Pathway to the Future of Fitbit - Foster School of Business · 2017-05-23 · Pathway to the Future...
Transcript of Pathway to the Future of Fitbit - Foster School of Business · 2017-05-23 · Pathway to the Future...
5/18/2017
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Tyler Brown | Kayla Baczewski | Ethan Smith | Maya Donoghue
April 8th, 2017
Your Workout. Your Data. Your Choice.
Pathway to the Future of Fitbit
START
OVERVIEW
SECURITY
PRIVACYGLOBAL
END
FINANCIAL Summary
OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY 1
General Market ConditionThe wearable market is highly saturated and growing fast
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
1Q '14 2Q '14 3Q '14 4Q '14 1Q '15 2Q '15 3Q '15 4Q '15 1Q '16 2Q '16 3Q '16 4Q '16
Sha
re o
f shi
pmen
ts
Fitbit Xiaomi Garmin Samsung Jawbone Apple BBK Lifesense Other
By the end of 2016, 5 main players (Fitbit,
Xiaomi, Garmin, Samsung, and Apple) made up over 60% of shipments world wide
325
453
593
722
835
929
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*
Con
nect
ed w
eara
bles
in m
illion
sThe Industry as a whole is growing fast,
expecting to grow over 185% of 930 million wearable devices in
2021
Sources: Statista, Company Website
2OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
2014 2015 2016* 2017* 2018*
Sha
re o
f uni
t sal
es
Smartwatch Health & fitness trackers Wrist sport computers Other wearables
General Market ConditionThere are large growth opportunities outside of the US and Europe but smart watches will quickly overtake pure fitness trackers in popularity
China and the Asian Pacific have grown significantly
since 2014 and will continue to with growing
populations and increasing health awareness
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2014 2015 2016*U
nit s
ales
in m
illion
s
Western Europe Developed APAC China North America Other regions
As the industry grows, consumer preference will
shift to smartwatches over fitness trackers as they get cheaper and have longer
battery life
Sources: Statista, Company Website
3OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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Competitive Landscape
Price
Features
Series 2
Series 1Gear 3 FrontierGear 2
Gear Fit2
Pedo
meter
Smart W
atch
Zip
One
Flex
Alta
Alta HR
Charge 2 Blaze
SurgeFenixChronos
VivosmartHR
Forerunner 35
Mi Band 2
Flash Link
Ray
Fitbit has more options at different price points than other brands
Sources: Fitbit website, Misfit website, Xiaoma website, Garmin website, Samsung website, apple website
4OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Changing Technology
Create new Market
Manage Existing Market
Minimal Technology Change
Radical Technology Change
DesignBattery Life
Hydration Tracking
Meditation
Heart Rate Accuracy
Blood Sugar Tracking
Smart PatchSmart Clothing
Fitbit should invest in technology that will support the existing market
Sources: Company Website, Wearables, Sports Illustrated, Business Insider
5OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Changing Technology
Create new Market
Manage Existing Market
Minimal Technology Change
Radical Technology Change
DesignBattery Life
Hydration Tracking
Meditation
Heart Rate Accuracy
Blood Sugar Tracking
Smart PatchSmart Clothing
Fitbit should invest in technology that will support the existing market
Sources: Company Website, Wearables, Sports Illustrated, Business Insider
Key Takeaways
Market Conditions: The global wearable is growing rapidly with extreme growth in the Asian markets. The market is highly saturated and will start to become dominated by Apple and Samsung as smartwatches gain popularity
Technology Changes: Although there are lots of technology innovations upcoming in the market, Fitbit should focus on technologies that manage the existing market as well as focus on their software
6OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Top Customer ConcernsCustomer’s worry about how companies secure and use the data they gather
Lack of Transparency
Collection and Use of Data
Use of Data for Targeted Marketing
Data Security
Sources: Statista, Company Research, American University Study
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3 4
7OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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Data Protection in the USData Protection Laws are a patchwork between federal, state, and best practices
No Current General Federal LawsFederal Trade
Commission ActHealth Insurance Portability
and Accountability ActBest Practices
Prohibits unfair or deceptive practices such as failure to protect data,
change privacy policy without adequate notice, and failure to comply with posted policy. Principles are voluntary in nature
HIPPA regulated medical information, focused on individually identifiable
health and medical information. HIPPA
regulated the use and disclosures of such
information
The FTC Fair Information Practice Principles
represent widely accepted concepts. They focus on
notice, awareness, choice, consent, access,
participation, integrity, security, and enforcement
Various State LawsCalifornia State Law
The California Online Privacy Protection Act requires a commercial website to conspicuously post its privacy policy on its websites and deals with the use of personally identifiable
information taken through the internet. Sources: Thomson Reuters, FTC Website
8OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
EU General Data Protection RegulationEU Data Protection Laws are more stringent and comprehensive than the US
Comprehensive Data Protection LawsExpanded Territorial Reach
Best Practices
Data Protection Officers
Accountability and Privacy
A company outside the EU that is targeting consumers in the EU will be subject to GDPR
