Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture...

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Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds

Transcript of Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture...

Page 1: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Paradox of the Cichlidsoutline of my PhD project

Thijs JanzenSupervisor: Rampal Etienne

Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds

Page 2: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Cichlids

Page 3: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

The success of the cichlids

• Pharyngeal jaw

• Mouthbrooding

Barlow 2000

Page 4: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Oliver 2010

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The African Rift Lakes

Page 6: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Differences between the lakes

Lake

Victoria

Lake

Malawi

Lake

Tanganyika

Age (My) 0.25-0.75

3 – 5 9 – 12

# Species ~700 ~700 ~250

Area (km2)

68 635 29 600 32 893

Depth 83 m 706 m 1 471 m

Page 7: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Lake Victoria Lake Tanganyika Lake Malawi

Page 8: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Why should there be more?

• Age

• Water level

• Bathymetry

Page 9: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Waterlevel

• Water level changes frequently– King Mwangonde (1820)

Owen 1990, Barlow 2000, Salzburger 2002

Page 10: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Why should there be more?

• Age

• Water level

• Bathymetry

Page 11: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

BathymetryTanganyikaMalawi

Talling 1969, Scholz et al. 2007

Victoria

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Water level

Water level:

0 m

Page 13: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Water level

Water level:

-100 m

Page 14: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Water level

Water level:

-250 m

Page 15: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Water level

Water level

-300 m

Water level:

-300 m

Page 16: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Water level

Water level:

-400 m

Page 17: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Water level

Water level:

-600 m

Page 18: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Water level

Water level:

-1000 m

Page 19: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Effects of water level changes

• Decrease in lake size

• Splitting in proto lakes

• Merging of sub-populations after water level rise

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Summary of possible causes

• Age

• Water level

• Bathymetry

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Research Questions

• What external factors determine the differences in biodiversity between the African Rift Lakes?

• How does biogeography influence biodiversity?

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Approach

• Standard neutral model– Influence of environment size

– Spatiality

– Environmental change

– Cyclic environment change

– Splitting and merging of communities

– Repeated splitting and merging

Page 23: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

ApproachTailored model

• Check predictions with a tailored version– Correct size of lakes

– Include explicit bathymetry

– Remodel water level changes

Page 24: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

The end

• Questions?• Suggestions?

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Page 26: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Conformism

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Local variability

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Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds

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Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds

Page 30: Paradox of the Cichlids outline of my PhD project Thijs Janzen Supervisor: Rampal Etienne Picture courtesy Jen Reynolds.

Other stuff to do

• Time-scale difference between speciation and environmental change

• Interaction between tectonic drift and biodiversity