Operational Overview - National Grid Group · From 01 April 2009 to 30 November 2009 November 2009...
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Operational Overview Nolan Robertson
Transcript of Operational Overview - National Grid Group · From 01 April 2009 to 30 November 2009 November 2009...
Operational OverviewNolan Robertson
Composite Weather VariablesFrom 01-December-2009 to 10-January-2010
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
1001
/12/
09
03/1
2/09
05/1
2/09
07/1
2/09
09/1
2/09
11/1
2/09
13/1
2/09
15/1
2/09
17/1
2/09
19/1
2/09
21/1
2/09
23/1
2/09
25/1
2/09
27/1
2/09
29/1
2/09
31/1
2/09
02/0
1/10
04/0
1/10
06/0
1/10
08/0
1/10
10/0
1/10
cwv
Actual CWV Actual CWV 08 Normal CWV Cold CWV Warm CWV
Composite Weather VariablesFrom 01-January-2010 to 10-January-2010
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
801
/01/
10
02/0
1/10
03/0
1/10
04/0
1/10
05/0
1/10
06/0
1/10
07/0
1/10
08/0
1/10
09/0
1/10
10/0
1/10
cwv
Normal CWV Cold CWV Warm CWV Actual CWV
Gas Demand BreakdownFrom 01-December-2009 to 09-January-2010
0
100
200
300
400
500
01/1
2/09
03/1
2/09
05/1
2/09
07/1
2/09
09/1
2/09
11/1
2/09
13/1
2/09
15/1
2/09
17/1
2/09
19/1
2/09
21/1
2/09
23/1
2/09
25/1
2/09
27/1
2/09
29/1
2/09
31/1
2/09
02/0
1/10
04/0
1/10
06/0
1/10
08/0
1/10
mcm
NDM* DM (excl. interconnectors)* Storage Injection Interconnectors Export SND Cold demand Warm demand
*Actual from Energy@CV39mj/m3
Gas Demand BreakdownFrom 01-January-2010 to 09-January-2010
0
100
200
300
400
500
01/0
1/10
02/0
1/10
03/0
1/10
04/0
1/10
05/0
1/10
06/0
1/10
07/0
1/10
08/0
1/10
09/0
1/10
mcm
NDM* DM (excl. interconnectors)* Storage Injection Interconnectors Export SND Cold demand Warm demand
447.03453.9
462.8
Actual CWVs vs LDZ Offtake DemandFrom 01-January-2010 to 10-January-2010
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
40001
/01/
10
03/0
1/10
05/0
1/10
07/0
1/10
09/0
1/10
mcm
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
cwv
LDZ Offtakes Actual CWV
Gas Consumption for Power Generation
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
14001
-Oct
08-O
ct
15-O
ct
22-O
ct
29-O
ct
05-N
ov
12-N
ov
19-N
ov
26-N
ov
03-D
ec
10-D
ec
17-D
ec
24-D
ec
31-D
ec
07-J
an
14-J
an
21-J
an
28-J
an
04-F
eb
11-F
eb
18-F
eb
25-F
eb
04-M
ar
11-M
ar
18-M
ar
25-M
ar
mcm
/d
Low Base Case High Actual Power Generation
Fig. 11
Gas Supply BreakdownFrom 01-December-2009 to 09-January-2010
0
100
200
300
400
500
01/1
2/09
03/1
2/09
05/1
2/09
07/1
2/09
09/1
2/09
11/1
2/09
13/1
2/09
15/1
2/09
17/1
2/09
19/1
2/09
21/1
2/09
23/1
2/09
25/1
2/09
27/1
2/09
29/1
2/09
31/1
2/09
02/0
1/10
04/0
1/10
06/0
1/10
08/0
1/10
mcm
/d
UKCS Norway (est) LNG Imports BBL IUK LRS MRS SRS
Gas Supply BreakdownFrom 01-January-2010 to 09-January-2010
0
100
200
300
400
500
01/0
1/10
03/0
1/10
05/0
1/10
07/0
1/10
09/0
1/10
mcm
/d
UKCS Norway (est) LNG Imports BBL IUK LRS MRS SRS
Storage Stocks - UKFrom 01-October-2009 to 30-November-2010
LRS Stocks
05
1015202530354045
Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
n
Feb
Mar Ap
r
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
GW
h
Stock Level 2009 / 10 Stock Level 2008 / 09
MRS Stocks
0
1
2
3
45
6
7
8
9
10
Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
n
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Ju
n
Jul
Aug
Sep
GW
h
St ock Level 2008 / 09 St ock Level 2008 / 09
SR S St o cks
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Stock Level 2009 / 10 Stock Level 2008 / 09
• The Cold weather has coincided with withdrawals at all Storage types, all types of storage stocks are now at similar levels to last year.
