respectively.
The services and manufacturing contributes al-
most equally to Penang’s GDP at over 48%. Pe-
nang’s largest trading partners are US, Japan and
Singapore.
In Malaysia, Penang leads in the areas of shared
services outsourcing (SSO), medical tourism and
medical devices. According to Malaysian Invest-
ment Development Authority (MIDA), Penang
contributed nearly 20% of Malaysia’s overall
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows in 2015,
the highest among Malaysian states.
There will be more than 3,000 jobs cut when
Seagate Technology and Western Digital Corpo-
ration leave Penang for Thailand beginning
August 2016. Amid the bad news, the good news
shine through recently when Bosch, a leading
global supplier of technology and services an-
nounced that it will be investing RM140M to
re-model its multimedia plant in Bayan Lepas,
Penang.
Chart 12 Existing & future supply of industrial
properties on Penang Island as at Q2 2016
With the signing of the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Agreement (TPPA) which involves 12-Pacific Rim
countries including Malaysia, Penang will contin-
ue to receive large amount of FDIs. As Penang
is export-oriented, the TPPA is expected to ben-
efit larger international corporations while
smaller companies will face stiffer competition.
The TPPA will also have an impact on the rise of
imports from the members of the TPPA.
It is also worth-noted that more investment in-
terest, particularly from Singapore will generate
more opportunities for properties and tourism
related businesses. On Medical Tourism, the
cost of importing “state-of-the-art” technology
would propel Penang to become a high-tech
medical city.
Source : HB Research/Penang Institute
13
Drop in tourists arrival to Penang
Penang continues to attract local and international
tourists as a result of exceeding tourists’ general
expectation in terms of services, food, hotels, ac-
cessibility and interesting festivals that were regu-
larly held in George Town.
According to Penang Institute, the international
tourists arrival at Penang International Airport in
2015 was 683,897, a decrease of 4.71% compared
to 717,724 in 2014.
Chart 13 International visitors to Penang accord-
ing to countries
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
tourist from China as a result of the drop of 7.37% in
the arrival of Chinese tourists in 2015 compared to
2014. It was also meant to strengthen bilateral ties
with China after the incident of MH370.
In 2015, there was a total of 6,347,618 number of
local and foreigners hotel guests which comprised
3,467,719 and 2,879,899 respectively. This saw a
drop of 7.3% from 6,847,569 number of hotel
guests recorded in 2014.
Chart 14 Registered Hotel Guests for Locals &
Foreigners on Penang Island from 2005 to 2015
The largest number of tourists was from Indonesia
(268,892) followed by Singapore (144,581) while
China (62,215) was the third contributor to the in-
ternational tourists arrival. 2015 saw a drop of the
number of tourists from all countries compared to
2014. The extension of visa fee waiver until Decem-
ber 2016 was hoped to increase the number of
Source : HB Research/Penang Institute
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000
Indonesia
Singapore
China
Japan
Australia
Taiwan
USA
UK
Thailand
Germany
TOTAL 2014
TOTAL 2015
Source : HB Research/Penang Institute
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Millio
n
MALAYSIANS
14
Hotel rooms continue to be in demand
The average hotel occupancy rate hovers around
65%. During low period, the rate could drop to 35%
while at peak season, hotels reported occupancy
rate to be up to 85%. City hotel usually performed
better than beach hotels.
Despite the opening of new hotels in Penang such
as St Giles Wembley (415 rooms), Olive Tree (250
rooms), G Kelawei (208 rooms), Citi Express (234
rooms) and other boutique hotels in 2015, there is
still a low supply of hotel rooms in Penang.
New hotels expected opening in 2016 :
Double Tree Resorts (318 rooms)
The Jazz Hotel (226 rooms)
OZO George Town by Thailand-based ONYX
Hospitality Group (132 rooms)
The Rice Miller Hotel & Godowns (67 rooms)
Vouk Suites @ Mansion One (48 rooms)
The number of boutique hotels boomed during the
last few years and have now become steadier.
