OSODailyoso-securities.com/sipitung/files/OSO Daily 16 September 2019.pdf · 16 September 2019...
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OSODaily 16 September 2019
ODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45) JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX
6,334.84 (7.33)
-0.12%
Previous 6,342.17 Lowest
6,318.92 Highest 6,375.80 Val IDR bn
TBA
Volbn TBA Mkt Cap IDRtr
7,269.25 Net Forg 1DIDRbn (135.14) Net ForgYTDIDRbn
55,887.97
Return YTD (%) 2.27 Month to date (%)
0.10
Indices
Last Chg% 6,306.74 Americas
Dow Jones United States 27,219.52 0.14 16.68 S&P 500 United States 3,007.39 (0.07) 19.97 Nasdaq United States 8,176.71 (0.22) 23.23 EIDO United States 25.74 (0.58) 3.71 EMEA
FTSE 100 United Kingdom 7,367.46 0.31 9.50
CAC 40 France 5,655.46 0.22 19.55 D DAX Germany 12,468.53 0.47 18.08
Asia Pacific
Nikkei Japanese 21,759.61 1.05 9.86 Shanghai China 3,008.81 0.75 21.55 TWSE Taiwan 10,790.35 0.34 11.31 KOSPI Korea 2,049.20 (0.10) 0.30 KLSE Malaysia 1,601.00 0.02 (5.28) ST – Times Singapore 3,194.96 0.52 4.65 Sensex India 37,104.28 0.76 3.65 Hangseng Hongkong 27,087.63 0.98 5.83
Sectoral Previous 21,318.42 0.36 6.90 AGRICULTURE 1,352.81 1,365.81 0.96 (12.70) MINING 1,705.84 1,670.00 (2.10) (5.99) MISC INDUSTRY 1,198.04 1,198.47 0.04 (14.05) BASIC INDUSTRY 905.84 899.21 (0.73) 5.20 CONSUMER GOODS 2,369.05 2,366.02 (0.13) (7.91) PROPERTY 500.02 498.83 (0.24) 11.41 INFRASTRUKTUR 1,194.65 1,197.02 0.20 12.47 FINANCE 1,264.95 1,268.98 0.32 7.94 MANUFAKTURE 1,533.85 1,529.54 (0.28) (5.47) TRADE 814.78 812.21 (0.31) 3.61 LQ 45 992.62 992.25 (0.04) 0.97
Commodities Previous Lastest Chg% YTD%
Oil (USD/bbl) 55.09 54.85 (0.44) 34.27 Gold (USD tr.oz) 1,499.27 1,488.65 (0.71) 17.79 Nickel (USD/mtrc ton) 17,990.00 17,750.00 (1.33) 66.04 Tin (USD/mtrc ton) 17,125.00 16,475.00 (3.80) (15.40) Copper (USD/mtrc ton) 5,833.00 5,974.50 2.43 0.16 CPO (MYR/ton) 2,157.00 2,160.00 0.14 7.78 Coal (USD/ton) 69.20 69.20 - (32.49)
Currencies
Last Chg% YTD% IDR / USD
13,967.00 0.67 3.03
IDR / AUD
9,603.72 0.51 5.85 IDR / EUR
15,491.09 0.07 6.17
IDR /SGD
10,168.84 0.23 3.80 IDR / JPY
129.35 0.90 0.99
IDR / GBP
17,386.98 (0.06) 5.36 Global Macro Economics CB Rate CPI YoY GDP YoY United States 2.25 1.80 2.30 Euro Area 0.00 1.00 1.20 United Kingdom 0.75 2.10 1.20 Japan 0.10 0.50 1.00 China 4.35 2.80 6.20 Domestic macro Economics Lastest Chg% YTD% Jibor 5.00 (15.02) 28.20 GovBonds (5y) 6.70 (0.25) (15.29) GovBonds (10y) 7.26 (0.32) (9.56)
Inflasi YoY 3.49
Inflasi MoM 0.12 Bi rate 5.50 GDP Growth YoY (%) 5.05
Foreign Reserve (Bn) 126.40 Government Bonds Yield% Wow% Ytd% 7 Year 7.17 7.17 7.17 15 Year 7.70 7.70 7.70 20 Year 7.82 7.82 7.82 30 Year 8.03 8.03 8.03
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
Market Review Pada perdagangan akhir pekan kemarin (13/09) IHSG ditutup melemah sebesar 0.12% ke level 6.334.84. Enam dari sepuluh indeks sektoral berakhir dalam zona merah, dimana sektor pertambangan dan industri dasarmemimpin pelemahan masing-masing sebesar 2.10% dan 0.73%. Pelaku pasar asing membukukan aksi jual bersih (Netsell) senilai Rp 135 miliar. Nilai tukar rupiah terapresiasi sebesar 0.67% ke level 13.967. Global Review Pada perdagangan Jum'at (13/09) bursa saham Wall Street ditutup bervariasi dengan kecenderungan melemah, dimana S&P 500 dan Nasdaq turun masing-masing sebesar 0.07% dan 0.22% sedangkan Dow Jones menguat 0.13%. Pergerakan indeks masih cenderung terpengaruhi oleh aksi wait and see oleh pelaku pasar terhadap negoisasi perdagangan antara Amerika Serikat (AS) dan China pada bulan depan di Washington. Sedangkan dari sisi ekonomi, penjualan ritel AS meningkat pada Agustus hingga dua kali lipat dari yang diperkirakan sebelumnya atau sebesar 0.4%, hal ini menunjukkan belanja konsumen yang kuat akan terus mendukung ekspansi ekonomi AS yang paling lama berlangsung. JCI Prediction IHSG ditutup melemah sebesar 0.12% ke level 6.334. IHSG ditutup bearish candle. Adapun indikator Stochastic bearish dan MACD histogram bergerak turun dengan Volume turun. Kami perkirakan IHSG kembali bergerak melemah dengan pergerakan di kisaran 6273-6353. Major Economic Release
Industrial Production Japan bulan Juli tercatat
naik sebesar 0.7% dibandingkan sebelumnya
yang turun sebesar 3.8% (YoY).
