The 63rd Annual Reliability & Maintainability SymposiumJanuary 23 - 26, 2017 Rosen Plaza Hotel, Orlando, FL

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2017 GENERAL CHAIR’S MESSAGE“R&M: Managing Emerging Challenges and Risks ”

Suprasad Amari

It is my pleasure to welcome you to the 63rd Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. RAMS® is a unique symposium that provides an exceptional venue for Reliability and Maintainability (R&M) professionals to collaborate, learn, and share. The objective of this symposium is to provide a forum for the exchange of R&M knowledge, to network with subject matter experts from around the world, and to gain value that can be applied to improve the reliability and maintainability of systems and products through effective management of emerging challenging and risks. That objective is the genesis of this year’s RAMS® theme, “R&M: Managing Emerging Challenges and Risks.”

I’m excited about this year’s RAMS® program, as we will again be featuring a strong mix of both theoretical and practical content. RAMS attendees will be able to participate in 22 comprehensive Tutorials, 32 Technical Paper Sessions, 4 invited Panel Sessions, the RAMS Ad-visory Board Panel, and a Poster Session. Tutorial attendees once again have the option to participate in the RAMS® Tutorial Certificate Program and earn Continuing Education Units for their attendance. The always popular RAMS® Advisory Board Panel will discuss future topics of interest and the state of the industry, including a question-and-answer period, along with the normal Advisory Board Panel based on the 2017 symposium theme. The RAMS® Poster session provides a face-to-face exchange with peers and subject matter experts facing similar technical challenges. The RAMS® 2017 Exhibit Area will provide an opportunity for you to informally interact with providers of RAM products and services and to learn more about their latest offerings.

Among the highlights of RAMS® each year are the exciting Keynote and Banquet Speakers. I am pleased to announce that this year’s invited Keynote Speaker is Mr. James Amato, Director of the U.S. Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity (AMSAA), Aberdeen Proving Ground, Maryland. At AMSAA, Mr. Amato leads a diverse workforce of professional engineers, mathematicians, computer scientists, and operations research analysts who conduct analyses across the materiel lifecycle to enable critical decisions for current and future Warfighter needs. The focus of Mr. Amato’s talk is on this year’s symposium theme itself and covers six major areas that are critical in managing emerging challenges and risks. Further, I am honored to introduce our banquet speaker, Colonel Harold Buhl, Deputy Director, HRED, Army Research Laboratory (ARL)-Orlando. As program manager, he also serves as Deputy Director, Human Research and Engineering Directorate. Colonel Buhl leads the Advanced Technology Demonstration alignment to the Program Executive Office for Simulation and Training and Instrumentation (PEO-STRI). Prior to ARL, Colonel Buhl was project manager of the US Army Combined Arms Tactical Trainers. In this role, he managed the Army’s portfolio of virtual and gaming training capabilities that encompassed 71 product lines and a budget through planning and programming years of $3.1 billion. Colonel Buhl will talk about the application of Augmented Reality in managing challenges and risks associated with advanced defense technologies and discuss the measures for “Reliability of Other Realities.” As introduced at RAMS 2015, each morning at 7:45, please join me and several of our key members of the RAMS® Management Commit-tee for the “Chairman’s Corner” ─ an informal 15-minute session to help you to better plan your day while enjoying a continental breakfast. Additionally, we’ve launched a free RAMS® App for iOS, Android, and Windows platforms at the 2015 Symposium and will continue this offering as well. The App will keep you up to date on session changes, other pertinent program information, and exhibitor information and maps. It will also give you the ability to download presentations prior to each session. You can even create your own custom schedule. To further enhance the networking opportunities and symposium experience, the App includes the pictures of our authors and speakers. Please let us know how the RAMS® 2017 App works for you! As always, our Spouses Hospitality Program, continuing education program, and collaboration with our sponsoring societies and government agencies will continue, enriching the experience for all attendees.I am glad you have chosen to attend the 2017 RAMS. I am confident that RAMS will exceed your expectations, and I look forward to meet-ing you at RAMS® 2017 in Orlando!

Suprasad V. AmariGeneral Chair, RAMS® 2017

RAMS® Exhibition and RegistrationEvery exhibitor has been carefully selected with improved reliability, maintainability, quality and productivity in mind. All exhibits will be in the Grand A Room. Coffee breaks will be held in the exhibit area. The Exhibition is a valuable component of the Symposium as it provides information on products and services which can help you do your job more efficiently. Even if you plan to attend every technical session, there will still be plenty of time to visit the exhibits between sessions and during lunch breaks. RAMS®2017 Attendees Registration Desk at Ballroom Foyer Opening Times: Exhibition Opening Times: Sunday, January 22, 2017 4:00pm - 6:00pmMonday, January 23, 2017 5:00pm - 7:00pm Monday, January 23, 2017 7:00am - 5:00pmTuesday, January 24, 2017 9:00am - 5:00pm Tuesday, January 24, 2017 7:00am - 5:00pmWednesday, January 25, 2017 9:00am - 5:00pm Wednesday, January 25, 2017 8:00am - 4:00pmThursday, January 26, 2017 9:00am - 12:00pm Thursday, January 26, 2017 8:00am - 12:30pm

ALD Ltd. BQR Reliability Engineering, LTDCincinnati Sub ZeroDfR Software CompanyDfR SolutionsFulton Findings, LLCIRISS

Isograph Inc.ITEM Software Ops A La Carte, LLC PHM TechnologyPTCQualmark CorpQuanterion Solutions

Registration and Information at the RAMS® Registration Desk

Poster Session and iPad RaffleThis year, we will again hold the Poster Session for papers that have been exclusively selected to be presented based on content and expected level of one-on-one interaction with attendees and R&M experts. The Poster session also includes the papers from authors with multiple accepted papers. The session enables RAMS® 2017 attendees to get in-depth detail on the topics presented, and to interact with subject matter experts directly. Due to the increasing popularity of Poster Sessions at previous RAMS®, the papers that are presented in regular technical oral sessions will be given the opportunity to present once again in a Poster Session. However, due to limited slots at the Poster Session, open slots will be filled on a first-come-first-served basis; oral session authors can contact their Program Vice-Chair if they want to present. (See page 4, Program Matrix, for Poster Session time and location.) Food and drinks will be served. Three Apple iPad Air 2s (32 GB) will be raffled off. One raffle ticket may be obtained at the end of each of the Thursday sessions (maximum of two tickets). Attend-ees must be present at the Poster Session area to be eligible to win an iPad. For more information contact Suprasad Amari or S/B Steve Glenn.

Job Posting BoardRAMS® is again sponsoring a job posting board for openings in the assurance disciplines. Any business interested in describing its employment opportunities to the world’s premier gathering of assurance professionals is encouraged to post directly on the bulletin boards, which will be available to all Symposium at-tendees. This is an extraordinary opportunity to get your employment message out as well as a unique resource for job seekers.

IEEE Continuing Education Units (CEUs) You can earn CEUs by attending our Tutorials and Workshops at no extra charge (0.1 CEU per hour). Simply use a CEU completion form included with your registration packet. Complete the form according to the instructions, and return it to the registration desk at the conclusion of the Symposium. Your CEU certifi-cate will be e-mailed to you. ASQ Certification Exam Special arrangements have been made with ASQ to offer ASQ Certified Reliability Engineer (CRE), Certified Six Sigma Black Belt (CSSBB), Certified Six Sigma Green Belt (CSSGB), Certified Six Sigma Yellow Belt (CSSYB); and Certified Quality Engineer (CQE) examinations on Thursday, January 26, 2017, from 8:00 – noon (1:00 PM for the CQE Exam; 10:00 AM for the CSSYB Exam). Walk in registration for the CRE, CSSGB, CSSYB and CQE examinations will be permitted up to noon, Wednesday January 25, 2017 on a space available basis.For more information about ASQ Certifications, visit http://asq.org/cert. The exams are open book and any silent, hand-held, battery-operated calculator without an alphabetic keyboard will be permitted. A picture ID is required for admittance. For advance registration for these exams click http://tinyurl.com/jzu7368. Advance application deadline is December 14, 2016 and guarantees a seat for the exam.

RAMS ® Tutorial Certificate Program Formalize your educational experience with the two-level RAMS® Tutorial Certificate Program. The first level requires the completion of five core concept tutorials; the second level requires an additional 10 tutorials, taken across at least two symposia, based on your own profession needs and interests. Due to the timeliness of the material, the Certificate Program must be completed within four years of the first core tutorial. Upon completion of the program, you will receive a RAMS® certificate, a letter of completion, and a list of tutorials attended. You can enroll in the Certificate Program through the on-line registration system.

Spouses’ Hospitality ProgramContinental breakfast will be served at 8 am each morning at the Rosen Plaza, Jack’s Place. The Hotel Concierge will be available from 8 am to 9 am daily to assist you with any special requests. There will also be guided tours/events on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday: Hotel Chef Class, Blue Man Group Show and Kennedy Space Center Tour. For information please contact Ming Li via e mail: Ming.Li@ieee.org

Exhibitor ListRaytheon Missile SystemsReliaSoft CorpReliability Engineering Academy GbRRelyence Corp.Rolls Royce Controls and Data ServicesSAS/JMPSatodev S.A.S.

Softrel LLCSystecon North AmericaThe Omnicon Group University of Maryland

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Keynote SpeakerJAMES AMATO

Mr. Amato was appointed to the Senior Executive Service in September 2008. He has served as the Director of the U.S. Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity, Aberdeen Proving Ground, Maryland since 2013. At AMSAA, he leads a diverse workforce of professional engineers, mathematicians, computer scientists and operations research analysts who conduct analyses across the materiel lifecycle to enable critical decisions for current and future military needs. On behalf of the Office of the Secretary of Defense, Mr. Amato chairs the Joint Technical Coordinating Group for Munitions Effectiveness program, responsible for developing and delivering the methodologies, tools and data that our military use every day.

He served as the Executive Director of the U.S. Army Operational Test Command at Fort Hood, Texas from 2008 to 2013. As Executive Director, he oversaw a multi-disciplined workforce of over 1000 Soldiers, civilians and contractors who planned and executed operational tests of Army and joint weapons systems. Mr. Amato also served as the Army Test and Evaluation Commands’ Executive Agent for the first five Network Integration Evaluations. In addition, he was responsible for the Forward Operational Assessment teams, who deployed into Iraq and Afghanistan to collect Soldier feedback on the effectiveness, suitability, and survivability of weapons systems and equipment.

During the period, 2005 to 2008, he was the Director of the Integrated Logistics Support Evaluation Directorate for the US Army Evaluation Center (AEC), US Army Test and Evaluation Command, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD. During the period, 2000 to 2005, he was the Chief for Field Studies Branch, Logistics Analysis Division for the US Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity (AMSAA), Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD.

DirectorU.S. Army Materiel Systems Analysis ActivityAberdeen Prooving Ground, Maryland

RAMS 2017 PROGRAM MATRIX

A B C D EGrand B Salon 3-4 Salon 5-6 Salon 7-8 Salon 9-10

8:30 - 10:00

10:15 - 12:15 1Designing for Availability in Systems, and Systems of

Systems (T)

Autonomous Systems (Vehicles) - Challenges

and Risks (PN)

Equipment Diagnostics and Prognostics (PS)

R&M Applications in Aerospace (PS)

13:30 - 15:30 2 Dynamic Reliability Modeling and Big Data (T)

Approaches for Optimizing R&M Design

(PS)

Design for Robust System Safety (PS)

Managing Life Cycle Cost and

Risk (PS)

15:45 - 17:45 3 An Introduction to R&M Management (T)

Enhancing the Value of Modeling and Simulation for

Reliability (T)

Cyber Security on R&M (PN)

Prognostics and Health Management (PS)

R&M in Space Related

Applications (PS)

17:00 - 19:007:45 - 8:00

8:00 - 10:00 5 Probability Models of Maintenance Processes (T)

Managing Reliability and Maintainability (PS)

Big Data and Analytics Applications (PS)

R&M Applications in Industry (PS)

10:15 - 12:15 6Introduction to Mathematical Software Reliability Models

(T)

Meeting Risk Management Challenges in High Risk Enterprises

(PN)

Emerging Challenges and Risks in Maintenance (PS)

R&M Applications in Health Care (PS)

13:30 - 15:30 7 Introduction to Fault Tree Analysis (T)

Probabilistic Analysis and Design (T)

Numerical Methods in R&M (PS)

Lessons Learned in Maintenance Modeling (PS)

Analytical Techniques for Risk

Treatment (PS)

15:45 - 17:45 8Understanding and

Applying the Fundamentals of FMEA (T)

Practical Approaches for Reliability Evaluation Using

Degradation Data (T)

Reliability and Availability Analysis Methods (PS)