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
St Giles Wembley
Pre-war heritage properties continue to
attract investors
Penang’s prewar properties remain the favorite
property investment portfolio with the local and
foreign investors alike. Its unique old charm archi-
tectural heritage with eastern and western influ-
ence continues to attract property investors, par-
ticularly from Singapore.
Since 1980, prewar property prices shot up to as
high as RM2,800 per sq. ft.
There are only 54 units of prewar property transac-
tion as at Q2 2016 with the highest recorded at
RM2,277 per sq. ft.
Some of the recent transactions of prewar proper-
ties in George Town city in 2015 are as follows :
Source : JPPH
Streets Price (RM) Price Per Sq. Ft.
Love Lane 1,766,000 1,632
Love Lane 4,000,000 2,277
Jalan Muntri 3,000,000 1,685
King Street 2,000,000 2,105
King Street 2,000,000 1,961
Carnarvon 2,000,000 1,090
Lebuh Melayu 2,200,000 1,185
15
Value of prewar heritage properties
remain stable
2015 saw a slight decline in prewar property
transactions to 150 units compared to 176 units
in 2014.
Chart 15 Transactions of Prewar Properties
on Penang Island from 1987 to Q2 2016
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Chart 16 Price Index of prewar Properties on
Penang Island from 1980 to Q2 2016
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
Source : HB Research/JPPH
Prewar property prices recorded an increase to
ten-folds after 15 years. Based on our price anal-
ysis from 2000 to 2015, the CARG was 16.6%.
Recently, Penang government has announced its
plan to introduce a rent control policy
involving prewar buildings due to the extensive
hike in rentals of certain prewar buildings in
George Town city.
It is mulling to cap rental hikes to 20% over a
period of four to five years and will be imposed
on buildings built before Second World War or
before 1948. This measure is to preserve the
living heritage culture while reducing further
gentrification.
Performance Indicator for all sectors
Residential
Office Space
Retail
Hotel
Industrial
Prewar Heritage
Land
16
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
What is the Penang Real Estate Market
Outlook for 2016?
The real estate market outlook seems rather
uncertain.
Weak market sentiment in primary &
secondary market are expected to gain
momentum leading to poorer performance
this year.
Better quality lending policies have resulted
in higher loan rejections.
The volume of transactions are expected to
decline further.
However, demand is still strong for project
with catalytic components such as well-
planned business and transit-oriented
developments that provide connectivity and
easy accessibility.
Bank Negara’s recent cut in the OPR
resulted in the lowered interest rate will
help reduce the loan burden for businesses
and consumers.
Prevailing buyers’ market have influenced
sellers to accept more reasonable prices.
Fewer speculative activities.
Buyers have more choices due to the
increased supply of secondary properties for
sale.
More emphasis on affordable housing.
Investors and home buyers are careful
in their selection of properties.
Properties at the right location in well-
connected areas with good
infrastructure and public transports are
the factors influencing their property
purchases.
Buyers are also more selective and feel
more comfortable buying from develop-
ers with good track records.
Developers are offering good
incentives and special sales packages to
attract potential buyers.
Young Malaysian workforce will
underpin demand for property
purchases.
Healthy fundamentals due to Penang
diaspora, young population
demographics, shrinking average house-
hold size, low unemployment rate, sus-
tainable local & foreign investments will
continue to support the local market.
17
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
TOP 10 TIPS ON PROPERTY INVESTMENT
IN PENANG
1. Choose a registered real estate agent
(REA) with license registered with the
Board of Valuers, Estate Agents and
Appraisers Malaysia (BOVEA). To
search for REA :
http:www.lppeh.gov.my/
2. Select a registered real estate negotia-
tor (REN) from the REA that you have
appointed. A REN holds an identifica-
tion card which is registered with BO-
VEA. Only a registered REN can deal
in property transactions. To search for
REN : http://www.lppeh.gov.my/
3. Select a property that suits your needs
at the right location
4. Find out about any proposed develop-
ment planning around the subject
property
5. Seek independent advice from a repu-
table registered valuer on the market
value of the property.
6. Do an investment appraisal to assess
the returns and risk prior to making
decision.
