Overview of Quantitative Research · 2018. 6. 7. · Quantitative Research in Investing: Exploit...

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Overview of Quantitative Research www.alliancebernstein.com

Transcript of Overview of Quantitative Research · 2018. 6. 7. · Quantitative Research in Investing: Exploit...

Page 1: Overview of Quantitative Research · 2018. 6. 7. · Quantitative Research in Investing: Exploit Biases in Human Behavior Behavioral Finance says that not all investors are rational

Overview of Quantitative Research

www.alliancebernstein.com

Page 2: Overview of Quantitative Research · 2018. 6. 7. · Quantitative Research in Investing: Exploit Biases in Human Behavior Behavioral Finance says that not all investors are rational

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An investment firm admired for the quality of its research and its ability to turn knowledge into

results for clients

AllianceBernstein is …

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“We don’t control the world, we just try to out-think it.”

Sanford C. Bernstein

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Our Culture

Clients first, always

Unimpeachable integrity

Meritocracy

Drive towards individual achievement and team success

Respect and collaboration

Highest ethics

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Our Research Focus

Our company’s DNA is research

Our research footprint is extraordinary

Insights are brought together globally in an integrated fashion

We can amplify and/or isolate these insights in client portfolios

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Quantitative Research in Investing: Exploit Biases in Human Behavior

Behavioral Finance says that not all investors are rational

Quantitative Research can exploit these behavioral biases through an unemotional, objective and systematic framework

InvestmentControversy

Which?

Long-TermEarnings Power

Over-reactionTo Investment Controversy

Which?

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Door A Door B

80%Chance of

Getting$4,000

100%Chance of

Getting$3,000

Source: Kahneman and Tversky

Certainty Premium: “A Bird in Hand is Worth Two in the Bush”

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Door A Door B

80%Chance of

Getting$4,000

100%Chance of

Getting$3,000

Source: Kahneman and Tversky

Given the Possibility of Gains, Which Would You Rather Choose?

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Given the Possibility of Gains, Which Would You Rather Choose?

A B

0%0%

A. Door A

B. Door B

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Certainty Premium: Lowers Risk Premiums and Elevates Prices

Door A Door B

Source: Kahneman and Tversky

ExpectedValue$3,200

ExpectedValue$3,000

80%Chance of

Getting$4,000

100%Chance of

Getting$3,000

20%

80%

Popularity Popularity

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Source: Kahneman and Tversky

Door A Door B

80%Chance of

Losing$4,000

100%Chance of

Losing$3,000

Certain Gain Becomes Certain Loss

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Source: Kahneman and Tversky

Door A Door B

80%Chance of

Losing$4,000

100%Chance of

Losing$3,000

Given the Possibility of Losses, Which Would You Rather Choose?

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Given the Possibility of Losses, Which Would You Rather Choose?

A B

0%0%

A. Door A

B. Door B

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Source: Kahneman and Tversky

Door A Door B

ExpectedValue

$(3,200)

ExpectedValue

$(3,000)

80%Chance of

Losing$4,000

100%Chance of

Losing$3,000

92%

8%

Popularity Popularity

People Gamble to Avoid Loss

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Quantitative Research in Investing: Provide Systematic Framework

Systematic framework to evaluate companies

Incorporate risk issues and cost considerations

Trade-off return and risk in an optimized framework

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Quantitative Research in Practice: Markowitz’s Mean-Variance Framework

An investor allocates his wealth by solving the portfolio optimization problem:

where

: portfolio weights

: vector of expected returns

: covariance matrix returns

: risk tolerance coefficient

: constraints (budget constraint, sectors/industry, etc.

Risk

Return Efficient Frontier

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Opportunities in Research

AllianceBernstein LP

Sanford C. Bernstein(Sell-Side)

Alternative Investments

Blend Strategies

DefinedContribution

FixedIncome

Growth Equities

ValueEquities

Buy-side Businesses

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What We Look for in Candidates

Demonstrated academic and professional success

A passion for learning

Critical thinking and intellectual curiosity

Creativity in applying quantitative techniques

Ability to focus on key issues to drive towards decisions

Collaborative and open-minded

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More Information

www.alliancebernstein.com

www.alliancebernstein.com/careers

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Our Competitive Advantages

Commitment to research

Globally integrated research

Fundamental and Quantitative research

Having More Knowledge

Using Knowledge Better

Making Clients More SecureLong-term superior performance

Unwavering client focus

Experienced and stable teams

Disciplined investment process

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