Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

22
August/2006 August/2006 PEAK OIL & PEAK OILERS PEAK OIL & PEAK OILERS The New Apocalipse or a The New Apocalipse or a New Dark Age New Dark Age By Joao Alves Pacheco

Transcript of Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

Page 1: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

PEAK OIL & PEAK OILERSPEAK OIL & PEAK OILERS

The New Apocalipse or a New The New Apocalipse or a New Dark Age Dark Age

By Joao Alves Pacheco

Page 2: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

What means Peak Oil ?

Page 3: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

The Hubbert Peak theory posits that for any given geographical area, from an individual oil field to the planet as a whole, the rate of oil production tends to follow a bell-shaped curve. Early in the curve (pre-peak), production increases due to the addition of infrastructure. Late in the curve (post-peak), production declines due to resource depletion.

Page 4: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

"Peak Oil" as a proper noun, also known as Hubbert's peak, refers to a singular event in history: the peak of the entire planet's oil production. After Peak Oil, according to the Hubbert Peak Theory, the rate of oil production on Earth will enter a terminal decline.

The theory is named after American geophysicist Marion King Hubbert, who created a model of known oil reserves, and proposed, in a paper he presented to the American Petroleum Institute in 1956, that production of oil from conventional sources would peak in the continental United States between 1965 and 1970, and worldwide within "about half a century" from publication.

Page 5: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Peak Oil Curve

Page 6: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Page 7: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Official Agency Prediction

Page 8: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Energy Information Administration - 2004

Page 9: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

World oil supply.Source: IEA

Page 10: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Alternative Sources for Oil

• ethanol• biodiesel • tar sands • coal liquefaction • renewable energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, tidal, geothermal, wave, ocean thermal) • nuclear energy (fission or fusion).

Page 11: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Hibrid Car

Page 12: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Wind Energy

Page 13: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Problables Scenaries According to Peaker

Oilers

Page 14: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Apocaliptical

Sci Fi

Paradisiacal

Page 15: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

The begining of chaos

Page 16: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

The destiny of cars

Page 17: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

When the global peak will occur is a controversial issue. Production peaks are difficult to predict, and generally the only reliable way to identify the timing of any production peak, including the global peak, is in retrospect. United States oil production peaked in 1971. The peak of world oilfield discoveries occurred in 1962. World oil production has been essentially flat since 2005.

Page 18: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Some estimates for the date of worldwide peak in oil production, made by Hubbert and others, have already passed. Estimates for the date of Peak Oil range from 2005 to dates after 2025.Opinions on the effects of Hubbert's peak, and the subsequent terminal decline of global oil production, range from predictions that the market economy will produce a solution to doomsday scenarios of global economic meltdown and population collapse.

Page 19: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Page 20: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Page 21: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

Page 22: Peak Oil & Peak Oilers

August/2006August/2006

How’s the exploration ?

I don’t know ! Maybe ... I think there’s

nothing here