7. Leave the price negotiation to the REN
as he or she has the experience in
sales closing.
8. Pick the right type of loan for your
type of investment. Discuss with your
banker for advice.
9. Appoint a registered property
manager to manage your property if
your intention is to buy-to-let. A prop-
erty manager must be registered with
BOVEA.
10. Appoint an established solicitor to
prepare the legal documents.
Costs of buying a property
Stamp duty
Legal fees
Disbursement fees
Search fees
State consent, if any
State levy, if any
Real Estate Agent’s fee, if any*
Costs of selling a property
Real Estate Agent’s fee, if any*
Advertising costs
Legal fees
18
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments…. Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
Copyright reserved @ Henry Butcher Malaysia Penang
KUALA LUMPUR (July 27): Escalating housing prices and the changing needs of young buyers have spurred interest in shoebox-sized apartments on Penang island, said Henry Butcher Malaysia (Penang) Sdn Bhd director Jason Teoh.
"Currently, there is no supply of shoebox-sized apartments in the (Penang) market, but I observe that shoebox-sized apartments with facilities will have strong demand from young working adults who are looking for homes offering a modern lifestyle," he told TheEdgeProperty.com after sharing his outlook of the northern region of Peninsular Malaysia.
He noted that although land scarcity will be an issue for new develop-ments in George Town, Penang, there are opportunities for developers to look into, such as redeveloping existing old buildings or old houses into shoebox apartments to cater for the needs of young homebuyers.
On the overall market view, Teoh said developers in Penang have always been confronted with various challenges in the overall supply chain, such as lack of suitable land for development. There are fewer new launches in recent times and pent-up demand seems to be broiling.
"Developers with projects in the right locations with the right concept and prices will attract buyers despite the weak market sentiment," he added.
A good example of a recent well-received residential project in the southwest district of Penang island has seen a remark-able take-up rate of 80% without any aggressive marketing campaign.
However, he noted that the outlook on Penang’s property market remains uncertain if economic and market sentiment continue to be weak, hence, transaction volume is expected to decline and there will be fewer speculative activities.
"In the long run, Penang’s property market will be supported by healthy fundamentals — such as the growing young pop-ulation, shrinking average household sizes, low unemployment rate and sustainable local/foreign investment — which could help regain market confidence," he explained.
Teoh said Penang island is a small place, and being small has its advantages in terms of the density of economic agglom-eration.
"Given that infrastructure development is now in the making, greater connectivity between places and people and, more importantly, between people and people would augur well for the future of Penang," he noted.
Teoh said the Penang Transport Master Plan, which includes construction of the monorail, bus rapid transit (BRT), high-ways and roads, undersea tunnel and sky cab, is now pending the consent of the authorities.
Once the plan is approved, it will be the greatest catalyst for the property market in the northern region.
He was speaking at the Malaysian Property Summit Mid-Year Review 2016. TheEdgeProperty.com and The Edge Malaysia are the media partners of this event. Source : TheEdgeProperty.com | July 27, 2016
Shoebox units to kick off in Penang?
19
PENANG REAL ESTATE MARKET
Opportunities despite weak sentiments... Research Report @ Q2 2016. For internal circulation only
PROPERTY CONSULTANCY SERVICES
Property Investment
Estate Agency
Leasing and Lettings
Property Management
Building Surveying
Asset Valuation
Research & Consultancy
Tenders/Auction Sale
Project Consultancy
Marketing Consultancy
Urban Planning
142-M, Jalan Burma, 10050 George Town, Penang.
Tel No. +604-2298 999 Fax No. +604-2298 666
Email : [email protected]
Website : www.henrybutcherpenang.com
HOTLINE
Sales & Marketing : +6016 412 5582
Asset Valuation : +6019 558 6199 / +6012 513 6942
COPYRIGHT
No part of this report, including images & charts
may be reproduced or copied in any form without
written permission from Henry Butcher Malaysia
(Penang) Sdn. Bhd.
DISCLAIMER
No representation or warranty, either expressed or
implied is made as to the accuracy and reliability of
the contents in this report. You are advised to seek
independent advice.