Our Priorities, Our State Budget WVCBP Annual Meeting, February 7, 2012 Ted Boettner, Executive...

12
Our Priorities, Our State Budget WVCBP Annual Meeting, February 7, 2012 Ted Boettner, Executive Director

Transcript of Our Priorities, Our State Budget WVCBP Annual Meeting, February 7, 2012 Ted Boettner, Executive...

Our Priorities, Our State BudgetWVCBP Annua l Mee t ing , Feb ruary 7 , 2012

Ted Boettner, Executive Director

Overview

Our Budget Priorities for FY 2013

Tax & Spending Trends

Long-term Budget Challenges

Making the “Revenue Connection”

Our Budget Priorities

48.7%

10.4%

19.0%

21.9%

FY 2013 Base Budget: $4.5 Billion

Other

Health & Human Services

Higher Education

Public Education

Almost 80% of OUR Budget goes to public schools, health care and human services, and

universities

Paying for Priorities

38.7%

26.9%

10.4%5.6%

6.80%

11.7%

FY2013 Base Budget Revenue

Other

Lottery

Business (CNIT/BFT)

Severance

Sales

Personal Income

About 2 /3 r d s o f ou r revenue i s f r om pe rsona l i ncome

and sa les taxes

Severance Saving State from Tax Cuts

FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012*

FY 2013*

-60.0%

-50.0%

-40.0%

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

Personal Income

Corporate Net income & Busi-ness Franchise

Sales & Use

Severance

Source: WVCBP analysis of WV Budget Office Data*Estimates

Eroding Business Tax Base

FY 1

995

FY 1

996

FY19

97

FY19

98

FY19

99

FY20

00

FY20

01

FY20

02

FY20

03

FY20

04

FY20

05

FY20

06

FY20

07

FY20

08

FY20

09

FY20

10

FY20

11

FY20

12

FY20

13

FY20

14

FY20

15$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$450,000

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

9.5%

7.5%

Source: WV Executive Budget, Volume I, FY1995-2013

exp

rese

ed

in

th

ou

san

ds

(nom

inal d

ola

rs)

CN

IT/B

FT R

even

es

as

a s

hare

of

GFR

Growing Severance Tax Base

FY 1

995

FY 1

996

FY19

97

FY19

98

FY19

99

FY20

00

FY20

01

FY20

02

FY20

03

FY20

04

FY20

05

FY20

06

FY20

07

FY20

08

FY20

09

FY20

10

FY20

11

FY20

12

FY20

13

FY20

14

FY20

15$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$450,000

$500,000

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

7.7%

10.8%

Source: WV Executive Budget, Volume I, FY1995-2013

exp

ress

ed

in

th

ou

san

ds

(nom

inal d

olla

rs)

Severn

ace

Tax R

even

ues

as

a s

hare

of

GFR

Corrections Spending Growing Fast

FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

$180,000

$200,000

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

4.00%

4.50%

5.00%

2.65%

4.08%

Source: WV Executive Budget, Volume II, FY 2003-2013

exp

ress

ed

in

th

ou

san

ds

(nom

inal d

olla

rs)

Corr

ect

ion

s Exp

en

dit

ure

s as

a s

hare

of

GR

F

Exp

en

dit

ure

s

Eroding State Support is Pushing Tuition Higher

FY 2002

FY 2003

FY 2004

FY 2005

FY 2006

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

$10,000

$3,541

Average Under-graduate Tuition

for In-state Students

$5,147

$8,779

State Higher Education

Appropriations per Student

(FTE)

$6,224

Source: WVHPC and WV Executive Budget, Volume II, FY 2003-2013

(20

11

do

lla

rs)

Medicaid Spending

FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

20%

Source: NASB0 and WV Budget Office data

exp

ress

ed in

mill

ions

Sta

te M

edic

aid

Spendin

g a

s a s

hare

of

base

budget

Long-term Budget Challenges

Severance tax revenues will remain steady, but business tax revenues will continue to decline.

Working-age population is projected to decline, while number of seniors expected to grow.

West Virginia continues to rank low in economic welfare indicators.

West Virginia has a long-term structural budget problem, with long-term expenditure growth outpacing revenue growth.

Heath care costs will become an important factor in controlling rising state expenditures.

Making the “Revenue Connection”

We need adequate revenue if we want to:

Reduce child poverty

Make college more affordable

Grow West Virginia’s economy

Create safe, strong communities

Improve our quality of life