OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT. OBJECTIVES Establish a common ORM language Train all hands on ORM...
-
Upload
jocelin-oneal -
Category
Documents
-
view
225 -
download
1
Transcript of OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT. OBJECTIVES Establish a common ORM language Train all hands on ORM...
OBJECTIVES
• Establish a common ORM language
• Train all hands on ORM basics:
– 3 application levels
– 4 ORM principles
– 5 steps of ORM process
• Group Sessions - ORM Scenario Applications
ORM GOAL
To strive for operational
readiness & effectiveness
by managing risk
to accomplish the mission
with minimal loss.
TOP CAUSESOF DEATHS (1995-1999)
16
108
111
133
157
258
350
631
Afloat
Shore/Ground
Crime
Aviation
Recreation
Natural
Suicide
Motor Vehicles
1,846 Deaths
ORM IS NOT NEW776 aircraft
destroyed in1954
Angled decksAviation Safety Center
Naval Aviation Maintenance Program (NAMP), 1959
RAG concept initiatedNATOPS Program, 1961
Squadron Safety programSystem Safety Designated Aircraft
ACT
FY
22 aircraftdestroyed in
1999Rate 1.44
95806550
Air
craf
t M
ish
ap r
ate
0
1
2
3
93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Maintenanceerror
Materialmalfunction
Aircrew error
Supervisoryerror
Human error
Total mishaprate
NAVAL FLIGHT MISHAP CONTRIBUTING CAUSE FACTORS
FY
RA
TE
PE
R 1
00K
FL
T H
RS
WHAT CAN WE DO TO IMPROVE?
• Concepts that will help us break through the plateau.
–Operational Risk Management
–Human Factors Considerations
–Technology
ORM TERMS
HAZARD
A condition with potential to cause mission degradation, personal injury or death, or
property damage.
ORM TERMS
RISK
An expression of thepotential impact of a hazard
in terms ofseverity and probability.
ORM TERMS
PROBABILITY
An expression of the likelihood that a hazard
will cause mission degradationor result in a mishap or loss.
PROBABILITY DEFINITIONSExample Breakdown
• LIKELY to occur very soon
• PROBABLY will occur in time
• MAY occur in time
• UNLIKELY to occur
ORM TERMS
CONTROL
A measure for reducing risk for an identified hazard by
lowering the probability and/or severity.
PROBABILITY
LIKELYto occur very
soon
PROBABLYwill occur in
time
MAYoccur in time
UNLIKELYto occur in
time
A B C D
Catastrophic I
Critical II
Moderate IISE
VE
RIT
Y
Neglibible V
RISK ASSESSMENT
Risk Control Desired EffectDrive probability down
Drive S
everity Do
wn
3 APPLICATION LEVELS
• Time Critical
– Little time, done on the run.
• Deliberate
– For situations that allow more planning.
• In Depth
– Long term process with extensive research and planning.
4 KEY ORMPRINCIPLES
1. Accept risks when benefits outweigh costs.
2. Accept no unnecessary risk.
3. Anticipate and manage risk by planning.
4. Make risk decisions at the right level.
5 STEP ORM PROCESS
1. Identify Hazards
2. Assess Risks
3. Make Control Decisions
4. Implement Controls
5. Supervise
CAUSES OF RISK* Change - The “Mother” of Risk
* Resource Constraints
* New Technology
* Complexity
* Stress
* Environmental Influences
* Speed or Tempo of Ops
* Societal Constraints
* High Energy Levels
* Human Nature
CULTURAL CHALLENGES
• Can do “anything, anywhere, anytime, at any cost” mentality.
• “Do more with less” mindset.
• Reluctance to say “no.”
• Making decisions based on “the way we’ve always done it.”
• Letting others worry about our mission hazards.
• Doing only what we “have to” and not what we “should do.”
ORM TOOLS
• SHARP/SARA/SQOM
• NAMP/NATOPS/SOP’S
• ACT/GCT
• HFC/HFB
• SURVEYS (SAFETY/MCAS/CSA)
• TRAINING (Standdowns, GMT, etc.)
• ORM Corner stories in magazines
ORM VISION: Make ORM ourway of doing business
Three Questions:
What can happen that can hurt me or my mission?
What am I going to do about it?
If I can’t … who am I going to tell?
TOP CAUSESOF DEATHS (1995-1999)
16
108
111
133
157
258
350
631
Afloat
Shore/Ground
Crime
Aviation
Recreation
Natural
Suicide
Motor Vehicles
1. Identify Hazards
3. Make Control Decisions
2. Assess Risks
4. Implement Controls
5. Supervise