Companies must designated a Data Protection Officer in certain circumstances
Data Controllers must demonstrate compliance by maintaining certain documentation, and implementing data protection
Data Processors
Data Processors have direct obligations to maintain a written record, designate a data protection officer, and notify the controller on becoming aware of a personal data breach
Consent
A data subject’s consent to processing personal data must be as easy to withdraw as to give consent. Data subjects have the right to object to personal data being used for direct marketing
Fair Processing Notices
Data controllers must provide transparent information to data subjects when data is obtained
Sources: Allen and Overy
9OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
EU General Data Protection RegulationEU Data Protection Laws are more stringent and comprehensive than the US
Comprehensive Data Protection LawsExpanded Territorial Reach
Best Practices
Data Protection Officers
Accountability and Privacy
A company outside the EU that is targeting consumers in the EU will be subject to GDPR
Companies must designated a Data Protection Officer in certain circumstances
Data Controllers must demonstrate compliance by maintaining certain documentation, and implementing data protection
Data Processors
Data Processors have direct obligations to maintain a written record, designate a data protection officer, and notify the controller on becoming aware of a personal data breach
Consent
A data subject’s consent to processing personal data must be as easy to withdraw as to give consent. Data subjects have the right to object to personal data being used for direct marketing
Fair Processing Notices
Data controllers must provide transparent information to data subjects when data is obtained
Sources: Allen and Overy
Key Takeaways
United States: The US has very little federal oversight into how companies protect the data they get from consumers
European Union: The EU’s new General Data Protection Regulations provide more stringent laws for companies in order to provide more protect for consumers
Overall: There is not clear leader in the wearable market in terms of privacy and security policy.
10OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Bits
Privacy
Security
Watch
Current Future
Complete customization with enhanced privacy settings
Increased security to protect customer data from hacking
Earn redeemable bits for sharing data with approved researchers
Privacy and SecurityFitbit needs to position themselves as a leader in privacy and security
Sources: Statista, Company Website
11OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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Saving SharingYou choose what data is
recorded
Never Shared:• Name• Location• Other personal
identifiable information
You choose who can see your data
• Friends• Family• Registered Doctors• Fitbit Research (Using aggregate de‐identification)
PrivacyCustomers have options to pick what they want to track and what they want to share
Sources: Statista, Company Website
12OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Heart RateSteps
Sleep Duration and Quality
Calories Burned
Distance Traveled
Floors Climbed
Active Minutes
SmartTrackWeight, Body Fat, BMI
Caloric Intake
Age Gender
By default no data is savedOptions to save metrics By default sharing is offAbility to change at any time
What Users Can SaveCustomers will have control over which features Fitbit Save
Sources: Company analysis
13OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Heart RateSteps
Sleep Duration and Quality
Calories Burned
Distance Traveled
Floors Climbed
Active Minutes
SmartTrackWeight, Body Fat, BMI
Caloric Intake
Age Gender
Only share saved dataOption to share dataYou choose who you share with
✓Fitbit Research | ✓Family & Friends | ✓Doctors
Ability to change at any time
What Users Can ShareCustomers will have control over which features Fitbit is able to collect and share data on
Sources: Company analysis
14OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Bluetooth LE External AuditMultifactor
AuthenticationEncryption
+
Data Protection Officer
Fitbit can use Bluetooth LE technology to ensure users
cannot be tracked by utilizing a
random MAC address
Fitbit should hire an external security audit
team to routinely check the integrity of firewalls and
other protection software
Fitbit should require a
multifactor login for users
as well as require users
to change passwords once a year
Fitbit should develop new encryption technology based on
protecting data from wearable
devices
Fitbit should hire a data protection officer to
oversee the security of customers
private data
User Data SecurityData Security focuses on ensuring no one other than Fitbit and the customer can access their data
Sources: Company analysis
15OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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1000 steps earns 1 bit500 bits redeem for $5 gift card or donate to charity
Competitions for addition bits
Challenge friends for their bits
Partnerships
Earn Bits for SharingUsers can earn rewards for hitting certain step goals
Sources: Company analysis
16OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Data used by: • Research centers• Insurance companies• Universities
Partnerships
Fitbit ResearchData is used to create a healthier future for all
All data is stored on Fitbit servers & users can delete their data at any time
Data used for: • Heart disease research• Diabetes research • Obesity research
Sources: Company analysis
17OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Marketing Platforms
Your WORKOUT Your DATA Your CHOICE
The data you create while using our technology is private, this is why we
protect it like it is our own using world class security.
