Report from WMO WWRP on S2S related activities

Tetsuo Nakazawa

First S2S Steering Group meeting, College Park, US 14 February 2014

EventsTHORPEX EC meeting - on THORPEX legacy directions S2S Planning Group meeting in Geneva PPP Steering Group meeting in Montreal WWRP JSC in Geneva THORPEX Africa Regional Committee meeting in Geneva WMO 64th Session of Executive Council - Establishment of S2S and PPP Projects PDP WG meeting in Reading WCRP JSC in Beijing DAOS WG meeting in Madison THORPEX ICSC-10 THORPEX Asian Regional Committee meeting in Kunming CAS/WCRP WGNE meeting in Toulouse PPP Steering Group meeting in Geneva S2S Planning Group meeting in Exeter High-Impact Weather Workshop in Karlsruhe WMO 65th Session of Executive Council - KMA and WMO Signatures in MoU for S2S ICO CAS MG meeting WCRP JSC in Brazil GIFS-TIGGE WG meeting in Exeter ECMWF-THORPEX Polar Prediction Workshop in Reading THORPEX ICSC-11 and WWRP JSC-6 - on HIWeather Project and WWRP Restructure PPP Steering Group meeting in Boulder DAOS Workshop in College Park S2S ICO Opening Ceremony, S2S Workshop, and THORPEX Asian Regional Committee meeting in Jeju CAS-XVI Session in Antalya - Two new WGs under WWRP, HIWeather Project, RCs

Mar 2012 !!Apr 2012 May 2012 Jun 2012 !Jul 2012 Sep 2012 Oct 2012 !Nov 2012 Dec 2012 Feb 2013 Mar 2013 May 2013 !!Jun 2013 !Jul 2013 Oct 2013 !Nov 2013

16th Session of CAS !! Wednesday to Tuesday, 20-26 November 2013, Antalya, Turkey ! Side events:

! THORPEX TIGGE utilities ! WIGOS Metadata ! World Weather Open Science Conference

! 21% female involvement ! Elections on 22 Nov – 45 members (48 including proxies), quorum 41

! One candidate for president Oystein Hov, Norway. ! Three candidates for vice president, each having a 10 minute intervention

! Jim Butler, (USA) ! Emilio Cuevas (Spain) ! Jae-Cheol Nam (Republic of Korea)

! Selection of Chairs SSC and CAS MG ! WWRP Gilbert Brunet (UK) until 31 Dec 2014 thereafter Sarah Jones (Germany) ! EPAC Greg Carmichael (US)

CAS-16 Technical Conference (TECO)

“RESPONDING TO THE ENVIRONMENTAL STRESSORS OF THE 21ST CENTURY”

!! Monday - Tuesday, 18 - 19 November 2013, Antalya, Turkey !

! 6 Sessions wide ranging topics !

! Keynote and invited talks, panel discussions !

! 85 participants and 24 posters in poster session aligned to six TECO themes !

! Webcast arranged by host, media support on site by Clare Nullis (one web news each on TECO and CAS-16, write-up for Meteoworld. 4 items on Facebook reaching about 25,000 people. The weekly Facebook reach was 71,000 (nearly double the previous record), partly on the basis of the TECO activity and a couple of widely shared postings made on new videos and visualizations of IPCC report. !

! TECO provided valuable input to the CAS-16 session, specifically to Item 9, related to the future direction of the commission !

! Co-chaired by Gilbert Brunet and Oystein Hov

Visit at http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/cas/CAS16-TECO.html

Major CAS-XVI Decisions/Actions on S2S! The Commission viewed S2S as an important project for the weather and climate research communities to jointly address a forecasting

time scale that has traditionally been regarded as scientifically challenging, at the interface between weather and climate. The Commission acknowledged that improvements in the predictive skill and use of sub-seasonal to seasonal predictions could also benefit shorter-range weather predictions and longer timescale climate predictions as well as contributing towards improved climate services within the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS).

! The Commission encouraged the WWRP to ensure that the co-location of the WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble (LC-LRFMME) with the S2S ICO be used optimally in ensuring strong links between operational requirements and research activities, and in facilitating transitioning of research outcomes into operations.

! The Commission noted with appreciation the contributions of Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States of America to the S2S Trust Fund. The Commission also encouraged Members to contribute to the Trust Fund that will support the implementation of the research activities related to this project.

! The Commission noted with appreciation the contribution of ECMWF and CMA to undertake the S2S database archiving and to provide data services.

! The Commission recognized that the WWRP-THORPEX/WCRP YOTC project has contributed to significant advances in understanding and modelling of tropical convection and its organization into complex multiscale precipitation system that are often associated with extreme weather, e.g., monsoon floods and breaks, intraseasonal oscillations and tropical cyclones (www.yotc.ucar.edu). The YOTC project will formally conclude at the end of 2014 but the research component will continue in collaboration with the WWRP/WCRP S2S project, and the WGNE MJO Task Force.

