P ersonal R apid T ransit

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PERSONAL RAPID TRANSIT Ferrol O. Robinson Research Fellow, State and Local Policy Program Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs University of Minnesota March 2, 2020 CONTEXT FOR PRT AND POTENTIAL APPLICATIONS MN/DOT – ACEC MINNESOTA ANNUAL CONFERENCE

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P ersonal R apid T ransit. Context for PRT and Potential Applications Mn/DOT – ACEC Minnesota Annual Conference. Ferrol O. Robinson Research Fellow, State and Local Policy Program Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs University of Minnesota - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: P ersonal R apid T ransit

PERSONAL RAPID TRANSIT

Ferrol O. RobinsonResearch Fellow, State and Local Policy Program

Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs

University of Minnesota

March 2, 2020

CONTEXT FOR PRT AND POTENTIAL APPLICATIONS

MN/DOT – ACEC MINNESOTA ANNUAL CONFERENCE

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SPEAKING POINTS

Context for Personal Rapid Transit (PRT)

Description of PRT System

Role of PRT in a Mobility Framework

Potential Applications in Minnesota

Anticipated Benefits and General Concerns

Need for Feasibility Analysis

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HEATHROW AIRPORT ULTRA SITE

As of February 16, 2010…

17-vehicle system

3 stations; 5 later this year

Automatic berth doors, passenger charging, destination selection kiosks: fully operational

Passengers trials have started

Commencement of full public operations in first half of 2010

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CONTEXT

PRT is only an alternative to buses and LRT where these transit modes are not the best solution: PRT has different applications and serves different user markets.

PRT is not a Magic Bullet or a Panacea: It is a highly- competitive mode to the automobile, highly- complementary to buses and LRT, and extends the reach of walking and bicycling.

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CONTEXT

Peter Calthorpe, Principal, Calthorpe Associates, CAAuthor: Next American MetropolisExpertise: New Urbanism, Smart Growth, Transit-Oriented Development (TOD)

“TOD can be intermeshed with PRT in a flexible and economicway. We really need you guys [PRT] to succeed!”

(Speech at ATRA’s Carbon-Free Mobility Conference, Oakland, CA, March 2009)

“I used to be a PRT skeptic, but now the technology is there. It won’t be easy to develop PRT and get all the kinks out, but it isdoable. If you think what you would want from an ideal transit technology, it’s PRT: stations right where you are, within walkingdistance, no waiting.”

(Congress for New Urbanism (CNU), Pasadena, CA, 2005)

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DESCRIPTION OF PRT

Service Characteristics

On-demand, point-to-point, non-stop transit service

Fast, reliable, predictable travel times

Very short headways and wait times, cars wait for passengers at stations

Prepaid fares and no transfers

ADA compliance

Available 24/7

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DESCRIPTION OF PRT

System Design Features

Fully automated, driverless, lightweight electric cars

Small cars (4-5 passengers) that run on segregated tracks (elevated, at-grade, or underground)

Off-line stations allow for non-stop service

High number of stations and interconnected loops increase accessibility

Stations can be built inside

or adjacent to buildings

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DESCRIPTION OF PRT

Operating Characteristics

Peak headways: 2 to 4 seconds, based on demand

Peak-hour wait time: one minute on average

Operating speeds: 25 to 30 mph

Dwell time at stations: less than 10 seconds

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DESCRIPTION OF PRT

People-Moving Capacity

Average: 3,000 passengers per hour(3-second headway, 2.5 passengers per car)

Maximum: 4,800 passengers per hour (3-second headway, 4 passengers per car)

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DESCRIPTION OF PRT

Environmental Features

Low-energy consumption per passenger-mile(200-300 mpg equivalent)

Very low carbon footprint – no local emissions

Low noise levels inside vehicle and outside

Minimizes use of surface land

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PRT ROLES

Collection-Distribution Function: Solves the ‘last-mile’ gap in most transit services, and can improve the “first-mile” gap also

Circulation Function: Connects major transit stops, stations and parking facilities with work, shopping, medical, education and other origin/destinations.

Shuttle Function: Connects heavy trip generation centers that are in relatively close proximity to each other.

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POTENTIAL APPLICATIONS IN MINNESOTA

Downtown areas such as Minneapolis and Saint Paul CBD

Smaller-city downtown areas with large trip generation such as Duluth, Rochester, St. Cloud, Mankato

Large employment concentrations such as the I-494 Edina and Bloomington corridor axes and the Maple Grove Gravel Mining Development Area, and the airport

University of Minnesota: East Bank/West Bank/ Fairview Hospital campuses

Major shopping complexes such as the Mall of America, Airport South and other regional shopping centers

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MODAL RELATIONSHIPS

PRT and Autos: Competitive

PRT provides modal competition to autos in high-density, compact areas where PRT speeds are higher

PRT allows car drivers to park further from destination and experience cost savings

PRT and Parking: Optimizing

PRT can enhance shared-parking use and reduce peak-period demand and supply

PRT can maximize use of available parking during special events by making distant spaces more accessible

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MODAL RELATIONSHIPS

PRT and Bus/LRT/Commuter Rail: Complementary and Synergistic

PRT solves the ‘last-minute” transit service gap making bus, LRT and Commuter Rail more attractive transit modes

PRT facilitates transfers between these transit modes

PRT and Walking/Biking: Enhancing

PRT extends the walking range of current pedestrian trips

PRT can induce walk trips to stations by facilitating access to restaurants, shopping and work-related activities

PRT gives bicyclist an option for avoiding heavy traffic, signals and congestion

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SUMMARY OF EXPECTED PRT BENEFITS

Combines advantages and efficiencies of bus and rail transit with the high level of service of automobiles

Ability to serve “last-mile/first-mile” transit service gap

Can increase demand for other transit modes

Can substitute for many auto trips and reduce auto dependency and congestion

High people-moving capacity accommodates modal demand

High level of service, accessibility and ride quality

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SUMMARY OF EXPECTED PRT BENEFITS

ADA compliant

Low use of energy

Low environmental impact

Minimum use of surface land

Grade-separated system minimizes conflicts, and can reduce crashes and fatalities

Ability to deliver goods at night and off-peak

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CONCERNS EXPRESSED ABOUT PRT

“Unproven” technology

Visual impacts and aesthetics

Safety concerns: failure to stop/stranded passengers on guideway

“Inability” to carry large numbers of people

Security concerns about sharing rides with strangers

Uncertainty about capital and operating costs

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ANALYSIS OF FEASIBILITY

Evaluation of status of development of major PRT components:

– Guideway engineering (structural)– Chassis engineering (mechanical)– Cabin design (specialty)– Control system (electronics)– Station and maintenance facility design (civil)

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ANALYSIS OF FEASIBILITY

Steps needed to implement PRT system:

• Identification of site options and system layout

• Ridership and revenue forecasts (investment grade)

• Estimation of capital and operating costs

• Evaluation of funding availability and financing approach: public-private partnerships, parking-optimization revenues, station cost-sharing with private sector, advertising revenues, etc.

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ANALYSIS OF FEASIBILITY

Evaluation of issues and concerns

• Reliability of technology

• Visual impacts

• Safety

• Security

• System capacity

• System operations

• Other

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ANALYSIS OF FEASIBILITY

Evaluation of benefits

• Livability factors

• Sustainability factors

• Benefit-Cost analysis

Evaluation of options and selection of preferred alternative(s)

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For additional information, please contact

Ferrol O. RobinsonResearch Fellow

State and Local Policy ProgramHumphrey Institute of Urban Affairs

University of Minnesota

[email protected]