Case Studies in Cost and Maintenance Models (PS)

Managing Risk for Criteria of Success

(PS)

7:45 - 8:00

8:00 - 10:00 9Accelerated Testing in Robust and Reliable

Product Development (T)

Experiences in Reliability Data Analysis (T)

Applications of Fault Tree Analysis (PS) Innovative FMEA Solutions (PS) Applications in Risk

Mitigation (PS)

10:15 - 12:15 10

13:30 - 15:30 11Physics of Failure Laws Using Thermodynamic

Degradation Science (T)

Evaluation of Rrisk Based Management System (T)

DoD Discussion - Effective R&M

Engineering Activities (PN)

Accelerated Life Testing Methods (PS)

Warranty and Life Data Analysis (PS)

15:45 - 17:45 12FTA vs RBD - Differences

and Similarities for System Modeling (T)

Reliability from a Semiconductor Supplier’s

Perspective (T)

System Life Modeling (PS)

Case Studies in Accelerated Life Testing (PS)

Physics of Failure Modeling (PS)

18:30 - 21:307:30 - 8:00

8:00 - 10:00 13Integrating Systems

Engineering, DFSS and Design for Reliability (T)

Understanding Quantitative Risk Assessment in Safety

Risk Management (T)

Statistical Modeling for R&M (PS)

Renewal Processes and Repairable Systems (PS)

Software Reliability and Testing (PS)

10:15 - 12:15 14Practical Human Error Prevention - Robust or

Bust? (T)

Asset Managment in Theory and in Practice (T)

Modeling Reliability for Deployed Applications

(PS)

Design Optimization Using R&M Techniques (PS)

System Safety Analysis (PS)

12:15 - 14:00

Legend (T) = Tutorial (PN) = Panel (PS) = Paper Session

Time # Date

General Chair's Welcome & Keynote - Grand A-B

Mon

day

Janu

ary

23

An Introduction to Probability Models in

Reliability & Maintainability (T)

Exhibitors Reception: Grand A

Chairman's Corner - Location: GRAND A

Thur

sday

Janu

ary

26

Poster Session - Grand C-D

Chairman's Corner - Grand A

Tues

day

Janu

ary

24

Introduction to Life Data Analysis (T)

Chairman's Corner - Grand A

Wed

nesd

ayJa

nuar

y 25Advisory Board Panel - Grand B

General Reception & Banquet - Upper Pool Deck & Grand C-D

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MONDAY JANUARY 23 SCHEDULE

General Chair’s Welcome and Keynote Grand A-BMonday 8:30 AM - 10:00 AM

General Chair: Suprasad V. Amari, BAE Systems (United States)Keynote Speaker: James Amato, Director U.S. Army Meteriel Systems Analysis Activity “R&M: Managing Emerging Challenges and Risks”

The focus of keynote speaker’s talk is on this year’s symposium theme itself and covers 6 major areas that are critical in managing emerging challenges and risks. These topics include: building reliability up-front in design, developing contracts that promote emphasis on RAM practices, leveraging data and information to the maximum extent possible, establishing solid reliability growth strategies and requirements, utilizing engineering modeling and simulation to quickly address failures that do make it into the field, and linking maintenance data to product support strategies.

Tutorial 01A/02A (Core): An Introduction to Probability Models in Reliability & Maintainability Grand BMonday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM, 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Kellie Schneider, University of Dayton (United States)Provides attendees with basic coverage of the traditional, fundamental probability models used to describe, improve, and optimize system reliability and maintainability.

Tutorial 01B: Designing for Availability in Systems, and Systems of Systems Salon 3-4Monday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Pierre Dersin, ALSTOM Transport (France)This tutorial describes methods for modeling system Operational Availability and for achieving Operational Availability cost effectiveness through design and maintenance.

Panel 01C: Autonomous Systems (Vehicles) - Challenges and Risks Salon 5-6Monday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Moderator: James Wasiloff, BAE Systems (United States)Panelists: Noah Lassar, Google[X]/Alta Motors (United States)Dariusz Mikulski, U.S. Army – TARDEC (United States)David Lamb, Ph.D, U.S. Army – TARDEC (United States)Mitchell Rohde, Ph.D, Quantum Signal (United States)Venkatesh Agaram, Ph.D, CIMdata, Inc. (United States)John Martin, GDLS Robotics (United States)

The biggest challenge envisioned from the paradigm shift associated with contemporary ride sharing scenarios and the introduction of autonomous vehicle technology is the emergence of a radically new, highly accelerated “24/7” customer usage profile. Current vehicle usage cycles are typically very low, 5% or less. Within the context of a fully mature Autonomous Vehicle environment involving structured car sharing, the daily vehicle usage rate could grow to 95% or more. The increased use of vehicles and the corresponding aging will have an impact on vehicle system life, and will have a significant degradation effect – a hypothesis that needs to be carefully explored and statistically validated at the vehicle, system, subsystem and compo-nent level. This interactive panel session will consider the impact of autonomous vehicle technology and ride sharing on customer usage and design for reliability.

Session 01D: Equipment Diagnostics and Prognostics Salon 7-8Monday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Moderator: Georgios Sarakakis, Tesla Motors (United States)Vice Chair: Dmitry Tananko, GDLS (United States)This session assembles publications on equipment diagnostics and prognostics, including electronics, electrical motors and other vulnerable subsystems.

01D1 PREDICTING DISK DRIVE FAILURE USING CONDITIONAL BASED MONITORINGPaul Franklin, Primus Software (United States)This paper describes a model for identifying consumer devices at risk of failure due to hard drive vulnerability. A model for estimating time to replace at risk equipment is proposed.

TUTORIALS, SESSIONS, WORKSHOPS01D2 PROPERLY CREDITING DIAGNOSTICS IN SAFETY INSTRUMENTED FUNCTIONS FOR HIGH DEMAND PROCESSESWilliam Goble, PhD, exida, LLC (United States)This paper proposes that the 100X requirement used by many safety standards can be excessive and that running diagnostics at rates of 10X or less may still provide credible risk reduction.

01D3 FAULT PREDICTION AND DAMAGE DETERMINATION METHOD FOR BRUSHLESS DC MOTOR BASED ON ES-GMJinquan Xuan, Beihang University (China)This paper proposes an improved Gray model for fault detection using the vibration analysis method to analyze BLDC’s degradation state, with quan-titative damage determination to formulate maintenance strategies.

01D4 FAULT DETECTION AND DIAGNOSIS IN THE TENNESSEE EASTMAN PROCESS USING INTERPRETABLE KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERYSoumaya Yacout, D.Sc., École Polytechnique of Montreal (Canada)The Logical Analysis of Data is used as an interpretable knowledge discovery approach to detect and diagnose faults in the Tennessee Eastman Pro-cess (TEP).

Session 01E: R&M Applications in Aerospace Salon 9-10Monday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Moderator: David Redman, Aerospace Vehicle Systems Institute (United States)Vice Chair: Lori Bechthold, Consultant (United States)Aerospace applications demand high reliability and performance in challenging environments. Methods of meeting these challenges are presented in this session, including advanced simulation methods of human factors in maintainability, advanced modeling methods of cross-strapped redundant systems and exploration of military and commercial field data comparisons for best practices.

01E1 COMPARISON OF MILITARY AND COMMERCIAL FIELD DATA: BEST PRACTICES FOR HIGHER QUALITY R&M DATAJ. D. Soloman, CH2M (United States)An analysis of several data sets is presented to include a military aviation example, and two commercial data sets.

01E2 RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND MAINTENANCE PROGRAM OF AIRLINE SEATSUbair Rehmanjan, Chartered Aerospace Engineer (Australia)A methodology for reviewing reliability of premium airline seats and developing a maintenance program for them.

01E3 CONSIDERATION OF HUMAN FACTORS IN AERONAUTICAL MAINTAINABILITYFabien Bernard, Airbus Helicopters (France)The main goal of this paper is to establish which simulation tools should be utilized by design engineers to evaluate human factors. We will investigate the limits of these tools and support our conclusion by making a link between the literature and the industrial observation, at Airbus Helicopters in Marignane, France.

01E4 RELIABILITY PARADOX FOR WORLDWIDE AUTOMOTIVE ELECTRONICSCher Ming Tan, Chang Gung University (Taiwan)The impact on automotive electronics reliability from advancing automotive electronics system technologies is studied and presented.

Tutorial 02B: Dynamic Reliability Modeling and Big Data Salon 3-4Monday 1:30PM - 3:30 PM

Vitali Volovoi, Consultant (United States)This tutorial provides an overview of the current state of the art in modeling system risk, reliability, and maintenance, using dynamic methods. The increasing influence on the reliability world of the Internet of Things (IoT) and Big Data is discussed.

Session 02C: Approaches for Optimizing R&M Design Salon 5-6Monday 1:30PM - 3:30 PM

Moderator: Athanasios Kolios, Cranfield University (United Kingdom)Vice Chair: Philip Mongan, ARES Corporation (United States)More and more the challenges engineers deal with relate to optimizing designs among multiple and sometime competing challenges. Design optimiza-tion that enables synergistic benefit while minimizing development costs and cycle times is becoming ever more necessary. Papers in this session deal with creative approaches for optimizing design criteria for reliability and maintainability among other interests.

02C1 A NEW VALUE DRIVEN APPROACH TO OPTIMIzE RELIABILITY SPECIFICATION AND ALLOCATION Christopher Jackson, Ph.D MSc BE(Mech), UCLA (United States)The paper outlines a value driven design (VDD) tradespace exploration (TSE) for allocating optimal reliability goals to system components to inform design that supports business objectives.

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2017 201702C2 UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION OF A SMALL ARMS FIRE CONTROL SYSTEMMelissa Jablonsky, US Army ARDEC (United States)State of the art methods in Design of Experiments (DOE)-based surrogate modeling for probabilistic optimization of modeling & simulation were used to characterize the behavior of a fire control system and to optimize the design based on overall system performance.

02C3 A CHANGE IN PROCESS AND CULTURE: IMPLEMENTING QUALITY, RELIABILITY AND SAFETY IN EARLY DEVELOPMENTJason Cook, US Army ARDEC-QE & SA (United States)Cost and risk solutions for cost growth and deficiencies associated with quality and reliability underperformance, driven by cost reduction measures as-sociated with sequestration and the economic downturn, are examined with detailed process improvements.

02C4 THE EFFECTIVENESS OF RELIABILITY PROGRAMS AND TOOLS BASED ON DESIGN MATURITY AND COMPLEXITYJeremy Lucas, Teledyne Oil & Gas (United States)The Effectiveness of Reliability Programs and Tools Based on Design Maturity and Complexity

Session 02D: Design for Robust System Safety Salon 7-8Monday 1:30PM - 3:30 PM

Moderator: Mark White, NASA JPL (United States)Vice Chair: Jessica Leszczynski, Sierra Nevada Corporation (United States)This session explores novel methods used in designing for robust system safety.

02D1 MODELING COMMON CAUSE FAILURES IN DIVERSE COMPONENTSMr. Joseph Belland, Isograph, Inc. (United States)While most system analysis methods use simple methods to account for common cause failures, this paper will discuss more advanced methods of CCF modeling.

02D2 A COMPOSITIONAL SYMBOLIC CALCULUS APPROACH TO PRODUCING REDUCED MARKOV CHAINSNidhal Mahmud, University of Hull (Jordan)In this paper, a new approach to computing a smaller scale MC that can be produced directly from the dysfunctional behavior local to the components of the system is discussed.

02D3 ON-BOARD FAULT TOLERANCE CONSIDERATIONS FOR AUTONOMOUS UNDERWATER VEHICLESAhmed Bashir, B. Eng., P. Eng, PM2, ACB, ALB, Department of National Defence Canada (Canada)Improvements foreseen in availability, reliability, maintainability, system safety and mission success are briefly discussed as are future developments in AUV technology that may enhance fault recovery and fidelity.

02D4 WHEN DOES PERFORMANCE BECOME A SAFETY ISSUEDavid Fernald, Army Evaluation Center (United States)It is often difficult to differentiate system performance from safety. This paper provides a guide for determining when system performance becomes a safety issue.

Session 02E: Managing Life Cycle Cost and Risk Salon 9-10

Monday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM Moderator: Nancy Lindsey, NASA-GSFC (United States)Vice Chair: Dan Burrows, TBD (United States)Papers in this session explore methods and approaches for evaluating and managing deployed life considerations affecting post deployment cost and readiness risk.

02E1 EFFECTIVE RELIABILITY DEMONSTRATION USING CONTROLLED PROTOTYPEHuairui Guo, PhD, FCA US LLC (United States)A new method to estimate the demonstrated reliability when components are manufactured at the weakest side of the specification.

