Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott...

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Page 1: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 2: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Presenter:Mr Ashish Kyal (CMT) Ashish Kyal is the Founder / Director of Waves Strategy Advisors

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He is a Chartered Market Technician. He has extensively written for Global assets including Equities, Bonds, Agro Commodities, Metals, Alternative Energy, across multiple time frames

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He is a frequent speaker on Business Channels like CNBC TV18 and Zee Business. He has also been a guest speaker at host of management colleges and frequently speaks at financial seminars

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Page 3: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Topics BASIC PATTERN EXTENSIONS 5TH WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION WAVE EQUALITY CHANNELING

PRICE & TIME CONFIRMATION

DAIGONAL CORRECTIVE WAVES

• ZIGZAG • FLAT • TRIANGLES • COMBINATION

WAVE CHARACTERISTICS RATIO ANALYSIS

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Page 4: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

History In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott discovered that the stock market moves in recurring patterns that he called waves. He formulated the Wave Principle based on these wave patterns

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Page 5: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

The Fibonacci Series 1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144………..

The Golden Ratio 1.618

Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 7: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Impulse Pattern It is structured as (5-3-5-

3-5 ) It can be upside or

downside It is labeled as 1-2-3-4-5

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Page 8: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Important Rules Wave 2 cannot retrace complete of Wave 1. Advanced

concept suggests wave 2 cannot retrace more than 61.8% of wave 1

Wave 3 cannot be shortest of Waves 1,3 and 5 Wave 4 cannot enter into the territory of Wave 1

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Page 9: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Extensions When wave 3 is

extended, then wave 1 and wave 5 tends towards equality

The extended wave itself is 5 waves internally

Wave 4 will normally not retrace more than the central power area of extended wave

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Page 10: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 11: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Ending Diagonal It is structured as (3-3-3-

3-3) It is similar to Wedge

pattern It can occur in Wave 5

and Wave C Breakout on downside

will retrace complete up move of Wave 5 in ½ or ¼ time

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Page 12: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Truncation If wave 5 does not move

above wave 3 then wave 5 is called to be truncated

Wave 5 is internally an

impulse wave

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Page 13: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Channeling Technique

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Page 14: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Channeling Technique

Page 15: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Corrections Correction should take more time than preceding

waves. There are three basic types of standard correctives: 1. Zigzag 2. Flat 3. Triangle

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Page 16: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

ZigZag It is structured as (5-3-5) Wave B will not travel

more than 61.8% of wave A

Wave C should move beyond the end of wave A

Truncation cannot happen in wave C in case of Zigzag

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Page 17: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Regular Flat It is structured as (3-3-5) Wave C will most

probably move beyond end of wave A which can be equal to 0.618-1.618 times of Wave A

Wave B should retrace atleast 61.8-100% of wave A

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Page 18: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Irregular Flat Wave b should be

between 100% to 161.8% of wave a

If wave b is more than

138.2% of wave a then we might see irregular flat failure pattern

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Page 19: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Running Flat If wave c does not move

below the start of wave a then it is said to be running flat

Running Flat has very strong post pattern implication

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Page 20: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Triangle It is structured as (3-3-3-

3-3) Each segment in triangle

is corrective At least 3 segments

correct more than 50% of previous wave

Triangle can drift upward or downward

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Page 21: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Alternation Alternation can occur in following ways: Price: for example - wave 2 = 100 points, wave 4= 50 points

Retracement: for example - wave 2 = 61.8%, wave 4= 38.2%

Complexity: for example - wave 2= complex, wave 4 = simple

Time: for example - wave 2 = 10 days, wave 4 = 5 days Wave 2 and wave 4 will always tend towards alternation

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Page 22: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Combination

Double Flat Zigzag + Flat

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Flat + Triangle

Page 23: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Double Flat Correction

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Page 24: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections
Page 25: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

Triple Combination

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Flat + Flat + Triangle

Zigzag+ Flat + Triangle

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Page 26: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 27: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

2 Stage Confirmation 2-4 trendline should be

broken in faster time than wave 5 took to form

Wave 5 should be retraced completely in faster time

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Page 28: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

2 Stage Confirmation 0 –b trendline should be

broken faster than wave c took to form

Wave c should be retraced completely in faster time

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Page 29: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 30: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 31: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 32: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 33: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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Page 34: Elliott wave principle - CMT Association WAVE TRUNCATION ALTERNATION ... In the 1930s, R.N. Elliott . discovered that the stock . ... Fibonacci is used for Retracements & Projections

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