of the previous 4 weeks Australian milk production NZ milk … · 2019-06-08 · DG AGRI DASHBOARD:...
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DG AGRI DASHBOARD: DAIRY PRODUCTS Last update : 14.04.2016 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Jan 03 Jan 04 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16 in EUR/100 kg EU average quotations of main commodities Butter Intervention price SMP Intervention price BUTTER SMP WMP CHEDDAR World Quotations EU Prices GDT EU Productions EU Trade + 5,6% + 5,8% + 12,5% + 23,0% + 0,8% - 4,1% - 1,1% - 2,6% + 1,3% EU Productions (Jan 2016 compared to Jan 2015) World Productions World Trade USD/Feed/Energy Feed / Energy quotations Evolution ( 4 last weeks ) Feed costs Energy costs + 2,2 % + 3,0 % Qty in ktons % 2016 /15 Qty in ktons % 2016 /15 Qty in ktons % 2016 /15 Qty in ktons % 2016 /15 New Zealand 95 + 9% 71 + 30% 99 + 20% 260 - 0% EU-28 38 + 49% 116 + 13% 123 + 4% 63 + 5% United States 7 + 30% 47 - 13% 84 + 19% 5 - 36% Australia 5 - 16% 27 + 12% 34 - 12% 9 - 22% Belarus 11 + 117% 31 + 25% 15 - 11% 5 + 96% Argentina 1 - 4% 7 + 22% 4 - 0% 16 - 15% Jan-Feb 2016 compared to 2015 MAIN EXPORTING THIRD COUNTRIES BUTTER(OIL) CHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P. Qty in ktons % 2016 /15 Qty in ktons % 2016 /15 Qty in ktons % 2016 /15 Qty in ktons % 2016 /15 China 23 + 79% 17 + 61% 51 + 25% 157 + 22% Algeria 2016 not avail. Russia up to Jan 7 + 57% 15 + 16% 8 + 34% 3 + 52% Japan 0 - 97% 40 + 8% 6 - 50% 0 - 30% United States 9 + 88% 34 + 40% 0 - 55% 1 - 4% Malaysia up to Jan 2 + 5% 2 + 8% 16 - 26% 3 - 17% BUTTER(OIL) CHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P. Jan-Feb 2016 compared to 2015 MAIN IMPORTING THIRD COUNTRIES 10.000 11.000 12.000 13.000 14.000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1000 Tonnes EU - Cows' milk collected 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan 2016/15 : + 5,6% Sources : EUROSTAT, Reg. (EU) 479/2010, Clal.it, USDA, Lto.nl, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Dairyaustralia, Dcanz, Global Trade Atlas, 500 600 700 800 900 1.000 1.100 1.200 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun in 1000 tonnes Australian milk production 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 Jul-Feb 2015/16 compared to 2014/15 : - 0,4% 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May in 1000 tonnes NZ milk production 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 Jun-Feb 2015/16 compared to 2014/15 : - 1,8% 7000 7250 7500 7750 8000 8250 8500 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec in 1000 tonnes U.S. milk production 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Feb 2016 compared to 2015 : + 2,3% 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Feb 00 Feb 00 Jan 00 Jan 00 Jan 00 Jan 00 Jan 00 Feb 00 Jan 00 Jan 00 Feb 00 Feb 00 Feb 00 Feb 00 Jan 00 Jan 00 #N/A EUR/100 kg Weighted EU Average (real fat content) EU Milk Equiv. Price (based on SMP and Butter prices) * : provisional figures 28,6 23,1 EU Raw Milk Prices Evolution (up to March 2016*) 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC EUR/100 kg 2-WEEKLY Milk Spot Prices - IT, Lodi - 2013 2014 2015 2016 24,3 € (27 Mar) 10 20 30 40 50 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC EUR/100 kg WEEKLY Milk Spot Prices - NL - 2013 2014 2015 2016 18,0 € (03 Apr) 20 40 60 80 100 120 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul 