OPWR-Q1-2016
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Transcript of OPWR-Q1-2016
1 Q1 2016
2
Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts contained in this presentation, including statements regarding future results of the operations and financial position of Opower, Inc. (“Opower” or the “Company”), including financial targets, business strategy, and plans and objectives for future operations, are forward-looking statements. Opower has based these forward-looking statements largely on its estimates of its financial results and its current expectations and projections about future events and financial trends that it believes may affect its financial condition, results of operations, business strategy, short-term and long-term business operations and objectives, and financial needs as of the date of this presentation. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including those described under the heading “Risk Factors” in Opower’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) and any subsequently-filed quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and current reports on Form 8-K. Moreover, Opower operates in a very competitive and rapidly changing environment. New risks emerge from time to time. It is not possible for Opower’s management to predict all risks, nor can Opower assess the impact of all factors on its business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements Opower may make. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation may not occur and actual results could differ materially and adversely from those anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements.
You should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Although Opower believes that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, Opower cannot guarantee that the future results, levels of activity, performance or events and circumstances reflected in the forward-looking statements will be achieved or occur. Moreover, neither Opower nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of the forward-looking statements. Except as required by law, Opower undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason after the date of this presentation, to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in Opower’s expectations.
In addition to U.S. GAAP financials, this presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP measures are in addition to, not a substitute for or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to GAAP measures is contained in the Appendix.
3
Investor Overview
Cloud software for utilities
Unrivaled market leader
Tech and data advantage
Huge expansion potential
utility clients 100 meter
reads 500B+ consumer endpoints 60M+ addressable
market $11B
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 E
$11M
$29M
$52M
$89M
Non Recurring
Recurring
$128M
$149M
SUSTAINED REVENUE GROWTH
$161M
Note: 100 clients and 60M endpoints under contract as of 12/31/15. 500B meter reads as of 10/1/15. $161M is the midpoint 2016 guidance.
4
DEMAND MANAGEMENT CUSTOMER CARE
LIGHTING REBATES LOAD CONTROL PAPER BILLS CALL CENTERS
#1 SOURCE OF SPENDING IN EACH CATEGORY
Utility Status Quo is Pre-Internet
5
Opower Enterprise Platform
DEMAND MANAGEMENT CUSTOMER CARE
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
DEMAND RESPONSE
DIGITAL ENGAGEMENT
BILL ADVISOR
PERSONALIZATION
ANALYTICS
CALL CENTER
OUTAGE MANAGEMENT
CUSTOMER DATA
METER DATA
PARCEL DATA
WEATHER DATA
DEMOGRAPHICDATA
6
$2.2 Trillion Utility Industry in Transition
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Telecom Banking Airlines Utilities
Dig
ital a
dopt
ion
HUGE OPPORTUNITY FOR DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
Source: Bain & Company, Leading a Digical Transformation http://www.bain.com/publications/articles/leading-a-digical-transformation.aspx
INCREASED SPENDING ON DEMAND MANAGEMENT
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2008 2014
$B/y
ear
DemandResponse
EnergyEfficiency
Source: US and Canada from the Consortium for Energy Efficiency http://library.cee1.org/content/2014-state-efficiency-program-industry
7
Energy Efficiency Market and Funding
MANDATED COMPLIANCE COST RECOVERY
states with mandated energy efficiency of US electricity consumption covered by mandates
Efficiency programs are cost neutral for utilities
Surcharge covers program cost and lost revenue
24
55%
Source: http://aceee.org/topics/energy-efficiency-resource-standard-eers and http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia861/zip/f8612013.zip
Source: https://www.bge.com/myaccount/billsrates/Pages/Understanding-My-Bill.aspx
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Unique in the Competitive Landscape
Traditional ERP • Opower integrates with Oracle and SAP • ERP solutions not designed for digital engagement
Demand Management • C3: Pivoting away from energy • Tendril: Efficiency for one large client
Customer Care • Smart Utility Systems: Custom-built solutions • Aclara: Low cost web portal
Smart Meter • Upstream providers of data • Some analytics and customer engagement
Enterprise Platform • Purpose built to serve utilities with an integrated suite • Unique expertise in analytics and behavioral science
System Integrators
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$11B Total Addressable Market
Note: Based on Opower estimates.
49%
29%
22%
ENERGY EFFICIENCY
CUSTOMER CARE
DEMAND RESPONSE
10
Huge Expansion Potential
Note: Endpoints under contract as of 12/31/15.
710 MILLION ADDRESSABLE ENDPOINTS
>150M END[POMTS SERVED BY OUR CLIENTS
CATEGORY ENDPOINTS
DEMAND MANAGEMENT 18 million
CUSTOMER CARE 60 million
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Revenue Expansion Across Product Lines
Energy Efficiency Demand Response Digital Engagement Bill Advisor
ENTRY 2010 2013 2015 TODAY
EAST COAST UTILITY
$5.1M $12.3M $20.6M
WEST COAST UTILITY
$2.3M $10.4M $12.8M
EAST COAST UTILITY
$0.3M $6.1M $8.8M
12
Select Opower Clients
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
DOMESTIC INTERNATIONAL
Note: 100 utility clients under contract as of 12/31/15.
100 UTILITY CLIENTS ON 4 CONTINENTS
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Strong Backlog and Revenue Visibility
$480 MILLION TOTAL BACKLOG 35 MONTH WEIGHTED AVERAGE CONTRACT LENGTH
Note: Backlog as of 12/31/15. Weighted average contract length based on new contracts signed in 2015. Renewal is expected in 2016 but not yet signed. Incremental is planned in 2016 but not yet sold. $157M - $165M is published revenue guidance for 2016.
