Pareto Securities Oil & Offshore Conference, 10-11 September … Reports/Company... · 2018. 9....
Transcript of Pareto Securities Oil & Offshore Conference, 10-11 September … Reports/Company... · 2018. 9....
TGS
Robert HobbsChief Executive Officer
Pareto Securities Oil & Offshore Conference, 10-11 September 2014
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All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact, areforward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties,and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as tofuture events that may not prove accurate. These factors include TGS’ reliance ona cyclical industry and principal customers, TGS’ ability to continue to expandmarkets for licensing of data, and TGS’ ability to acquire and process dataproducts at costs commensurate with profitability. Actual results may differmaterially from those expected or projected in the forward-looking statements.TGS undertakes no responsibility or obligation to update or alter forward-lookingstatements for any reason.
Forward-Looking Statements
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This is TGS
Leading and global provider of multi-client seismic data
Traded on Oslo Stock Exchange, in OBX Index (25 most liquid shares at the OSE)
Market Cap: ~$3 billion
TGS Main Offices Leading provider of multi-client seismic
data and related geoscientific products to the oil & gas industry
Main offices: Houston and OsloRegional offices: London, Perth, Calgary, Singapore and Rio de Janeiro
Fundamental values: Unmatched Quality and Service, Growth for Stakeholders
Approximately 900 employees
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TGS Competitive Advantage
Asset light business model Flexibility Investment decisions not driven by vessel utilization Vendor neutral philosophy allows access to capacity
and technology as needed
Quality Balance sheet People and culture Data processing Geoscience
Global Geographically diverse data library Leadership in mature basins Leadership in frontier basins
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Diversified Portfolio With Different Characteristics
Return targetsReturn targets
Prefunding requirementsPrefunding
requirements
Project characteristics
Project characteristics
Illustrative IRR / cash profile
Illustrative IRR / cash profile
Characteristics
+ 1.7X 2.0X – 2.5X + 2.5X
70 – 120% 40 – 60% 20 – 40%
• Awarded acreage• Onshore areas • Fewer clients• Farm-ins / relinquishments• Low downside risk
IRR: High
TGS multi-client project portfolio
0 1 2 3 4
Cash Sales
0 1 2 3 4
Cash Sales
0 1 2 3 4
Cash Sales
IRR: High / Medium IRR: Medium
• Mainly open acreage• Regular license rounds• Established multi-client areas• Many clients• Medium risk
• Open acreage• Early stage• Geo knowledge• Many potential clients• Medium / high risk
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
ROCE WACC
TGS Performs in all Cycles
Average EBIT margin above 40% - stable EBIT – performance through the cycles
ROCE significantly above WACC – substantial value creation in any industry cycle
*Peer group includes CGG, Geokinetics, ION Geophysical, PGS, Western Geco, Dolphin, Polarcus Source Platou Markets and TGS
EBIT margin vs. Seismic peers Return on Capital Employed
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Financials
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129
243179
34118
214 223
660
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Q22014
Cash Flow from Operations
Key Financials
99 65 56 43 43 44 74 60
139 204
127 155 138218 137 137
713
29 129
10
11 8
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Q22014
Net Revenues
Prefunding Late sales Proprietary
245 281 211 210 191 271 222 205
101118
89 9880
12094 82
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
020406080
100120140
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Q22014
EBIT before non-recurring items
EBIT EBIT Margin
13895
126 110 11192
129 114
0100200300400500600700800900
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
Q32012
Q42012
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Q22014
Clo
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NB
V
Inve
stm
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Multi-client NBV and Investments (operational)
Investment NBV
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Investments per Vintage at 30 June 2014
299
153
270
381
823
0
100
200
300
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600
700
800
900
2010 2011 2012 2013 WIP
Original investments Maximum allowed NBV (year-end) Net Book Value
100%
40%
5%9%
20% 12%
60%
3 %
18%
62%
43%
13%0%
0%
10
829
1280
394
86208
32185170
Assets Equity and Liability
Strong Balance Sheet Backing TGS Strategy
Multi-client Library
Receivables
Cash
Other
Goodwill
Equity
Non-current liabilities
Current liabilities Cash balance per Q2 2014 represents 208 MUSD
Dividend of 145 MUSD paid in June 2014 Strong balance sheet provides excellent
opportunities to continue growth M&A Strong credit quality attracts prefunding Flexibility
No interest bearing debt and strong cash balance
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Strong Cash Generation Supports Dividend Growth
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88.5
3.0%3.2%3.4%3.6%3.8%4.0%4.2%4.4%4.6%4.8%5.0%
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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Dividend USD Dividend yield
* Dividend yield calculated based on share price at day of announcement
In addition to an increased dividend, the Board has authorized a share buy back program of USD 30 million of which USD 3.4 million has been implemented at end of Q2
Dividend and share buy back program represent approximately USD 170 million in cash returns to shareholders NOK 10.3 per share
Dividend per share (NOK) and Dividend Yield* 2014 Dividend Yield vs. OSX Index*
8.07.3
4.9
2.3 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.6
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0
Dia
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TGS
Hel
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& P
ayne
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Nat
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ell V
arco
Oce
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Sch
lum
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Cor
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ughe
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Inte
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* The OSX Index (PHLX Oil Service Sector Index) is a price weighted index composed of companies involved in the oil services sector.