36,05 Last update : 10.04.2016 OIL : Europe Brent Spot Price (USD/Barrel) 0 10 20 30 40 50 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 EUR/100 kg US Milk (class III adj 4.2% fat) NZ Milk - (Fonterra, adj 4.2% fat & 3.35% prot) EU Raw Milk price Source : 20,0 28,6 31,7 The latest EU Raw Milk Price (Mar 2016) is still provisional U.S. and New Zealand Milk Prices Evolution 1,00 1,10 1,20 1,30 1,40 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul EUR / USD Exchange Rate 1,1396 Last Update : 13.04.16 EU Oceania USA EU Oceania USA Butter 2 889 2 750 4 271 - 1,5% nc - 0,1% SMP 1 824 1 738 1 615 + 0,3% nc - 0,4% WMP 2 212 2 063 2 830 + 0,6% nc - 1,2% Cheddar 2 888 2 550 3 231 - 4,1% nc - 1,5% Price in USD/Tonne on 3.04.2016 % change (15 days ago) LATEST WORLD QUOTATIONS in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016 in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016 Extra-EU 20.948 20.567 26.168 + 27% Extra-EU 123.683 102.403 116.141 + 13% Saudi Arabia 762 2.320 3.050 + 31% USA 16.472 19.248 21.064 + 9% USA 1.153 2.075 2.798 + 35% Japan 5.883 9.507 10.050 + 6% Egypt 108 2.643 2.088 - 21% Switzerland 8.091 8.102 8.259 + 2% in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016 in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016 Extra-EU 96.263 117.558 122.571 + 4% Extra-EU 67.382 60.171 63.081 + 5% Algeria 19.715 16.121 14.259 - 12% Oman 8.690 10.470 11.248 + 7% Indonesia 11.707 7.865 12.052 + 53% Algeria 10.067 5.721 4.261 - 26% China 13.265 6.040 10.346 + 71% Nigeria 8.083 6.155 4.191 - 32% W.M.P. EU Exports - Top 3 destinations in 2016 Period : February BUTTER CHEESE S.M.P. + 79% + 61% + 25% + 22% + 39% + 33% + 45% + 1% 13 10 41 128 49 3 1 12 23 17 51 157 69 4 2 12 0 50 100 150 200 BUTTER + OIL CHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P. WHEYPOWDER CASEIN(ATE)S CONDENSED LACTOSE Qty in '000 tonnes 2015 2016 5 12 11 0 39 32 99 13 5 13 15 1 37 28 70 23 0 100 % of EU CHINA IMPORTS (Jan-Feb 2016 compared to 2015) 29,3 Raw Milk €/100 kg EU Price Evolution since last month - 0,5% 257 BUTTER €/100 kg - 1,8% 165 S.M.P. €/100 kg + 0,7% 195 W.M.P. €/100 kg - 1,1% 253 CHEDDAR €/100 kg - 3,0% Compared to the average of the previous 4 weeks EU Prices (week 14) (week 14) Feb-2016
Transcript of of the previous 4 weeks Australian milk production NZ milk … · 2019-06-08 · DG AGRI DASHBOARD:...
DG AGRI DASHBOARD: DAIRY PRODUCTS Last update : 14.04.2016
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EU average quotations of main commodities
Butter Intervention priceSMP Intervention priceBUTTERSMPWMPCHEDDAR
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+ 1,3%
EU Productions (Jan 2016 compared to Jan 2015)
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/Fee
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Evolution ( 4 last weeks )
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Energy costs
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/15
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New Zealand 95 + 9% 71 + 30% 99 + 20% 260 - 0%
EU-28 38 + 49% 116 + 13% 123 + 4% 63 + 5%
United States 7 + 30% 47 - 13% 84 + 19% 5 - 36%
Australia 5 - 16% 27 + 12% 34 - 12% 9 - 22%
Belarus 11 + 117% 31 + 25% 15 - 11% 5 + 96%
Argentina 1 - 4% 7 + 22% 4 - 0% 16 - 15%
Jan-Feb 2016
compared to 2015
MAIN EXPORTING THIRD COUNTRIES
BUTTER(OIL) CHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P.
