Overview of Recent DevelopmentsOverview of Recent Developments

Gregory B. GreenwoodScience Advisor

Resources Agency

Not-so-recent historyNot-so-recent history 1988 AB 4420 (Sher) –

potential impacts of climate change

1991 Global Climate Change: Potential Impacts and Policy Recommendations

1997 Global Climate Change Report: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Strategies for California

SB 1771 & 527 –GHG EmissionsSB 1771 & 527 –GHG Emissions

Established California Climate Action Registry

Requires update of GHG inventory on five-year cycle

Imminent release of update …

CEC establishes Climate Change Program http://www.energy.ca.gov/global_climate_change/

15

Source: 1997 Global Climate Change, CEC

Ca lifo rnia COCa lifo rnia CO22

Emiss ion Sourc e s Emiss ion Sourc e s

Tra ns portat io n is Califo rnia’s Large s t So urc e o f COCO22

Electricity Generation (In-State)

9%

Electricity Generation

(Out-of-State)

7%

Transportation

54%

Industrial

18%

Residential

8%

Commercial

4%

AB 2076 Reduce Petroleum DependenceAB 2076 Reduce Petroleum Dependence

Transportation Energy Efficiency Measures

Advanced vehicle technologies, including alternative fueled vehicles, hybrid vehicles and high efficiency vehicles.

Non-Petroleum and Alternative Fuels, which include gasoline and diesel substitutes.

Measures to Affect Consumer Fuel Demand

www.energy.ca.gov/fuels/petroleum_dependence/

CEC Public Interest Energy Research -Global Climate Change Research Plan

CEC Public Interest Energy Research -Global Climate Change Research Plan

economic issues improvement in methodology of in-

state GHG emissions estimation ecological impacts water resources impacts forestry and agricultural impacts regional climatic modeling the development of supply side of

options to reduce GHG emissions

DWR State Water Plan UpdateDWR State Water Plan Update

6 June 2001 Los Angeles Cayan, Roos and Gleick

presentation to Public Advisory Committee

Subsequent Machado hearings

Sufficient? Coherent?Sufficient? Coherent?

California Climate Initiative

A Proposal for the 2002 State of the State Address

Joint Agency Climate Team

(Resources, CalEPA, BT&H, CDFA, TT&C, OPR)

December 20, 2001

California Climate Initiative

A Proposal for the 2002 State of the State Address

Joint Agency Climate Team

(Resources, CalEPA, BT&H, CDFA, TT&C, OPR)

December 20, 2001

Draft - Please Do Not Distribute

California Climate Initiative

Making Progress in 2002

Joint Agency Climate Team

(Resources, CalEPA, BTH, CDFA, TTC, OPR)

Who?Who? Resources Agency

CECDWRCDFDFG

Cal EPACARBSWRCBCIWMB

Business, Transportaton and Housing

CalTrans CA Food and Agriculture Office of Planning and

Research Technology, Trade and

Commerce

What?What?

Making the compelling case: packaging info We are not alone: commitments of other

governments and corporations We have already begun: the climate change

implications of existing programs But we have a lot more to do: elements of a

climate change initiative…

Some California Programs Address Some Parts of Climate Change…

EndsEnds

MeansMeans

Current Programs

But We Need A Richer Strategy To Fully Address Climate Change…

EndsEnds

MeansMeans

Useful Actions

Proposed Initiatives

vs. 1991 Recommendations vs. 1991 Recommendations“1. Promoting energy-efficient technologies and strategies

in the residential, commercial and industrial sectors

2. Accounting for environmental externalities in assessing the costs of energy production, resource planning, and procurement

3. Promoting development and integration of renewable generating technologies into the electricity system

4. Promoting high-efficiency gas generation technologies

5. Improving forestry, solid waste and recycling, and livestock management

…Dealing with impacts…Dealing with impacts6. Expanding markets for low-emission alternative fuels

and vehicles

7. Promoting research and development on biomass-based alcohol fuels

8. Reducing vehicle miles traveled in personal vehicles, through promoting improved and expanded transportation alternatives, VMT fees, and other highway use fees; and

9. Expanding land use planning to incorporate long-term transportation needs and promote strategies for better management of transportation demand”

Next StepsNext Steps Half full (which is still more full than

the federal): “California has recognized climate change as an issue and has begun to address it.”

Half empty: “California needs to broaden and deepen its response to climate change in terms of both adaptation and mitigation.”

Half full: claiming victoryHalf full: claiming victory Turn this matrix into a

more complete and compelling text

Include relevant activities of other agencies and departments; e.g. State and Consumer Services

Half empty: unpacking the initiativeHalf empty: unpacking the initiative Taking “good” ideas and turning them into programs

and policies… Considerable analysis… Costs and benefits… Lurking issues: uncertainty, tax policy, sustainability,

land use, relations with the feds, power contracts… What do we need so that in 2012 we don’t repeat

ourselves?