We let you choose the features you want based on your privacy settings.
You can change your settings and delete your
data wherever and whenever.
We want to help you accomplish your fitness
goals. That’s why we have built the best fitness
tracking software and devices.
Marketing a New Era of PrivacyMarketing strategy will focus on Fitbit’s industry leading privacy and security policies
Sources: Company analysis
18OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Marketing Platforms
Your WORKOUT Your DATA Your CHOICE
The data you create while using our technology is private, this is why we
protect it like it is our own using world class security.
We let you choose the features you want based on your privacy settings.
You can change your settings and delete your
data wherever and whenever.
We want to help you accomplish your fitness
goals. That’s why we have built the best fitness
tracking software and devices.
Marketing a New Era of PrivacyMarketing strategy will focus on Fitbit’s industry leading privacy and security policies
Key Takeaways
Marketing: Roll out the “Your Workout. Your Data. Your Choice” program through numerous channels to educate consumers about privacy and security which will increase demand for our products.
Privacy: Customers will have the ability to save and share their fitness data based on the categories they select. By default no information is saved or shared. All data recorded is aggregated and anonymized.
Security: Implement world class security by leveraging Bluetooth LE, stronger encryption, multifactor authentication, a new data protection officer, and external audits to ensure reliability and security.
Bits: Bit rewards are used to keep customers motivated to reach their desired fitness goals and increase the amount of active users.
19OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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Fitbit’s key constraint is its size, with a
market cap of $1.25 billion, it is one of the smallest producers in
the industry
Cost of goods sold is currently 61.0% Sales
and Marketing is 22.6% of revenue
Past declines in stock prices has negatively affected Fitbit’s ability
to raise capital
Sources: Statista, Company Website
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2,169,461,000.00
Costs
General andAdministrative
Sales andMarketing
Research andDevelopment
Cost of goods sold
Financial ConstraintsFitbit is constrained by its small size, past declines in stock price and make up of costs
20OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
(500.00)
‐
500.00
1,000.00
1,500.00
2,000.00
2,500.00
2014 2015 2016
Millions
Profit & Revenue
Revenue Profit Pre Tax
0.00
500.00
1,000.00
1,500.00
2,000.00
2,500.00
3,000.00
2017 2018
Millions
Implementing Vs Staying on current Track
Revenue Revenue (With App) Profit Pre Tax (With App) Profit Pre Tax
The added value of the upgraded app will be
$77 million due in part to sharing data with
partners
Profits in 2016 fell 210% to $(110) million due to high inventory costs and low sales growth
ProfitFitbit’s upgraded app and privacy policy will increase revenue going forward
Sources: Statista, Company Website
21OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
A key aspect of our decision was the
existing app infrastructure.
$32.02
$48.03
$39.30
$58.95
$‐
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
2017 2018
Millions
Cost
App Development Marketing Campaign
This program will increase marketing by 10% and R&D by 8%
Due to large cash reserves, Fitbit will use cash to pay for these
programs
CostsIn order to upgrade the app and market improved privacy features, Fitbit will have to spend $170 million over the next two years
Sources: Statista, Company Website
22OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
A key aspect of our decision was the
existing app infrastructure.
