Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health...

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Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research Centre for Adolescent Health AUSTRALIAN PRIMARY HEALTH CARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE Aug 2009

Transcript of Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health...

Page 1: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health

Professor George PattonDirector of Adolescent Health Research

Centre for Adolescent Health

AUSTRALIAN PRIMARY HEALTH CARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE Aug 2009

Page 2: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Paradox in adolescent healthPuberty Adolescent health mattersData driven responses

Four ideas

Page 3: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

A paradox in adolescent health?PubertyAdolescent health mattersData driven responses

Page 4: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Stronger, faster, fitter, smarterbut

morbidity and mortality worsen?

Page 5: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Australian Child and Adolescent Mortality

0102030405060708090

1 to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 18 19 to 24

Age groups

deat

hs/1

00,0

00 p

a

MaleFemale

Current Policy Emphasis

Page 6: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

M a le D A L Y s in H ig h In c o m e

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 0 to 1 4 15 -19 20 -24

DAL

Ys/1

00 In ju ryC hro n ic D isIn fec t io us

F e m a le D A L Y s H ig h In c o m e

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1 0 to 1 4 15 -19 20 -2 4

DAL

Ys/1

00 In ju ryC hro n ic D isIn fec t io usM a te rn a l

Chronic Disease and Injury Dominate Adolescent Morbidity

Page 7: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

The paradox….. Health problems increase post-puberty• Importance is greatest in high income

countries• Social context matters

Page 8: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

A paradox in adolescent health?PubertyAdolescent health mattersData driven responses

Page 9: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 10: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 years

adrenarche

Pubertal Cascade

? HPA axis

Page 11: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 years

adrenarche

Pubertal Cascade

gonadarche

? HPA axis

HPG axis

Page 12: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 years

adrenarche

Pubertal Cascade

gonadarche

Growth spurt

HPA axis

HPG axis

GH/somatomedin axis

Oxytocin system ?

Page 13: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

But that’s not all that is happening……..

Page 14: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Frontal grey matter volume

210

215

220

225

230

235

240

4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22

Page 15: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Adolescent brain development

Prefrontal cortex maturation • extends into the third decad

• impulse control• planning• emotional regulation

Page 16: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

‘Adult’ problems emerge• Depression - anxiety syndromes• Deliberate self-harm • Substance abuse • Eating & body image disorders • Psychotic symptoms• Functional somatic disorders & Pain

syndromes eg migraine• Range of physical health problems

Page 17: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

I

II

III

IV

V

Early

Mid

Late

Page 18: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Mental disorders commoner from puberty• Depression - anxiety syndromes• Deliberate self-harm • Substance abuse • Eating disorders• Dysmorphophobia• Psychotic symptoms• Functional somatic disorders• Pain syndromes eg migraine

Substance abuse & pubertal stage (ages 12-15 years)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

I/II III IV/V

12 yrs13 yrs14 yrs15 yrs

Page 19: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Mental disorders commoner from puberty• Depression - anxiety syndromes• Deliberate self-harm • Substance abuse • Eating disorders• Dysmorphophobia• Psychotic symptoms• Functional somatic disorders• Pain syndromes eg migraine

Deliberate self harm by early and late pubertal stage

0

2

4

6

8

10

I-III IV/V I-III IV/V

%

M ales Females

Page 20: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Depressive symptoms & pubertal stage in girls

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

I/II III IV/V

Wave 1Wave 2Wave 3

Tanner stage

%

Page 21: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

So is depression all that changes?

Page 22: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 23: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 24: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 25: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 26: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

A paradox in adolescent health?Puberty

Adolescent health mattersData driven responses

Page 27: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Victorian Adolescent Health Cohort Study

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 914 yrs 17 yrs 21 yrs 24 yrs 28 yrs

90% 88% 87% 83% 81% 78% 81% 78% 77%

Page 28: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 29: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 30: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Does ‘sensible’ teen drinking protect against later harmful drinking?

Is there a safe level of teen drinking?

Page 31: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Teen drinking groups• Started after 18 years• Teen drinker - never risky• Teen drinker - risky at 1 wave• Teen drinker – risky at 2+ waves

Page 32: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Males

0 . 0 0

0 . 2 0

0 . 4 0

0 . 6 0

0 . 8 0 A l c o h o l u s e d i s o r d e r

0 . 0 0

0 . 1 0

0 . 2 0

0 . 3 0

0 . 4 0

0 . 5 0 H i g h - r i s k a l c o h o l u s e

0 . 0 0

0 . 1 0

0 . 2 0

0 . 3 0 A l c o h o l - r e l a t e d s e x u a l b e h a v i o r

Prev

alen

ce

Nondrinker

0 2+

Waves

2001 Short Term NHMRC Guidelines

1

2001 Long Term NHMRC Guidelines

2007NHMRC Guidelines

Nondrinker

0

Waves

Nondrinker

0 2+

Waves

1 2+1

Page 33: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 34: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 35: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Predicting Post-natal Depression from Teen Psychiatric Morbidity

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Persisting Intermittent None

Odd Ratio 3.3 (1.2, 9.4)

Page 36: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

A paradox in adolescent health?PubertyAdolescent health mattersData driven responses

