Oxford Ideas Network, 13 September 2019 · European Parliament Russia continues to disrespect the...
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Oxford Ideas Network, 13 September 2019
Transcript of Oxford Ideas Network, 13 September 2019 · European Parliament Russia continues to disrespect the...
Oxford Ideas Network, 13 September 2019
SLO
VAK
IA
7
COLOMBIA
1990200
0
1980197019601950 1940
1913 2010
Legend:
The map shows how the
(mathematical) centre of gravity of
the world economy has changed:
In 1 AD it was in the Middle East
between the Roman Empire and
the Empire of China.
It then shifted north west, first
gradually and then more markedly
from 1800 onwards due to the first
two industrial revolutions and the
rise of the United States.
It remained in the North Atlantic
until the start of globalisation and
the rapid rise of China and of Asia
in general.
The more northerly position
compared with the starting-point
reflects the substantial current
weight of China compared with
the rest of Asia.
The predicted rise of India after
2030 could bring it back to its
point of origin.
2025SLOVAKIA
18201500
Year 1 of theChristian era
1000
Source: 2012 ESPAS report
Source: 2012 ESPAS report
Source: 2012 ESPAS report
Source: 2012 ESPAS report
?
Source: 2012 ESPAS report
Source: IMF
Source: OECD
Source: World Inequality Report
Florence Gaub, 2019 ESPAS report
―
―
Source: 2019 ESPAS report
Source: Voros J, ‘A generic foresight process framework’, Foresight, 5, 3, 2003, 10-21
Source: Wilkinson
ESPAS Global Horizon Scanning
31
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SOCIETY
GEO
POLITICS
