Outlook 09 Changing Times, Emerging Trends Tuesday 17 February 2009 Presented by Mark McCrindle
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Transcript of Outlook 09 Changing Times, Emerging Trends Tuesday 17 February 2009 Presented by Mark McCrindle
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Outlook 09
Changing Times, Emerging Trends
Tuesday 17 February 2009
Presented by Mark McCrindle
www.mccrindle.com.au
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demographics
1978 2020Population: 14m 24m
15-19 year olds: 1.2m 1.3m
65-69 year olds: 0.4m 1.3m
Births (TFR): 2.1 1.6
Median Age: 29 40
Life expectancy: 69 84
Sources: ABS 2008, NATSEM.
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emergingtrends
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demographics
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psychographics
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Tradition
Reputation
Sit & Listen
Long-term needs
Content
Authority
Technical - IQ
Innovation
Recommendation
Try & See
Short-term wants
Process
Authenticity
Relational – EQ
psychographics
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characteristics of the 21st Century
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postlifestage
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childhoodadulthoodadulthood19th Century
20th Century teen
s
adulthoodadulthood
childhood
teens
adulthood
childhood tweens adulthoodteens kippers21st Century
postlifestage
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poststructural
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poststructural
Funnel
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poststructural
Fluid
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poststructuralCommand & Control - 20th Century
FINANCE OPERATIONS MARKETING
L
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poststructuralCollaboration & Cooperation - 21st Century
L
L
LL
L
L
L
L
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Top 5 Gen Y value propositions:
1. Social Connection
2. Fun & Entertaining
3. Cool & Socially Desirable
4. Life Enhancing
5. New & InnovativeSource: McCrindle Research Mind & Mood 2008
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postlinear
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postlinear: Maslow’s hierarchy today:
SELF ACTUALISATION
SELF ESTEEM
SOCIAL
SURVIVAL
SECURITY
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postrational
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+
+
COGNITIVE
EMOTIVE
AGREE-ERS
SEEKERS
--
HECKLERS
EMBRACERS
postrational: cognitive-emotive engagement
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Political
Economic
Social
Technological
Environmental
Legislative
Understanding the times: PESTEL Analysis
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1. Asymmetrical power
2. Citizens become customers
3. Growth in privatisation & PPP’s
4. Global treaties
Political: The Top 4
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Economic: The Top 4
1. Infrastructure upgrades
2. Intergenerational $ transfer
3. Lifestyle debt
4. Skills shortages
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Social: The Top 4
1. Ageing population
2. Redefined households
3. Work-life balance
4. Safety-net syndrome
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Technological: The Top 4
1. Transparency & TRM
2. Decline of the expert
3. Accelerated S-curve
4. Expectation inflation
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Environmental: The Top 4
1. Carbon trading/tax
2. MYOC
3. Greenwashing
4. Sustainability reporting
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Legislative: The Top 4
1. More regulation, less compliance
2. Incentivisation
3. Focus on health and ageing
4. Increasing centralisation
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1. More regulation, less compliance L
2. Work-life balance S
3. Infrastructure upgrades Ec
4. Expectation inflation T
5. Asymmetrical power P
6. Sustainability reporting En
7. Skills shortages Ec
8. Incentivisation L
9. Carbon trading/tax En
10. Transparency & TRM T
11. Growth in privatisation & PPP’s P
12. Citizens become customers P
CCIA ratings - The Top 12 (PESTEL)
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Presented by Mark McCrindleMcCrindle Research Pty Ltd
(02) 8824 3422
www.mccrindle.com.au