$32.02 $48.03
$39.30
$58.95
$‐
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
2017 2018
Millions
Cost
App Development Marketing Campaign
This program will increase marketing by 10% and R&D by 8%
Due to large cash reserves, Fitbit will use cash to pay for these
programs
CostsIn order to upgrade the app and market improved privacy features, Fitbit will have to spend $170 million over the next two years
Sources: Statista, Company Website
Key Takeaways
Constraints: Fitbits size is a challenge as it makes it difficult to compete with the large players and raise capital.
Falling Profit: Negative profit in 2016 was caused by high inventory costs and lower than expected sales growth
Added Value: Expected value added over a two year period is $77 million.
23OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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Units ‐ MonthsApp 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19ConceptDesignDevelopment TestingUpdate ImplementMaintaining
Marketing ConceptDesignDevelopment TestingUpdate Implement
2017 2018
32,019,100 48,028,650
58,950,60039,300,400
Sources: Fitbit 10-k Annual Report, Ivey Publishing
ImplementationFitbit will focus on implementing both programs within the first year and then switch to maintenance
24OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Asia Pacific RegionFalling revenue is due to loss of market share in the region
Sources: Company Website, Company Analysis
0.44 0.430.46
0.35 0.35
0.243
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15
FITBIT ‐ MARKET SHARE
Over a 1 year period Fitbit has dropped from 43% to
24% market share
Poor product differentiation
25OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Asia Pacific RegionFalling revenue is due to loss of market share in the region
Sources: Company Website, Company Analysis
Must pivot away from emphasis on short-term sales and fast growth and into long-term & sustainable growth
Corporate Customers Strategic Partnerships
Respond to current and future dynamic market conditions and become a more agile company
26OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
10 Corporate Clients with multiple locations
spanning 13 countries
Corporate Clients Geographic OutreachLeveraging the geographic presence of corporate clients will allow Fitbit to spread brand awareness
Sources: Statista, Company Website
27OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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Leverage existing sales
channels
Receive direct access to the global target market
Nurturegrowing brand
awareness
Harness word-of-mouth
marketing
Easy and direct access to our growing consumer base through leveraged corporate customer relations
Corporations will be able to spread awareness of Fitbit through Asia PacificCorporate Clients Geographic Outreach
Sources: Statista, Company Website
28OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Members receive discountson wearable fitness trackers & save 25%
on premiums
Global PartnershipsFocusing on global partnerships will lay the foundations for long-term value creation
Sources: Statista, Company Website
29OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Build global brand
equity
Cultivatepositive brand associations
Alignproducts with
shifting consumer demand
Solidifylong‐term growth
opportunities
Deliberate brand curation and strategic partnerships to lay the foundations for future growth
Working with global partners will promote overall brand awarenessGlobal Partnerships
Sources: Statista, Company Website
30OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Fitness Industry $20 M (segment)CAGR = 12.7% (2017-2021)Market Volume = $12 M (2017)
8 Brands (Fitbit, Pebble, Applewatch with over 50 models dominate the market)
Aging population, by 2050 the number of people aged 65-84 will more than double
4.8 M smartphone users by 2021Increase from 3.8 M in 2014 Emphasis on high-tech & apps
20% specifically want to buy a fitness tracker for heart rate monitoring
FOCUS: Versatility for Vitality
Sources: Statista, Company Website
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In order to gain market share, Fitbit should emphasis on high-tech hardware and software
Singapore
OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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170 M devices by end 2017 Annual growth rate = 41%
Most significant growth in fitness industry for companies addressing obesity & senior health problems