Page 37: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

NU

MB

ER O

F A

DO

LESC

ENTS

Risk FactorsHigh Risk

Population approaches

Symptomatic

Clinical/Individual Clinical/Individual InterventionsInterventions

Page 38: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Modifiable Risk factors

Protective factors

Community Perceived drug availability Favourable drug use norms Community transitions & mobility Community disorganisation

Encouragement & reward for involvement Opportunity for community involvement

School Academic failure Low school commitment

Opportunities and rewards for school involvement

Family Family conflict Poor discipline History of antisocial behaviour Poor management Favourable parental views on drugs and antisocial behaviour

Family attachment Opportunities and rewards for family involvement

Peer individual

Attitudes to drug use Friends’ drug use Perceived risks associated with drug use Sensation seeking Attitudes to antisocial behaviour Rebelliousness Gang involvement Reported antisocial behaviour

Social skills Belief in the moral order

Page 39: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Modifiable Risk factors

Protective factors

Community Perceived drug availability Favourable drug use norms Community transitions & mobility Community disorganisation

Encouragement & reward for involvement Opportunity for community involvement

School Academic failure Low school commitment

Opportunities and rewards for school involvement

Family Family conflict Poor discipline History of antisocial behaviour Poor management Favourable parental views on drugs and antisocial behaviour

Family attachment Opportunities and rewards for family involvement

Peer individual

Attitudes to drug use Friends’ drug use Perceived risks associated with drug use Sensation seeking Attitudes to antisocial behaviour Rebelliousness Gang involvement

Social skills Belief in the moral order

Page 40: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Risk factors & substance use

0102030405060708090

100

0-1 2-3 4-6 7-9 >=10

Risk factors

% alcohol

cigarettes

marijuana

other drugs

Page 41: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Risk factors & anti-social behaviour

0

10

20

30

40

50

0-1 2-3 4-6 7-9 >=10

Risk factors

% suspended from school

sold illegal drugs

attacked someone

carried a w eapon

Page 42: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Risk factors & psychosocial problems

0

10

20

30

40

50

0-1 2-3 4-6 7-9 >=10

Risk factors

%

depressivesymptomatology

deliberate self harm

homelessness

early sexual activity

Page 43: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Protective factors & psychosocial problems

0

10

20

30

40

50

0-1 2-3 4-6 7-10

Protective factors

%

depressivesymptomatology

deliberate self harm

homelessness

early sexual activity

Page 44: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

“For a dozen formative

years children spend almost

half their waking hours in schools”

Page 45: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 46: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 47: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Gatehouse: a semi-structured process

Assess social environment

School action team

Best practice at multiple levels

Page 48: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Types of bullying

0102030405060

Teas

ing

Spre

adin

gru

mou

rs

Del

iber

atel

yle

ft ou

t

Phys

ical

lyth

reat

ened

or h

urt

Comparison

School X

Page 49: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

05

101520253035404550

Teachersdon't notice

me

Fewchances to

planactivities

Teachersnot fair

Too muchschoolwork

Don't helpothers

Comparison

School X

Page 50: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Gatehouse: a semi-structured process

Assess social environment

School action team

Best practice at multiple levels

Page 51: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Gatehouse: a semi-structured process

Assess social environment

School action team

Best practice at multiple levels

Page 52: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Baseline: year 8 students (13-14 yo)

Page 53: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

2 years: year 8 students (13-14 yo)

Page 54: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

4 years: year 8 students (13-14 yo)

Page 55: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent
Page 56: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Neighbourhood Risk Factor Profile,

-1.00

-0.80

-0.60

-0.40

-0.20

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00Co

mm

unity

Dis

orga

niza

tion

Low

Nei

ghbo

rhoo

d A

ttach

men

t

Tran

sitio

ns a

nd M

obilit

y

Perc

eive

d A

vaila

bility

ATO

D

Law

s an

d No

rms

Poor

Fam

ily M

anag

emen

t

Poor

Fam

ily D

isci

plin

e

Fam

ily C

onfli

ct

Fam

. Attd

. Fav

orab

le A

TOD

Fam

ily H

isto

ry o

f Ant

isoc

ial B

ehav

ior

Low

Aca

dem

ic A

chie

vem

ent

Low

Sch

ool C

omm

itmen

t

Ant

isoc

ial B

ehav

ior

Attd

s. F

avor

able

to A

ntis

ocia

l Beh

avio

r

Atti

tude

s Fa

vora

ble

to A

TOD

Use

Early

Initia

tion

of A

ntis

ocia

l Beh

avio

r

Peer

Ant

isoc

ial B

ehav

ior

Peer

ATO

D Us

e

Peer

Rew

ards

for A

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Rebe

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Sens

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ekin

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Z-Sc

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Page 57: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

• Pubertal transitions in health• Sexual & reproductive health • Mental health • Substance use• Chronic conditions• Youth friendly primary care services

2007 Lancet Series in Adolescent Health

Page 58: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

A Healthy A Healthy Start to LifeStart to Life

Health in Health in AdolescenceAdolescence

Page 59: Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health · 2018-09-27 · Paradox and Policy in Adolescent Health Professor George Patton Director of Adolescent Health Research. Centre for Adolescent

Whole of government approach

No systematic national adolescent health data

No mechanism for coordination across sectors

Balance between prevention and health care

Use available resources & systems