Olivier Drücke, Vice president Off-Grid Power Conference ... · Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) The...
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Olivier Drücke, Vice president Off-Grid Power Conference @ Intersolar Europe 2017, Munich, 31.05. 2017
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
AGENDA
Introduction SINES Group & SOLAR23
Product & Service
Certificates
1
2
3
References 4
PV-Diesel Hybrid Systems 5
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
AGENDA
Introduction SINES Group & SOLAR23
Product & Services
Certificates
1
2
3
References 4
5
3
PV-Diesel Hybrid Systems
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
SINES Group of companies
1 SINES France Founded in 2010, the French company, SINES SAS, is one of the leading suppliers of stand alone solar systems. As a system supplier, SINES France offers all components for off-grid solutions as well as all related services.
SINES Industrie SINES Industry is one of the Tunisia’s largest solar thermal manufacturer. They provide turnkey commercial solar water heating solutions as well as pre-engineered residential systems. SINES Industry and its affiliates have been in business since 1995.
Solar23 GmbH Since its inception in 2000, SOLAR23 is a turnkey provider of off-grid‐connected photovoltaic systems and independent solar thermal systems with an international dealer network and customers mainly in Africa and also rest of the world
SINES Tunisia SINES Tunisia with headquarters in Tunis, has become a pioneer and fearless leader in the design, engineering, supply, installation and development of dynamic renewable solutions.
www.sines-group.com
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HISTORY
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Ismail Sibai
creates SINES
Ismail Sibai creates
SOLAR23 GmbH
Focusing on Africa
and Germany, when
the German Solar
market starts
booming
SOLAR23 GmbH
achieved 10 MWP of solar
power solutions and a
turnover of 13,0 M€, 25
Employees in Germany
through the German PV
Market
1995 2000 2004
Foundation of
SINES Industrie
2008
Foundation of
SINES France SAS
as PV components
seller
2010
SOLAR23 GmbH
strengthening
activities on African
market, stop of the
activities on the
German PV market
2011 2013 2015
SOLAR23 GmbH
increases in
capital and
purchase own
office in Ulm
2016
Creation of
DERYA-SOLAR23
in Turkey
ISO 9001:2015
certification of
SOLAR23
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
OUR PARTNERS
1 ABIDJAN, Ivory Coast
ACCRA, Ghana
ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia
ALGIER, Algeria
ANTANANARIVO, Madagascar
ASMARA, Eritrea
BAMAKO, Mali
BANJUL, Gambai
BUJUMBURA, Burundi
DAKAR, Senegal
BISSAU, Guinea Bissau
HARARE , Zimbabwe
JEDDAH, Saudi Arabia
KAIRO, Egypt
KAMPALA, Uganda
KINSHASA, Dem. Rep. Of Congo
LAGOS, Nigeria
LOMÉ, Togo
LUSAKA, Zambia
MOGADISCHU, Somalia
Africa Africa
NDJAMENA, Chad
NIAMEY , Niger
NOUAKCHOTT, Mauritania
OUAGADOUGOU, Burkina Faso
PRAIA, Cape Verde
RIADH, Saudi Arabia
TUNIS, Tunisia
YOUNDÉ, Cameroon
Europe
ULM, Germany
BORDEAUX, France (Sines SAS)
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
AGENDA
Introduction SINES GROUP & SOLAR23
Product & Services
Certificates
1
2
3
References 4
5
7
PV-Diesel Hybrid Systems
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
AGENDA
Introduction SINES GROUP & SOLAR23
Product & Services
Certificates
1
2
3
References 4
5
10
PV-Diesel Hybrid Systems
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
AGENDA
Introduction SINES GROUP & SOLAR23
Product & Services
Certificates
1
2
3
References 4
5
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PV-Diesel Hybrid Systems
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
REFERENCES – ON-GRID
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SOLAR POWER PLANT REICHARDSWERBEN, GERMANY
Capacity : 7,5 MW
SOLAR POWER PLANT MEMMINGEN, GERMANY
Capacity : 1,5 MW
FACTORY MEMMINGEN, GERMANY
Capacity : 323 kWp
CURVED ROOFTOP ERBOLZHEIM, GERMANY
Capacity : 47 kWp
FACTORY TAROUDANT, MOROCCO
Capacity : 25 kWp
FACTORY BOKSBURG, SOUTH AFRICA
Capacity : 43,2 kWp
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
REFERENCES – OFF-GRID
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STREET LIGHTING
3 SITES, IRAQ
400 street lights
CORROSION PROTECTION
417K0 PIPELINE, AUSTRALIA
Capacity: 119 kWp
SOLAR HOME SYSTEMS
20 SITES, TUNISIA
Capacity: 180 kWp
WATER PUMPING
5 SITES, IVORY COAST
Capacity: 153 kWp
RURAL ELECTRIFICATION
50 SITES, ETHIOPIA
Capacity: 100 kWp
VILLAGE POWER SUPPLY
ABUDJA, NIGERIA
Capacity: 42 kW
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Longterm Agreements with major donors
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Longterm Agreements with:
UNDP – United Nations Development Program
UNFPA – United Nations Population Fund
UNOPS – United Nations Office for Procurement Services
UNGM – United Nations Global Market Place
Registered at: GIZ, FRES, Le GRET, WEM, BEGECA, Welthungerhilfe, JUMEME, UNICEF, EU, Worldbank, DENA, …
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
AGENDA
Introduction SINES GROUP & SOLAR23
Product & Services
Certificates
1
2
3
References 4
5
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PV-Diesel Hybrid Systems
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Markets of PV Diesel Hybrid Systems
Cost of diesel power generation can be well above 0,20 EUR/kWh (when transport costs are high and generator efficiency is low).