02E2 STATISTICAL GUIDANCE FOR SETTING PRODUCT SPECIFICATION LIMITSDaniel Campbell, Sandia National Labs (United States)This presentation outlines a statistically-based approach to setting acceptance testing limits for high reliability, limited production components.

02E3 DEALING WITH FRACTIONAL FAILURES AND SURVIVORS IN RELIABILITY ENGINEERINGFen-Bin Sun, Tesla Motors (United States)Author of this paper summarizes and discusses various scenarios in real world reliability engineering practice where fractional failures and fractional survivors can be encountered. Numerical examples are given to illustrate data collection, failure classification and fractional failure determination, data entry format, life distribution parameter estimation, reliability quantification, and field risk prediction.

02E4 QUANTIFYING THE EFFECT OF A POTENTIAL CORRECTIVE ACTION ON PRODUCT LIFEUmur Yenal, HBM Prenscia (United States)This paper compares two methods for accounting for the effect of a corrective action on product life before data is available: using a scale factor and fractional failure analysis.

Tutorial 03A Core: An Introduction to Reliability and Maintainability Management Grand BMonday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Fred Schenkelberg, FMS Reliability (United States)The purpose of this tutorial is to introduce an outline to guide the management of an effective reliability or maintainability program.

Tutorial 03B: Enhancing the Value of Modeling and Simulation for Reliability Salon 3-4

Monday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PMJames McLinn, Ops A La Carte (United States)Reliability can be achieved through the use of modeling and simulation (M&S). In each of these examples an understanding of the root causes of degra-dation or failure may not be required to best use simulation or modeling.

Panel 03C: Cyber Security on R&M Salon 5-6Monday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Moderator: Bryan M O’Halloran, Naval Postgraduate School (United States), Panelists:Bryan O’Halloran, Naval Postgraduate School (United States)Zac Staples, Naval Postgraduate School, Navy Center for Cyber Warfare (United States)Mike Weller, BAE Systems (United States)

Cyber security is increasingly becoming a greater concern to both government and industry. People have varying views of what they understand it to be, but there remain gaps in the overall understanding of the underlying impacts and threats to system and component reliability, diversity of attacks for simple to complex systems and protecting hardware centric information in a cyber world. This panel session brings together experts to discuss these issues and concerns in addition to providing an understanding of what cyber-security is.

Session 03D: Prognostics and Health Management Salon 7-8

Monday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM Moderator: Lance Fiondella, University of Massachusetts (United States)Vice Chair: Dmitry Tananko, GDLS (United States)This session will cover recent developments in PHM methods for sensors and materials..

03D1 IN-SITU MEMS INERTIAL SENSOR HEALTH PROGNOSTIC METHOD BASED ON MICRO VIBRATORGang Dai, Microsystem & Terahertz Research Center, China Academy of Engineering Physics (China)This paper presents a novel MEMS inertial sensor health prognostic method which can diagnose health status of high g/rotation rate situation without common calibration equipment.

03D2 DAMAGE MONITORING AND PROGNOSTICS IN COMPOSITES VIA DYNAMIC BAYESIAN NETWORKSElaheh Rabiei, University of Maryland (United States)This paper proposes a new SHM framework for damage monitoring and Prognostics based on evolution of indirect damage indicator. DBN is used as the primary modeling technique and Particle Filtering and Support vector regression methods are implemented to make inference inside the DBN.

03D3 DYNAMIC CONTAMINATED PARTICLES CONCENTRATION-BASED DEGRADATION MODEL OF LINEAR ELECTRO-HYDROSTATIC ACTUATORYuan Li, Beihang University (China)This paper proposes a performance degradation analysis method under dynamic erosion wear.

03D4 AN IDENTIFICATION AND PREDICTION MODEL OF WEAR-OUT FAULT BASED ON OIL MONITORING DATA USING PSO-SVM METHODLei Li (China)This paper aims at proposing a model to identify the wear-out status of diesel engine and predict its wear-out trend from oil monitoring data mining by using Particle Swarm Optimization Support Vector Machine (PSO-SVM) method.

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2017 2017 Session 03E: R&M in Space-Related Applications Salon 9-10

Monday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PMModerator: Julio Pulido, ReliaRisk (United States)Vice Chair: Mark White, NASA JPL (United States)Space-related challenges and factors of success are explored in this session with papers that discuss in-space performance criteria as well as reliability and human factors requirements and interests.

03E1 RELIABILITY ASPECTS OF MEGA-CONSTELLATION SATELLITES AND THEIR IMPACT ON THE SPACE DEBRIS ENVIRONMENTAntonio Harrison Sanchez, European Space Agency (Netherlands)Defining reliability as a key aspect of mega constellation satellites in-view of their potential catastrophic impact on the space debris environment.

03E2 A CUBESAT-PAYLOAD RADIATION-RELIABILITY ASSURANCE CASE USING GOAL STRUCTURING NOTATIONRebekah Austin, Vanderbilt University (United States)In this paper an assurance case for the radiation reliability of a CubeSat payload is expressed with Goal Structuring Notation (GSN). The graphical as-surance case model provides great utility in the validation process as it presents a visual representatio

03E3 SINGLE SHOT DEVICE RELIABILITY CHALLENGESAntonio Scappaticci, Acquisition Logistics Engineering (Unites States)This paper will discuss the concepts of dormancy, single shot devices, how to develop operating and dormant profiles, and how to calculate the predicted reliability over the lifetime of a single shot device..

03E4 RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT OF REDUNDANT SYSTEMS WITH CROSS-STRAPPING CONCERNING POTENTIAL PROPAGATING FAILURE MODEWei Huang, Space Systems/Loral, LLC (United States)This paper presents a preliminary reliability assessment of cross-strapped redundant systems with potential propagating failure modes.

Exhibitors Reception Grand AMonday 5:00 PM - 7:00 PM

TUESDAY JANUARY 24 SCHEDULE

Chairman’s Corner Grand A

Tuesday 7:45 AM - 8:00 AMGeneral Chair: Suprasad Amari, BAE Systems (United States)

Tutorial 05A/06A (Core): Introduction to Life Data Analysis Grand BTuesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM, 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Larry Leemis, Department of Mathematics, The College of William & Mary (United States)One key objective of the analysis of the reliability of an item is to evaluate and extend its lifetime. This tutorial considers the probability models and associated statistical methods that are required to quantify the probability distribution of the lifetime of an item..

Tutorial 05B: Probability Models of Maintenance Processes Salon 3-4Tuesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Joel Nachlas, Virginia Tech (United States)Advanced probability models of maintenance processes including renewal and non-stationary cases.

Session 05C: Managing Reliability and Maintainability Salon 5-6Tuesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: James Wasiloff, BAE Systems (United States)Vice Chair: Dmitry Tananko, GDLS (United States)A series of innovative, practical technical presentations on contemporary and emerging strategies in managing Reliability and Maintainability in industry and government sectors.

05C1 MULTI-DISCIPLINE AGILE DEVELOPMENT AND RAMChristopher zanotti, Raytheon (United States)This paper will describe a Multi-disciplined Agile Development and how Agile impacts Reliability and Maintainability. Agile is an industry-based initiative that applies Lean principles to the knowledge worker.

05C2 SYSTEM OF SYSTEMS RELIABILITY STRATEGY TO MEET THE WARFIGHTER NEEDSDebra Greenhaigh Lubas, MS SE, Ph.D SE, USAF Eglin AFB (United States)This paper reviews the characteristics of SoS as they impact reliability, and how aspects of Reliability are addressed by the practice of SoS SE. Fi-nally, it discusses the implications for Reliability of SoS, including specific challenges and the strategies currently employed to address them including how to better define capabilities, impacts to design and how to integrate and test at the SoS level to achieve reliable systems.

05C3 EVOLUTIONARY RELIABILITY & MAINTAINABILITY STRATEGY IMPROVES NAVY SHIPSPaul Dube, NAVSEA (United States)Delivering systems which meet correctly specified requirements and which are appropriately designed, verified and validated is the primary objective of NAVSEA.

05C4 RELIABILITY AND MAINTAINABILITY AS KEY DRIVER FOR ROLLING STOCK ACQUISITIONRon van Baaren, ADSE (Netherlands)This paper describes how the NS, the national state owned railway operator in the Netherlands, has developed and implemented a NS specific design for R&M methodology aimed to effectively and timely acquire around 250 reliable and available trains at known life cycle cost, from three different manufacturers, as part of its € 2,5 billion worth “New Rolling Stock” program. This paper presents the results of this program, illustrating the key drivers for success, lessons learned, application measures, and results.

Session 05D: Big Data and Analytics Applications Salon 708Tuesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: Yassir Shanshal, Oshkosh Corp (United States)Vice Chair: Mohammad Hijawi, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (United States)The effect of data in an ever growing technological world that depends on it is complicated. Paper in this session explore approaches, applications and techniques for using data to analyze, predict, discover and optimize performance.

05D1 PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE APPLICATIONS FOR MACHINE LEARNINGBrad Cline, PTC (United States)Machine Learning provides a complementary approach to maintenance planning by analyzing significant data sets of individual machine performance and environment variables, identifying failure signatures and profiles, and providing an actionable prediction of failure for individual parts.

05D2 LAYERED RELIABILITY MODELING OF SMART HOME SYSTEMGuilin zhao, University of Massachusetts Dartmouth (United States)This paper models reliability of a smart home system considering phased-mission and cold standby behavior in its physical layer and probabilistic competing failure behavior with random propagated time in its communication layer.

05D3 ANALYSIS OF MASSIVE INDUSTRIAL DATA BY USING MAPREDUCE FRAMEWORK FOR PARALLEL PROCESSINGSumaya Yacout, D.Sc., École Polytechnique of Montreal (Canada)The main objective of this paper is to process a large amount of maintenance data in a distributed systems environment using MapReduce in order to reduce the computational time of diagnosis and prognosis processes.

05D4 OPTIMIzING LIFE CYCLE COST OF CAPITAL INTENSIVE EQUIPMENT USING PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS FOR EFFECTIVE MAINTENANCEAmith Nag Nichenametia, LM Wind Power Technologies (India) Pvt Ltd (India)This paper talks about the concept of Big Data and Predictive Analytics for creating effective maintenance plans in order to optimize the Operational Life Cycle Cost and Reliability of wind turbine blades.

Session 05E: R&M Applications in Industry Salon 9-10Tuesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: zhennong Wang, The Boeing Company (United States)Vice Chair: Lori Bechtold, Consultant (United States)R&M engineering fuels the industrial machine with solutions for manufacturing and logistics challenges. This session explores new algorithms for inventory models, condition based maintenance of machine tools and equipment prognostics in support of manufacturing.

05E1 CONDITION-SPACE SYSTEMS/LORAL, LLC BASED MAINTENANCE OF MACHINE TOOLS: VIBRATION MONITORING OF SPINDLE UNITSAli Rastegari, Volvo GTO (Sweden)The aim of this paper is to address CBM implementation in the manufacturing industries focusing on the use of vibration monitoring technique to monitor the condition of the machine tools’ spindle units.=

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2017 201705E2 EQUIPMENT FAILURE PREDICTION BASED ON NEURAL NETWORK ANALYSIS INCORPORATING MAINTAINERS INSPECTION FINDINGSGilberto Souza, Universidade de Sao Paulo (Brazil)This paper uses operators’ sensorial inspection findings and operational parameters as input data for performance evaluation based on Neural Networks.

05E3 RELIABILITY MODELING OF PARTIALLY REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS APPLIED ON ELECTRICAL POWER SYSTEMGilberto Souza, Universidade de Sao Paulo (Brazil)This paper proposes analytical and numerical solutions to reliability modeling of partial repairable systems such as those used in power systems.

05E4 NEW FIDES MODELS FOR EMERGING TECHNOLOGIESPatrick Carton, THALES Global Services (France)PISTIS is a project addressing the reliability of emerging technologies involved in electronic systems to be used in rugged environments.

Tutorial 06B: Introduction to Mathematical Software Reliability Models Salon 3-4Tuesday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Vidhyashree Nagaraju, University of Massachusetts (United States)This tutorial presents two of the most widely studied classes of software reliability models – failure rate and failure counting models. A review of pre-requisite reliability concepts as well as numerical examples are included.

Panel 06C: Meeting Risk Management Challenges in High Risk Enterprises Salon 5-6Tuesday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Moderator/Panelist: David Oberhettinger, NASA/Caltech Jet Propulsion Laboratory (United States)Panelists:Jason Cook, U.S. Army Armament Research, Development and Engineering Center (United States) Katrina Groth, Sandia National Laboratories (United States)Vaishali Hegde, Philips Respironics (United States)Rick Jones, Hartford Steam Boiler Inspection & Insurance Company (United States)

Assessment and mitigation of risks is a commonplace and prudent undertaking for all companies and individuals. But there are enterprises that accept extreme risk as an essential element of their daily operations, such as those whose business environment is the battlefield or deep space. How these outfits contend with such challenges may be instructive to those whose risks are relatively low likelihood/low consequence. The above five panelists will describe the challenges central to their industry, and the measures that allow them to survive in such a challenging environment.

