Options, Dividends and Volatility
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Transcript of Options, Dividends and Volatility
Options Dividendsand Volatility
Bywww.Options-Trading-Education.com
There is an excellent discussion of specific options trades in the current
online issue of Forbes (http://www.forbes.com/sites/stockopti
onschannel/2013/11/11/interesting-april-2014-stock-options-for-cisco-
systems/).
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The article discusses put and call options for April 2014 for Cisco
(CSCO).
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At issue are the price of the put option or call option, the dividend paid by
Cisco, and potential market volatility.
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This is an article for investors who may wish to sell puts or call on the
stock and want to do the arithmetic on how much they will gain or lose using
various scenarios.
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It is an excellent example of the fundamental analysis of options in
cases in which picking options is just matter of arithmetic.
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Our take on options, dividends, and volatility follows.
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Options Price and Anticipation of Price Changes
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As a rule, options writers make more money than those who purchase options. Selling puts can lead to
devastating losses if a stock falls markedly and leads to lost opportunity
if the stock soars in value.
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The options trader will want to account for premiums on options, dividends,
and volatility.
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For example, when an investor sells calls and puts on a basically stable
stock such as CSCO he limits his risk.
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When selling puts and calls on a large cap stable stock it is often simply a
matter of doing the math.
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For a refresher on how this is done read the Forbes article.
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If you are thinking of selling calls and puts in a volatile market on volatile
stocks you had better have deep pockets because of the risk of an
occasion very large loss.
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In online options trading remember the triad of options, dividends, and
volatility.
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Adding to Your Dividend and
Calculating Returnhttp://www.options-trading-education.com/14393/options-dividends-and-volatility
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Selling calls and puts on a stable stock that you own can be a good way to add
a little cash flow on top of your quarterly dividends.
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. If this is a stock that you have held for a long time you probably have a
good idea of what range it trades in.
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You likely have a good idea of the odds of it rising or falling in price.
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For example, you may find that there is reasonable premium available at a
reasonable strike price for either a call or a put on a stock that you own.
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After considering premiums on options, dividends, and volatility you
sell a put or a call or both.
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The stock stays at pretty much the same price as when you sold the
options contracts.
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When the contract expires you have pocketed the premium for the put or
call or both and perhaps have received a dividend payment or two.
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If you pick the right contract on the right stock you may double your
dividend or do even better.
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Missing Out on Opportunity
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The ever-present risk of selling a call contract on a stock that you own is
that you can miss out on the rally of the century.
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The stock will be subject to a takeover bid or will benefit from the introduction
of a brand new product and rise in multiples of the strike price at which
you sold.
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Along the way you will have gained the premium for selling a call contract and
even a dividend or two but will miss out on just why it is that many folks
own stocks.
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It is all about accounting for options, dividends, and volatility.
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Losing Your Shirt with Put Options
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When you sell a put option on a stock you own you run the risk of having to
buy more of the stock at the strike price when the price is falling
dramatically.
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This can be very costly and is why many investors only sell calls on
stocks that they own and virtually never sell puts.
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Options and Volatility
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Buyers of options contracts hope for volatility and sellers hope for a stable
market.
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The math for selling options is easy if you assume little volatility and
predictable dividend yields.
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There are kinds of options trading that offer great reward but also great risk.
And there are kinds of trading that are more manageable and offer predictable
but smaller gains.
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When there are good premiums on options, dividends and volatility will determine if selling calls or puts is a
good idea.
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