Option Valuation: basic concepts
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Transcript of Option Valuation: basic concepts
Option Valuation: basic concepts
S. Mann, 2010
Value boundariesSimple arbitrage relationshipsIntuition for the role of volatility
Call Option Valuation "Boundaries"
OptionValue
Define: C[S(0),T;K] =Value of American call option with strike K, expiration date T, and current underlying asset value S(0)
Result proof1) C[0,T; K] = 0 (trivial)
2) C[S(0),T;K] >= max(0, S(0) -K) (limited liability)
3) C[S(0),T;K] <= S(0) (trivial)
Intrinsic Value -Value of Immediate exercise: S - K
K S (asset price)
0
Option value must bewithin this region
European Call lower bound (asset pays no dividend)
OptionValue
Define: c[S(0),T;K] =Value of European call (can be exercised only at expiration)
value at expirationPosition cost now S(T) < K S(T) >KA)long call + T-bill c[S(0),T;K] + KB(0,T) K S(T) B)long stock S(0) S(T) S(T)
position A dominates, so c[S(0),T;K] + KB(0,T) >= S(0)
thus 4) c[S(0),T;K] >= Max(0, S(0) - KB(0,T)
Intrinsic value: S - K
KB(0,T) K S (asset price)0
Option value must bewithin this region
“Pure time value”: K - B(0,T)K
Example: Lower bound on European Call
OptionValue
Example: S(0) =$55. K=$50. T= 3 months. 3-month simple rate=4.0%. B(0,3) = 1/(1+.04(3/12)) = 0.99. KB(0,3) = 49.50.
Lower bound is S(0) - KB(0,T) = 55 – 49.50 = $5.50.What if C55 = $5.25?
Value at expirationPosition cash flow now S(T) <= $50 S(T) > $50buy call - $ 5.25 0 S(T) - $50buy bill paying K - 49.50 50 50short stock + 55.00 -S(T) -S(T)
Total + $0.25 50 - S(T) >= 0 0
Intrinsic value: 55 - 50
48.91 50 55 =S(0) S (asset price)0
Option value must bewithin this region
“Pure time value”: 50 - 48.91 = $1.09
American and European calls on assets without dividends
5) American call is worth at least as much as European Call
C[S(0),T;K] >= c[S(0),T;K] (proof trivial)
6) American call on asset without dividends will not be exercised early. C[S(0),T;K] = c[S(0),T;K]
proof: C[S(0),T;K] >= c[S(0),T;K] >= S(0) - KB(0,T)
so C[S(0),T;K] >= S(0) - KB(0,T) >= S(0) - K
and C[S(0),T;K] >= S(0) - K
Call is: worth more alive than deadEarly exercise forfeits time value
7) longer maturity cannot have negative value: for T1 > T2:
C(S(0),T1;K) >= C(S(0),T2;K)
Call Option Value
OptionValue
0
Intrinsic Value: max (0, S-K)
lower bound
No-arbitrage boundary: C >= max (0, S - PV(K))
0 K S
Volatility Value : Call option
Call payoff
Range of Asset prices at Option expiration
Pro
babi
lity
K S(T) (asset value)
Low volatility asset
High volatility asset
Volatility Value : Call option
Range of Possible Asset prices at Option expirat
Pro
ba
bil
ity
Example: Equally Likely "States of World"
"State of World" Expected Position Bad Avg Good ValueStock A 24 30 36 30Stock B 0 30 60 30
Calls w/ strike=30:Call on A: 0 0 6 2Call on B: 0 0 30 10
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71 81 91 101111 121131141151161171181191201211 221231241251
Sto
ck P
rice
Day
lognormal evolution: mu = 1.5%, sigma=30.0%
)1,0(~)(
)](exp[)()1(
1,0
1,0
NtWwhere
tWhhtStS
Discrete-time lognormal evolution:
Put Option Valuation "Boundaries"
OptionValue
Define: P[S(0),T;K] =Value of American put option with strike K, expiration date T, and current underlying asset value S(0)
Result proof8) P[0,T; K] = K (trivial)
9) P[S(0),T;K] >= max(0, K - S(0)) (limited liability)
10) P[S(0),T;K] <= K (trivial)
Intrinsic Value -Value of Immediate exercise: K - S
K S (asset price)
0
Option value must bewithin this region
K
European Put lower bound (asset pays no dividend)
OptionValue
Define: p[S(0),T;K] =Value of European put (can be exercised only at expiration)
value at expirationposition cost now S(T) < K S(T) >K
A) long put + stock p[S(0),T;K] + S(0) K S(T)B) long T-bill KB(0,T) K K
position A dominates, so p[S(0),T;K] + S(0) >= KB(0,T)
thus 11) p[S(0),T;K] >= max (0, KB(0,T)- S(0))
Intrinsic value: K - S
KB(0,T) K S(0)
0
Option value must bewithin this region
Negative “Pure time value”: KB(0,T) - K
KB(0,T)
American puts and early exercise
OptionValue
Define: P[S(0),T;K] =Value of American put (can be exercised at any time)
12) P[S(0),T;K] >= p[S(0),T;K] (proof trivial)
However, it may be optimal to exercise a put prior to expiration (time value of money), hence American put price is not equal to European put price.
Example: K=$25, S(0) = $1, six-month simple rate is 9.5%.Immediate exercise provides $24 (1+ 0.095(6/12)) = $25.14 > $25
Intrinsic value: K - S
KB(0,T) K S(0)
0
Option value must bewithin this region
Negative “Pure time value”: KB(0,T) - K
KB(0,T)