Retail Sales United States bulan Agustus naik
sebesar 4.1% lebih tinggi dibandingkan
pertumbuhan sebelumnya sebesar 3.6%
(YoY).
Exports Prices United States bulan Agustus
turun sebesar 1.4% lebih tinggi dibandingkan
penurunan sebelumnya sebesar 0.9% (YoY).
Imports Prices United States bulan Agustus
turun sebesar 2% lebih tinggi dibandingkan
penurunan sebelumnya sebesar 1.9% (YoY).
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OSODaily 16 September 2019
TODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45)
Top Gainers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
ERAA IJ Equity
1,885 4.72 (14.32) 6.01 0.89
EXCL IJ Equity
3,450 2.99 74.24 36.87 1.18
SMGR IJ Equity
12,800 2.61 11.30 75.92 1.54
WIKA IJ Equity
2,110 1.93 27.49 18.93 1.53
JSMR IJ Equity
5,500 1.85 28.50 39.92 1.11
Top Losers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
ITMG IJ Equity
13,350 (5.15) (34.07) 15.08 1.34
ANTM IJ Equity
1,070 (4.46) 39.87 25.71 1.74
INCO IJ Equity
3,680 (4.42) 12.88 36.57 1.87
TPIA IJ Equity
8,900 (4.30) 50.21 158.72 0.75
ADRO IJ Equity
1,375 (4.18) 13.17 43.98 1.40
Top Volume
Last Volume (Mn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
ANTM IJ Equity
1,070 128.2 39.9 25.71 1.74
ADRO IJ Equity
1,375 82.7 13.2 43.98 1.40
BRPT IJ Equity
1,040 73.8 117.6 92.57 1.36
TLKM IJ Equity
4,160 64.1 12.5 412.10 0.79
BBRI IJ Equity
4,310 56.1 17.8 531.62 1.63
Top Value
Last Value (Bn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
GGRM IJ Equity
68,800 584.1 (17.7) 132.38 0.93
BBRI IJ Equity
4,310 375.4 17.8 531.62 1.63
BMRI IJ Equity
7,200 304.4 (2.4) 336.00 1.55
TLKM IJ Equity
4,160 292.8 12.5 412.10 0.79
BBCA IJ Equity
30,150 241.4 16.0 743.35 1.02
BENCHMARK INDICES COMPARISON Indices Country Latest P/E PBV Target 2019F Asia Pacific
IHSG
Indonesia 6,335 20.07 2.09 6,800
Nikkei
Japanese 21,988 15.61 1.67 23,986
Shanghai
China 3,031 14.69 1.52 3,285
TWSE
Taiwan 10,828 17.15 1.65 11,445
KOSPI
Korea 2,046 13.19 0.81 2,554
KLSE
Malaysia 1,601 19.40 1.62 1,688
ST - Times
Singapore 3,211 12.62 1.07 3,567
Sensex
India 37,385 25.98 2.81 42,658
Hangseng
Hongkong 27,353 10.57 1.21 32,118
OSO MANAJEMEN INVESTASI
Mutual Fund Latest 1 Month (%) YTD%
Oso Sustainability Fund
1,449.14 (0.38) (3.99) Oso Syariah Equity Fund
1,177.05 (13.76) 141.16
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
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COMPARATION OF JCI PERFORMANCE (SEAG)
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MACRO ECONOMIC & INDUSTRY NEWS
Penjualan ritel Amerika Serikat (AS) pada Agustus meningkat melebihi ekspektasi, terlihat dari belanja konsumen
yang solid dan mendukung laju pertumbuhan ekonomi yang moderat. Penjualan ritel naik 0,4% pada bulan lalu,
terangkat oleh pengeluaran kendaraan bermotor, bahan bangunan, perawatan kesehatan dan hobi.