Session 06D: Emerging Challenges and Risks in Maintenance Salon 7-8Tuesday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Moderator: Andy Bouma, Raytheon Company (United States)Vice Chair: Philip Mongan, ARES Corporation (United States)This session explores issues and factors that can cause risk to product performance and readiness and methods to mitigate risks.

06D1 IMPACT OF CORRELATED COMPONENT FAILURE ON AGE REPLACEMENT MAINTENANCE POLICIESBentolhoda Jafary, University of Massachusetts, United StatesThis paper studies the impact of correlated failures on age replacement maintenance policies to minimize cost and maximize availability.

06D2 STOCHASTIC SCHEDULING OF WORKFORCE-CONSTRAINED PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE ACTIVITIES IN PETROLEUM PLANTSMahmoud Awad, American University of Sharjah (United Arab Emirates)This paper develops a stochastic model for preventive maintenance activities for a petroleum plant.

06D3 A VALUE-BASED MAINTENANCE STRATEGY FOR SYSTEMS UNDER IMPERFECT REPAIR AND CONTINUOUS DEGRADATIONSeyed Niknam, Western New England University (United States)A maintenance optimization model is developed to maximize the net value of imperfect degradation-based maintenance by determining an optimal interval of condition monitoring and the degradation level after imperfect preventive repairs.

06D4 LIFE DATA ANALYSIS WITH APPLICATIONS IN AIRCRAFT MODELINGJulio Pulido, Ph.D, ReliaRisk (United States)The purpose is to provide coverage of the traditional, fundamental probability models used to describe, improve, and optimize system reliability and maintainability. This coverage requires the discussion of some basic concepts from probability and distribution theory. Instead, emphasis is placed on identifying the key assumptions associated with each model especially when applied to aircraft engine model ing.

Session 06E: R&M Applications in Health Care Salon 9-10 Tuesday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Moderator: zhaojun Li, Western New England University (United States)Vice Chair: Jessica Leszczynski, Sierra Nevada Corporation (United States)This session covers cutting-edge reliability and maintainability applications in health care.

06E1 AN INTEGRATED APPROACH FOR IMPLANTABLE MEDICAL DEVICES FATIGUE RELIABILITY PREDICTIONHaitao zhang, Medtronic Pic. (United States)This paper proposes an integrated approach for implantable medical devices fatigue reliability prediction.

06E2 PERSONALIzED FALL RISK ASSESSMENT FOR LONG-TERM CARE SERVICE IMPROVEMENTMingyang Li, The University of South Florida (United States)A personalized, instantaneous fall risk model for older adults in assisted living facilities is proposed to account for the individual unobserved heterogene-ity and to allow instantaneous assessment of fall risk over time.

06E3 AUTOMATED LIFE CYCLE PROCESSING FOR COMPLEX MEDICAL IMAGING DEVICESRafael Fricks, Duke High Availability Assurance Laboratory (United States)Medical imaging devices require many subsystems to function under a variety of use and maintenance conditions, at a scale that complicates traditional model-based approaches. We present an automated approach in processing vast repair histories collected from field data, and then demonstrate practical insights in the data using non-parametric mean cumulative function estimates from millions of reports, with a general framework applicable to various industries.

06E4 FMEA DRIVEN MARKOV FOR BLUETOOTH 4.0+ DEVICES: A PRACTICAL APPROACH FOR QUANTITATIVE RELIABILITY ANALYSISSoheil Sobhani, Oticon A/S (Denmark)In this case study, the main function of Bluetooth Low Energy BLE is considered as an audio and/or control wireless interface between the hearing aid and external devices. The function can be fulfilled even though some of the operational modes are in the fail state. Applying Markov reliability model using FMEA results can provide a practical approach to analyze the multistate performance of BLE.

Tutorial 07A (Core): Introduction to Fault Tree Analysis Grand BTuesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

David Nelson, KBR Wyle, Aerospace Group, Sustainment Engineering Division (United States)The objective of the tutorial is to provide an understanding of FTA and examples of application. The instructor will explain the basic rules and math-ematics used in FTA and illustrate the explanations with examples.

Tutorial 07B: Probabilistic Analysis and Design Salon 3-4Tuesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Clifford Lange, Structural Integrity Associates (United States)This tutorial teaches the basic elements of probabilistic analysis and its use in design applications.

Session 07C: Numerical Methods in R&M Salon 5-6Tuesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Moderator:Lisa Bates, Reytheon (United States)Vice Chair: Mark White, NASA JPL (United States)Methods, approaches and techniques for analysis and estimation of reliability design elements are presented by the papers in this session..

07C1 THE EXTENDED DISCRETE RELIABILITY GROWTH PLANNING MODELLarry Crow, Ph.D, Crow Reliability Resources, Inc. (United States)This paper presents a reliability growth planning model for discrete systems that has key management and engineering parameters including a growth rate. This growth rate allows for a practical assessment of meeting the reliability objectives with the allocated resources which is not available with exist-ing widely used planning models for discrete systems.

07C2 AN EXTENDED CREAM BY MODIFIED ALGORITHM TO HUMAN RELIABILITY QUANTIFICATION IN MARINE ENGINEERINGzhengyang Chen, Beihang University (China)Modify the basic diagram of CREAM for operator control modes with the addition of neutral effects, which were ignored to obtain an update quantitation for HFP in marine engineering.

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2017 201707C3 SYSTEM RELIABILITY ESTIMATION OF HIGH POWER DIODE LASER WITH HYPO-EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTIONXi Liu (United States)High power laser system reliability is estimated based on reliability of emitter diodes. Hypo-exponential distribution is applied and two solutions of CDF are offered.

07C4 OPERATIONAL RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT USING MULTIVARIATE COVARIATESChenxi Liu (China)In order to provide a rational guidance to develop pre-maintenance strategies of a working device, its operational reliability assessment should be dependable. In terms of the equipment to be evaluated, hard and soft failure modes generally coexist. Accordingly, it increases the assessment difficulty, which has already resulted in the sparse historical failure data. To deal with this problem, we proposed the PHM-IPCM method that consider the influ-ence of environmental covariates, and make use of more than one associated response covariate at the same time. Furthermore, time-to-failure of the specific device can be estimated. The practical use of the proposed method is demonstrated by a numerical example of a servo turret.

Session 07D: Lessons Learned in Maintenance Modeling Salon 7-8Tuesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Moderator: Feng-Bin Sun, Tesla Motors (United States)Vice Chair: Wendai Wang, Lumentum (United States)Modeling is a powerful technique for understanding the performance of prime equipment systems in their intended operating environments and states, as well as the support systems that handle events that affect system readiness. This session addresses maintenance-related modeling techniques and ap-proaches.

07D1 COST MODELING FOR CUSTOMER PREMISES EQUIPMENTTed Boone, Cox Communications (United States)A cost model for customer premises equipment has been developed. This model enables prioritization of operational and reliability actions.

07D2 UNDERSTANDING THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF COMPLEXITY AND RELIABILITY INTERACTIONS IN PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTMathew Thomas, CNH Industrial (United States)This paper develops a structure in understanding the interaction between complexity and reliability within the context of new product development, and proposes a total cost model as the basis for optimization and strategy development.

07D3 A SEQUENTIAL INSPECTION AND REPLACEMENT POLICY FOR DEGRADATION-BASED SYSTEMSzhicheng zhu, Lamar University (United States)This paper develops a sequential condition-based maintenance model for systems subject to stochastic deterioration. The proposed decision model enables optimal scheduling of inspection and preventive maintenance decisions, in order to minimize the long-run maintenance cost rate including inspection, preventive and corrective maintenance costs.

07D4 A CBM POLICY FOR SYSTEMS SUBJECT TO FINITE MAINTENANCE TIMESTianyi Wu, Beihang University (China)This paper proposes a condition-based maintenance policy for a deteriorating system that could only be repaired for finite times since the effectiveness of imperfect repairs degrades. Usage life is considered in the policy optimization.

Session 07E: Analytical Techniques for Risk Treatment Salon 9-10Tuesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Moderator: Wei Huang, Space Systems Loral (United States)Vice Chair: Nat Jambulingam, NASA (United States)Risk in development and performance is ever present. Understanding how to handle risk along the system life cycle is critical to system success. Papers in this session address methods for addressing risk.

07E1 RISK MANAGEMENT OF A HIGH PRESSURED TEST CARTRIDGE USING SENSITIVITY TESTINGChristopher Drake, US Army ARDEC (United States)Sensitivity Testing Techniques used to manage risk of a High Pressured Test Cartridge.

07E2 RISK MODELING OF VARIABLE PROBABILITY EXTERNAL INITIATING EVENTSNikolaos Papakonstantinou, VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland (Finland)We present a functional failure modeling method of analyzing external failure-initiating events that have variable probability based on a system’s mis-sion that is useful during the conceptual phase of system design.

07E3 RESILIENCE AND STAKEHOLDER NEEDRoy Emanuel, University of Maryland (United States)An extension of resilience metrics in the literature to encompass a dynamic stakeholder need and substitutability over time and between systems.

07E4 LINKING DESIGN REVIEWS WITH FMEA TO QUICKLY MITIGATE THE RISK OF CHANGE DESIGN REVIEW BASED ON FAILURE MODES –Bill Haughey, ReliaTrain (United States) DRBFM identifies and mitigates all risk simultaneously including Reliability, Availability and Maintainability but also manufacturing and assembly.

Tutorial 08A (Core): Understanding and Applying the Fundamentals of FMEA Grand BTuesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Carl Carlson, ReliaSoft Corporation (United States)Failure Mode and Effects Analysis has the potential to be a powerful reliability tool to reduce product design and manufacturing risk in a cost effective manner; yet in practice, FMEA does not always live up to its potential. Students who attend this tutorial will learn an overview of the fundamental concepts and procedure for effective FMEAs and the FMEA success factors.

Tutorial 08B: Practical Approaches for Reliability Evaluation Using Degradation Data Salon 3-4Tuesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Haitao Liao, University of Arkansas (United States)This tutorial covers various topics on using degradation/parametric data for reliability evaluation. Methods for handling degradation with initiation time and degradation with destructive inspection are also discussed.

Session 08C: Reliability and Availability Analysis Methods Salon 5-6Tuesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Moderator: Jane Krolewski, Army Evaluation Center (United States)Vice Chair: Dmitry Tananko, GDLS (United States)This session offers series of publications dedicated to novel methods for reliability and availability analysis.

08C1 REGULARIzATION TECHNIQUES FOR RECURRENT FAILURE PREDICTION UNDER KIJIMA MODELSVasiliy Krivtsov, Ford Motor Company (United States)A regularization method that increases the estimation and prediction accuracy of recurrent failures in the framework of the generalized renewal process.

08C2 RELIABILITY AND AVAILABILITY MEASURE AND ASSESSMENT OF MULTISTAGE PRODUCTION SYSTEMSJian Guo, Western New England University (United States)This paper investigates methods for defining and measuring the reliability and availability of multistage production systems. Stochastic models are built to model the system state transition processes, which enables adequate reliability and availability measures of the overall systems. Analytical results are further verified using simulation models for the same system.

08C3 EVALUATION OF THE OPERATIONAL AVAILABILITY OF CRANE SYSTEMSKaushik Chatterjee, FM Global (United States)This study developed an approach to evaluate the operational availability of crane systems. The developed approach was then applied to an overhead bridge crane system to evaluate its operational availability.

08C4 EVALUATION METHODS OF STORAGE RELIABILITY FOR RELAY BASED SUBSYSTEMS UNDER THE CONDITIONS OF SMALL SAMPLESYigang Lin (China)To assess the storage reliability of relay-based subsystems(RBSs) used in weapon systems, in this paper an evaluation method, which combines simulation based degradation data of virtual RBSs with real degradation path of testing RBS based on Bayes theory is studied, and the method is verified to be effec-tive in assessing the storage reliability of the RBS under the conditions of small samples.

Session 08D: Case Studies in Cost and Maintenance Models Salon 7-8Tuesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Moderator: Mahmoud Awad, American University of Sharjah (United States, United Arab Emirates)Vice Chair: Jessica Leszczynski, Sierra Nevada Corporation (United States) This session examines the latest advances in cost and maintenance models through original case studies.

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2017 201708D1 JOINT OPTIMIzATION OF MAINTENANCE AND PRODUCTION SCHEDULINGAmirkiarash Kiani, MAsc, BSc, Ryerson University (Canada)This paper will discuss the joint optimization of preventive maintenance and production scheduling for a single machine, which has a two-stage failure process. We will determine the optimal order of jobs to be performed, as well as whether or not to perform preventive replacement before a job.

