Pareto World Wide Offshore AS · PDF file 2015-04-15 · Executive Summary Market...
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Pareto World Wide Offshore AS
2nd quarter report 2014
Link: www.paretoprojectfinance.no/avdelinger/forvaltning/offshorefond
Executive Summary
Market Development
Offshore oil services demand has been mixed this
year, with cost saving initiatives among the oil
companies affecting activity levels in many areas.
It remains to be seen whether this is a one-time
event or represents the early phase of a long
term trend. In the North Sea, the absence of
large development projects has resulted in this
impact being felt more sharply than in other
areas, where development spending is still
growing.
The rig markets generally appear to have peaked
for now, although the Fund has no exposure
here. The offshore support vessel market in the
North Sea has disappointed this year and while
demand may appear to be flat for the next year
or so, it is positive that newbuilding ordering is at
a low ebb.
Portfolio
The contract coverage is 83% with a weighted
average contract length of 3.1 years. The
portfolio is focused on modern assets and is well
spread across several market segments and
geographic regions. The high contract coverage
is expected to preserve a good dividend capacity
until exits are made.
The way forward
Following a distribution of NOK 4.50 per share in
June 2014, PWWO has paid NOK 52.50 per share
to its shareholders during the past two years.
The two project realizations that are in process
will contribute with proceeds to PWWO of around
NOK 15 per share, and it is aimed to distribute
an equivalent amount to PWWO shareholders
during Q3’14, barring any unforeseen
circumstances.
The term of PWWO was extended to July 2016 at
the Annual General Meeting in June 2014. The
extended lifetime does not mean that realisations
are pushed out in time, but will be executed as
soon as deemed reasonable to preserve
shareholders’ values. A clear signal of this is the
concluded sale of the two projects which
amounted to approximately 12% of the NAV as
per year end 2013. There is no guarantee that
the entire portfolio will be realised within the
extended lifetime (market conditions may
increase the difficulty of realising at satisfactory
values), but the Manager and the Board are very
much focused on realisations.
PWWO will refrain from investing further for the
remainder of its lifetime, save for follow-up
investments in existing projects, if required.
NAV was up by 2.4% during H1’14, reflecting two meaningful project realizations have been agreed to
during the quarter (with completion during Q3’14) as well as a strengthening USD vs NOK. Otherwise,
the projects continue as planned and the contract coverage continues to be above 80% based on NAV.
The markets are stable, and the oil price is flattish with no immediate signs of significant change.
NAV PWWO NOK 102/share NAV POK NOK 48/share
(as of 30 June 2014)
Portfolio News
BassDrill Alpha Ltd
The uptime of the rig has improved during 2014 from
an unsatisfactory level during H2’13. The rig is on a
two-year contract extension on a higher day rate which
expires in December 2015. The tender rig market
overall appears to have levelled out and it will be of
interest to follow the trend in jack-up rig rates in the
coming year, as these normally act as the benchmark
for tender rigs.
Neptune Subsea IS
The charterer has both vessels employed on short term
contracts, one in West Africa and one in the North Sea.
The hire payments are on track. The project made its
first distribution to shareholders during July 2014,
totalling USD 7m (PWWO’s share is USD 1.7m).
Vestland Seismic IS
The vessel M/V Vikland is still idle and there have been
no material developments regarding a new charter or a
sale. The shareholders contributed USD 1m in uncalled
capital during Q2’14 to pay bank installments.
Master & Commander IS
Both vessels are now on long term charters and the
project made a USD 1.5m dividend payment during
Q2’14.
Asian Offshore III IS
The average day rate for the six vessels was USD
8,200/d during Q2’14, up 14% from the preceding
quarter. The integration process together with AO I and
partner ACS has been formalized and a term sheet has
been signed with an international shipping bank to
finance the new, integrated company. It is expected
that the integration process will be finalized in early
Q4’14.
Iceman IS
The ultra large AHTS has been affected by a very weak
North Sea spot market during the spring and summer,
with results well below budget. The value has been
marked down due to negative free cash flow. The
vessel has secured a 3-month contract starting in early
Q3’14 at an acceptable day rate.
Songa Eclipse
While the project was sold in Q3’11, PWWO has been
subject to a USD 5.6m claim from the initial rig
manager, LOG, relating to a dispute regarding a so-
called “slot fee”. In a ruling in November 2013, the
Oslo Municipal Court (Oslo Tingrett) rejected the claim.
However, the claimant has appealed the ruling to
Borgarting Court of Appeals (Lagmansretten). As a
result, PWWO will have to continue to make a provision
for a potential negative outcome until the next round in
the Courts has been concluded. A court date has been
set for March 2015, but this may be deferred towards
the end of the year.
Project sales
PWWO has agreed to sell the five barges owned by the
sister-projects Offshore Accommodation and Parbarge.
The transaction is set to complete during July 2014 and
will result in total proceeds to investors some 24%
above NAV. The proceeds will amount to roughly NOK
15 per share in PWWO.
Payments from projects
During Q2’14, PWWO received NOK 2.9m in payments
from projects.
PWWO is invested in a broad range of offshore projects, which implies a significant
diversification across different asset types and market segments. This section provides an
update on the quarter’s most important news flow related to the underlying investments.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240 PWWO - NAV development NAV per share
NAV per share (dividend adjusted)
151
102
50
14
112
3 7
14 3
0
50
100
150
200
PWWO - NAV Composition per share (NOK)
Charter
free values
Value of
charters
Cash in
SPVs Debt in
SPVs
Sellers'
credit
Cash in
PWWO
Other
costs NAV
PWWO
Tax
Net Asset Value Development (PWWO)
NAV development
An increase in the value of the portfolio contributed
to a net 1.4% increase in NAV during H1’14, with
the remaining being down to a strengthening of the
USD. As a result, NAV ended up at NOK 102 per
share at the end of Q2’14, which equals a net
appreciation of 2.4% adjusted for the NOK 4.50 per
share distribution paid out in June 2014.
PWWO makes semi-annual NAV calculations.
Accordingly, the next NAV will be published as of
31.12.2014 and will be reported to investors in the
report for the fourth quarter 2014.
NAV is down 23% since inception in 2007. This poor
return reflects the cyclical timing of PWWO’s
inception, which started investing at the peak of the
previous cycle, just as we headed straight into the
2008 financial crisis. This is reflected in the fact that
oil service stocks on the Oslo Stock Exchange are
flat in the same period. That being said, the
performance since the bottom has been reasonably
good with NAV rising 61% since the end of 2009.
This reflects the intense work to turn around
troublesome projects with exit and contract
opportunities having improved along with better
markets.
As seen in the graph below, the estimated values of
the charters, charter free values, cash and debt in
the projects constitute NOK 100 per share in PWWO.
Cash, tax positions and cost provisions at the
holding company net a positive NOK 2 per share.
Direct yield
PWWO strives to make cash distributions to
shareholders as we move towards the end of the
company’s life cycle in 2015. A total of NOK 52.50
per share (26% of par value) has been paid out
during the past two and a half years. All
distributions have been repayments of paid in
capital. A further distribution of capital can be
expected in Q3’14, following the completion of th