Aging population, by 2050 the number of people aged 65-84 will more than double
18.8 M smartphone users by 2021Increase from 15 M in 2015
20% currently track20% have previously tracked60% have never tracked
FOCUS: Wearables for Wellness
Sources: Statista, Company Website
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In order to gain market share, Fitbit should provide health and wellness technology
Australia
OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Wearables Market Worth = $1.1B CAGR = 13.1% (2017-2021)
DOMESTIC COMPETITORS50% of market captured by Xiaomi, Lifesense, Okii with low-cost wearables
Middle class of 1 billion people by 2030 Disposable income growth by 90%
Smartphone usage to 52.77% (2021)Growth of approximately 15%
45% currently track16% have previously tracked39% have never tracked
FOCUS: Application of Wearables
Sources: Statista, Company Website
33
In order to gain market share, Fitbit should highlight software and service in order to differentiate
China
OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Source: Company Website
Asia Pacific RegionLeveraging the geographic presence of current partners and corporate clientsKey Takeaways
Global Companies: Fitbit can leverage its existing global customers to penetrate into the Asia Pacific market
Strategic Partnerships: Strategic partnerships with heath and insurance companies will differentiate Fitbit, creating brand equity today, while laying the foundation for growth in the future
Marketing: Tailored marketing strategies for key global markets will be vital for increasing and maintaining future market share
34OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
We intend to open a line of credit in order to decrease the risk associated with using
cash for the app development and
advertising campaign
We are mitigating global risk by leveraging key
partnerships in Asia
We are adding multifactor
authentication and enhanced security to
decrease risk of hacking
Product Malfunction risk will be reduced through extensive product testing to
insure quality, which will reduce the
potential for recalls and other warranty
expenses
Sources: Fitbit 10-k Annual Report, Ivey Publishing
Financial Hacking Global Product
Risk and MitigationCorporations will be able to spread awareness of Fitbit through Asia Pacific
35OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
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36
Overall Summary
Industry Privacy FinancialSecurity Global
The EU’s new General Data
Protection Regulations provide more stringent laws for companies
to enhance protection for consumers.
Customers will have the ability
to save and share their fitness data
based on the categories they
select.
Fitbits size is a challenge, this
makes it difficult to
compete with the large
players and raise capital.
Implement world class security by
leveraging new technologies and tougher
security practices
Fitbit can leverage its
existing global customers to penetrate into
the Asia Pacific market.
Marketing Plan
OVERVIEW | PRIVACY | SECURITY | FINANCIAL | GLOBAL | SUMMARY
Your Workout. Your Data. Your Choice.
Questions
38
Presentation SlidesPathway
General Market Conditions
General Market Conditions: Future
Competitive LandscapeChanging Technology
TakeawaysCustomer Wants
US LawsEU Laws
TakeawaysPrivacy and Security
Privacy
What Users Can SaveWhat Users Can Share
User Data SecurityEarn Bits
Fitbit ResearchMarketingTakeaways
Financial ConstraintsProfitsCosts
TakeawaysImplementation
Asia Pacific Region
Asia Pacific PlanCorporate Clients
Corporate Client Benefits
Global Partnerships
Global Partnership Benefits
SingaporeAustralia
China
Risk and MitigationSummaryAppendix
Global Wearable Sales Global Wearable Sales/Product
Overall Global Sales
Wearable Unit Shipments
Active Users
Income Statement
People who Track DataCompetitor Policy
SWOTFitbit and Medtroic
Upgrade Costs
Australian Fitness Industry
Smartphones in ChinaOperating Systems in China
Projected RevenueHealthcare Projected Revenue
Australia Fitness Tracking
China Fitness Tracking
Corporate ClientsCorporate Clients cont.
Takeaways
5.39
13.36
17.65
4.08
3.28
1.98
5.93
14.02
23.12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2015 2018 2021
Sal
es in
billi
on U
.S. d
olla
rs
Smartwatches Sports, fitness and wellness trackers* Others**
Wearables sales revenue worldwide by category from 2015 to 2021 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Appendix: Wearable Sales Revenue Worldwide