08D2 REAL-TIME MAINTENANCE PRIORITIzATION WITH LEARNING CAPABILITYMeng-Lai Yin, Ph.D, Cal Poly Pomona (United States)Inspired by the learning capability of our brain, a real-time maintenance prioritization tool is designed and developed. The success of the project en-courages us to apply this approach into more areas in modeling and simulation complexity.

08D3 RELIABILITY IMPROVEMENT TO MINIMIzE AVERAGE PROCUREMENT UNIT COST OF A ROTORCRAFT FLEETSaikath Bhattacharya, University of Massachusetts (United States)This paper presents a model to explicitly consider the impact of reliability improvement on average procurement unit cost (APUC). Examples illustrate how the model divides reliability improvement among subsystems to minimize APUC regardless of fleet size.

08D4 COMPREHENSIVE COST ORIENTED PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE BASED ON MISSION RELIABILITY FOR A MANUFACTURING SYSTEMJinyong Yao, PhD, Beihang University (China)When given a production task, the impact of equipment degradations and random shocks on the mission reliability is investigated, and the optimal main-tenance policy of the manufacturing system to maximize the average profit is analyzed in the case of ensuring the mission reliability in an acceptable range.

Session 08E: Managing Risk for Criteria of Success Salon 9-10Tuesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Moderator: Prince Kalia, NASA - Goddard Space Flight Center (United States)Vice Chair: Dan Burrows, TBD (United States) This session explores and discusses risk analysis and management across a broad spectrum of the product life cycle.

08E1 SELECTING A CLOUD SERVICE PROVIDER TO MINIMIzE PRIVACY RISKSGeorge Yee, Carleton University (Canada)Improving the process for selecting a cloud service provider by incorporating estimates of privacy protection capability to minimize privacy risks.

08E2 EFFECTS OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION CHOICE ON LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATES IN RISK ANALYSISzhaofeng Huang, Ph.D, Aerojet Rocketdyne (United States)Investigate the effects of probability distribution choices for making a better risk-informed engineering decision.

08E3 RELIABILITY RISK ASSESSMENT FOR NEW PROGRAMS AS A BASIS FOR PLANNING DFR ACTIVITIES AND RELIABILITY TESTINGJames Bartos, ITI Reliability (United States)Within the paper there is a review of a Reliability Risk Analysis methodology called New Content Analysis. The objective of the New Content Analysis is to determine the reliability risk of a New Product Development Program, where the reliability risk is how to mitigate these risk with DfR activities and provide inputs into the planning of Reliability System Testing such as Reliability Growth Testing.

08E4 ADJUSTING RELIABILITY PREDICTIONS FOR RISKEduardo Cota, Raytheon (United States)This paper describes a method to adjust design reliability predictions for defect escapes or program risks. .

WEDNESDAY JANUARY 25 SCHEDULE

Chairman’s Corner Grand AWednesday 7:45 AM - 8:00

General Chair: Suprasad Amari

Tutorial 09A: Accelerated Testing in Robust and Reliable Product Development Grand BWednesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

John Paschkewitz, Product Assurance Engineering, LLC (United States)The tutorial shows how to integrate Accelerated Stress Testing (AST), Highly Accelerated Life Test (HALT), and Quantitative Accelerated Life Test into a physics of failure and problem prevention product development process. This approach to reliability engineering helps ensure robust products capable of operating reliably within the variability of operating stresses and manufacturing variation..

Tutorial 09B: Experiences in Reliability Data Analysis Salon 3-4Wednesday 8:00 AM - 10:00

William Meeker, Iowa State University (United States)This tutorial, through a series of examples, will provide an overview of the most important tools that are used in the analysis of reliability field data and accelerated test data.

Session 09C: Applications of Fault Tree Analysis Salon 5-6Wednesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: Bahig Tawfellos, Honeywell Aerospace (United States)Vice Chair: Lori Bechtold, Consultant (United States)Fault tree analysis is a simple but powerful tool in the R&M tool bag. This session will explore new methods of data mining to support root cause analy-sis, a new approach using graphical methods for finding critical cutsets and practical applications in corrosion management.

09C1 MANAGING THE EMERGING THREAT OF HARDWARE DEGRADATION DUE TO CORROSIONBeryl Davis, Raytheon (United States)Early detection of corrosion in Line Replaceable Units is necessary in order to manage hardware degradation and costs.

09C2 DATA MINING ROOT CAUSE ANALYSIS DATAPaul Krupa, ABS Consulting (United States)Discusses the extraction of organization-wide information from root cause investigations.

09C3 EXPLORING SOLUTION METHODS FOR FAULT TREES CONSTRAINED BY LOCATIONJeff Hanes, ARA (United States)Graph methods are explored to solve fault trees by finding cutsets that exploit vulnerabilities created by proximity of components in the tree.

09C4 FAILURE PROPAGATION OF DEPENDENCY NETWORK WITH RECOVERY MECHANISMYa-Nan Bai, Beihang University (China)A new cascading failure model is proposed to investigate the failure propagation of dependency networks with recovery mechanism.

Session 09D: Innovative FMEA Solutions Salon 7-8Wednesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: Mathew Thomas, CNH Industrial (United Kingdom)Vice Chair: Mohammad Hijawi, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (United States)Assessing failure modes with their effects and criticality is a well instantiated science. This session seeks to extend this science with emerging analytical techniques and holistic engineering approaches in a model-based environment.

09D1 MBSE ASSISTED FMEA APPROACH – CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIESzhaofeng Huang, Ph.D, Aerojet Rocketdyne (United States)Presents a Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) assisted FMEA approach to take advantage of MBSE and to enhance FMEA usefulness.

09D2 FMECA-BASED ANALYSES: A SMART FOUNDATIONBlair Schmidt, GA-ASI (United States)The paper demonstrates how to use GA’s practice to adapt to the DoD’s new RAM trend, such as quantitative hazard analysis, Reliability-Centered Maintenance (RCM) analysis, and fault coverage analysis, using the traditional RAM tool: FMECA.

09D3 SCENARIO-BASED FMEA ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION IN A RAILWAY CONTEXTMelissa Issad, CentraleSupelec (France)This paper presents a method to support and improve the FMEA analysis and evaluation using scenarios. The method is supported by ScOLa, a Scenar-io-Oriented modeling Language for system specification and analysis. The method is implemented on the railway CBTC system of Siemens.

09D4 USING DESIGN AND PROCESS REVIEW BASED ON FAILURE MODES TO IMPROVE DEVELOPMENT PROCESSEinaldo Araujo, M.Eng, Embraco (Brazil)Methods to prevent reliability issues during design phase, using cross-functional teams, in order to perform technical reviews based on failure modes.

Session 09E: Applications in Risk Mitigation Salon 9-10Wednesday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: Philip Bedard, Raytheon Company (United States)Vice Chair: Dan Burrows, TBD (United States)=This session addresses procedures for risk assessment and evaluation, and methods to mitigate risks to minimize negative effects.

09E1 CARBON MONOXIDE RISKS AND IMPLICATIONS ON MAINTENANCE-INTENSIVE FUEL BURNING APPLIANCESSupraja Sridharan, P.Eng, Technical Standards & Safety Authority (Canada)The paper details the complexities around managing the risk of failure associated with fuel-burning appliances, particularly residential CO risk.

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2017 201709E2 ANALYTICAL CLUSTERING PROCEDURES IN MASSIVE FAILURE DATAKeivan Sadeghzadeh, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (United States)Explanatory variable clustering methods are beneficial approaches for understanding structure of the data, and are utilized to recognize the hidden correlations among several features. The proposed methods are beneficial to explanatory variable clustering in decision-making process, and obtain an appropriate subset of variables from massive and large-scale failure data.

09E3 A RISK ASSESSMENT METHOD FOR PRODUCTION PART APPROVAL PROCESSzhaojun Li, Ph.D, Western New England University (United States)This research investigates a new logistic regression-based risk analysis method for Production Part Approval Process (PPAP) and conduct the economic effects of the proposed new method over the existing method of PPAP risk assessment.

09E4 EVALUATING RISK: A REVISIT OF THE SCALES, MEASUREMENT THEORY, AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS CONTROVERSYJD Solomon, CH2M (United States)The paper will provide a summary of the measurement-statistics controversy including foundations put forth by Stevens and discuss the potential im-pacts on current risk management practice. An examination of case studies of various forms of systems and infrastructure risk management assessments will be provided to highlight pitfalls and best practices.

Advisory Board Panel (10) Grand BWednesday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

R&M: Managing Emerging Challenges and Risk, this year’s theme, will be discussed by the RAMS® Advisory Board in a stimulating and enlighten-ing panel session. The panel will discuss how recent technological advances across various industries and disciplines coupled with rapid globaliza-tion have been creating tremendous opportunities for the advancement of mankind, businesses, and global economy. At the same time technological advances also pose new challenges and risks. The effective utilization of R&M principles and processes is critical across the lifecycle of products in managing these emerging challenges and risks. The RAMS® Advisory Board has always provided mission critical insight into the impact of R&M across products and the panel is always a highlight of the conference.Moderator: David Fernald, Vice General Chair ASQ–Electronics & Communications Div.

Panelists:David W. Coit, Rutgers University

Susan L. Hall, Millennium Engineering and Integration Co.

Andrew Monje, Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of DefenseAli Mosleh, University of California, Los Angeles

Alan H. Phillips, NASA Safety Center

Randolph G. Phillips, Baker Hughes

Pantelis Vassiliou, Vassiliou Ventures

Tutorial 11A: Physics of Failure Laws Using Thermodynamic Degradation Science Grand BWednesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Alec Feinberg, DfRSoftware (United States)In this tutorial we will use a relatively new discipline, Thermodynamics degradation Science. We explain how this energy approach provides different tools to help with understanding the degradation process and in developing useful aging laws to analyze important reliability problems.

Tutorial 11B: Evaluation of Risk-Based Management Systems Salon 3-4Wednesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Gerry Sherman, Makor Consulting LLC (United States) This tutorial addresses how to evaluate management systems for compliance to international standards (ISO 9001:2015) and determine if they are effec-tive. Several examples of evaluation and implementation methods are provided.

Panel 11C: DoD Discussion “Effective R&M Engineering Activities” Salon 5-6Wednesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Moderator: Andrew Monje, Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) (United States)Panelists: Paul Dube, NAVSEA Reliability & Maintainability Engineering ManagerRichard Payne, ASA(ALT) PoR SE Support, RMWG Chair, Software Sub-Group ChairDebra Lubas, Air Force Nuclear Command R&M Engineering LeadThierry Wandji, NAVAIR Senior Systems/Software Reliability Engineer

As software continues to take a more pivotal role in DoD systems, its impact on system reliability begins to outstep that of the hardware. This is becom-ing increasingly true with aircraft, land vehicles, and ships as well as traditional software intensive programs such as C4ISR, Space, Information, and Business Systems. To design reliable software, the current R&M engineering activities need to evolve to address the following challenges: organiza-tional responsibility; requirements and metrics; R&M activities; depth of the analysis (e.g., application, services, CSCIs); measurement and projection of software maturity and stability; and appropriate tests to perform. As the development of DoD software expands with Cloud Computing, Artificial Intelligence/Autonomy, and Applications on Common Platforms, it is more critical to have practices in place to address these challenges.

Session 11D: Accelerated Life Testing Methods Salon 7-8Wednesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Moderator: Rebekah Austin, Vanderbilt University (United States)Vice Chair: Mark White, NASA JPL (United States)Accelerated life testing is a cost effective way to understand life implications of systems. This session explores accelerated life testing planning, design, tailoring, stress characterization and optimization methods.

11D1 IMPROVED METHOD FOR ALT PLAN OPTIMIzATIONPeter Arrowsmith (Canada)This paper describes a simplified method for obtaining the optimum stress levels and allocation for a candidate ALT plan to minimize the variance of the time to fractional failure at the use condition.

11D2 TEST TAILORING APPROACH FOR RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT OF AUTOMOTIVE HEAT EXCHANGERSMarco Bonato, Ph.D, VALEO (France)The test tailoring methodology permits developing more representative validation specifications based on in-field stress measurements.