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China 23 + 79% 17 + 61% 51 + 25% 157 + 22%
Algeria2016 not
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Russiaup to
Jan 7 + 57% 15 + 16% 8 + 34% 3 + 52%
Japan 0 - 97% 40 + 8% 6 - 50% 0 - 30%
United States 9 + 88% 34 + 40% 0 - 55% 1 - 4%
Malaysiaup to
Jan 2 + 5% 2 + 8% 16 - 26% 3 - 17%
BUTTER(OIL) CHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P.Jan-Feb 2016
compared to 2015
MAIN IMPORTING THIRD COUNTRIES
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2013201420152016
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Sources : EUROSTAT, Reg. (EU) 479/2010, Clal.it, USDA, Lto.nl, Nasdaq, European Central Bank, Dairyaustralia, Dcanz, Global Trade Atlas,
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2013201420152016
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EUR/100 kg
Weighted EU Average (real fat content)
EU Milk Equiv. Price (based on SMP and Butter prices)
* : provisional figures
28,6
23,1
EU Raw Milk Prices Evolution (up to March 2016*)
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2-WEEKLY Milk Spot Prices- IT, Lodi -
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2015
2016
24,3 € (27 Mar)
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Last update : 10.04.2016
OIL : Europe Brent Spot Price(USD/Barrel)
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EU Raw Milk price
Source :
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31,7
The latest EU Raw Milk Price (Mar 2016) is still provisional
U.S. and New Zealand Milk Prices Evolution
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Jan
Ap
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EUR / USD Exchange Rate
1,1396
Last Update : 13.04.16
EU Oceania USA EU Oceania USA
Butter 2 889 2 750 4 271 - 1,5% nc - 0,1%
SMP 1 824 1 738 1 615 + 0,3% nc - 0,4%
WMP 2 212 2 063 2 830 + 0,6% nc - 1,2%
Cheddar 2 888 2 550 3 231 - 4,1% nc - 1,5%
Price in USD/Tonne
on 3.04.2016
% change
(15 days ago)
LATEST WORLD QUOTATIONS
in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016 in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016
Extra-EU 20.948 20.567 26.168 + 27% Extra-EU 123.683 102.403 116.141 + 13%
Saudi Arabia 762 2.320 3.050 + 31% USA 16.472 19.248 21.064 + 9%
USA 1.153 2.075 2.798 + 35% Japan 5.883 9.507 10.050 + 6%
Egypt 108 2.643 2.088 - 21% Switzerland 8.091 8.102 8.259 + 2%
in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016 in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016
Extra-EU 96.263 117.558 122.571 + 4% Extra-EU 67.382 60.171 63.081 + 5%
Algeria 19.715 16.121 14.259 - 12% Oman 8.690 10.470 11.248 + 7%
Indonesia 11.707 7.865 12.052 + 53% Algeria 10.067 5.721 4.261 - 26%
China 13.265 6.040 10.346 + 71% Nigeria 8.083 6.155 4.191 - 32%
W.M.P.
EU Exports - Top 3 destinations in 2016Period : February
BUTTER CHEESE
S.M.P.
+ 79%
+ 61%
+ 25%
+ 22%
+ 39%
+ 33%
+ 45%
+ 1%
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41
128
49
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23
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2
12
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BUTTER + OIL
CHEESE
S.M.P.
W.M.P.
WHEYPOWDER
CASEIN(ATE)S
CONDENSED
LACTOSE
Qty in '000 tonnes
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2016
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12
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CHINA IMPORTS (Jan-Feb 2016 compared to 2015)
29,3Raw Milk €/100 kg
EU Price Evolution sincelast month
- 0,5%
257BUTTER €/100 kg - 1,8%
165S.M.P. €/100 kg + 0,7%
195W.M.P. €/100 kg - 1,1%
253CHEDDAR €/100 kg - 3,0%
Compared to the averageof the previous 4 weeks
EU Prices
(week 14)
(week 14)
Feb-2016
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29,3Raw Milk €/100 kg
EU Price Evolution since
last month
- 0,5%
257BUTTER €/100 kg - 1,8%
165S.M.P. €/100 kg + 0,7%
195W.M.P. €/100 kg - 1,1%
253CHEDDAR €/100 kg - 3,0%
Compared to the average
of the previous 4 weeks
EU Prices (week 14)
Feb-2016
Source : DG AGRI – Reg. 479/2010 Art. 2
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Source : DG AGRI – Reg. 479/2010 Art. 2
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#N/A
EUR/100 kg
Weighted EU Average (real fat content)
EU Milk Equiv. Price (based on SMP and Butter prices)
* : provisional figures
28,6
23,1
EU Raw Milk Prices Evolution (up to March 2016*)
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Source : Clal.it
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2-WEEKLY Milk Spot Prices- IT, Lodi -
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WEEKLY Milk Spot Prices- NL -
2013
2014
2015
2016
18,0 € (03 Apr)
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i n EUR/100 kg
EU average quotations of main commodities
Butter Intervention priceSMP Intervention priceBUTTERSMPWMPCHEDDAR