Storage Stocks - EU
Total EU Weekly Storage Levels Oct to Sep 2008_09 and 2009_10
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,00001
-Oct
01-N
ov
01-D
ec
01-J
an
01-F
eb
01-M
ar
01-A
pr
01-M
ay
01-J
un
01-J
ul
01-A
ug
01-S
ep
mcm
2008_09 2009_10
Transporter Energy Traded on the OCMBuys and Sells by DayFrom 01-December-2009 to 10-January-2010
-150,000,000
-100,000,000
-50,000,000
0
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
01/1
2/09
03/1
2/09
05/1
2/09
07/1
2/09
09/1
2/09
11/1
2/09
13/1
2/09
15/1
2/09
17/1
2/09
19/1
2/09
21/1
2/09
23/1
2/09
25/1
2/09
27/1
2/09
29/1
2/09
31/1
2/09
02/0
1/10
04/0
1/10
06/0
1/10
08/0
1/10
10/0
1/10
kWh
-150,000,000
-100,000,000
-50,000,000
0
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
kWh
Buy Sell Last Year Buy Last Year Sell
Days of Default SMP PricesFrom 01-December-2009 to 31-December-2009
Da y s Of De f a ul t S M PFr om J a nua r y 2 0 0 9 t o De c e mbe r 2 0 0 9
0 . 0 0
10 . 0 0
2 0 . 0 0
3 0 . 0 0
4 0 . 0 0
5 0 . 0 0
6 0 . 0 0
7 0 . 0 0
8 0 . 0 0
9 0 . 0 0
Both
Percentage of Days of Default SMP
58.6%74.2%82.8%BothSMP SellSMP Buy
Transporter Actions on OCM Mechanism Revenues / CostsFrom 01-October-2009 to 30-November-2009
-£15.00
-£10.00
-£5.00
£0.00
£5.00
£10.00
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09
Feb-
09
Mar
-09
Apr-09
May
-09
Jun-
09
Jul-0
9
Aug-
09
Sep-
09
Oct-0
9
Nov
-09
£m
System Cost - Buy System Cost - Sell
-£5.0123.540.7967-0.629System Sell
£3.7027.510.93910.394System Buy
Cost (£m)Average
Price (p/therm)
Average Price
(p/KWh)
Quantity (TWh)
Net Position -0.235 Sell -£1.31
Imbalance Gas Revenues / CostsFrom 01-October-2009 to 30-November-2009
-£13.8525.500.8703-1.59System Sell
£14.9023.670.80801.84System Buy
Cost £mAverage
Price (p/therm)
Average Price
(p/KWh)Quantity (TWh)System
Net Position 0.25 Buy £1.05
-£20.00
-£15.00
-£10.00
-£5.00
£0.00
£5.00
£10.00
£15.00
£20.00
£25.00
£30.00
£35.00
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May
-09
Jun-09
Jul-0
9
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov
-09
£ m
System Cost - Buy System Cost - Sell
Scheduling RevenuesFrom 01-October-2009 to 30-November-2009
-£0.12Output
-£0.18Input
Cost £m
Total -£0.30
-£0.70
-£0.60
-£0.50
-£0.40
-£0.30
-£0.20
-£0.10
£0.00
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-0
9
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
£ m
Input Output
Balancing CostsFrom 01-October-2009 to 30-November-2009
-£15.00
-£10.00
-£5.00
£0.00
£5.00
£10.00
£15.00
OCM Imbalance Sched
-0.15Scheduling
1.06Imbalance Gas
-1.31OCM/Flex Gas
£m
Balancing Cost -0.40
(0.0003p/KWh or 0.0084p/Therm of Throughput)
Capacity Neutrality – Revenues From DSEC & DAIFrom 01 April 2009 to 30 November 2009
£35,529.99Other
£493,023.93TOTAL
£122,741.03Bacton
£127,527.94Easington
£17,449.81Theddlethorpe
£4,501.50Barrow
£4,342.32Teesside
£180,931.34St Fergus
RevenueASEP
Capacity Neutrality – Prompt Buy BacksFrom 01 April 2009 to 30 November 2009
00£0TOTAL
00£0Bacton
00£0Easington
00£0Theddlethorpe
00£0Barrow
00£0Teesside
00£0St Fergus
Volume
(kWh)
No.of daysCostASEP
Capacity Neutrality – Revenues From OverrunsFrom 01 April 2009 to 30 November 2009
-£94,389.80November 2009-£1,181.58October 2009-£2,992.58September 2009
-£176,913.79August 2009-£345,143.81July 2009
-£810,361.05Total
-£4,201.89June 2009-£154, 266.59May 2009-£31,271.01April 2009
RevenueMonth
Capacity Neutrality – Capacity Management Agreement (including RMTTSEC)From 01 April 2009 to 30 November 2009
£0.00November 2009£0.00October 2009£0.00September 2009
£0.00July 2009£0.00August 2009
£47,031.17Total
£35,442.00June 2009£0.00May 2009
£11,589.17April 2009CostMonth
Capacity Neutrality – Net Cost/RevenueFrom 01 April 2009 to 30 November 2009
-£1,256,353.98Net Revenue
-£810,361.05Overrun Revenue
+£47,031.17Capacity Management Agreement
+£0.00Buy back costs
-£493,023.93DSEC/DAI Revenue
