Ocean noise management: Three lessons from the U.S.
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Transcript of Ocean noise management: Three lessons from the U.S.
Ocean noise management: Three lessons from the U.S.
Michael JasnyNatural Resources Defense Council
Management Solutions for Underwater Noise in Canada’s Pacific – Vancouver – June 2013
Lessons
Lessons1. Be honest in estimating take.
1. Estimating take
Risk function for “continuous noise” (e.g., shipping)
Risk function for “non-continuous noise” (e.g., pile-driving)
The received wisdom
120 dB (RMS) 160 dB (RMS)
1. Estimating take
Risk function for “continuous noise” (e.g., shipping)
Risk function for “non-continuous noise” (e.g., pile-driving)
The received wisdom
1. Estimating take
In the United States, take is both a biological and a legal concept.
Take means to “harass, hunt, capture, or kill” or to attempt to do so.
“Harassment” means any act that (a) Has the potential to injure an individual marine
mammal, or(b) Has the potential to disturb an individual marine
mammal by causing disruption of behavioral patterns such as migration, breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering.
U.S. Marine Mammal Protection Act, § 3(13), (18)
1. Estimating take
Developments in the science
On the one hand, scientific developments…
160 dB threshold is “overly simplified, scientifically outdated, and artificially rigid.”
- Clark et al. (2012)
1. Estimating take
Developments in the science
a. Intraspecific variability
1. Estimating take
Developments in the science
a. Intraspecific variabilityb. Ultra-sensitive species
1. Estimating take
Developments in the science
a. Intraspecific variabilityb. Ultra-sensitive speciesc. Negative bias
“Clearly the lack of observed avoidance is not necessarily indicative of a lack of impact”
1. Estimating take
Developments in the science
a. Intraspecific variabilityb. Ultra-sensitive speciesc. Negative biasd. Masking effects
1. Estimating take
The MMPA requires the wildlife agencies to authorize “incidental” take but sets regulatory ceilings on the amount
Number of takes from given activity
Ceilings: “small numbers” of marine mammals
Above ceiling: activity cannot be authorized
& “negligible impact” on MM populations
On the other hand, regulatory context…
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ATOC
JNCCHESS
Bahamas
SURTASS LFA
Arctic PEIS
IMO
MSFD
Focal events in ocean noise management
MFA
1. Estimating take
1. Estimating take
As a legal concept, take in the U.S. is subject to pressures extrinsic to biology.
Developments in the science
a. Intraspecific variabilityb. Ultra-sensitive speciesc. Negative biasd. Masking effects
Regulatory need
> The 120 dB and 160 dB criteria have been very hard to dislodge, limiting the agencies’ ability to apply best available science to impact analysis of sub-lethal effects
Lessons1. Be honest in estimating take.
- U.S. numbers do not represent floor of sub-lethal effects- Need to account for all mechanisms of impact – not just
behavioral disruption, but also masking, stress effects, etc., which may require different units of measurement
- Need to account for negative bias in observation- Understand purpose of quantification of take, e.g.,
determining the scale of impact on different species or the relative consequences of alternative actions
Lessons1. Be honest in estimating take.
2. Think cumulatively.
2. Think cumulatively
Movement towards more comprehensive view despite law
Under NMFS’ interpretation of MMPA, applicants decide scope of activity
2. Think cumulatively
Movement towards more comprehensive view despite law
Under NMFS’ interpretation of MMPA, applicants decide scope of activity
Nonetheless, NMFS encourages user groups – particularly other federal agencies – to undertake programmatic regional review
2. Think cumulatively
Movement towards more comprehensive view despite law
Under NMFS’ interpretation of MMPA, applicants decide scope of activity
Nonetheless, NMFS encourages user groups – particularly other federal agencies – to undertake programmatic regional review
NMFS now attempting to develop comprehensive, multi-sector noise management policy
2. Think cumulatively
Need for conservative assumptions/ proxies for population impacts
The holy grail of population analysis
What to do in the meantime?