Total under contract in 2016
$145M
2016
R
EV
EN
UE
Deferred revenue
Unbilled under contract in 2016
Under contract in out years
$73M $72M $332M In
crem
enta
l
TOTA
L B
AC
KLO
G
$12M - $20M
2016 Revenue $157M - $165M
Ren
ewal
14
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Seq
uent
ial g
row
th
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
RESULT OF LARGER CONTRACTS AND NEGOTIATED BILLING SCHEDULES
2014
2015
estimate
Deferred Revenue Seasonality
15
Unique Billing Terms, Q4 Concentration
Large Expansion annual billing
Renewal + Expansion quarterly billing
Renewal semi-annual billing
Renewal + Expansion annual billing
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17
Contract signing quarter Note: Opower contracts tend to have significant variation in billing terms, timing and cadence. This chart highlights general trends across deal types, but each transaction may be different. Billing schedules and revenue recognition are further explained on page 22.
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Large Renewals Secured
TERM 6 years 3-6 years 5 years
SIGNED Q2 2015 Q2, Q3, Q4 2015 Q1 2016
ENDPOINTS 5+ million 3+ million 6+ million
STATES CA NY, MA, RI IL, MD, PA
SOLUTIONS DEMAND MANAGEMENT
CUSTOMER CARE
17
2012 2013 2014 2015 Long-term targets
Gross Margin 62% 64% 67% 64% 68 - 72%
S&M 42% 36% 41% 36% 24 - 28%
R&D 34% 32% 31% 31% 16 - 18%
G&A 8% 8% 10% 10% 8 - 10%
Adjusted EBITDA (18%) (7%) (10%) (6%) 20 - 24%
Notes: Non-GAAP percentages exclude stock based compensation. During the first quarter of 2014, the Company updated its methodology for allocating certain general and administrative costs to more closely align these costs to the functional departments consuming the related services. Percentages above reflect the new methodology. Expenses include allocations of Depreciation and Amortization including capitalized software. D&A was 3.1%, 4.2%, 5.6% and 7.6% in 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015, respectively, and is expected to be 3-5% of revenue over the long-term.
Long Term Financial Targets
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Investor Overview
Cloud software for utilities
Unrivaled market leader
Tech and data advantage
Huge expansion potential
utility clients 100 meter
reads 500B+ consumer endpoints 60M+ addressable
market $11B
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 E
$11M
$29M
$52M
$89M
Non Recurring
Recurring
$128M
$149M
SUSTAINED REVENUE GROWTH
$161M
Note: 100 clients and 60M endpoints under contract as of 12/31/15. 500B meter reads as of 10/1/15. $161M is the midpoint 2016 guidance.
Appendix
20
Management Team
RICK JUNEJA Senior Vice President
Customer Success
JEREMY KIRSCH Executive Vice President
and General Manager Worldwide Sales
DANIEL YATES Chief Executive Officer, Founder and Director
ALEX LASKEY President, Founder and Director
SENIOR MANAGEMENT
INDEPENDENT BOARD MEMBERS
MARK MCLAUGHLIN
MARCUS RYU
THOMAS KRAMER Chief Financial Officer
MICHAEL SACHSE Executive Vice President
and Chief Marketing Officer
DEEP NISHAR
JON SAKODA
GENE RIECHERS
MARCELLA BUTLERSenior Vice President
People
21
Revenue Recognition: $5M Contract
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Q21 Q23
-
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Q21 Q23
Recognized Revenue
Billings
Deferred Revenue
Backlog
Note: Actual billing schedule from a 6-year contract announced in 2015.
$
$
22 Note: During the first quarter of 2014, the Company updated its methodology for allocating certain general and administrative costs to more closely align these costs to the functional departments consuming the related services. The table above reflects the new methodology.
$ Millions 2012 2013 2014 2015
Net Income (Loss) ($12.3) ($14.2) ($42.0) ($44.9)
Provision for Income Taxes $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.4
Other (Income) Expense, Including Interest ($0.1) $0.3 $1.0 $1.1
Depreciation and Amortization $1.6 $3.8 $7.2 $11.3
Stock-Based Compensation $1.2 $3.6 $20.4 $22.6
Adjusted EBITDA ($9.5) ($6.4) ($13.2) ($9.5)
Adjusted EBITDA, Percentage of Revenue (18%) (7%) (10%) (6%)
Appendix A: Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA
23
$ Thousands 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gross profit, as reported $32,176 $56,611 $84,314 $92,628
Add back: Stock-based compensation $144 $204 $1,354 $2,250
Gross profit, non-GAAP $32,320 $56,815 $85,668 $94,878
Gross margin, non-GAAP 62% 64% 67% 64%
Sales and marketing, as reported $22,458 $33,116 $61,267 $62,940
Less: Stock-based compensation $527 $1,487 $8,932 $9,178
Sales and marketing, non-GAAP $21,931 $31,629 $52,335 $53,762
As percentage of revenue, non-GAAP 42% 36% 41% 36%
Research and development, as reported $18,006 $29,496 $45,999 $54,095
Less: Stock-based compensation $468 $960 $5,623 $7,418
Research and development, non-GAAP $17,538 $28,536 $40,376 $46,677
As percentage of revenue, non-GAAP 34% 32% 31% 31%
General and administrative, as reported $4,071 $7,816 $17,844 $18,988
Less: Stock-based compensation $48 $974 $4,473 $3,712
General and administrative, non-GAAP $4,023 $6,842 $13,371 $15,276
As percentage of revenue, non-GAAP 8% 8% 10% 10%
Note: During the first quarter of 2014, the Company updated its methodology for allocating certain general and administrative costs to more closely align these costs to the functional departments consuming the related services. The table above reflects the new methodology.
Appendix B: Non-GAAP Reconciliation