Outlook for Mining in Alaska. Global Markets Alaskan Issues Resource Potential.

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Outlook for Mining in Alaska

Transcript of Outlook for Mining in Alaska. Global Markets Alaskan Issues Resource Potential.

Outlook for Miningin Alaska

Global Markets

Alaskan Issues

Resource Potential

• Capital Markets Are Very Tight• Junior Capital Market is Dismal• Management Focused on Return on Capital• 40% of Top Mining Companies Have Disappeared in the

Past 5 Years

Global Consolidation & Change

Average Annual Copper Prices(Cents per Pound)

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300

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

2001$ $ of the year

Annual Average Zinc Prices

(Cents per pound)

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140

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2001 $ $ of Year

Average Annual Gold Prices (Dollars per troy ounce)

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Western World Zinc ConsumptionWestern World Zinc Consumption

3000

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4000

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7000

7500

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000

Trend GrowthTrend Growth

1980-20001980-2000

2.5%/yr2.5%/yr

Thou Metric TonnesThou Metric Tonnes

Source: ILZSG, Teck ComincoSource: ILZSG, Teck Cominco

ZINC REFINING CAPACITYZINC REFINING CAPACITY

2%

6%5%

4%

13% 8%33%

11%7%

2%

9%

Source: Teck ComincoSource: Teck Cominco

Total World Capacity 9,300,000mtTotal World Capacity 9,300,000mt

• Land Status Issues

• Environmental Regulations that are “Urban Oriented”

• Pre-feasibility Costs

• Transportation & Utility Costs

Restraints to Mining in Alaska

• Native Lands

• State Lands, Mining Laws & Taxation

• Effective DEC Committed to Finding Solutions

• AIDEA & Positive State Attitude

Dealing With Restraints

• Healy (Usibelli) Coal

• Green’s Creek Silver/Zinc/+

• Red Dog Zinc/Lead

• Fort Knox Gold

Alaskan Mine Producers

• Beluga Coal• Red Dog District Zinc/Lead• Pogo Gold• Donlin Creek Gold• Pebble Copper• Ambler District Copper/+

Known Big Deposits

Gold from Gravels

• Placer industry has contracted enormously in past 20 years

• Outlook is poor considering environmental and market conditions

• Historical placer districts are good places to look for big, hard rock gold deposits

Do Not Forget Gravelis Mined Too

Exploration

• Food for Future Industry

• Greatly Reduced in 2002

• Unlikely to Rebound Completely to Historical Levels

Long Term

• New Big Discoveries

• New Commodities: Platinum, Palladium, Gemstones, Tin, Others

• New Technology Especially Related To Local Power Generation and Producing Metals from Concentrate

Conclusions

• Excellent Producing Mines Insure Industry for 30 or More Years

• Very Little New Activity in 2002

• Long Term Metal Trends Are Not Favorable

• Unlikely to Rebound Completely to Historical Levels

Thanks To...

Paul Glavinovich (Anchorage) Steve Borell (AMA) Neil Seldon (Vancouver) Charlotte MacCay (TeckCominco) Andy Roebuck (TeckCominco) Jason Brune (RDC) & Others

Annual Average LEAD Prices (cents/pound)

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Average Annual Silver Prices($ Per Troy Ounce)

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1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

2001$ $ of the year