Pemerintah sepakat menaikkan tarif cukai rokok sebesar 23% mulai Januari 2020. Rencana tersebut telah
diumumkan Menteri Keuangan RI Sri Mulyani, Jumat (13/9). Angka tersebut terbilang tinggi dibandingkan tahun
sebelumnya.
Bank Sentral Eropa kembali mengendorkan kebijakan moneter dengan menurunkan lagi suku bunga
negatifnya. ECB menurunkan suku bunga deposito 10 basis poin dari minus 0,4% menjadi minus 0,5%. Tujuannya
agar bank lebih getol menggelontorkan kredit untuk mendorong ekonomi.
CORPORATES NEWS PT Delta Djakarta Tbk (DLTA) tengah mengupayakan pertumbuhan kinerja di semester-Ii 2019. Manajemen
optimistis usai pemilu di semester-I kemarin daya beli masyarakat akan dapat terkerek naik. Di semester-I 2019,
penjualan DLTA turun tipis 0,2% dari Rp 389,49 miliar di semester-I 2018 menjadi Rp 388,55 miliar di semester-I
2019.
PT Ratu Prabu Energi Tbk (ARTI) mencatatkan kinerja keuangan yang kurang baik selama semester I-2019. ARTI
mengantongi pendapatan Rp 108,93 miliar semester I-2019, turun 34,56% dari periode yang sama tahun lalu yang
sebesar Rp 166,47 miliar.
Prospek bisnis PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk (TBIG) terus memanjang. Manajemen Tower Bersama
Infrastructure yakin bisa memenuhi target penambahan tenant atau penyewa baru yang mencapai 3.000 tenant
hingga akhir tahun ini. Selama semester pertama tahun ini, TBIG telah menambah tenant baru mencapai 1.236
tenant.
PT Austindo Nusantara Jaya Tbk (ANJT) menjual kepemilikan sahamnya dengan nilai transaksi US$ 35,2 juta.
Pembelinya terdiri dari dua pihak ketiga, yaitu PT Evans Indonesia dan Praba Madhavan P.A. Madhavan. Secara
rinci, pembayaran dari PT Evans Indonesia adalah sebesar US$ 25,42 juta dan Praba Madhavan P.A. Madhavan US$
9,75 juta.
PT Trikomsel Oke Tbk (TRIO) menyatakan penurunan penjualan perusahaan di semester I 2019 merupakan
konsekuensi logis dari penutupan sejumlah gerai perusahaan. Pada paruh pertama 2019, pendapatan Trikomsel
jatuh 36,67% dari Rp 887,64 miliar menjadi Rp 562,11 miliar. Sementara itu, kerugian membengkak hampir tujuh
kali lipat atau sebesar 596,79% menjadi Rp 34,7 miliar dari kerugian periode sebelumnya yang hanya Rp 4,98 miliar.
Kondisi keuangan PT Summarecon Agung Tbk (SMRA) tampaknya masih solid. Pasalnya, PT Pemeringkat Efek
Indonesia Tbk (Pefindo) mempertahankan peringkat Id-A untuk PT Summarecon Agung Tbk (SMRA) dan
obligasinya.
Sumber: Kontan, Bisnis Indonesia, Iqplus
NOTE: Positive Sentiment Negative Sentiment Netral
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Downtrend MACD line/histogram : Positif Stochastic : Bearish Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : BUY Entry Buy : 336 – 340 Target Price : 350 – 358 Support : 328 – 330 Cutloss : 326
DAILY TECHNICAL
Bidik Proyek Multi Client Seismic, Elnusa Gandeng Perusahaan Norwegia PT Elnusa Tbk. menggandeng perusahaan asal Norwegia TGS - NOPEC Geophysical Company untuk meraih proyek survei seismik dengan metode multi klien (multi client seismic survey). Kerja sama ini bagian dari upaya perusahaan menjajaki peluang bisnis baru. Direktur Operasi Elnusa Arief Riyanto menjelaskan, melalui survei seismik metode multi client, kontraktor kontrak kerja sama (KKKS) migas tidak perlu mengeluarkan biaya survei seismik sepenuhnya, melainkan patungan dengan kontraktor migas lainnya. Elnusa menawarkan proyek ini sebagai salah satu solusi dalam menggeliatkan aktivitas eksplorasi migas tanah air.
