Office Russia Off 3q12

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    Cushman & Wakefield LLP43-45 Portman SquareLondon W1A 3BGwww.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge

    This report has been produced by Cushman & Wakefield LLP for use by those with an interest in commercial property solely for information purposes.It is not intended to be a complete description of the markets or developments to which it refers. The report uses information obtained from public sourceswhich Cushman & Wakefield LLP believe to be reliable, but we have not verified such information and cannot guarantee that it is accurate and complete.No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained herein and Cushman &Wakefield LLP shall not be liable to any reader of this report or any third party in any way whatsoever. All expressions of opinion are subject to change.Our prior written consent is required before this report can be reproduced in whole or in part. Should you not wish to receive information from Cushman& Wakefield LLP or any related company, please email [email protected] with your details in the body of your email as they appear on thiscommunication and head it Unsubscribe. 2012 Cushman & Wakefield LLP. All rights reserved.

    OVERVIEWAlthough the Russian economy continues

    to perform well compared to much of

    Europe, growth has slowed from last year

    and a sense of caution within the office

    market has been maintained. Due to this,

    prime rents have held in St Petersburg and suburban Moscow,

    but have seen increases in the central area between the

    downtown and the suburbs.

    OCCUPIER FOCUSDemand for properties has remained relatively stable, with long

    negotiation of deals further slowing the market, which meant that

    take-up was slightly down on the previous quarter. However,

    there is interest in the market, with site visits ongoing, implying a

    pick up in activity around the corner. The interest in downtown

    Moscow has continued to decrease, as tenants look for cheaper

    options elsewhere within the city. This is what caused the

    increase in rents in the central area.

    This quarter has seen nearly 176,000 sq.m of new quality office

    space delivered to the Moscow market, however, most of this is

    Class B. Prime office space remains in limited supply. Of the

    newly completed offices 40% of the space is still vacant and onthe market. There is approximately 3.2 million sq.m of space

    currently under construction and only a fraction 6% of this has

    secured a pre-let. A further 8 million sq.m exists as planned

    projects that have yet broken ground.

    INVESTMENT FOCUSThe third quarter saw office investment volumes of close to450

    million, a relatively healthy amount, even if it is somewhat lower

    than the800 million of the previous quarter. Even so, office

    investment accounted for approximately half of all property asset

    volumes, and the majority of buyers this quarter were domestic.

    Largely the volumes this quarter were made up from three large

    projects that were sold. Prime and secondary yields have seen

    increases of 25 basis points this quarter in Moscow, reflecting in

    part the reduced level of activity, but also the slowed economic

    situation.

    OUTLOOKThe economic outlook is for a slightly slowed rate of growth, but

    that 2013 in general will outpace 2012. Therefore although

    demand and rents are expected to remain stable in the short

    term, over the course of next year, an improvement is expected.

    With regards to the investment market, similar levels of activity

    are anticipated for the last quarter of 2012, and prime yields are

    not expected to move further.

    MARKET OUTLOOK

    Prime Rents: Prime rents are expected to hold.

    Prime Yields: There is not expected to be significantmovements in yields in Q4.

    Supply: A relatively large speculative pipeline is underconstruction.

    Demand: Demand is good, with annual volumes for 2012expected to reach record levels.

    PRIME OFFICE RENTS SEPTEMBER 2012

    MARKET (SUBMARKET) US$ US$ GROWTH % CAGR

    SQ.M/YR SQ.M/YR SQ.FT/YR 5YR 1YR

    Moscow (Central) 810 630 75.3 -4.1 1.3

    Moscow (Centre A+) 1,170 909 108.7 -3.5 -2.5

    Moscow (OOT) 500 389 46.5 -6.5 -10.7

    PRIME OFFICE YIELDS SEPTEMBER 2012

    MARKET (SUBMARKET)

    (FIGURES ARE GROSS, %)

    CURRENT LAST LAST 10 YEAR

    QUARTER QUARTER YEAR HIGH LOW

    Moscow (Central) 8.75 8.50 9.00 16.00 7.25

    Moscow (Centre A+)* 8.75 8.50 9.00 13.00 7.00

    Moscow (OOT) 8.75 8.50 9.00 17.00 8.00NOTE: * 6 year record

    With respect to the yield data provided, in light of the lack of recent comparable market evidence in many areas ofEurope and the changing nature of the market and the costs implicit in any transaction, such as financing, these are verymuch a guide only to indicate the approximate trend and direction of p rime initial yield levels and should not be usedas a comparable for any particular property or transaction without regard to the specifics of the property.

    RECENT PERFORMANCE

    Source: Cushman & Wakefield

    -25.0%

    -15.0%

    -5.0%

    5.0%

    15.0%

    25.0%

    4.00%

    6.50%

    9.00%

    11.50%

    14.00%

    Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-11 Sep-12

    AVERAGE PRIME YIELDS (left) RENTAL GROWTH (right)

    RUSSIA

    OFFICE SNAPSHOTMARKETBEAT

    A Cushman & Wakefield Research PublicationQ3 2012