Organization of Course

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Organization of Course INTRODUCTION 1. Course overview 2. Air Toxics overview 3. HYSPLIT overview HYSPLIT Theory and Practice 4. Meteorology 5. Back Trajectories 6. Concentrations / Deposition 7. HYSPLIT-SV for s emiv olatiles (e.g, PCDD/F) Overall Project Issues & Examples 9.Emissions Inventories 10.Source-Receptor Post- Processing 11.Source-Attribution for Deposition 12.Model Evaluation 13.Model Intercomparison 14.Collaboration Possibilities

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Organization of Course. Overall Project Issues & Examples Emissions Inventories Source-Receptor Post-Processing Source-Attribution for Deposition Model Evaluation Model Intercomparison Collaboration Possibilities. INTRODUCTION Course overview Air Toxics overview HYSPLIT overview - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Organization of Course

Page 1: Organization of Course

Organization of Course

INTRODUCTION

1. Course overview

2. Air Toxics overview

3. HYSPLIT overview

HYSPLIT Theory and Practice

4. Meteorology

5. Back Trajectories

6. Concentrations / Deposition

7. HYSPLIT-SV for

semivolatiles (e.g, PCDD/F)

8. HYSPLIT-HG for mercury

Overall Project Issues & Examples

9.Emissions Inventories

10.Source-Receptor Post-Processing

11.Source-Attribution for Deposition

12.Model Evaluation

13.Model Intercomparison

14.Collaboration Possibilities

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Mercury Emissions Inventories

For atmospheric modeling, MUST BE SPECIATED

0 - 15 15 - 30 30 - 60 60 - 120 120 - 250

distance range from source (km)

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

hyp

oth

etic

al 1

kg

/da

y so

urc

ede

posi

tion

flux

(ug/

m2-

yr)

for Hg(II) emit

Hg(p) emitHg(0) emit

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color of symbol denotes type of mercury source

coal-fired power plants

other fuel combustion

waste incineration

metallurgical

manufacturing & other

size/shape of symbol denotes amount of mercury emitted (kg/yr)

10 - 50

50 - 100

100 – 300

300 - 500

5 - 10

500 - 1000

1000 - 3500

2002 U.S. data from USEPA National Emissions Inventory (NEI); 2002 Canadian data from Environment Canada;1999 Mexican data from inventory prepared by Acosta y Asociados for the Commission for Environmental Cooperation

Elemental Mercury -- Hg(0) -- Emissions to the Air

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color of symbol denotes type of mercury source

coal-fired power plants

other fuel combustion

waste incineration

metallurgical

manufacturing & other

size/shape of symbol denotes amount of mercury emitted (kg/yr)

10 - 50

50 - 100

100 – 300

300 - 500

5 - 10

500 - 1000

1000 - 3500

2002 U.S. data from USEPA National Emissions Inventory (NEI); 2002 Canadian data from Environment Canada;1999 Mexican data from inventory prepared by Acosta y Asociados for the Commission for Environmental Cooperation

Reactive Gaseous Mercury – RGM -- Emissions to the Air

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color of symbol denotes type of mercury source

coal-fired power plants

other fuel combustion

waste incineration

metallurgical

manufacturing & other

size/shape of symbol denotes amount of mercury emitted (kg/yr)

10 - 50

50 - 100

100 – 300

300 - 500

5 - 10

500 - 1000

1000 - 3500

2002 U.S. data from USEPA National Emissions Inventory (NEI); 2002 Canadian data from Environment Canada;1999 Mexican data from inventory prepared by Acosta y Asociados for the Commission for Environmental Cooperation

Particulate Mercury -- Hg(p) -- Emissions to the Air

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color of symbol denotes type of mercury source

coal-fired power plants

other fuel combustion

waste incineration

metallurgical

manufacturing & other

size/shape of symbol denotes amount of mercury emitted (kg/yr)

10 - 50

50 - 100

100 – 300

300 - 500

5 - 10

500 - 1000

1000 - 3500

2002 U.S. data from USEPA National Emissions Inventory (NEI); 2002 Canadian data from Environment Canada;1999 Mexican data from inventory prepared by Acosta y Asociados for the Commission for Environmental Cooperation

Total Mercury Emissions to the Air [ Hg(0) + RGM + Hg(p) ]

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1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

1965

1970’s - 1990’s: many mercury-cellchlor-alkali plantsconverted to alternateprocesses or closed due to regulatory and other pressures

2002 – Clear Skies Initiative for power plants introduced (ultimately withdrawn)

Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 – calls for Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) to regulate hazardous air pollutants; intent is to prohibit emissions trading for these air toxics

1990’s – Hg emissions from municipal and medical waste incinerators fall dramatically due to:closure of some municipal waste incinerators and many medical waste incineratorsMACT-related pollution control requirementsreduction in mercury content of waste (e.g., battery legislation)

2005 – CAIR (Clean Air Interstate Rule) for power plants (Hg reduced as co-benefit of SO2 & NOx controls)

2005 – EPA meets court-ordered deadline and promulgates CAMR (Clean Air Mercury Rule) for power plants – based on Hg emissions trading

2008 – CAMR and CAIR overturned... What is next?