11D3 CHARACTERIzATION OF ESD STRESS EFFECTS ON SIC MOSFETS USING PHOTON EMISSION SPECTRAL SIGNATURESNiemat Moultif, Ph.D Student, Groupe de physique des matériaux, University of Rouen Normandy (France)This article presents a robust study of SiC power MOSFETs to ElectroStatic Discharge (ESD), by photon emission (PE) and spectral PE techniques (SPE). Investigations in different polarization modes were performed in PE, and a linear dependence in gate voltage was identified. A decrease in the intensity of the ESD degraded device emissions was noticed. An SPE system is developed, and PE spectrum was extracted for both fresh and degraded devices. SPE analyses are reported and correlated with electrical analyses to localize and identify the failure. The ESD degradation seems to be related to a p-n junction breakdown. Atom probe and Nanoscale secondary ion mass spectrometry (nanoSIMS) analysis are considered to prove this hypothesis.

11D4 PLANNING RELIABILITY DEMONSTRATION TEST WITH PERFORMANCE REQUIREMENTSWendai Wang, Lumentum (United States)This paper develops a test planning method for Reliability Demonstration Testing when the reliability test requirement is based on performance mea-surement..

Session 11E: Warranty and Life Data Analysis Salon 9-10Wednesday 1:30 PM - 3:30 PM

Moderator: Jürgen Herrmann, jsh-consulting (United Kingdom)Vice Chair: Philip Mongan, ARES Corporation (United States)Understanding and adequately preparing for the implications of deployed systems throughout their useful life is critical to assuring successful warranty programs. This session explores multiple topics from warranty prediction and policies to reliability growth, fatigue analysis and warranty (service life) extension.

11E1 WARRANTY PREDICTION FOR PARTS WITH DESIGN CHANGESMiklós Szidarovszky (United States)Warranty prediction is a very important task in reliability engineering. Weibull analysis is the traditional method applied to this task. These methods have already been implemented in commercial software tools such as Minitab and Weibull++, however, they generally do not take design changes into consideration, while the proposed model in this paper does.

11E2 RENEWABLE ONE-DIMENSIONAL WARRANTY POLICIES ANALYSIS FOR REMANUFACTURED PRODUCTSAmmar Alqahtani, King Abdulaziz University (Saudi Arabia)The main objective is to introduce the idea of providing a warranty period for remanufactured products derived from an end-of-life (EOL) product and how to predict a warranty period for the disassembled components using the sensor information about the age and usage of each and every EOL product on hand to meet product, component and recycled material demands, while minimizing the cost associated with warranty and maximizing manufac-turer’s profit.

11E3 COMBINING FATIGUE ANALYSIS INFORMATION INTO RELIABILITY ANALYSIS USING BAYESIAN HIERARCHICAL MODELLING METHODJenHao Wu, The University of Edinburgh (United Kingdom)A novel Bayesian Hierarchical Modelling framework combining fatigue analysis and reliability analysis is proposed and applied on predicting time to failure distribution of small wind turbines. Machine frame of the small wind turbine is studied in this paper.

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2017 201711E4 DESIGN OF WARRANTY EXTENSION MODEL FOR CAPITAL INTENSIVE EQUIPMENT Abhay Laxmanrao Waghmare, LM Wind Power Technologies (India) Pvt Ltd (India)In the absence of data beyond current warranty period, in order to make a financial decision on warranty extension, the paper explores various ap-proaches considered to arrive at a cost exposure for extended warranty and rightly justifies the use of selected approach.

Tutorial 12A: FTA vs. RBD - Differences and Similarities for System Modeling Grand BWednesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Vesna Dakic, Bombardier Transportation, Berlin (Germany) This tutorial investigates the basic differences between FTA and RBD and discusses the most common mistakes and best practices in the application of these quantification techniques.

Tutorial 12B: Reliability from a Semiconductor Supplier’s Perspective Salon 3-4Wednesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Stevan Hunter, ON Semiconductor, BYU-Idaho, Arizona State University (United States) Semiconductor devices tend to be quite reliable, based on experience and industry standard reliability testing. But shrinking devices, new processes, and 3-D packaging potentially introduce new failure mechanisms.

Session 12C: System Life Modeling Salon 5-6Wednesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Moderator: Noah Lassar, Google[X] (United States)Vice Chair: Wendai Wang, Lumentum (United States)System life modeling is an increasing science with the growth of model based engineering and simulation tools and techniques. Papers in the session ad-dress sustainment maturity as a method for evaluating the design maturity, maintenance optimization with degradation analysis, applying field test data to system life analysis and maintenance concept optimization.

12C1 SUSTAINMENT MATURITY LEVELS (SML) AND HEALTH ASSESSMENT METRICS TO DRIVE SUPPORTABILITY AND SUSTAINMENTJohn Mazanis, Raytheon (United States)The paper discusses Sustainment Maturity Levels (SML) and Health Assessment Metrics to drive supportability and sustainment. 12C2 CONDITION BASED RELIABILITY PREDICTION BASED ON LOGICAL ANALYSIS OF SURVIVAL DATASoumaya Yacout, D.Sc., École Polytechnique of Montreal (Canada)This paper presents a novel approach for incorporating condition information based on historical data into the development of reliability curves. The approach uses a variation of Kaplan-Meier estimator and degradation–based estimators of survival patterns.

12C3 MAINTENANCE CONCEPT OPTIMIzATION – A NEW APPROACH TO REDEFINE AND BROADEN LORA WITH FOCUS ON SYSTEM EFFECTIVENESSMats Werme, PhD, Systecon AB (Sweden)A new approach to LORA and Maintenance Concept Optimization is presented, which provides a simultaneous optimization of maintenance locations, maintenance resources, spare parts and repair/discard decisions.

12C4 LIFE EVALUATION METHODS BASED ON LABORATORY AND FIELD DEGRADATION DATAChao Peng (China)A life evaluation method for airborne product was proposed, which applied the Bayesian statistical method and took the laboratory and field test data into account comprehensively to evaluate the life of airborne products.

Session 12D: Case Studies in Accelerated Life Testing Salon 7-8Wednesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Moderator: John Klohoker, Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) (United States)Vice Chair: Mark White, NASA JPL (United States)Accelerated life testing can provide more information than an expected reliability, given applied stress factors. This session presents a range of acceler-ated life testing applications and their challenges.

12D1 ACCELERATED TESTING FOR SELECTION OF MICRO VIA DESIGN IMPROVEMENTMilena Krasich, Raytheon (United States)The paper describes how accelerated life reliability testing was used for selection of the best design solution for an encountered problem.

12D2 RUBBER LIFETIME PREDICTION FOR ADT DATA CONSIDERING NON-ARRHENIUS BEHAVIORHongyu Wang, Beihang University (China)In this paper, motivated by a rubber degradation data, we introduce a lifetime prediction method for accelerated degradation test (ADT) data, taking non-Arrhenius behavior into consideration.

12D3 RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF IGNITERS UNDER THERMAL MECHANICAL LOADINGSJulio Pulido, Ph.D, ReliaRisk (United States)The paper describes the steps for selecting the right life stress relationship when performing accelerated life test analysis. Life Data Analysis (LDA) and simulation are used to improve the knowledge when selecting the right operational environment for life testing.

12D4 TAKING THE (EMOTIONAL) STRESS OUT OF HALTGarron Morris, Rockwell Automation (United States)A process for determining if an anomaly discovered during HALT testing should be remediated is described. This approach has been shown to reduce the emotion between the engineering development and quality functions when discussing if a HALT anomaly should be fixed by providing a rational assessment and recommendation.

Session 12E: Physics of Failure Modeling Salon 9-10Wednesday 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM

Moderator:Diganta Das, University of Maryland (United States)Vice Chair: Lori Bechtold, Consultant (United States)Physics of failure modeling approaches provide R&M engineers with precise assessments of the effects of usage and environments on equipment life. This session provides new advances in modeling nano-scale semiconductors, methods for assessing environmental impacts on electronic components and new approaches to integrating degradation and physical models.

12E1 RELIABILITY STUDY ON HIGH-K BI-LAYER DIELECTRICSHaitao Liao, Ph.D, University of Arkansas (United States)This paper addresses a new tool for reliability modeling of high-K bi-layer dielectrics based on a marked space-time self-exciting point process and Monte Carlo simulation.

12E2 INTEGRATING DEGRADATION MODEL WITH STRENGTH STRENGTH INTERFERENC MODEL TO ESTIMATE RELIABILITY IN DESIGN PHASESrikant Nandipati, LM Wind Power Technologies (India) Pvt Ltd (India)This paper talks about the integration of degradation model with the physical failure models in order to estimate reliability of a product over a certain period, while the product is still in its Design phase.

12E3 ROBUST ERROR MANAGEMENT AND IMPACT OF THROUGHPUT IN SOLID STATE STORAGE - CHARACTERIzATION AND FIRST SYSTEM RELIABILITY MODELJay Sarkar, Ph.D, Western Digital Corporation (United States)Solid state storage, as an emerging enterprise technology undergoing rapid and increasing adoption, is analyzed from the perspective of throughput and workload stress vs. usage models, reliability modeling and associated design-based fundamental understanding, for the first time to the authors’ knowl-edge.

12E4 HOW AGING LAWS INFLUENCE PARAMETRIC AND CATASTROPHIC RELIABILITY DISTRIBUTIONSAlec Feinberg, Physics Ph.D, DfRSoftware (United States)In this paper we will describe how common aging laws influence reliability distributions, not only the type of distribution, but the rate of failure as it relates to the aging rate.

General Reception & Banquet Upper Pool Deck and Grand C-DWednesday 6:00 PM - 9:30 PM

Banquet Speaker: Harold Buhl, Jr., Colonel, USArmy, Deputy Director, HRED, Army Research Laboratory, Orlando

Reliability of Other Realities

Managing challenges and risks associated with advanced defense technologies, and specifically with augmented reality, is ex-panding the traditional measures of reliability and maintainability. Bringing virtual people and effects into our reality draws upon many other technologies. The power of all these technologies has great potential for the Army. We will explore some of the possibilities. As we explore, we also consider how to measure success through objective assessments such as reliability and maintainability. Other realities bring opportunity, but also risk. Let us not forget we live in the real world.

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2017 2017THURSDAY JANUARY 26 SCHEDULE

Chairman’s Corner Grand AThursday 7:45 AM - 8:00AM

General Chair: Suprasad Amari

Tutorial 13A: Integrating Systems Engineering, DFSS, and Design for Reliability Grand BThursday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Daniel Denlinger, DED Systems LLC (United States)This tutorial integrates three disciplines into a synergistic force that we call Design for Successful Systems (DFSSys). Those disciplines are: Systems Engineering, Design for Six Sigma and Design for Reliability. This process allows a team to track and predict program readiness with a high degree of accuracy years in advance.

Tutorial 13B: Understanding Quantitative Risk Assessment in Safety Risk Management Salon 3-4Thursday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM John Hewitt, Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation (United States)QRA has become an effective element of the Safety Risk Management process that complements qualitative methods used in the past. Although this process is not new, its use in aviation is becoming more widespread. This tutorial introduces the history, concepts, process steps, techniques, and benefits of Quantitative Risk Assessment demonstrated in an aviation safety application..

Session 13C: Statistical Modeling for R&M Salon 5-6 Thursday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: Athanasios Kolios, Cranfield University (United Kingdom)Vice Chair: Philip Mongan, ARES Corporation (United States)Techniques and methods for statistical analysis of reliability and maintainability including step stress degradation and when limited data exists are ad-dressed in this session.

13C1 COST OPTIMAL SUDDEN-DEATH LIFE TESTINGWayne Nelson, Ph.D, Wayne Nelson Statistical Consulting (United States)This paper provides a cost-optimal plan for sudden-death tests.

13C2 DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF MARGIN TESTING IN SUPPORT OF PRODUCT QUALIFICATIONJustin Newcomer, Sandia National Laboratories (United States)This paper will propose a framework for a unified relationship between performance, environmental, and input margins and show how one can more efficiently design test plans to evaluate product margins.

13C3 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF STEP-STRESS ACCELERATED DEGRADATION TESTING BASED ON NEW AND USED SAMPLESPeng Li, Technology and Engineering Center for Space Utilization, Chinese Academy of Sciences (China)This paper proposes a statistical analysis method of step-stress accelerated degradation testing based on new and used samples.

13C4 NEW MODEL FOR STRESS TESTS WITHOUT FAILURESHorst Lewitschnig, Infineon Technologies Austria AG (Austria)If a stress test does not show failures, then only very limited reliability statements can be given. We introduce a method which includes further informa-tion to derive a more precise reliability result.

Session 13D: Renewal Processes and Repairable Systems Salon 7-8Thursday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: Vladimir Crk, UTC Aerospace Systems (United States)Vice Chair: Wendai Wang, Lumentum (United States)The papers in this session address topics related to modeling availability and repair rate reductions as well as event handling cycle times.

13D1 GEOMETRIC FAILURE RATE REDUCTION MODEL FOR THE ANALYSIS OF REPAIRABLE SYSTEMSSyamsundar Annamraju, Visakhapatnam Steel Plant (India)A simple model of the Geometric failure rate reduction by Finkelstein is proposed for general repair, and its inference and application to a repairable system is demonstrated.

