Observational Study Designs in Epidemiology NANA

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    Angelica Kresnamurti

    Bagian Farmakologi-Fakultas Farmasi

    Unika Widya Mandala Surabaya

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    Overview of scientific

    method

    Study sample

    Conclusion about scientifictheory

    (Causation)

    Statistical inference

    Biological inference

    Conclusion about a population(Association)

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    Types of Error

    Random error Random variation, unsystematic

    Bias Systematic variation

    A consistent manner in which two study groups aretreated or evaluate differentlycan mask trueassociation

    Interviewer bias, recall bias, etc

    Confounding

    A variable other than the risk factor and outcomeunder study which is related independently to boththe risk factor and the outcome variable and whichmay create an apparent association or mask a realone

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    Epidemiological Study Designs

    Observational

    No human intervention

    Experimental

    Intervention

    DescriptiveAttempt to uncover and portray the

    occurrence of condition or problem

    Analytical Determine the causes of the condition or

    problem

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    Epidemiological Study Designs

    Uncontrolled assignmentControlled assignment

    Experimental studies Observational studies

    Community

    assignment

    Individual

    assignment

    Descriptive Analytical

    Cross-sectional Sampling with

    regard todisease

    Sampling with

    regard toexposure

    Case-control Cohort

    Community trial Clinical trial

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    Study Designs in

    Observational Epidemiology

    1. Case reports and case series

    2. Cross sectional studies

    3. Case-control studies

    4. Cohort studies

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    Data Collection

    Cross-sectional study

    Data collection occurs only once

    Data analysisidentify subjects with certain diseases &

    exposures

    Case-control

    Data had been recorded before the study was initiated

    The direction of inquiry is back in time

    Exposures have occurred beforehand

    Data analysisidentify subjects with certain diseases &

    exposures

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    Data Collection

    Cohort The direction of inquiry is mostly forward in time

    Data collection and recording occur (multiple times)throughout the length of the study exposure &

    development of disease identified Cross sectional study to identify study subject

    Retrospective cohort study Data have been recorded before the study began

    Investigator revisited subjects after the study hasbeen initiatedcollected new data while the studyis in progress to supplement the previously collecteddata

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    Retrospective & Prospective Designs

    Comparison

    Retrospective Inexpensive to conduct

    Completed in a shortertime period

    Easier to access a largernumber of subjects

    Allow results to beobtained more quickly

    Useful for studyingexposure that no longeroccur

    Information and data maybe less complete andinaccurate

    Subject may not rememberpast information

    Prospective

    Expensive to conduct

    Completed over a longertime period

    More difficult to access

    subjects and usuallyrequires a larger numberof subjects

    Exposure status anddiagnostic methods fordisease may change

    Loss of subjects from thestudy over time may besubstantial

    Information and data maybe more complete andaccurate

    Direct access to studysubjects enhances

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    Case reports and Case

    seriesCase reports A descriptive study of a single patient Provide

    unusual medical occurrences

    identify new diseases describe adverse effects form drug therapies challenge-rechallenge data to help establishcausality

    No incidence data Low-cost approach

    Case series A collection of case reports No control group

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    Cross-sectional study

    A prevalence study

    A basic descriptive study

    Examine relationships between a

    disease or drug use problem and other

    characteristics of people in a population

    at one point in time

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    Cross-Sectional Study

    Design Advantages

    Single data collection

    Less expensive

    Easier to conduct

    Disadvantages Cannot show cause-effect relationships

    Not effective if the level of disease rate is very small

    Seasonal variations of disease are not wellrepresented

    Limited value in predicting future occurrence ofsome disease

    Less effective in identifying communicable diseasesof short incubation periods and short durations

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    Case-control study

    Analytical

    Retrospective

    Compares

    people who have the disease or problem (cases) to those who do not (control)

    With respect to exposure or characteristics of

    interest (i.e. potential cause)

    To identify factors that could be responsible forthe development of a disease or drug use

    problem

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    Case-control study

    Advantages

    Fewer subjects are needed

    Smaller sample size

    Lower cost

    Possible to study several risk factor from a single disease

    Practical for studying chronic disease with long latency periods

    Disadvantages

    Cases & controls are not representative for the whole population

    No incidence prevalence

    Inefficient where exposure is rare Possible bias in subject recall, exclusion criteria, determining that

    the exposure precedes disease, and bias in selection criteria

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    Case-control study

    Selecting cases and controls

    Case definition = specifying criteria for

    defining a person as a case (having the

    disease)

    Eligibility criteria = a set of criteria for

    inclusion & exclusion of the study

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    Case-control study

    Matching cases & controls

    To control confounding and selection bias

    Helps to ensure that the groups are similar with respect toimportant risk factors

    Advantages Increase statistical efficiency

    Can achieve a specified level of statistical power with a smallersample size

    Disadvantages Time consuming & expensive

    Potential cases & controls may be excluded because matched cannot be made

    Unmatched cases & controls must be discarded Matched variables cannot be evaluated as risk factors in the study

    population

    Continuous matching categories may too broad, residual casecontrol differences may persist

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    Cohort study

    An incidence study

    Measures characteristics or attributes in a

    population free of disease or drug use

    problem relates them to subsequent of the disease in

    that population as it is followed over time

    A longitudinal study

    Performed when intentional exposure of

    human beings cannot be justified

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    Cohort study

    Advantages Provide information on incidence of disease Show temporal relationship between exposure and

    disease Appropriate for the study of rare exposure

    The best observational study for establishing cause-effect relationship

    Disadvantages Time consuming Expensive

    Not efficient for studying rare disease Losses to follow up ~ validity Changes over time in diagnostic methods,

    exposures, study population ~ bias

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    Cohort study

    Retrospective cohort study

    Uses information on prior to exposure anddisease status

    Advantages All of the events have occurred

    Conclusion can be drawn more rapidly

    Lower cost

    Possible for an exposure that no longer occur (i.e.

    discontinued medical treatments) Disadvantages

    Rely on existing records or subject recall

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    Cohort study

    Potential bias

    Bias in assessment of the outcome

    Information bias

    Biases form nonresponse and losses to

    follow up

    Analytic bias

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    References

    Gordis L. 2002. Epidemiology. 2nded. WBSaunders Company. p 131-157

    Greenberg RS, Daniels SR, Flanders WD,Eley JW, Boring JR. 2001. Medical

    Epidemiology. 3rded. McGraw Hill. p 113-140

    Strom BL. 2000. Pharmacoepidemiology.3rded. John Wiley & Sons Ltd. p 17-29

    Waning B, Montagne M. 2001.Pharmacoepidemiology: Principles andPractice. McGraw Hill. p 45-62

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    TERIMAKASIH