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 350. Apabila break 350 next harga ke level 358. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 326 jika sudah melewati support 328 – 330.
|ELSA|PE : 8x | PBV : 0.73x | ROE: 9.17% | NPM : 4.10% | DER : 0.79x | Fair Value : 400|
Souce: OSO Research Team
BUY
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Ke Arah Positif Stochastic : Bullish Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : BUY Entry Buy : 840 – 850 Target Price : 870 – 880 Support : 835 – 840 Cutloss : 830
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY |HOKI|PE : 17.71x | PBV : 3.40x | ROE: 18.96% | NPM : 6.56% | DER : 0.39x | Fair Value :950|
Semester Pertama, Laba Bersih HOKI Naik Jadi Rp56,44 Miliar PT Buyung Poetra Sembada Tbk (HOKI ) membukukan kenaikan laba bersih di Semester I -2019 (unaudited) menjadi Rp56,44 miliar dari Rp50,48 miliar pada semester pertama tahun sebelumnya. Berdasarkan keterbukaan informasi HOKI yang dirilis Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) di Jakarta, Selasa (30/7), kenaikan laba bersih tersebut ditopang perolehan penjualan bersih di paruh pertama tahun ini yang mencapai Rp859,49 miliar atau meningkat dari raihan pada Semester I-2018 sebesar Rp764,46 miliar. Sementara itu, pada enam bulan pertama tahun ini beban pokok penjualan HOKI tercatat sebesar Rp736,9 miliar atau meningkat dari Rp655,14 miliar.
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang menguji level 870. Apabila break 870 next harga ke level 880. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu tembus 855 atau malah berbailk menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 830 jika sudah melewati support 835 – 840.
NOTE:
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Downtrend MACD line/histogram : Positif Stochastic : Bearish Volume : Turun
Recommendation : BUY Entry Buy : 740 – 760 Target Price : 780 – 790 Support : 735 – 740 Cutloss : 730
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY |MEDC|PE : 17.0x | PBV : 0.66x | ROE: 3.90% | NPM : 4.45% | DER : 3.38x | Fair Value : 900|
MEDC | Medco Kelola Potensi Panas Bumi Bonjol Pasaman Kepala Dinas Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral (ESDM) Provinsi Sumatera Barat Hery Martinus menyatakan potensi Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Panas Bumi Bonjol Kabupaten Pasaman akan dikelola oleh PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk. "Potensi panas bumi Bonjol dengan kapasitas 60 megawatt sudah selesai dilelang, dan pengembangnya PT Medco, sekarang mereka sudah mulai survei awal," katanya saat mendampingi Dirjen EBTKE FX Sutijastoto meninjau PLTP Solok Selatan, Selasa. Untuk pengembangan energi panas bumi di Sumbar, pengembang bisa belajar dari PT Supreme Energy di Solok Selatan dimana mereka sudah bisa mengidentifikasi masalah.
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 780. Apabila berhasil menguji 780 next harga ke level 790. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau berbalik menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 730 jika sudah melewati support 735 – 740.
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Sector Rotation
Mingguan
Bulanan
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR BASIC INDUSTRY
BRPT IJ Equity 1,040 (0.95) 117.57 5.56 81.94 7.57 1.13 5.21 98.23 630 -39% Sell
CPIN IJ Equity 5,150 (0.96) (28.72) 4.40 21.96 13.57 13.99 21.19 22.95 4,573 -11% Sell
