on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian...

23
An Update on GAMBIT Sanjay Bloor, on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration DMUK 2019

Transcript of on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian...

Page 1: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

An Update on GAMBIT

Sanjay Bloor,on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration

DMUK 2019

Page 2: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

Outline

● Global fits & GAMBIT● Recent Dark Matter results:

– Higgs portal– Electroweak SUSY– Axion-like particles

● Future developments

Page 3: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

Outline

● Global fits & GAMBIT● Recent Dark Matter results:

– Higgs portal– Electroweak SUSY– Axion-like particles

● Future developments

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Global Fits● Many theories for physics beyond the SM…● Each theory has different phenomenology● How to assess which BSM theory is preferred?

→ Compare to data!

→ Perform a statistical fit to all available data: a global fit● For multiple parameters and constraints, create a combined likelihood

● Explore the likelihood across the whole space● Interpret the results in a statistically meaningful way:

→ Profile/marginalise down to 1 or 2 dimensions

Maximum reuse of code, flexibility, modularity: GAMBIT.

Page 5: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

Modules

Core – models, bookkeeping

DarkBit – relic density, direct + indirect detection

ColliderBit – collider, higgs observables

FlavBit – flavour physics

SpecBit – spectrum objects, RGE running

DecayBit – decay widths

PrecisionBit – precision BSM tests

ScannerBit – stats, sampling and optimisation

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07908)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07920)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07919)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07933)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07936)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07959)

}

Page 6: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for
Page 7: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

Modules

Core – models, bookkeeping

DarkBit – relic density, direct + indirect detection

ColliderBit – collider, higgs observables

FlavBit – flavour physics

SpecBit – spectrum objects, RGE running

DecayBit – decay widths

PrecisionBit – precision BSM tests

ScannerBit – stats, sampling and optimisation

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07908)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07920)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07919)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07933)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07936)

(EPJC, arXiv:1705.07959)

}

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DarkBit: WIMPs

Models:SUSY, Higgs portals...

DM nucleon couplings

‘Process Catalog’

*Relativistic DM nucleon

effective operators

Effective Annihilation

RateYields

Direct detection

rates

Indirect detection

rates

*coming soon! (EPJC, arXiv:1705.07920)

Page 9: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

Outline

● Global fits & GAMBIT● Recent Dark Matter results:

– Higgs portal– Electroweak SUSY– Axion-like particles

● Future developments

Page 10: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

Vector Higgs portal DM

● 7 Standard Model, nuclear and astrophysical nuisance parameters

● Perturbative unitarity bound:

● Only resonance region and high-mass region remain

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Vector Higgs portal DM

● Standard spin-independent cross-section● Observables rescaled by the theoretical relic abundance● Next generation direct detection experiments can probe almost all of the mass range for

vector DM

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Vector Higgs portal DM

● ‘Neck’ region disappears when integrating over additional parameters● Resonance region falls out of 2σ credible region in a Bayesian interpretation

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Fermion Higgs portal DM

● Portal is a mixture of CP-even and CP-odd terms● EFT validity requirement

● CP-odd coupling induces momentum suppressed spin-independent cross-section● Resonance and high-mass solutions joined by solutions with

Page 14: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

Fermion Higgs portal DM

● Pseudoscalar coupling induces momentum suppressed spin-independent cross-section:

● To evade sensitive direct detection constraints,

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Fermionic Higgs portal

● Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective!● Integrating over additional parameters highlights fine-tuning of ξ above

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Electroweak MSSM

● Combined analysis of ATLAS + CMS electroweakino searches

● Local significance of 3.3σ above SM only background

● Mostly bino LSP

(EPJC, arXiv:1809.02097)

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Electroweak MSSM

● Post-processing only! – Scan did not target DM likelihoods, no DM nuisance parameters

● Collider data prefers light Electroweakinos, μ not decoupled, non-zero Higgsino component, neutralino couples to Z and H

● Z- and Higgs funnels can give the correct relic density!

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Axion-like particles (ALPs)

● QCD axions, DFSZ-like, KSVZ-like models, ALPs● Frequentist and Bayesian analyses● Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for QCD axions

(JHEP, arXiv:1810.07192)

Page 19: on behalf of the GAMBIT collaboration · Direct detection has far more of an impact from a Bayesian perspective! ... Bayesian analysis prefers a mass window of ~0.1μeV-10meV for

Outline

● Global fits & GAMBIT● Recent Dark Matter results:

– Higgs portal– Electroweak SUSY– Axion-like particles

● Future developments

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GUM

● GUM (GAMBIT Universal Models)● Interfaces GAMBIT to symbolic Lagrangian level tools● Automatically writes source code for:

– Model hierarchy entry

– Decay widths– Spectrum object– “Process Catalog” for DM

– Collider interface

– and more!

● Coming soon!

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GUM

Red = complete

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CosmoBit

● Cosmology module for BSM physics!● New observables and likelihoods including:

● BBN● CMB● BAO● SNe●

● Coming soon!

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Summary● Higgs portal models are getting well constrained –

although momentum suppression can make things tricky● EW scale SUSY is not dead● Axions are getting interesting, but are probably not all of

the DM

● Interface to Lagrangian level tools & expansion into cosmology coming very soon!

All results, samples, etc. available to download on Zenodo GAMBIT code is public: gambit.hepforge.org