13D2 MAINTENANCE PLANNING AND SPARE PARTS PROVISIONING FOR A SMALL UNMANNED AERIAL SYSTEMDavid McLellan, Air Force Research Laboratory (United States)This paper focuses on the development of a maintenance and spare parts provisioning model for the Silver Fox UAS. In addition, we present a case study utilizing representative failure and repair data from a recent deployment.

13D3 OPTIMAL CHECKPOINTING OF A FAULT TOLERANT SYSTEM SUBJECT TO CORRELATED FAILUREBentolhoda Jafary, University of Massachusetts (United States)This paper develops a model to characterize the impact of checkpointing in software. Examples illustrate that the model can be used to identify the optimal number of checkpoints despite the negative impact of correlation on system reliability.

13D4 AVAILABILITY DEMONSTRATION WITH CONFIDENCE LEVEL BASED ON RELIABILITY AND MAINTAINABILITYFrank Müller, Master of Science, Institute of Machine Components, University of Stuttgart, GermanyNew procedure to demonstrate the time-dependent or average availability with confidence level based on reliability and maintainability. The method has the potential to be applied to more general than life-repair-cycle scenarios.

Session 13E: Software Reliability and Testing Salon 9-10Thursday 8:00 AM - 10:00 AM

Moderator: Travis Moskal, Oshkosh Corp. (United States)Vice Chair: Mohammad Hijawi, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (United States)This session addresses reliability growth, failure modes effects and analysis, vulnerability classification and fault trees applicable to software development.

13E1 SOFTWARE FMEA: A SUCCESSFUL APPLICATION FOR A COMPLEX SERVICE ORIENTED ARCHITECTURE SYSTEMDaryl Kellner, CRE, Acquisition Logistics Engineering (United States)This paper presents the successful application of a MIL-STD-1629A based-FMEA methodology to a complex, software-centric, SOA system that includes a large variety of distributed hardware/operating platforms.

13E2 UNIFORM ANALYSIS OF FAULT TREES THROUGH MODEL TRANSFORMATIONSEnno Ruijters, MSc., University of Twente (Netherlands)We propose a novel framework integrating many extensions of fault trees and attack trees, allowing conversion between them, and analysis of combined trees.

13E3 A SINGLE CHANGE-POINT SOFTWARE RELIABILITY GROWTH MODEL WITH HETEROGENEOUS FAULT DETECTION PRO-CESSESVidhyashree Nagaraju, University of Massachusetts (United States)This paper generalizes change-point models to the heterogeneous case, where fault detection before and after a change-point can be characterized by dis-tinct nonhomogeneous Poisson processes. Experimental results illustrate that heterogeneous change-point models can characterize some data sets more accurately than existing homogeneous change-point models that assume the process before and after the change-point possess similar parametric forms.

13E4 MATHEMATICAL MODELS AND SOFTWARE RELIABILITY; CAN DIFFERENT MATH FIT THE SAME SW LIFECYCLE?Milena Krasich, Raytheon (United States)The paper describes different statistical methods used to model reliability of software regardless of whether they are appropriate to the development stage or software failure modes, and offers appropriate solutions. The method has the potential to be applied to more general than life-repair-cycle scenarios.

Tutorial 14A: Practical Human Error Prevention: Robust or Bust? Grand BThursday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Yavuz Goktas, Genentech (United States)This tutorial presents the fundamental concepts for building Human Error Prevention (HEP) capability. It includes a demonstration of HEP implementa-tion of HEP in the pharma and bio-tech industry and an interactive case study.

Tutorial 14B: Asset Management in Theory and in Practice Salon 3-4Thursday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

JD Solomon, CH2M (United States) Asset management as a field of practice and a growing global initiative represents an emerging challenge to reliability and maintenance professionals. This tutorial will provide an overview of the common components of asset management and how asset management principles align with the best prac-tices and work processes in the reliability and maintainability disciplines.

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2017 2017 Session 14C: Modeling Reliability for Deployed Applications Salon 5-6

Thursday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PMModerator: Fred Schenkelberg, Ops A La Carte, LLC (United States)Vice Chair: Jessica Leszczynski, Sierra Nevada Corporation (United States)This session investigates novel reliability modeling approaches for various industry applications..

14C1 AN INTRODUCTION TO THE BERNOULLI CUSUMSteven Crowder, Sandia National Laboratories (United States)In this paper, we will give an overview of the Bernoulli CUSUM (BC), discuss the properties of the BC by examination of the run length distribution, and make recommendations to the practitioner regarding the design of the BC.

14C2 THE INVESTIGATION OF PHYSICAL EXPLANATION FOR PROPORTIONAL HAzARD MODEL (PHM) UNDER TYPICAL FAILURE MECHANISMSYuan Fuqing, Ph.D, UiT The Arctic University of Norway (Norway)This paper attempts to better explain the PHM model, a popular life data analysis model, through physics.

14C3 RELIABILITY MODELLING & ANALYSIS FOR ACTIVE PHASED ARRAY ANTENNA DESIGNSelda Taskin Serkan, ASELSAN Inc. (Turkey)In this study, a novel theoretical reliability model is introduced for active phased array antennas. We focus on MTTF analysis and its influence on the design of active phased arrays.

14C4 DEGRADATION MODELLING OF LEAD ANODES IN THE ELECTROWINNING PROCESS OF NON-FERROUS METALSChristoph Rosebrock, University of Wuppertal (Germany)The development of a degradation model based on statistical multivariate analysis of manufacturing process data to characterize the reliability of lead anodes in the electrowinning process of non-ferrous metals is discussed in detail.

Session 14D: Design Optimization Using R&M Techniques Salon 7-8Thursday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Moderator: James Loman, Space Systems/Loral, LLC (United States)Vice Chair: Wendai Wang, Lumentum (United States)The papers in this session explore various techniques and approaches for optimizing reliability and maintainability for minimum life cycle costs, maxi-mizing robustness, maximizing spares utilization and increasing the effectiveness of the safety data collection process.

14D1 CONTRACTING FOR SYSTEM AVAILABILITY UNDER FLEET EXPANSION: REDUNDANCY ALLOCATION OR SPARES INVENTORY?Tongdan Jin, Ph.D, Texas State University (United States)This paper aims to examine which is more cost-effective for attaining a system operational availability goal: component redundancy or spare parts stocking? We present a quantitative method to compare early reliability investment and after-sales spares stocking policy, taking into account the uncertain growth of an installed base.

14D2 OPTIMIzING THE RELIABILITY, MAINTAINABILITY AND SAFETY DATA COLLECTION PROCESS THROUGH LIFECYCLEKondo Hloindo Adjallah, LCOMS/ENIM/University of Lorraine (France)This contribution introduces a model of RAMS data collection process and optimization of its effectiveness under various constraints through life-cycle.

14D3 BIG R, EASY M: IF YOU DO EFFECTIVE MODELING AND ANALYSISMatthew Burns, Raytheon Company (United States)Reliability, Maintainability, Testability, & Supportability (RM&S) engineers and managers need to create innovative programs by choosing the right RM&S analysis techniques for early design influence. This paper discusses the key elements to be considered with practical recommendations and lessons learned.

14D4 FUzzY TOPSIS TO OPTIMIzE PERFORMANCE, RELIABILITY, AND LIFE CYCLE COSTS DURING ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVESWes White, Colorado State University (United States)This paper presents a decision analysis technique for conducting Analysis of Alternatives (AoA) at the end of the Materiel Solution Analysis (MSA) phase of the Department of Defense (DoD) Acquisition Process. The primary goal of this research is to determine the best materiel solution from an Analysis of Alternatives (AoA) that will provide an optimal balance between high performance and low Life Cycle Cost (LCC).

Session 14E: System Safety Analysis Salon 9-10Thursday 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM

Moderator: Jeffrey L Thomas, Raytheon (United States)Vice Chair: Mohammad Hijawi, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (United States)This session explores methods and approaches for modeling system safety and function risk parameters, as well as, recognition of when safety becomes an issue.

14E1 METHODOLOGY FOR PERFORMING AN IGNITION RISK ANALYSISDarryl Kellner, Acquisition Logistics Engineering (United States)This paper presents a methodology for performing an Ignition Risk Hazard Analysis (IRHA) that has been successfully employed to meet Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) requirements associated with controlling and mitigating risks of an uncontained ignition of fuel vapors escaping from aircraft fuel systems installed in the fuel tanks of commercial aircraft.

14E2 UNIFORM ROTORCRAFT GUIDELINES FOR QUANTITATIVE RISK ASSESSMENTJohn Hewitt , Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation (United States)This paper benchmarks Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) guidelines to address Life Data Analysis.

14E3 RESEARCH AND IMPLEMENTATION OF FILE SECURITY MECHANISMS BASED ON FILE SYSTEM FILTER DRIVERJingxiu Yao (China)We study the important components related to file security from the Windows kernel. The paper analyzes the file security mechanism of the widely used NTFS file system. At the same time, a summary of the techniques used in the malicious programs is made, and the corresponding security measures a file system filter driver can take are given.

14E4 INTEGRATED MODULAR AVIONICS SYSTEM SAFETY ANALYSIS BASED ON MODEL CHECKINGHongli Wang (China)Model checking is introduced into integrated modular avionics system safety analysis in this paper and its application process is presented as well.

One raffl e ticket may be optained at the end of each of the Thursday sessions

(maximum of two tickets). Attendees must be present be to win.

Poster Session and iPad Air Raffle Grand C-DThursday 12:15 PM - 2:00 PM

Program Chair: Steve Glenn, Raytheon Missile Systems (United States)

This is a chance to have a face-to-face meeting with paper authors and ask individual questions about their work. The papers in this poster session cover a broad variety of RAMS® topics.

Marco Bonato, PhDAron BrallLei ChenXi ChenAsha ChigurupatiGerard CohenDiana DeMottXiaoping Du, PhD

Rafael FricksRaymond Gallucci, PhD, P.E.Jian GuoMarcin HinzJian JiaoDeovrat KakdeDarryl Kellner, CREGhada M Kholief, Eng

Athanasios KoliosXiaodan LiToru NakataJuilio Pulido, PhDDouglas RayFred SchenkelbergElizabeth SchwartzDaiki Suga

Robert SvalutoAkitoshi WadaOm Prakash Yadav, PhDJingxiu YaoAsil YildirimJiliang ZhangShenghan Zhou

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2017 2017RAMS® 2017 DISCIPLINE TRACKS

While all sessions will contain elements of interest for the majority of participants, special disciplines are emphasized in individual sessions. If your profession tends to specialize in the areas listed in the first

column below, we recommend you attend the sessions listed opposite your specialty.

Participant

Specialty

MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY

10:15–

12:15PM

1:30–

3:30PM

3:45–

5:45PM

8:00–

10:00AM

10:15–

12:15PM

1:30–

3:30PM

3:45–

5:45PM

8:00–

10:00AM

10:15–

12:15PM

1:30–

3:30PM

3:45–

5:45PM

8:00–

10:00AM

10:15–

12:15PM

DataAnalysis 1D 2B 3C,3D 5A,5D,5E 6A,6D 7B,7C,7E 8B 9B 10

11A,11B,

11D,11E

12A,12C,12D

13A,13B,13C,13E 14C

Design/

Development1B,1C,1D,

1E2B,2C,2D,

2E 3B,3C,3D 5E 6E7A,7B,7C,7D,7E

8A,8C,8D

9A,9C,9D,9E 10 11A,

11D,11E

12A,12B,12C,12D,12E

13A,13B 14A,14B,14D,14E

Maintainability 1A,1C,1D 2A,2B,2D,2E

3A,3B,3D,3E

5B,5C,5D,5E 6C,6D 7D 8C,8D,

8E 9B,9D 10 11A,11E 12C 13C 14A,14C

Maintenance 1C,1D 2B 3D,3E 5B,5C,5D,5E 6C,6D 7C,7D 8B,8C,

8D,8E 10 11A,11E 12A,12E 13A,13C,13D 14A,14C

Management 1B 2E 3A,3D,3E 5C,5E 6C,6E 7D 8A,8D,8E 9A,9E 10 11B,11E 13A 14B,14C

Reliability 1A,1C,1D,1E

2A,2C,2B,2E 3A,3B,3E 5A,5B,5C,5D,5E

6A,6B,6C,6D,6E

7A,7B,7C,7D,7E

8A,8B,8C,8D,8E

9A,9B,9C,9D,9E 10

11A,11B,11C,11D,11E

12A,12B,12C,12D,12E

13A,13B,13C,13D,13E

14A,14B,14C,14D

RiskManagementandAnalysis

1B,1C,1D,1E 2B,2D,2E 3C,3D 5B,5C,5D,

5E6C,6D,6E

7A,7C,7D,7E

8A,8D,8E

9A,9C,9D,9E 10

11A,11B,11C,11E

12E 13A 14B

Safety&Security 1B,1C,1D 2B,2D 3C,3D,3E 5D,5E 6C,6E 7A,7D 8A,8B,

8E9A,9C,9D,

9E 10 11A 12A,12E 13A 14C,14E

Simulation&

Modeling1D 2B,2E 3B,3E 5B,5D,5E 6B,6D 7A,7B,

7C,7E8B,8C,8D 9C 10 11A,

11D,11E12A,12C,12E

13C,13D,13E

14C,14D,14E

Software 1B,1C,1D 2D 3C,3D 5D 6E 7A 8A,8B,8D 9A,9D 10 11C 12A 13A,13E 14A

Statistics&

Probability1A,1D 2A,2B 3B,3E 5A,5B,5D,

5E6A,6B,6D,6E

7B,7C,7E

8B,8C,8D

9A,9B,9C,9E 10 11B,11C,

11D,11E12A,12B,12D,12E

13A,13B,13C,13D,13E

14C,14D

Systems

Engineering1B,1C,1D,

1E2B,2C,2D,

2E 3C,3E 5C,5D,5E 6E 7A 8A,8C,8E 9A,9D 10 11B,11C 12C 13A 14A,14B,

14C

2018 CALL FOR PAPERS & TUTORIALS

2018 Theme: “RAMS Throughout the Product Lifecycle”

http://rams.orgThe Annual Reliability and Maintainability SymposiumJanuary 22 - 25, 2018, Silver Legacy Resort Casino, Reno, Nevada