INKP IJ Equity 7,050 (0.35) (38.96) 0.71 6.97 2.79 4.61 10.66 113.83 11,300 60% Buy
INTP IJ Equity 20,700 1.85 12.20 3.49 53.26 28.67 5.47 6.48 0.50 19,764 -5% Sell
JPFA IJ Equity 1,615 (0.92) (24.88) 1.94 9.99 4.57 8.00 20.16 59.63 1,760 9% Buy
SMGR IJ Equity 12,800 2.61 11.30 2.51 29.30 10.76 4.11 8.74 30.13 14,405 13% Buy
TKIM IJ Equity 10,325 1.23 (6.98) 1.73 11.30 17.20 6.95 16.45 120.71 13,000 26% Buy
TPIA IJ Equity 8,900 (4.30) 50.21 6.35 89.76 29.58 4.18 7.14 34.35 4,423 -50% Sell
Industry Average in LQ45 3.34 38.06 14.34 6.06 12.00 60.04
Total of Industry Average 1.79 25.76 10.42 2.27 (23.71) 101.08
SECTOR CONSUMER GOODS
GGRM IJ Equity 68,800 0.77 (17.73) 2.98 15.54 9.17 12.84 20.01 38.38 91,020 32% Buy
HMSP IJ Equity 2,800 (0.71) (24.53) 11.43 22.99 17.38 32.64 50.51 0.33 3,618 29% Buy
ICBP IJ Equity 11,600 (2.73) 11.00 5.94 27.82 16.57 13.48 22.92 9.06 12,128 5% Hold
INDF IJ Equity 7,500 (0.66) 0.67 1.88 13.84 5.41 4.98 14.36 59.18 8,335 11% Buy
KLBF IJ Equity 1,680 (0.59) 10.53 5.37 31.51 20.92 13.62 17.85 2.34 1,604 -5% Sell
UNVR IJ Equity 46,600 1.14 2.64 70.06 38.33 25.95 43.81 183.94 20.26 45,456 -2% Sell
Industry Average in LQ45 16.28 25.00 15.90 20.23 51.60 21.59
Total of Industry Average 6.37 25.95 19.84 9.21 19.82 46.26
SECTOR INFRASTRUCTURE
EXCL IJ Equity 3,450 2.99 74.24 1.98 130.48 3.83 (5.11) (14.59) 125.77 3,923 14% Buy
JSMR IJ Equity 5,500 1.85 28.50 2.26 18.01 5.95 2.50 13.33 157.26 6,444 17% Buy
PGAS IJ Equity 1,965 (1.50) (7.31) 1.35 15.94 2.67 3.11 7.41 109.43 2,428 24% Buy
TLKM IJ Equity 4,160 (0.24) 12.50 4.39 20.19 6.29 9.77 22.82 37.58 4,717 13% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2.49 46.15 4.69 2.57 7.24 107.51
Total of Industry Average 3.18 40.65 216.85 (4.08) (63.67) 131.60
Source: Bloomber LP
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OSODaily 16 September 2019
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR MINING
ADRO IJ Equity 1,375 (4.18) 13.17 0.83 6.04 2.41 7.45 14.21 32.95 1,612 17% Buy
AKRA IJ Equity 4,030 (0.25) (6.06) 1.96 22.28 12.78 4.78 11.01 42.61 4,929 22% Buy
ANTM IJ Equity 1,070 (4.46) 39.87 1.29 32.13 9.39 2.47 4.14 50.26 1,256 17% Buy
INCO IJ Equity 3,680 (4.42) 12.88 1.40 496.97 21.84 0.23 0.27 1.94 4,188 14% Buy
INDY IJ Equity 1,450 (3.97) (8.52) 0.59 33.30 1.12 0.46 1.74 129.53 2,125 47% Buy
ITMG IJ Equity 13,350 (5.15) (34.07) 1.17 4.55 2.52 17.45 25.70 - 18,714 40% Buy
MEDC IJ Equity 750 (1.32) 9.49 0.75 9.06 1.47 (1.14) (5.07) 202.38 1,043 39% Buy
PTBA IJ Equity 2,560 (2.29) (40.47) 1.56 5.73 4.12 19.44 29.25 5.12 3,514 37% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1.19 76.26 6.95 6.39 10.16 58.10
Total of Industry Average 2.22 38.56 15.28 3.56 3.59 94.98
SECTOR MISC INDUSTRY
ASII IJ Equity 6,750 - (17.93) 1.96 12.95 7.02 6.40 15.79 49.27 7,983 18% Buy
SRIL IJ Equity 332 - (7.26) 0.84 5.24 2.30 6.72 17.23 139.64 Neutral #VALUE! #VALUE!
Industry Average in LQ45 1.40 9.09 4.66 6.56 16.51 94.46
Total of Industry Average 2.27 395.21 6.15 3.04 3.44 94.41
SECTOR PROPERTY
BSDE IJ Equity 1,350 (1.46) 7.57 0.90 8.62 8.53 5.69 11.01 46.06 1,706 26% Buy
CTRA IJ Equity 1,095 (0.90) 8.42 1.40 15.59 7.63 3.84 9.39 50.80 1,355 24% Buy
PTPP IJ Equity 1,890 0.27 4.71 0.91 8.47 3.94 2.84 11.34 74.03 2,600 38% Buy
PWON IJ Equity 680 0.74 9.68 2.40 11.79 8.72 11.10 22.42 36.44 765 13% Buy
WIKA IJ Equity 2,110 1.93 27.49 1.23 8.98 4.60 3.70 14.89 78.93 2,817 34% Buy
WSKT IJ Equity 1,770 0.28 5.36 1.33 12.19 4.76 1.58 11.35 224.10 2,276 29% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1.36 10.94 6.36 4.79 13.40 85.06