Chart: NRC 2005
2. Think cumulatively
Need for conservative assumptions/ proxies for population impacts
Taylor et al. 2007: high probability of not detecting precipitous decline in cetacean pops given present effort
Underscores need for (1) conservative proxies and (2) population-focused survey/ monitoring effort in place that can at least improve the odds
Chart: Taylor et al. 2007
2. Think cumulatively
Need for conservative assumptions/ proxies for population impacts
Charts: Moore and Barlow 2013; Miller et al. 2009; Hatch et al. 2012
Data increasingly indicate concern for variety of taxa at population level
2. Think cumulatively
Options for conservative assumptions/ proxies for population impacts
Source: CCCSIP EIS
a. Proxies based on degree of exposure or impact
Non-injurious “take”
Impact Listed Non-listedHigh magnitude >2.5% >25%Medium mag 1.25-2.5% 15-25%Low magnitude >1 individual 5-15%Central Coastal California
Seismic Imaging ProjectWill need different proxies for long-term activities.
2. Think cumulatively
Options for conservative assumptions/ proxies for population impacts
Chart: Scholik-Schlomer et al. 2011
b. Exceedance of baseline (present levels of acoustic energy)
“[W]e call for initial global action that will reduce the contributions of shipping to ambient noise energy in the 10-300 Hz band by 3 decibels in 10 years and by 10 decibels in 30 years relative to current levels. This goal would be accomplished by reducing noise contributions from individual ships.” - Hamburg Statement (2008)
Low-frequency ambient noise trends in the North Pacific
Lessons1. Be honest in estimating take.
2. Think cumulatively.
In assessing risk of adverse population-level effects, it’s critical
(1)to use highly conservative proxies for exceedance, and
(2)to put population-focused survey/ monitoring effort in place for the life of the project
Lessons1. Be honest in estimating take.
2. Think cumulatively.
3. Evolve beyond the near field: or, safety zones are so twentieth-century.
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Norway
U.S.
Canada (for non-baleens)
Italy
Australia
MFA sonar shut-down zones c. 2008
• The U.S. helped pioneer the safety zone in the 1990s, initially in the context of seismic airgun exploration in the Arctic and off California, then spreading to naval training, pile-driving, and other activities.
• Much regulatory energy is spent on designing protocols for safety zones and ramp-up – radii, pre-monitoring, stop/ start, etc.
• Now required of virtually every authorized activity in the U.S.
Omnidirectional sound energy levels from a single seismic airgun shot in Harrison Bay, North Slope, Alaska, integrated over 1 second
Map
: Fle
ishm
an e
t al.
20123. Evolve beyond the near field
Scale of solution must match scale of problem
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• Habitat-based management (e.g., exclusion areas, ATBAs, shipping lane consolidation and revision, MPA management)
• Noise-quieting methods and technologies (e.g., quiet ship design, technological alternative for seismic airguns, attenuation systems for piledrivers)
• Multi-sector cumulative noise management (region- or population- based)
N.B. Does not displace “near-field” mitigation for high-intensity sources (e.g., pile drivers)
Shifting focus for U.S. mitigation: habitat and technology
U.S./ IMO
Arctic PEIS
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Pile-driving
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Time-area management
a. Avoiding ensonification of identified areas of biological importance
Arctic: action alternative to protect important bowhead whale habitat from oil & gas exploration noise
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Time-area management
a. Avoiding ensonification of identified areas of biological importance
NMFS presently identifying known “biologically important areas” for cetaceans as part of CetMap process – throughout entire U.S. EEZ
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Time-area management
b. Reducing take risk by shifting activities out of higher-density areas/ seasons for target species
Massachusetts: USCG shifting shipping lanes within the Stellwagen Bank NMS effected a nearly 50% reduction in right whales exposed to noise levels above NMFS’ take threshold (120 dB); similar effects also achieved through ship-speed reductions
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Time-area management
b. Reducing take risk by avoiding high-density areas for target species
Through CetMap process, NMFS has mapped cetacean densities primarily through predictive modeling across entire U.S. EEZ
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Time-area management
c. Setting conservation targets: the future?
Agardy et al. 2007: set conservation targets (e.g., keeping X% of primary habitat in acoustically healthy condition, or maintaining present baseline for acoustic habitat) and use MARXAN to design implementation plan; now under consideration by NMFS as part of follow-on to CetMap
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Time-area management
c. Setting ecological targets: the future?