39
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19%22%
5%
22%
31%30%
12%
50% 47% 81%
47%
30%
1% 2% 1%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
Western Europe North America Developed APAC China
Sha
re o
f sal
es
Wrist sports computers Health & fitness trackers Smartwatches (SIM + No SIM) Locators Others
Share of wearables sales by product category and region worldwide in 2015
Appendix: Wearable Sales by Product and Region
40
Wearable device sales revenue worldwide from 2015 to 2021 (in billion U.S. dollars)
12.33
18.04
26.83
38.84
53.62
72.27
95.27
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*
Rev
enue
in b
illion
U.S
. dol
lars
Appendix: Wearable Sales Revenue Worldwide
41
Forecast wearables unit shipments worldwide from 2014 to 2021 (in millions)
28.8
81.9
102.4
132
157.9
185
213.6
237.5
0
50
100
150
200
250
2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*
Uni
t shi
pmen
ts in
milli
ons
Appendix: Wearable Unit Shipments
42
‐
10,000,000.00
20,000,000.00
30,000,000.00
40,000,000.00
50,000,000.00
60,000,000.00
2014 2015 2016
Devices
Devices sold Active Users
Registered device users Linear (Devices sold)
Linear (Active Users)
Over time the number use of wearable has
been degrading. Users lose motivation and stop
using there devices
Using current active users and registered devices we hope to capture at least 20
million users during the first year
Appendix: Active Users
43
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Year 1 Year 2 Data Sharing revenue ‐$ 460,841,940.00$ App Development 32,019,100.00$ 48,028,650.00$ Marketing Campaign 39,300,400.00$ 58,950,600.00$ Cost of rewards program ‐$ 177,246,900.00$
Partnering with health companies and using data 460,841,940.00$ 30% margin
Capture Rate Users CapturedCurrent Active Users of Fitbit 23,238,000.00 50% 11,619,000.00 Current Nonactive Users of Fitbit 26,917,000.00 30% 8,075,100.00
19,694,100.00
Expectation Cost/1000 Steps Steps/Day in thousands Users Rewards/Customer Monthly Rewards Annual Rewards Percent cost to FitBit Cost to FitBitBest 0.01$ 5 19,694,100 1.5 29,541,150.00$ 354,493,800.00$ 30% 106,348,140.00$ Expected 0.01$ 5 19,694,100 1.5 29,541,150.00$ 354,493,800.00$ 50% 177,246,900.00$
0.01$ 10 19,694,100 3 59,082,300.00$ 708,987,600.00$ 30% 212,696,280.00$ Worst 0.01$ 10 19,694,100 3 59,082,300.00$ 708,987,600.00$ 50% 354,493,800.00$
Using existing R&D infastructure adding 8% budget to R&D
Using existing marketing infastructure adding 10% budget to marketing
Recommend using cash to finance this new R&D due to the large amount in reserves 301 million plus
Appendix: Upgrade Costs
44
Appendix: Income Statement
2017 Percentage 2018 PercentageRevenue 2,082,682,560.00 100.00% 1,999,375,257.60 100.00%Cost of goods sold 1,072,655,533.30 51.50% 1,029,749,311.96 51.50%Gross Profit 1,010,027,026.70 48.50% 969,625,945.64 48.50%Operating Expenses 619,722,030.67 29.76% 594,933,149.44 29.76%Profit Pre Tax 390,304,996.04 18.74% 374,692,796.20 18.74%
Projection without New Application
2017 Percentage 2018 PercentageRevenue (With App) 2,082,682,560.00 100.00% 2,585,178,151.20 100.00%Cost of goods sold 1,072,655,533.30 51.50% 1,249,902,433.30 48.35%Gross Profit 1,010,027,026.70 48.50% 1,335,275,717.90 51.65%Operating Expenses 691,041,530.67 33.18% 811,841,611.28 31.40%Profit Pre Tax (With App) 318,985,496.04 15.32% 523,434,106.62 20.25%
With New Appication
2014 Percentage 2015 Percentage 2016 PercentageRevenue 745,433,000.00 100.00% 1,857,998,000.00 100.00% 2,169,461,000.00 100.00%Cost of goods sold 387,776,000.00 52.02% 956,935,000.00 51.50% 1,323,577,000.00 61.01%Gross Profit 357,657,000.00 47.98% 901,063,000.00 48.50% 845,884,000.00 38.99%Operating Expenses 199,728,000.00 26.79% 552,865,000.00 29.76% 958,349,000.00 44.17%Profit Pre Tax 157,929,000.00 21.19% 348,198,000.00 18.74% (112,465,000.00) ‐5.18%
Current Income Statement
45
Appendix: People that Track Fitness Data
101.23
108.74111.67 110.1
114.07111.36
116.7 117.35112.58
109.83
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Num
ber o
f par
ticip
ants
in m
illion
s
Source: Outdoor Foundation; ID 191984
Further information regarding this statistic can be found on page 8.Note: United States; 2006 to 2015; 6 years and older; 32,658 (15,167 individual & 17,491 household surveys)
46
Fitbit Apple Samsung Xiaomi Garmin Jawbone
Sensitive Information
Limits on Collection and Use
Meaningful Disclosure