Total of Industry Average 2.73 28.94 13.72 4.60 10.11 47.63
Source: Bloomber LP
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR TRADE
ERAA IJ Equity 1,885 4.72 (14.32) 1.30 11.72 5.01 4.54 11.78 88.81 1,947 3% Hold
LPPF IJ Equity 3,030 (0.98) (45.89) 4.70 9.44 5.06 15.33 45.23 - 4,783 58% Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1,305 0.38 89.13 1.53 7.92 4.60 12.35 20.53 42.22 1,568 20% Buy
SCMA IJ Equity 1,290 (1.90) (31.02) 3.80 13.26 9.59 20.52 29.07 0.33 1,835 42% Buy
UNTR IJ Equity 22,775 (1.19) (16.73) 1.55 7.57 3.39 10.84 21.57 17.95 30,275 33% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2.57 9.98 5.53 12.72 25.64 29.86
Total of Industry Average 7.29 34.03 17.66 1.08 2.48 65.29
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) LDR (%) NPL NIM (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR FINANCE
BBCA IJ Equity 30,150 0.17 15.96 4.66 27.23 88.15 1.40 6.53 6.30 30,749 2% Hold
BBRI IJ Equity 4,310 0.70 17.76 2.80 15.67 90.10 2.27 7.35 64.57 4,709 9% Buy
BBNI IJ Equity 7,850 (0.32) (10.80) 1.28 9.62 92.85 1.90 5.14 82.33 9,912 26% Buy
BBTN IJ Equity 2,190 (0.90) (13.78) 0.94 8.63 103.45 2.82 3.81 188.00 2,665 22% Buy
BMRI IJ Equity 7,200 0.70 (2.37) 1.81 12.74 100.47 2.75 5.36 56.75 9,009 25% Buy
BTPS IJ Equity 3,080 0.65 71.59 5.94 23.69 454.49 1.39 38.72 149.94 3,653 19% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2.30 14.78 95.00 2.23 5.64 79.59
Total of Industry Average 5.13 33.59 110.09 3.09 7.18 84.38
Source: Bloomber LP
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend
Bollinger Band
Pivot Point
Support Resistance Stop Loss
Level Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
ADRO IJ Equity 1,375 13.2 Negatif OverBought Positif 910 1,205 1,500 1,405 1,360 1,315 1,450 1,495 1,295 Sell
AKRA IJ Equity 4,030 (6.1) Positif Trading Negatif 3,935 4,120 4,310 4,050 4,015 3,980 4,085 4,120 3,920 Hold
ANTM IJ Equity 1,070 39.9 Negatif Trading Negatif 1,000 1,080 1,160 1,095 1,060 1,025 1,130 1,165 1,005 Sell
ASII IJ Equity 6,750 (17.9) Negatif Trading Positif 6,275 6,575 6,875 6,800 6,725 6,650 6,875 6,950 6,550 Hold
BBCA IJ Equity 30,150 16.0 Negatif Trading Positif 29,775 30,100 30,450 30,275 30,075 29,875 30,475 30,675 29,425 Hold
BBNI IJ Equity 7,850 (10.8) Negatif Trading Positif 7,350 7,650 7,950 7,900 7,825 7,750 7,975 8,050 7,625 Hold
BBRI IJ Equity 4,310 17.8 Positif Trading Positif 4,030 4,180 4,330 4,310 4,295 4,270 4,335 4,350 4,205 Speculative Buy
BBTN IJ Equity 2,190 (13.8) Negatif Trading Positif 1,965 2,125 2,280 2,200 2,170 2,140 2,230 2,260 2,110 Hold
BMRI IJ Equity 7,200 (2.4) Negatif Trading Positif 6,850 7,125 7,375 7,200 7,150 7,075 7,275 7,325 6,975 Hold
BRPT IJ Equity 1,040 117.6 Positif OverBought Positif 640 920 1,195 1,045 1,020 990 1,075 1,100 975 Hold
BSDE IJ Equity 1,350 7.6 Negatif Trading Positif 1,300 1,350 1,405 1,360 1,340 1,315 1,385 1,405 1,295 Hold
BTPS IJ Equity 3,080 71.6 Negatif Trading Negatif 2,960 3,175 3,390 3,075 3,035 2,995 3,115 3,155 2,950 Sell
CPIN IJ Equity 5,150 (28.7) Negatif Trading Positif 4,430 4,865 5,300 5,200 5,100 4,990 5,300 5,400 4,915 Hold
CTRA IJ Equity 1,095 8.4 Negatif Trading Positif 970 1,125 1,280 1,105 1,085 1,070 1,120 1,140 1,050 Hold
ERAA IJ Equity 1,885 (14.3) Negatif Trading Positif 1,355 1,650 1,945 1,845 1,800 1,755 1,890 1,935 1,725 Hold
EXCL IJ Equity 3,450 74.2 Negatif Trading Negatif 3,160 3,370 3,580 3,410 3,355 3,310 3,455 3,510 3,260 Sell
