P3 Pendekatan Sistem

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    Systems Concepts

    3-1

    SESSION 3

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    Four Model Types

    1) Physical modelsThree dimensional representation such as a scale

    model

    2) Narrative modelsSpoken or written

    3) Graphic models

    Abstraction of lines, symbols, or shapes

    4) Mathematical models

    Equation(s) EOQ =2PS

    M3-2

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    Cost

    Order Quantity

    0EOQ

    Total cost

    Purchasing cost

    A Graphic Model of the

    Economic Order Quantity Concept

    3-3

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    A. A Flowchart

    Sales

    Orders

    Sales

    Orders

    Report

    Sales

    Orders

    Sales

    Orders

    EditSales

    Orders

    Enter Sales

    Order Data

    Prepare Sales

    Order Report Sales Order

    History

    File

    B. A Data Flow Diagram

    Customers

    1.

    2.

    3.

    Sales

    Orders

    Sales

    Order

    Data

    Sales

    Order

    Report

    Enter Sales

    Orders

    Edit Sales

    Orders

    1.Edit

    Sales

    Orders2.Enter

    Sales

    Order

    Data

    3.Prepare

    Sales

    Order

    Report

    Sales Order

    History File

    Sales

    Manager

    3-4

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    Uses of Models

    All four models facilitate understanding and

    communication.

    The mathematical model also helps predict

    the future.

    3-5

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    The General Systems Model

    Graphic diagram with an accompanying

    narrative that depicts all organizations in a

    general way using a systems framework The Physical System

    Material flow

    Personnel flowMachine flow

    Money flow

    3-6

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    Transformation

    Process

    The Physical System of the Firm

    Input

    Resources

    Output

    Resources

    Boundary of

    the Firm

    3-7

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    The Conceptual System

    Open-loop systems

    Closed-loop systems (feedback loop)

    Management control

    The information processor

    3-8

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    Transformation

    Process

    Control

    Mechanism

    Input

    Resources

    Output

    Resources

    A Closed-Loop System

    Feedback Feedback

    3-9

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    Management

    Transformation

    Process

    Input

    Resources

    Output

    Resources

    Information Information

    The Physical System of the Firm

    as a Controlled System

    3-10

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    Information is Gathered from All of

    the Physical System Elements

    Management

    Transformation

    ProcessOutput

    Resources

    Input

    Resources

    Information Information

    3-11

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    Management InformationProcessor

    Output

    Resources

    Input

    Resources

    Information Information

    Data

    Transformation

    Process

    The Information Processor Transforms

    Data into Information

    6-12

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    Conceptual System (cont.)

    Dimensions of Information

    Relevancy

    AccuracyTimeliness

    Completeness

    Too Much Information is called Information Overload

    3-13

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    Conceptual System (cont.)

    Standards

    Measure of acceptable

    performance

    Usually stated in

    specific terms

    Used to control

    physical system

    Consists of:

    Management

    Information processor

    Standards

    Objectives

    Overall goal that a

    system is to obtain

    Systems have one or

    more objectives

    3-14

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    A Comparison of Objectives and Standards

    Objectives Standards of Performance

    Achieve an annual sales volume of at least $25 million

    Maintain a 20% share of the market

    Maintain an annual growth rate of 15%

    Pay dividends to stockholders each quarter

    Maintain the price of the firms common stock above

    $85 per share

    Realize an after-tax profit of 15% of sales

    Maintain a record of accident-free days

    Keep employee turnover below 10%

    Invest in a minimum of 15% of sales revenue in researchand development

    Achieve stockout on no more than 2% of the items ininventory during the year

    Keep the number of backorders to less than 5% of allorders processed

    Have no plant shutdowns due to unavailable materialsHave no legal actions filed against the firm by

    customers, suppliers, and the government

    Satisfy CustomerNeeds

    Produce a returnon investment forthe owners

    Operate efficiently

    Invest in the future

    Develop sourcesof supply

    Operate ethically

    3-15

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    OutputResources

    InputResources

    ManagementInformationProcessor

    Transformation

    Process

    Standards

    Information Information

    Data

    Performance Standards are Made Available to Both

    Management and the Information Processor

    3-16

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    Conceptual System (cont.)

    Management by exception

    Compares standards with information output of

    systemManager becomes involved when system falls

    outside range of acceptable performance

    Capability provided by CBIS

    3-17

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    Conceptual System (cont.)

    Critical Success Factors (CSFs)

    A CSF is one of the firms activities that has a

    strong influence on the firms ability to meet itsobjectives

    Firms have multiple CSFs

    CSFs focuses attention on a portion of a firms

    activities

    3-18

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    Standards

    ManagementInformation

    Processor

    Output

    ResourcesTransformation

    ProcessInput

    Resources

    Data

    InformationDecisions

    Changes are Made in the Physical

    System Through the Decision Flow

    3-19

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    Conceptual System (cont.)