Some events in the U.S. regulation and prevention of mercury emissions

“Hot Spot” Controversy -- Many States sue EPA & propose / promulgate more strict regulations

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1990 19990

50

100

150

200

250(t

on

s p

er

yea

r)E

stim

ate

d M

erc

ury

Em

issi

on

s

Other categories*

Gold mining

Hazardous waste incineration

Electric Arc Furnaces **

Mercury Cell Chlor-Alkali Plants

Industrial, commercial, institutionalboilers and process heaters

Municipal waste combustors

Medical waste incinerators

Utility coal boilers

* Data for Lime Manufacturing are not available for 1990.** Data for Electric Arc Furnaces are not available for 1999. The 2002 estimate (10.5 tons) is shown here.

Direct, Anthropogenic Mercury Emissions in the United States

(data from USEPA)

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426395

297

360

CHINA_1999 US_1999 CAN_2000 GLOBAL_20000

100

200

300

400

500

(mg

Hg

per

pers

on-y

ear)

Ant

hrop

ogen

ic M

ercu

ry E

mis

sion

s

Per Capita Anthropogenic Mercury Emissions

Source of global data: Global Anthropogenic Mercury Emission Inventories for 2000 and 1995: Pacyna, J. and E. Pacyna. Journal of Air and Waste Management Association (in prep. 2005); http://www.amap.no/Resources/HgEmissions/HgInventoryDocs.html 10

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utility coal

other coal

other fuel

waste incin

metallurgical cementchloralkali

other manuf

other

U.S. Anthopogenic Mercury Emissions, 1999

utility coal

other fuel

waste incin

metallurgical

cementchloralkali

other manuf

other

Canada Anthopogenic Mercury Emissions, 2000

utility coal

other coal

other fuelwaste incin

metallurgical

cementchloralkaliother manuf

biomass burning

China Anthopogenic Mercury Emissions, 1999

Different patterns of anthropogenic

mercury emissions

11Source: Streets et al., 2005, “Anthropogenic mercury emissions

in China”, Atmospheric Environment 39, 7789-7806Source: Environment Canada

Source: U.S. EPA

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Some Current Emissions Inventory Challenges

Re-emissions of previously deposited anthropogenic Hg

Emissions speciation [at least among Hg(0), Hg(II), Hg(p); more specific species if possible]

Reporting and harmonization of source categories

Mobile source emissions?

Enough temporal resolution to know when emissions for individual point sources change significantly Note: Hg continuous emissions monitors now commercially available

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Variations on time scales of minutes to hours CEM’s needed – and not just on coal-fired power plants CEM’s must be speciated or of little use in developing

critical source-receptor information Clean Air Mercury Rule only requires ~weekly total-Hg

measurements, for purposes of trading

We don’t have information about major events e.g., maintenance or permanent closures, installation

of new pollution control devices, process changes Therefore, difficult to interpret trends in ambient data

Temporal Problems with Emissions Inventories

Long delay before inventories released 2002 inventory is being released this year in U.S.;

till now, the latest available inventory was for 1999 How can we use new measurement data?

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Hg from other sources: local, regional & more distant

atmospheric deposition

to the water surface

atmospheric deposition

to the watershed

Measurement of ambient air

concentrations

Measurement of wet

deposition

Resolution: 2.5 min Duration: 11 Days

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

25-Aug 26-Aug 27-Aug 28-Aug 29-Aug 30-Aug 31-Aug 01-Sep 02-Sep 03-Sep 04-Sep 05-Sep

Hg

- (

ug

/m3 )

HgT

Hg0

Hg2

Series 3300 CEM - Continuous Speciated Mercury Data

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Resolution: 2.5 min Duration: 11 Days

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

25-Aug 26-Aug 27-Aug 28-Aug 29-Aug 30-Aug 31-Aug 01-Sep 02-Sep 03-Sep 04-Sep 05-Sep

Hg

-

(ug

/m3 )

HgT

Hg0

Hg2

Series 3300 CEM - Continuous Speciated Mercury Data

Thanks to Marty Keller, Senior Applications Engineer, Tekran Instruments Corporation, for providing this graph!

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Amortize over 4 yrs: ~$50,000/yr

~$50,000/yr to operate

Speciation Continuous Emissions Monitor (CEM):

~$200,000 to purchase/installCost of Electricity

0.10/kw-hr 0.10001/kw-hr

1000 MW x $0.10/kw-hr = $1,000,000,000 per year

Overall Budget of Power Plant

Total: ~$100,000/yr

$1000/yr $1000.10/yr

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95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15

1995 Canada

Inventory

17

speciated atmospheric Hg measurements at site x

speciated atmospheric Hg measurements at site y

speciated atmospheric Hg measurements at site z

2002 US Inventory

1999 US Inventory

2000 Global

Inventory

2000 Canada

Inventory

New York inventory

? Ontario inventory

?

Hypothetical – just for illustration purposes

For model evaluation, inventory must be accurate and for same period as measurements (a big challenge!)