Attractive market for the implementation/integration of renewable energies (hybridisation) without subsidies.
Where are the market potentials lying?
Island energy supply
Industry and commercial companies (Mining, tourism,…)
Rural electrification
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Yearly market of diesel generators: >60 GW resp. >50 Billion EUR
Installed capacity: >600 GW
Price learning curve of PV modules: For the last 35 years, each time the cumulative production doubled, the module price went down by 23%.
Today it is at approx. 0,5 EUR/kWp
Market triggers: Generator market size & PV Prices
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Market triggers: Crude oil and oil product prices
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Long-term: increases of oil and diesel prices are almost certain
Short to mid-term: Strong price fluctua-tions remain likely
Actually: Low oil price is a stumbling block for investments into fuel-saver systems
However, the question is not if, but when prices will rise
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Market triggers: Price parities of PV versus fossil fuels
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1) Thermal energy content: Gasoline = 8,9 kWh/l and Fuel oil = 9,8 kWh/l
Parity with diesel power
from 2007 to 2010
Parity with gasoline and
diesel (thermal1)
from 2012 to 2013
Parity with natural gas and
fuel oil (thermal1)
from 2014 to 2017
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Year
Source: Fraunhofer ISE 2016
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
System price development of PV battery storage
The development of battery storage system prices still stands at the beginning
The price reduction between 2013 and 2015 was approx. 30% in Germany
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Sources: Fraunhofer ISE 2016 / Rocky Mountain Institute / Bloomberg 2015
POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Types of PV-Diesel Hybrid systems
Type Diesel operation
PV grid feed-in
Storage Controller regulates
Diesel savings
1 24/7
unregulated N/A N/A +
2 24/7 output reduceable
N/A PV ++
3a 24/7 output reduceable
dynamic regulation
PV and Storage
+++
3b as required output reduceable
grid forming with high capacity
PV & storage steer diesel generator
++++
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Typical markets and applications
Rural electricification / Island power supply
Mining / heavy industries
Tourism / Hotels
Agriculture
Water supply, e.g. Pumps, desalination, irrigation
Telecommunications
Small and medium sized manufacturing companies
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Rural electricification key facts
THE POTENTIAL:
• 1,2 billion people in the world have no access to electricity
• But, electrification is mostly done through power grid extensions
• But, local populations have very low purchase power
IMPLEMENTATION:
• Difficult business model, because revenues per client are very small
• Mostly no real hybridisation, but rather new electrification: Pure PV-Battery projects are likely
• Often donation financed projects
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Remote industries key facts
THE POTENTIAL:
• High number of diesel generators/power plants for remote power supply of mines and industries
• Diesel generators/power plants are often operated as back-up in weak grids (with power outages of more than 6 hours/day
• However, diesel is frequently subsidized resulting in low cost of diesel generated power
IMPLEMENTATION:
• Diesel generators/power plants are mostly privately owned & operated and the producer generally is also the consumer
• Diesel savings thus directly benefit the power plant owners
• There is a commercial clientele with available investment capital, but very high yield expectations (e.g. Payback-time <3 to 5 years)
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Technological strengths & challenges
STRENGHS:
SIZING of PV for off-grid locations does not need to fully cover the load requirement during winter/rainy season
PEAK POWER - Temporary availability of cumulated peak power (Diesel+PV+Battery)
REDUNDANCY of the power generation system resulting in higher reliability, flexibility
EXPANDABILITY due to modularity of PV technology
EFFICIENCY more efficient diesel operation & longer diesel generator lifetime
CHALLENGES:
Diesel generators with improved PARTIAL LOAD PERFORMANCE
Power GRID FORMING regulation of inverters for flexible, expandable systems
POWER PROTECTION concepts (notably for Type 3b systems, see slide 23)
Development and compliance of technical SPECIFICATIONS AND STANDARDS
Harsh CLIMATIC CONDITIONS (humid/hot, dust, frost, salty air, altitude locations,…)
Quality of FORECASTING load and PV-generation
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Economic challenges
Competitiveness is required even when diesel prices are low
Negotiation of power supply contracts with clients who operate a volatile business
Amortisation requirements/expectations of <5 years?
Cost reduction of battery storage systems
Optimisation calculation / Definition of cost functions for all system components
Sales and service into remote regions
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POWER THE WAY TO SUSTAINABILITY
Business models
Self-consumption
Plant owner and power users are identical
Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)
The plant operator sells the generated power to consumers according to a long-term power supply contract
Co-Ownership
The power consumer owns the plants only partially. An investor refinances himself through power sales to the power consumer
Rental agreement
The power consumer rents a power plant for self-consumption
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Conclusion
Technology is available and mature
Deep project context understanding and individual planning (technical/economic) are required. This is quite a lot of work !
The economic profitability and feasibility is generally given
Large industry clients are often hesitating
They cannot really assess and gauge the technology
They avoid long-term contractual ties and prefer flexibility
However, the interest is growing and a market breakthrough is possible in the mid-term
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