GGRM IJ Equity 68,800 (17.7) Negatif Oversold Negatif 63,850 71,450 79,050 68,775 68,475 68,000 69,250 69,550 66,975 Speculative Buy
HMSP IJ Equity 2,800 (24.5) Negatif Trading Positif 2,570 2,800 3,030 2,825 2,795 2,775 2,845 2,875 2,730 Hold
ICBP IJ Equity 11,600 11.0 Positif Trading Negatif 11,600 11,875 12,150 11,700 11,575 11,425 11,850 11,975 11,250 Hold
INCO IJ Equity 3,680 12.9 Negatif Trading Positif 3,090 3,585 4,080 3,745 3,655 3,565 3,835 3,925 3,510 Hold
INDF IJ Equity 7,500 0.7 Positif Trading Negatif 7,500 7,800 8,125 7,500 7,450 7,375 7,575 7,625 7,275 Hold
INDY IJ Equity 1,450 (8.5) Negatif Trading Positif 1,265 1,400 1,535 1,480 1,445 1,405 1,520 1,555 1,385 Hold
INKP IJ Equity 7,050 (39.0) Positif Trading Positif 6,550 6,975 7,425 7,100 7,025 6,925 7,200 7,275 6,825 Speculative Buy
source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 16 September 2019
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend
Bollinger Band
Pivot Point
Support Resistance Stop Loss
Level Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
INTP IJ Equity 20,700 12.2 Positif Trading Negatif 20,150 21,400 22,625 20,500 20,275 19,950 20,825 21,050 19,650 Hold
ITMG IJ Equity 13,350 (34.1) Positif Trading Positif 11,225 13,125 15,050 13,675 13,325 12,900 14,100 14,450 12,725 Speculative Buy
JPFA IJ Equity 1,615 (24.9) Negatif Trading Positif 1,490 1,580 1,670 1,625 1,610 1,595 1,640 1,655 1,570 Hold
JSMR IJ Equity 5,500 28.5 Negatif Trading Positif 5,250 5,525 5,800 5,450 5,400 5,325 5,525 5,575 5,250 Hold
KLBF IJ Equity 1,680 10.5 Negatif OverBought Negatif 1,570 1,650 1,725 1,675 1,665 1,640 1,700 1,710 1,615 Strong Sell
LPPF IJ Equity 3,030 (45.9) Negatif Trading Positif 2,920 3,050 3,180 3,060 3,020 2,990 3,090 3,130 2,945 Hold
MEDC IJ Equity 750 9.5 Positif Trading Positif 715 750 785 755 745 735 765 775 725 Speculative Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1,305 89.1 Negatif Trading Positif 1,220 1,275 1,325 1,305 1,280 1,265 1,320 1,345 1,245 Hold
PGAS IJ Equity 1,965 (7.3) Negatif Trading Positif 1,830 1,950 2,065 1,985 1,955 1,930 2,010 2,040 1,900 Hold
PTBA IJ Equity 2,560 (40.5) Negatif Trading Positif 2,305 2,500 2,690 2,605 2,545 2,505 2,645 2,705 2,465 Hold
PTPP IJ Equity 1,890 4.7 Negatif Trading Positif 1,725 1,855 1,985 1,890 1,865 1,845 1,910 1,935 1,815 Hold
PWON IJ Equity 680 9.7 Negatif Trading Positif 605 650 700 675 670 655 690 695 645 Hold
SCMA IJ Equity 1,290 (31.0) Negatif Trading Positif 1,125 1,225 1,325 1,300 1,280 1,255 1,325 1,345 1,235 Hold
SMGR IJ Equity 12,800 11.3 Positif Trading Negatif 12,425 13,050 13,700 12,675 12,450 12,250 12,875 13,100 12,050 Hold
SRIL IJ Equity 332 (7.3) Negatif Oversold Positif 331 335 340 333 332 331 334 335 326 Speculative Buy
TKIM IJ Equity 10,325 (7.0) Positif Trading Positif 9,200 9,950 10,700 10,250 10,175 10,050 10,375 10,450 9,900 Speculative Buy
TLKM IJ Equity 4,160 12.5 Negatif Oversold Negatif 4,155 4,335 4,510 4,195 4,160 4,125 4,230 4,265 4,065 Speculative Buy
TPIA IJ Equity 8,900 50.2 Negatif OverBought Negatif 7,975 8,750 9,500 8,875 8,450 7,550 9,775 10,200 7,450 Strong Sell
UNTR IJ Equity 22,775 (16.7) Negatif Trading Positif 18,950 21,225 23,525 22,975 22,650 22,175 23,450 23,775 21,825 Hold
UNVR IJ Equity 46,600 2.6 Positif Trading Negatif 44,425 46,800 49,200 46,350 46,075 45,825 46,600 46,875 45,125 Hold
WIKA IJ Equity 2,110 27.5 Negatif Trading Positif 1,905 2,170 2,435 2,100 2,070 2,040 2,130 2,160 2,010 Hold