    Decision Flow

    Data is transformed into information by the

    information processorManager transforms information into decisions

    3-20

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    The General Systems Model of the Firm

    Standards

    Management Information

    Processor

    Output

    Resources

    Transformation

    ProcessInput

    Resources

    Data

    InformationDecisions

    Environment

    Physical

    Resources Physical

    Resources

    Information

    and

    Data

    3-21

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    General Systems

    Model in Context

    Helps adjust firm

    Provides a sense of stability

    Provides mental picture of what to expect

    3-22

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    Problems -- Good and Bad

    Problem solving

    Suppress harmful effects

    Capitalize on opportunity for benefit Decision

    The act of selecting a strategy or action

    3-23

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    Elements of Problem Solving

    Desired state

    Current state

    ConstraintsInternal -- limited resources

    Environmental -- pressures to restrict resource

    flows

    } Difference =Solution Criterion

    3-24

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    Problem

    Standards

    Information

    Problem

    solver

    (manager)

    Solution

    Alternate

    solutions

    Constraints

    Desired state

    Current state

    Elements of the conceptual system

    Elements of the

    Problem-Solving

    Process

    3-25

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    Problem Structure

    Structured

    Elements and relationships understood

    UnstructuredNo elements or relationships understood

    Semistructured

    Some elements understood

    DSS concept of managers and the computer

    working jointly towards a solution

    3-26

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    Problem Structure

    DSSComputer

    Solve

    Manager

    Solve

    Structured Semi-structured Unstructured

    3-27

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    The Systems Approach

    John Dewey, 1910

    Columbia philosophy professor

    1. Recognize the controversy

    2. Weigh alternative claims

    3. Form a judgment

    Problem

    Solution

    3-28

    Phases and Steps of the Systems Approach

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    Phase I: Preparation EffortStep 1. View the firm as a system

    Step 2. Recognize the environmental system

    Step 3. Identify the firms subsystems

    Phase II: Definition EffortStep 4. Proceed from a system to a subsystem level

    Step 5. Analyze system parts in a certain sequence

    Phase III: Solution EffortStep 6. Identify the alternative solutions

    Step 7. Evaluate the alternative solutions

    Step 8. Select the best solutionStep 9. Implement the solution

    Step 10. Follow up to ensure that the solution is effective

    Phases and Steps of the Systems Approach

    Decisions are made at each step of

    the definition and solution phases 3-29

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    Preparation Effort

    Step 1 View the firm as a system

    Step 2 Recognize environmental system

    Step 3 Identify the firms subsystems Business areas

    Levels of management Resource flows

    Steps taken in any order or at the same time 3-30

    The Systems Approach Requires Decision Making

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    The Systems Approach Requires Decision Making

    DefinitionEffort

    Solution

    Effort

    PHASE STEP DECISION

    4. Proceed from a systemto a subsystem level.

    5. Analyze system parts in acertain sequence.

    6. Identify alternativesolutions.

    7. Evaluate the alternativesolutions.

    8. Select the best solution.

    9. Implement the solution.

    10. Follow up to ensure that

    the solution is effective.

    Where is the problem?

    Do new data need to be gathered, or do dataalready exist?

    How will data be gathered?

    What is causing the problem?

    How many alternatives should be identified?

    Are these alternatives feasible?

    Which criteria should be used?How does each alternative measure up toeach criterion?

    Do all criterion have equal weight?

    Is there enough information to make aselection?

    Which alternative measures up best to thecriteria?

    When should this solution be implemented?

    How should the solution be implemented?

    Who should perform the evaluation?

    How well is the solution meeting the

    objectives? 3-31

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    Marketing Subsystem Manufacturing Subsystem Finance Subsystem

    President

    Each Functional Area is a Subsystem

    Human Resources

    Subsystem

    Information Services

    Subsystem3-32

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    Something Triggers the Definition Effort

    The trigger can be:

    1. An action

    2. The passage of time

    3. From within the firm or the environment

    6-33

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    Definition Effort [cont.]

    Step 5: Analyze System Parts in a Certain

    Sequence

    1. Evaluation standards. They must be valid,

    realistic, understandable, measurable

    2. Compare system outputs with standards

    3. Evaluate management

    4. Evaluate the information processor

    5. Evaluate the inputs and input resources

    6. Evaluate the transformation processes

    7. Evaluate the output resources3-35

    E h P f h S I A l d i S

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    1.

    Standards

    3.

    Management

    4.

    Informationprocessor

    5. Inputresources

    6.Transformation

    processes

    7.Output

    resources

    2.Outputs

    Each Part of the System Is Analyzed in Sequence

    +Inputs.

    3-36

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    Solution Effort

    Step 6: Identify alternativesFind differentways to solve the same problem

    Brainstorming

    Joint Application Design (JAD) session

    Step 7: Evaluate alternative solutions

    Step 8: Select the best solution

    Analysis Judgment

    Bargaining

    3-37

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    An Integrative Model of the Systems Approach

    Solution Effort

    6. Identify alternative solutions

    7. Evaluate the alternative solutions

    8. Select the best solution

    9. Implement the solution10. Follow-up to ensure solution is effective

    Definition Effort

    4. Proceed from a system to asubsystem level

    5. Analyze system parts in a certainsequence

    3-39

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    Review of Systems Approach

    Integrating each step of the systemsapproach is a managerial challenge

    Managerial preparation effort is a good

    starting point

    Next, manager engages in functional

    decomposition

    Definition effort

    Finally, manager solves problem

    Solution effort-40

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    Summary

    Models are abstractions of reality

    Four types of models

    General systems model Physical system

    Conceptual system

    Information ProcessorComputer

    Noncomputer3-41

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    Summary [cont.]

    Management by exception

    Managerial problem solving

    Classification of problemsStructured

    Unstructured

    Use of the systems approach

    3-42