Through CetMap process, NMFS is mapping noise levels from major chronic and intermittent sources across entire U.S. EEZ
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Noise-quieting methods and technologies
• Major new trend in noise mitigation – in U.S. and elsewhere – for shipping, pile-driving, and oil and gas exploration
• U.S. agencies recognize enormous promise of quieting technology, are proactive but have not yet developed action alternatives for implementation
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Noise-quieting methods and technologies
• Leadership at IMO: - In 2008, U.S. petitioned the IMO’s Marine Environment Protection
Committee (MEPC) to develop voluntary guidelines to quiet commercial vessels
- Has helped lead correspondence/ working groups- Guidelines up for MEPC approval in March 2014; further
refinement thereafter
• Next phase: green certification and other compliance programs
“The [Central California National Marine Sanctuaries] should work with the Los Angeles, Long Beach, and San Francisco Bay port authorities and industry to establish port-based incentives for the reduction of underwater shipping noise.” - Adopted NMS Joint Working Group recs
Shipping
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Noise-quieting methods and technologies
• Feb. 2013: U.S. BOEM convened major international workshop on quieting technologies for offshore energy (airguns, pile-drivers, vessels)
Pile-driving
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Noise-quieting methods and technologies
• Feb. 2013: Agencies convened major international workshop on quieting technologies for offshore energy (airguns, pile-drivers, vessels)
• But Europe ahead of U.S. for offshore renewables: 5-10 years ahead in offshore wind development, action-forcing by Germany
Pile-driving
3. Evolve beyond the near field
Noise-quieting methods and technologies
• Feb. 2013: Agencies convened major international workshop on quieting technologies for offshore energy (airguns, pile-drivers, vessels)
• But Europe ahead of U.S. for offshore renewables: 5-10 years ahead in offshore wind development, action-forcing by Germany
• U.S. playing catch-up: best available technology will probably be required for turbine construction, but action-forcing regulation would be helpful on this side of the Atlantic
Pile-driving
Lessons1. Be honest in estimating take.
2. Think cumulatively.
3. Evolve beyond the near field: e.g., time-area management and noise quieting.
Thank you!
Michael [email protected]
Source: Harwood, Oct. 2011 PCoD symposium
1. Estimating take
MMPA §101(a): There shall be a moratorium on the taking and importation of marine mammals and marine mammal products…, during which time no permit my be issued… except in the following cases:
MMPA §101(a)(5)(A): Upon request therefor by citizens of the United States who engage in a specified activity (other than commercial fishing) within a specified geographical region, the Secretary shall allow… the incidental, but not intentional, taking by citizens while engaging in that activity within that region of small numbers of marine mammals of a species or population stock if the Secretary, after notice… and opportunity for public comment –
(I) finds that the total of such taking during each five-year (or less) period concerned will have a negligible impact on such species or stock…
small numbers and
negligible impact
Illegal to disrupt,injure, or kill marine mammalsunless…
1. Estimating take
U.S.: Navy relocated major exercise to avoid DeSoto Canyon (sperm whales)
Spain: 50 nm exclusion around Canary Islands (beaked whales)
Exclusion areas and siting measures
“Hotspot” driver
Exclusion areas are broadly established on a sector-by-sector basis, or habitat is avoided on a project-by-project basis, to reflect known “hotspots” (i.e., habitat important or risk elevated due to other factors or both)
Exclusion areas and siting measures
Programmatic assessment driver
Programmatic approach to environmental assessment or permitting process allows consideration of sector-wide exclusions or siting measures on a regional basis
U.S.: Atlantic Fleet sonar training (2009-2014), alternative 3
U.S.: Arctic oil and gas exploration (2012-2017), alternative 4
• Habitat important for feeding, breeding, migrating, or even resting• Observational data (visual, acoustic tags, etc) site-specific
behavior• Survey data population densities• Correlation with oceanographic features (banks, seamounts, fronts,
steep canyon walls)• Predictive habitat modeling
Exclusion areas and siting measures
Bases used in various jurisdictions
U.S.: Navy used predictive modeling to establish siting alternatives/ exclusion areas for Atlantic Fleet sonar training