WSKT IJ Equity 1,770 5.4 Negatif Trading Positif 1,665 1,755 1,850 1,765 1,755 1,735 1,785 1,795 1,710 Hold
source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 16 September 2019
MAJOR ECONOMIC RELEASE CALENDAR
Date Event Country Act Prev Cons
13-Sep-19 Japan, Industrial Production YoY Final JUL JPY 0.70% -3.8% 0.7
Japan, Industrial Production MoM Final JUL JPY 1.30% -3.3% 1.3%
Japan, Capacity Utilization MoM JUL JPY 1.10% -2.6% US Retail Sales MoM AUG USD 0.40% 0.8% 0.3%
US Export Prices YoY AUG USD -1.40% -0.9% US Export Prices MoM AUG USD -0.60%
0.2% -0.3%
US Import Prices YoY AUG USD -2% -1.90%
US Import Prices MoM USD -0.50% 0.10% -0.4%
US Retail Sales YoY AUG USD 4.10% 3.6%
16-Sep-19 China, Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY AUG CNY
5.7%
China, Industrial Production YoY AUG CNY
4.8%
China, Retail Sales YoY AUG CNY
7.6%
Indonesia, Balance of Trade AUG IDN
$-0.06B
Indonesia, Exports YoY AUG IDN
-5.12% Indonesia, Imports YoY AUG IDN
-15.21%
17-Sep-19 China, House Price Index YoY AUG CNY
9.70% US Industrial Production YoY AUG USD
0.50%
US Industrial Production MoM AUG USD
-0.20% 0.20%
US Manufacturing Production YoY AUG USD
-0.50% US Manufacturing Production MoM AUG USD
-0.40% 0.20%
US Capacity Utilization AUG USD
77.50% 77.60%
US NAHB Housing Market Index SEP USD
66 66
US Overall Net Capital Flows JUL USD
$1.7B US Foreign Bond Investment JUL USD
$-7.7B
US Net Long-Term Tic Flows JUL USD
$99.1B US API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/13 USD
-7.2M
Source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 16 September 2019
CORPORATE ACTION
RUPS
Date Time Company Event Place
12-Sep-19 14:00 MKNT RUPSLB Jakarta
16-Sep-19 TBA PSSI RUPSLB TBA
17-Sep-19 14:00 PANI RUPSLB Aula Serbaguna Dahlia Apartemen Kedoya
18-Sep-19 10:00 INAF RUPSLB Hotel Borobudur Jakarta 14:00 KAEF RUPSLB Hotel Borobudur Jakarta
25-Sep-19 9:00 KONI RUPSLB Hotel Lumire
13:00 RIGS RUPS Hotel Park Rigs Arion Kemang 14:00 BYAN RUPSLB Mercantile Athletic Club WTC I 14:00 GOLL RUPSLB Plaza Mutiara 14:00 MDKA RUPSLB Grand Aston
26-Sep-19 9:00 MICE RUPSLB Kantor Pusat MICE 10:00 TIRA RUPSLB Ruang Seminar TIRA
10:30 NIPS RUPSLB Hotel Salak Bogor Lt 4
27-Sep-19 10:00 HEXA RUPS Kantor Pusat HEXA
11:00 VINS RUPSLB Gedung Graha BIP
14:00 ACST RUPSLB Ruang Seminar BEI 14:00 ENRG RUPSLB Bakrie Tower Lt 25 14:30 BSSR RUPSLB TBA Dividend
Code Status Cum- Date Ex-Date Recording Date Pay -Date Ammount (IDR)/Share
TGKA Cash Dividen 6-Sep-19 9-Sep-19 10-Sep-19 19-Sep-19 35
IPO Company Underwriter Offering Date Listing Date IPO Price Shares (Mn)
Bhakti Agung Propertindo Tbk MNC Sekuritas 03 - 09 September 2019 16-Sep-19 150 1,677
Telefast Indonesia Tbk Sinarmas Sekuritas 09 - 11 September 2019 17-Sep-19 180 416
Gunung Raja Paksi Tbk Kresna Sekuritas 13 - 16 September 2019 19-Sep-19 825 - 900 1,240
Optima Prima Metal Sinergi Tbk Sinarmas Sekuritas 12 - 16 September 2019 23-Sep-19 125 - 135 400
Nusantara Almazia Tbk Sinarmas Sekuritas 17 - 18 September 2019 25-Sep-19 200 - 220 461
Trinitan Metals & Minerals Tbk Mirae Asset Sekuritas 23 - 27 September 2019 1-Oct-19 270 - 300 333
Source: KSEI and OSO Research Team
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OSODaily 16 September 2019
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Mochammad Cahyo Research Analyst +62 21 2991 5300 ([email protected])
Michelle Abadi Research Associate +62 21 2991 5300 ([email protected])
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