The 64th Annual Reliability & Maintainability Symposium (RAMS®) will be held at the Silver Legacy Resort Casino in Reno, NV the week of January 22-25, 2018. The theme for RAMS® 2018 is “RAMS Throughout the Product Lifecycle.” Implementing Reliability, Avail-ability, Maintainability and Safety principles and process across the lifecycle is critical to designing, developing, and supporting successful products. This year’s theme offers a broad umbrella of opportunities for papers and tutorials that address the overall critically of RAMS dis-ciplines in the design, development and support process, and how these disciplines can be applied on all technology through lessons learned, analyses, modeling and simulation, and training. Equally as important is the discussion of the classical approaches, spanning all technolo-gies and disciplines in the focus to optimize performance. The implementation of the RAMS disciplines becomes a competitive advantage throughout the product life cycle to improve product quality and reduce life cycle cost. We want to learn more about how you obtain, man-age, and effectively leverage any of the RAMS disciplines in your day-to-day quest to improve your technology and to bring to market those systems that make our world a better place.

With this in mind, we invite you to share your theoretical or practical findings as documented by research results, engineering studies, suc-cess stories, lessons learned, R&M based analyses and simulations, or R&M discoveries at the RAMS® 2018 in Reno. Tell us how you are designing, optimizing, and supporting systems (both hardware and software) by applying the RAMS disciplines. Tell us how you are using reliability and maintainability in other pursuits.

RAMS® is the premier forum for sharing your experience, knowledge, and roadmaps to success. Make your contribution to the advance-ment of the RAMS disciplines and enjoy participating in the rich exchange of ideas and solutions. We want you to contribute your unique experience to our synergistic symposium sponsored by nine professional societies. Plan to submit your paper or tutorial now.

RAMS® seeks to provide a mix of papers and tutorials. Papers are the best medium to document advancements in the state- of-the-art, and those accepted will be published in the Proceedings. A short technical presentation with discussion period (approximately one-half hour) will be given for each paper at the Symposium. It is the policy of RAMS® to publish all papers presented at RAMS® in IEEE Xplore. Tutori-als provide more fundamental exposure to topics, and their technical depth ranges from introductory to advanced. Tutorials are presented in two-hour in-depth sessions at the Symposium. Examples of the most recent written papers and tutorials are available in the 2017 Proceed-ings and the 2017 Tutorial Notes.

The process for presenting a paper or tutorial at the RAMS® 2018 begins with your submission of an abstract. Your submittal should ad-dress topics pertinent to Reliability and Maintainability that are relevant to our theme, such as:

I look forward to seeing you and your paper or tutorial at RAMS®2018, 22-25 January 2018 in Reno, NV.

David Fernald, RAMS®2018 General ChairInstructions for submitting your abstract can be found at RAMS.ORG following RAMS®2017. Abstracts will be due Saturday, 15 April 2017.

Accelerated Life TestingAvailabilityBig Data and IoT Applications in R&MBusiness Process ImprovementDesign Optimization Using R&M TechniquesDiscrete Event Modeling & SimulationEconomic Models for R&M EquipmentDiagnostics and PrognosticsFMEAFault Tolerance and Safety Critical SystemsFault Tree AnalysisHuman ReliabilityKnowledge Based TrainingLife Data AnalysisMaintenance Models and MethodologiesPhysical Reliability ModelsPrognostics and Health ManagementQuality Appl. in Electronics Design & Mfg.

R&M Applications in AerospaceR&M Applications in Health CareR&M Applications in Infrastructure ManagementR&M Applications in ManufacturingR&M Applications in ServiceR&M Applications in SupportabilityR&M and Quality Appl. in Communications Design & Mfg.R&M ManagementReliability ModelingReliability Growth AnalysisRepairable SystemsRisk Analysis and ManagementSecurity and Dependability AnalysisSoftware Reliability and TestingSoftware SafetySystem Safety AnalysisWarranty Data Analysis and Management

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2017 2017MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE BOARD OF DIRECTORS

ADVISORY BOARD

LONG RANGE PLANNING COMMITTEE (LRPC)

Chair Dan Deans, Millennium Engineering and Integration Co.

Secretary David Fernald, ASQ-ECD

AIAA V. W. Wessel - East Coast, ARES Corporation D. Oberhettinger - West Coast, NASA JPL

ASQ – Electronics & Communications Division C. W. Plotkin - East Coast, Ford Motor Company, Retired D. E. Onalfo - West Coast, IBM Global Services, Retired

ASQ – Reliability Division T. Craney, Shell Oil CompanyIEEE Reliability Society T. L. Fagan - East Coast, TLF Associates

R. Jones - West Coast, Hartford Steam Boiler Inspection & Insurance Co.IEST L. Crow - East Coast, Crow Reliability Resources, Inc.

D. Aldridge - West Coast, Raytheon Missile Systems

IISE Institute of Industrial & Systems Engineers O. G. Okogbaa - East Coast, U. of South Florida & Federal University

Wukari, Nigeria

E. Pohl - West Coast, U. of Arkansas

SAE A. Brall - East Coast, MAB Consultants

R. M. Adib - West Coast, RMA Consulting Group, LLCSRE A. M. Stevens - East Coast, Lockheed-Martin, Retired

R. J. Loomis - West Coast, Jr.. NASA Retired

SSS G. Braman, Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation

General Chair Suprasad Amari, BAE Systems

Vice General Chair David Fernald, ASQ–Electronics & Communications Div.

Treasurer Charlie Plotkin, Ford Motor Company, RetiredAssistant Treasurer Alfred Stevens, Lockheed-Martin, Retired

Advanced Registration Consultants Ray Sears, Consultant

Program Committee Steve Glenn*, Raytheon Missile Systems

Wendai Wang, Lumentum Operations Dmitry Tananko, General Dynamics Land System

Jess Leszczynski, Sierra Nevada Corporation Nat Jambulingam, NASA

Mohammad Hijawi, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

Lori Bechtold, Consultant

Phil Mongan, ARES Corp. Mark White, NASA/JPL

Dan Burrows, ASQ Reliability Division

Tutorials Committee Kellie Schneider*, University of Dayton

Caroline P. Lubert, James Madison University

John Healy, FCC

Vasiliy Krivtsov, The Ford Motor Company Troy Schwartz, Life Cycle Engineering

Publicity Committee Om Yadav*, North Dakota State University

Ying Shi, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Louis Gullo, Raytheon CompanyArrangements Committee Julio Pulido*, Nortek

Sean Carter, NASA Johnson Space Center Melvin Downes, ASQ–Electronics & Communications Div.

Ming Li, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission

Registration Committee Jan Swider*, Cogoto Inc

Ken Dalton, Retired

John Klohoker, NASA/Caltech Jet Propulsion Laboratory Masoud Pourali, KimiaPower PLLC

Troy Schwartz, Life Cycle Engineering

Exhibits Manager David F. Barber, Jr.*, Scien-Tech Associates, Inc

Publications Committee Joel A. Nachlas*, Virginia Tech

* Committee ChairDavid W. Coit, Rutgers University

Susan L. Hall, Millennium Engineering and Integration Co.

Andrew Monje, Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of DefenseAli Mosleh, University of California, Los Angeles

Alan H. Phillips, NASA Safety Center

Randolph G. Phillips, Aggreko, UK

Pantelis Vassiliou, Vassiliou Ventures

LRPC-TechnicalK. Janasak, Raytheon

H. Hartt, Independent Defense and Space ProfessionalR. Sears, Consultant

LRPC-Site SelectionT.L. Fagan, TLF Associates

LRPC-Human ResourcesA.M. Stevens, Lockheed-Martin, Retired

AggrekoARES CorporationBAE SystemsCogoto Inc.Crow Reliability Resources, IncFederal Communications CommissionFederal University Wukari, NigeriaFiat Chrysler AutomobilesGeneral Dynamics Land SystemHartford Steam Boiler Inspection and Insurance Co.HBM PrensciaJames Madison UniversityKimiaPower PLLCLife Cycle EngineeringLumentum OperationsMAB ConsultantsMillennium Engineering and Integration CompanyNASA NASA - JPLNortekNorth Dakota State UniversityRaytheon CompanyRMA Consulting Group, LLCRutgers UniversityScien-Tech AssociatesShell Oil CompanySierra Nevada CorporationSikorskyThe Ford Motor CompanyTLF AssociatesU.S. Nuclear Regulatory CommissionUCLAUniversity of ArkansasUniversity of DaytonUniversity of MarylandUniversity of South FloridaUS Department of DefenseVassiliou VenturesVirginia Tech

Abishai Daniel, Intel Corp

Allan Mense, Raytheon Missile Systems

Amos Gera, ELTA Systems*

Anatoly Lisnianski, Israel Electric Corporation

Andre Kleyner, Delphi Electronics & Safety

Antoine Rauzy, École Centrale - Paris

Bob Reinertsen, Baker Hughes

C. C. Jane, Ling Tung University*

Christopher Berenguer, Grenoble Institute of Technology

Claudio M. Rocco, Universidad Central de Venezuela

Clifton Lancaster, Hartford Steam Boiler Inspection & Insurance Co.

Edwin Vijay Kumar, Vizag Steel

Emmanuel Remy, EDF Frank Fan, Finning-Canada

Gregory Butler, Nordson ASYMTEK

Harry Guo, FCA US

Jean-Rémi Massé, Snecma

Jose Ramirez-Marquez, Stevens Institute of Technology

K. B. Misra, Indian Institute of Technology

Katrina Groth, Sandia National Laboratories

Luidong Xing, University of Massachusetts - Dartmouth

Marcel Chevalier, Schneider Electric

Melinda Hodkiewicz, University of Western Australia

Min Xie, City University of Hong Kong

Paul Schimmerling, Renault

Ramdev Kanapady, MSCWorks Inc.

Ramesh Anapathur, Boeing

Sameer Vittal, GE Energy

Sharareh Taghipour, Ryerson University

Soumaya Yacout, École Polytechnique of Montreal

W.-T. Kary Chien, Worldwide Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp.

Warren Naylor, Northrop Grumman

Wilkistar Otieno, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Yiming Deng, University of Colorado

Participating OrganizationsAssociate Editors

Exhibits HallGrand A

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100 Reliability Engineering Academy GbR101 ReliaSoft Corporation102 Reliability Engineering Academy GbR103 ReliaSoft Corporation105 DfRSolutions106 Ops A La Carte108 DfR Software Company109 ALD Ltd, 110 Softrel, LLC111 Systecon North America (WPI Services, LLC DBA)112 Quanterion Solutions, Inc.113 Cincinnati Sub-Zero114 BQR Reliability Engineering, Ltd

200 IRISS201 Raytheon Missile Systems202 University of Maryland203 Qualmark Corporation204 SAS Institute/JMP Division205 ITEM Software, (USA) Inc.207 SATODEV SAS208 The Omnicon Group, Inc.209 Relyence Corporation210 Isograph, Inc.211 Rolls-Royce Controls and Data Services212 Fulton Findings, LLC213 PHM Technology215 PTC

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RAMS and the RAMS logo are Registered Trademarks

of IEEE

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