! The Commission recommended on post-THORPEX activities,

! that the activities of the current THORPEX Regional Committee(s) are continued under the WWRP after the end of THORPEX, if the participating regional members decide on the continuation, on a self-organizing and self-funding basis, in collaboration with the Regional Associations, the WWRP Working Groups and projects, including three THORPEX legacy projects (S2S, PPP, and HIWeather), Research and Development Projects and Forecast Demonstration Projects, !

! that the THORPEX legacy projects work together to (i) coordinate the respective roles of the projects in areas of common interest; (ii) establish collaborations to share results, techniques, and accomplishments among the projects;

! that executive management oversight for the THORPEX legacy project trust funds be provided by the CAS Management Group.

! The Madden-Julian Oscillation Task Force (MJO-TF) should ensure full collaboration, including common planning, with the WWRP/WCRP S2S project.

! The Commission noted the active involvement of the Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research (JWGFVR) in various WMO projects which includes Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction project (S2S)

!5

Comming Events

S2S Workshop in College Park S2S SG Meeting (14 February) WGNE meeting in Melbourne Verification Workshop (with Tutorial) in New Delhi HIWeather Workshop in College Park WMO 66th Session of Executive Council - Establishment of HIWeather Project World Weather Open Science Conference in Montreal S2S SG Meeting (22 August) THORPEX ICSC-12 WWRP SSC-7 8th International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone (IWTC-VIII) in Jeju Closure of the THORPEX Programme Two new WWRP WGs

WG on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting, WG on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems

!

Feb 2014 !Mar 2014 Jun 2014 !Aug 2014 !Fall 2014 !

Planned Activities of International Coordination Office

Short-term ICO activities!- to organize the 2nd S2S SG meeting in 22 August, Montreal, Canada!- to organize the (3rd) S2S SG Annual meeting for 2015 in early 2015!- to set up the web site on S2S!!Long-term ICO activities   !- to organize the SG Annual meeting each year in December !- to organize the training workshop on S2S in NIMR, Jeju in 2016?!- to prepare the draft documents for CAS MG meeting and WWRP SSC / !      WCRP JSC, by communicating with co-chairs and Secretariat!- to organize the summer school on S2S in ICTP?!- to organize the 2nd International Conference on S2S in 2018?

Overarching theme: “Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: from minutes to month“

World Weather Open Science Conference

Two Programs in the Conference: • Science Program

•Basic weather research that extends our knowledge of processes and systems as well as the applied research needed to put prediction systems together and assess the impacts of weather and climate events

• User, Application & Social Science Program •The goods and services economy and the role of government in disaster risk reduction and management and the communication of weather information

Date & Venue: 16 - 21 August 2014 Montreal, Canada

Co-organizer: • WMO • ICSU • Environment Canada • National Research Council Canada

Please visit at www.wwosc2014.org for more information

Special Session on S2S: Convened by two Co-Chairs. Keynote Speakers be determined.

Anticipated number of participants: ~1,500

Overarching theme: “Seamless Prediction of the Earth System: from minutes to month“

World Weather Open Science Conference

Two Programs in the Conference: • Science Program

•Basic weather research that extends our knowledge of processes and systems as well as the applied research needed to put prediction systems together and assess the impacts of weather and climate events

• User, Application & Social Science Program •The goods and services economy and the role of government in disaster risk reduction and management and the communication of weather information

Date & Venue: 16 - 21 August 2014 Montreal, Canada

Co-organizer: • WMO • ICSU • Environment Canada • National Research Council Canada

Please visit at www.wwosc2014.org for more information

Special Session on S2S: Convened by two Co-Chairs. Keynote Speakers be determined.

Anticipated number of participants: ~1,500

Abstract Submission by 24 Feb.

World Weather Open Science Conference

Science Program • Special Sessions

•Polar Prediction Project

•Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project • Observations and Data Assimilation • Predictability and Dynamical/Physical/Chemical Processes • Interactions between sub-systems • Numerical Prediction of the Earth system: putting it all together • Weather-related Hazards and Impacts

User, Application & Social Science Program • The Goods and Services Economy • Government Organizations and Functions • International Development and Disaster Risk Reduction • Communication of weather information through broadcast, print or social

media

Please visit at www.wwosc2014.org for more information

Eligibility: 1. Early career scientist, student, postdoctoral fellow or NMHS employee under 35 years old at the deadline for abstract submission on February 2014.

2. Submitted abstract is accepted by Program Selection Committee for presentation at the Conference (the applicant to the travel support must be the onsite presenting author of the paper)

Travel Support Program to Young Scientists

Terms: • Maximum value of support: $2,000 Canadian Dollar upon arrival at the venue

• Priority: Applicants from Developing or Least Developed Countries

• Deadline for abstract submission/application to the travel support February 24, 2014

Please visit at www.wwosc2014.org for more information

www.wmo.int

Thank you for your attention