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2014 Operational Highlights
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Geographically Diverse portfolio of 3D Projects
2014 3D Acquisition Francisco – 6,700 km2 long-offset, deep
water Gulf of Mexico
Olho de Boi, Brazil – 5,000 km2 in partnership with Dolphin
HFCE14 – 3,100 km2 Hoop Basin
P-CableTM – approx. 500 km2 high resolution in partnership with WGP
Brendan Basin – 2,500 km2 West of Shetland
Erlend Basin – 900 km2 West of Shetland
Nerites – 8,300 km2 Great Australian Bight
Nerites Season 2 - 13,000 km2 Great Australian Bight
Huzzas – 2,100 km2 Barrow sub-basin, Northwest Australia
BR-13 – 2,200 km2 Benin
SL Block 4a Extension – 1,000 km2 Sierra Leone
Diversified portfolio of 3D projects in prolific basins
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Active year for 2D Seismic Projects
Phase 51 - 28,273 km deep water Gulf of Mexico
NF101 Tail of the Bank - 2,474 km Eastern Canada
Chukchi Sea - 3,626 km
West Greenland - 27,700 km
North Sea Renaissance (NSR) - 10,825 km
Mid Norway (MNR) - 90,350 km
Barents Sea South East - 18,326 km (NPD data)
Madagascar - 20,330 km
Namibia - 10,167 km
Malta - 5,613 km
2014 2D Reprocessing
2014 2D Acquisition Newfoundland Labrador - >30,000 km
partnership with PGS
Snipe Phase 52 - 12,000 km long offset ultra-deep water Gulf of Mexico
NBR14 - 9,300 km long offset extension, eastern Barents Sea
Northeast Greenland - 12,000 km (multi-year)
MS-14 Madagascar - 1,950 km in partnership with BGP
AN-14 and CSM-14, Madagascar - 8,800 km
New Zealand - 17,000 km Reinga, Northland and Taranaki basins
Mexico - Vessels secured for entry into Mexico (subject to legislation and permit)
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Cheyenne – 1,800 km2 multi-client 3D project in Colorado focused on liquid plays in Mississippian and Pennsylvanian intervals
Rush Creek – 440 km2 multi-client 3D project in Texas focused on Granite Wash, Hogshooter, Cleveland Sands, Atoka and Tonkawa geological trends. Builds on existing 160 km2 3D survey recently purchased by TGS
Pendryl – 400 km2 multi-client 3D project in Central Alberta focused on emerging Duvernayplay
Washout Creek – 65 km2 high density multi-client 3D / 3C project addressing multiple plays in Central Alberta
Freeport and Waterford – 1,217 km2 and 210 km2 high resolution, wide aperture surveys providing critical data for geotechnical evaluations of the emerging Utica play and other intervals
TGS Continues to Invest Onshore North America
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TGS applies appropriate technologies to address imaging challenges associated with specific geologies and operating environments
TGS acquires complementary data products to expand and enhance its geoscience data library
Enhancing Value through Technology
Clari-FiTM Data Processing(Images courtesy of TGS)
CSEM(Images courtesy of EMGS / TGS)
P-WaveTM
(Images courtesy of WGP / TGS)Ocean Bottom Nodes
(Images courtesy of Fairfield)
P-Cable High res 3D (Hoop NE) Normal MC3D (Hoop NE)
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Well Log Coverage by Country
TGS owns and manages a global well log database Strong synergies with multi-client seismic data business
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Outlook
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Softer E&P Spending Outlook
E&P Spending 2000 – 2015E
Source: Rystad Energy Ucube August 2014
Strong E&P spending growth in 2010 – 2013 followed by expectations of a softer market in 2014 and 2015
Continued focus on capital discipline among the oil companies and pressure on cash flow cause oil companies to reduce spending growth