Source : DG AGRI – Reg. 479/2010 Art. 2
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Source : DG AGRI, USDA
EU Oceania USA EU Oceania USA
Butter 2 889 2 750 4 271 - 1,5% nc - 0,1%
SMP 1 824 1 738 1 615 + 0,3% nc - 0,4%
WMP 2 212 2 063 2 830 + 0,6% nc - 1,2%
Cheddar 2 888 2 550 3 231 - 4,1% nc - 1,5%
Price in USD/Tonne
on 3.04.2016
% change
(15 days ago)
LATEST WORLD QUOTATIONS
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Source : DG AGRI, LTO Nederland
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EU Raw Milk price
Source :
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The latest EU Raw Milk Price (Mar 2016) is still provisional
U.S. and New Zealand Milk Prices Evolution
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Source : European Central Bank
Sources : Feed : DG AGRI, Clal.it Energy : DG ENERGY
Source : Nasdaq
Feed / Energy quotations
Evolution ( 4 last weeks )
Feed costs
Energy costs
+ 2,2 %
+ 3,0 %
(week 14)
1,00
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1,40
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Ap
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EUR / USD Exchange Rate
1,1396
Last Update : 13.04.16
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Last update : 10.04.2016
OIL : Europe Brent Spot Price(USD/Barrel)
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+ 5,6% + 5,8%
+ 12,5%
+ 23,0%
+ 0,8%
- 4,1%- 1,1% - 2,6%
+ 1,3%
EU Productions (Jan 2016 compared to Jan 2015)
Source : EUROSTAT
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10.000
11.000
12.000
13.000
14.000Ja
n
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
1000
Ton
nes
EU - Cows' milk collected
2013201420152016
Jan 2016/15 : + 5,6%
Source : EUROSTAT, Reg. (EC) No 479/2010 Art. 1(a)1
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Australian milk production
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2012/13
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U.S. milk production
2013201420152016
Jan-Feb 2016 compared to 2015 : + 2,3%
Source : Dairyaustralia, Dcanz, USDA
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in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016 in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016
Extra-EU 20.948 20.567 26.168 + 27% Extra-EU 123.683 102.403 116.141 + 13%
Saudi Arabia 762 2.320 3.050 + 31% USA 16.472 19.248 21.064 + 9%
USA 1.153 2.075 2.798 + 35% Japan 5.883 9.507 10.050 + 6%
Egypt 108 2.643 2.088 - 21% Switzerland 8.091 8.102 8.259 + 2%
in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016 in Tonnes 2014 2015 2016
Extra-EU 96.263 117.558 122.571 + 4% Extra-EU 67.382 60.171 63.081 + 5%
Algeria 19.715 16.121 14.259 - 12% Oman 8.690 10.470 11.248 + 7%
Indonesia 11.707 7.865 12.052 + 53% Algeria 10.067 5.721 4.261 - 26%
China 13.265 6.040 10.346 + 71% Nigeria 8.083 6.155 4.191 - 32%
W.M.P.
EU Exports - Top 3 destinations in 2016Period : February
BUTTER CHEESE
S.M.P.
Source : EUROSTAT
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+ 79%
+ 61%
+ 25%
+ 22%
+ 39%
+ 33%
+ 45%
+ 1%
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41
128
49
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1
12
23
17
51
157
69
4
2
12
0 50 100 150 200
BUTTER + OIL
CHEESE
S.M.P.
W.M.P.
WHEYPOWDER
CASEIN(ATE)S
CONDENSED
LACTOSE
Qty in '000 tonnes
2015
2016
5
12
11
0
39
32
99
13
5
13
15
1
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28
70
23
0 100
% of EU
CHINA IMPORTS (Jan-Feb 2016 compared to 2015)
Source : GTA
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\\net1.cec.eu.int\AGRI\C\4\C5 DATA\5. CEREALES\DASHBOARD\Dashboard_Cereals_Blue.xlsx - 'Dashboard (2)'!W64
Qty in
ktons
%
2016
/15
Qty in
ktons
%
2016
/15
Qty in
ktons
%
2016
/15
Qty in
ktons
%
2016
/15
New Zealand 95 + 9% 71 + 30% 99 + 20% 260 - 0%
EU-28 38 + 49% 116 + 13% 123 + 4% 63 + 5%
United States 7 + 30% 47 - 13% 84 + 19% 5 - 36%
Australia 5 - 16% 27 + 12% 34 - 12% 9 - 22%
Belarus 11 + 117% 31 + 25% 15 - 11% 5 + 96%
Argentina 1 - 4% 7 + 22% 4 - 0% 16 - 15%
Jan-Feb 2016
compared to 2015
MAIN EXPORTING THIRD COUNTRIES
BUTTER(OIL) CHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P.
BUTTER +
BUTTEROILCHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P.
Qty in
ktons
%
2016
/15
Qty in
ktons
%
2016
/15
Qty in
ktons
%
2016
/15
Qty in
ktons
%
2016
/15
China 23 + 79% 17 + 61% 51 + 25% 157 + 22%
Algeria2016 not
avail.
Russiaup to
Jan 7 + 57% 15 + 16% 8 + 34% 3 + 52%
Japan 0 - 97% 40 + 8% 6 - 50% 0 - 30%
United States 9 + 88% 34 + 40% 0 - 55% 1 - 4%
Malaysiaup to
Jan 2 + 5% 2 + 8% 16 - 26% 3 - 17%
BUTTER +
BUTTEROILCHEESE
BUTTER(OIL) CHEESE S.M.P. W.M.P.Jan-Feb 2016
compared to 2015
S.M.P. W.M.P.
MAIN IMPORTING THIRD COUNTRIES
Source : GTA
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GD
T
Au
cti
on
Source : Globaldairytrade
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