Limited Sharing
Consumer Access to Data
Transparent
Anonymization
Usability testing
Fair marketing practices
Current CompaniesNo company emerges as a leader for security and privacy policy
Sources: Statista, Company Website
Appendix: Competitor’s Current Privacy Policies
47
5/18/2017
13
SWOT AnalysisFitbit thrives in the middle market for customers who want a mix of lifestyle and fitness
SWOT
• Variety: Fitbit offers a large variety of fitness trackers at a variety of price points
• Software: Fitbit’s app is the gold standard for fitness tracking
• First in Market: Fitbit was one of the first fitness trackers
• Motivation: Less than half than customers continue to wear the device after 6 months
• Scandal: The recall and hacking scandals have affected consumer confidence in the brand
• Expertise: Lack an infrastructure for building competitive smartwatches
• Competitors: Smartwatches are becoming more and more popular and other competitors are better suited to compete
• Smartphones: smartphones are now tracking fitness data directly on the phone
• Asia: As middle classes grow, there will be strong opportunities in Asia
• Corporate Sponsors: More and more companies offer discounts on health insurance for fitness tracker users
Sources: Company analysis
Current CompaniesNo company emerges as a leader for security and privacy policy
Appendix: SWOT Analysis
48
Description: Combined Fitbit and Medtronic technology to monitor glucose levels of individuals along with daily activities
Reasoning: 29 M Americans suffer from diabetes mainly due to sedentary habits and bad diet
Solution: iPro2 myLog app (Medtronic) connects with Fitbit app to access data. Medical Practitioners access iPro2 myLog app to retrieve patient activity information
Medical Practitioners = Growth Catalyst
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
49
Most significant areas for growth for the fitness industry according to clubs in Australia in 2014
50.4%
37.4%35.7%
32.6%30%
22.6% 21.7%18.7%
16.5%
9.6% 8.7% 7.4% 5.7%3%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Sha
re o
f res
pond
ents
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
50
Share of population in China** that use a smartphone from 2015 to 2021
Source: Statista DMO; ID 321482
38.17%40.86%
43.48%46%
48.41%50.67%
52.77%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*S
mar
tpho
ne u
sers
as
shar
e of
pop
ulat
ion
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
51
5/18/2017
14
Market share held by smartphone operating systems in China from 2013 to 2017, by month
Source: Kantar Worldpanel; ID 260418
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
Jan'13
Mar'13
May'13
Jul'13
Sep'13
Nov'13
Jan'14
Mar'14
May'14
Jul'14
Sep'14
Nov'14
Jan'15
Mar'15
May'15
Jul'15
Sep'15
Nov'15
Jan'16
Mar'16
May'16
Jul'16
Sep'16
Nov'16
Jan'17
Mar
ket s
hare
Android BlackBerry iOS Windows Other
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
52
Wearable device sales revenue worldwide from 2015 to 2021 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Source: Tractica; ID 610447
12.3318.04
26.83
38.84
53.62
72.27
95.27
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*
Rev
enue
in b
illion
U.S
. dol
lars
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
53
Healthcare wearable device sales revenue worldwide from 2015 to 2021 (in million U.S. dollars)
Source: Tractica; ID 610433
105.27 344.59869.94
2,084.64
4,387.77
9,163.97
17,802.16
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
2015 2016* 2017* 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*
Rev
enue
in m
illion
U.S
. dol
lars
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
54
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
55
5/18/2017
15
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
56
Corporate Clients Geographic ReachAsia Pacific Region
Adobe Autodesk BP Cerner Diageo
ChinaJapanKoreaIndiaHong KongSingapore
Singapore AustraliaChinaIndiaIndonesiaJapanMalaysiaNew ZealandPhilippinesSingaporeSouth KoreaThailandVietnam
Australia India Malaysia Singapore
AustraliaChinaHong KongIndonesiaIndiaJapanKoreaMalaysiaPhilippinesSingaporeTaiwanThailandVietnam
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
57
Corporate Clients Geographic Reach
Asia Pacific Region
McKesson NetApp Optum Pega Printpack
New Zealand ChinaHong Kong
AustraliaIndiaSingapore
AustraliaChinaIndiaJapanNew ZealandSingaporeThailand
ChinaIndia
Appendix: Fitbit and Medtronic Partnerships
58