Rystad Energy estimates global E&P spending growth of low-single digit percentages for 2014 and 2015
-10%
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E&P Spending (BUSD) YoY change (%)
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Current Market Provides Opportunities to Grow Market Share
17%
21% 21%19%
23%22%
27%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H14
TGS Market Share: Multi-Client Revenue
Current market characterised by capital discipline among oil companies; provides opportunities to grow market share
TGS’ combination of strong balance sheet and high backlog position the company well for further growth
1H-2014 multi-client market share of 27% confirms ambition to grow market share in a softer market
Source: Company. Peer group consists of TGS, CGG, PGS, WesternGeco, ION, SPU, PLCS, DOLP, MCG, SBX, EMGS, Fugro
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License Round Activity and TGS Positioning
Europe / Russia• Norway APA – Sep 2014 (bids due)• Norway 23rd Concession – H2 2015 (bids due)• United Kingdom – Apr 2014 (closed)• Denmark – Oct 2014 (bids due)
Africa, Middle East, Asia Pacific• Madagascar – 2014/15 (expected)• Sierra Leone – 2014/15 (expected)• Liberia – Oct 2014 (bids due)• Australia – Oct 2014 , Feb 2015 & Apr 2015
(bids due)• Indonesia – Jul & Oct 2014 (bids due)
North & South America • Central GOM – Mar 2015 (5-Year Plan)• Western GOM – Aug 2015 (5-Year Plan)• Alaska Offshore - 2016 & 2017 (5-Year Plan)• Newfoundland & Labrador – Nov 2014, Nov 2015 & Nov 2017
(bids due)• Nova Scotia – Oct 2014 (bids due)• Canada Onshore – at least monthly• Brazil - 2015 (expected)
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Capacity Secured for 2014 EURAMEAP
NSA
3D Vessel Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
CGG Alize
BGP Prospector
Sanco Swift
Polar Duchess
Geo Caspian
Geco Eagle
Polarcus Naila
Bergen Surveyor (P-CableTM)
Polarcus Alima
AustraliaAustralia
2D & Other Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
BGP Challenger
Geo Arctic
Sanco Spirit
Atlantic Explorer
Akademik Shatskiy
Atlantic Guardian (CSEM)
Polar Prince (Seafloor Sampling)
Juliana (Seafloor Sampling)
Aquila Explorer
Osprey Explorer
Land Crew Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Colorado Crews 1 & 2
Texas Crew
Canada Crew
Ohio Crew
Canada PGS JVCanada PGS JV
Gulf of MexicoGulf of Mexico
CheyenneCheyenne
Rush CreekRush Creek
PendrylPendryl
Brazil JVBrazil JV
BeninBenin
AustraliaAustralia
WOCWOC
MadagascarMadagascar
MadagascarMadagascar
NW EuropeNW Europe
JVJV
NW Europe JVNW Europe JV
NW EuropeNW Europe
NW EuropeNW Europe
FreeportFreeportWaterfordWaterford
Canada PGS JVCanada PGS JV
NW Eur EMGS JVNW Eur EMGS JV
Canada JVCanada JV
GreenlandGreenland
NW Eur JVNW Eur JV
JVJV
New ZealandNew Zealand
Gulf of MexicoGulf of Mexico
Sierra LeoneSierra Leone
AustraliaAustralia
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Summary
2014 on track with Q2 revenues of 205 MUSD Q2 2014 Operating profit of 82 MUSD, 40% of net revenues Q2 2014 multi-client investments of 114 MUSD TGS continues to benefit from its well positioned library and
continues to see high quality investment opportunities Strong backlog Application of new technologies Onshore
Guidance for 2014 unchanged: Multi-client investments 390 – 460 MUSD
Average pre-funding 45 – 55%
Average multi-client amortization rate 40 – 46%
Net revenues 870 – 950 MUSD
Contract revenues approximately 5% of total revenues
Thank you
©2013 TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA. All rights reserved.
Robert HobbsCEO