Nurturing China’s Agriculture Sector businesses – fertilizers, oil, chemicals and financial...
Transcript of Nurturing China’s Agriculture Sector businesses – fertilizers, oil, chemicals and financial...
2005 Annual ResultsApril 10, 2006
Nurturing China’s Agriculture Sector
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Disclaimer
This presentation and the presentation materials distributed herewith include forward-looking statements. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that address activities, events or developments that Sinochem Hong Kong Holdings (“Sinochem HK”) expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future (including but not limited to projections, targets, estimates and business plans) are forward-looking statements. Sinochem HK’s actual results or developments may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors and uncertainties, including but not limited to price fluctuations, actual demand, exchange rate fluctuations, exploration and development outcomes, estimates of reserves, market shares, competition, environmental risks, changes in legal, financial and regulatory frameworks, international economic and financial market conditions, political risks, project delay, project approval, cost estimates and other risks and factors beyond our control. In addition, Sinochem HK makes the forward-looking statements referred to herein as of today and undertakes no obligation to update these statements.
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Mission Statement
“ We aiming to become a world-class corporation providing fertilizer and other diversified agricultural products and services to the Chinese farming industry, thus promoting the sustainable healthy development of agriculture in China ”
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2005 financial highlights
(HK$ ’000) 2004 2005 Change
Sales volume (Kt) 8,355 11,170 +34%
Turnover 11,837,185 19,248,665 +63%
Gross profit 1,025,072 1,542,793 +51%
Profit before tax 668,065 929,957 +39%
Net profit 510,824 779,421 +53%
EPS (HK cents) 10.12 14.49 +43%
Dividend per share (HK cents) 0 2.01
ROE 27% 29%(1)
Debt-to-equity ratio 86% 34%
Note: (1) Excluding the effect of increase in share equity as a result of share listing
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Table of contents
Company overview
Investment highlights
Financial summary
Growth strategies
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Leading fertilizer enterprise in China
Largest fertilizer enterprise in China
– Sales revenue of HK$19.2 billion in 2005
– Commanding 12% of China’s market share
China’s largest fertilizer distributor– 1,063 sales outlets by 2005
– Building agriculture distribution “Super Highway”
China’s largest supplier of imported fertilizers– Total international procurement of 5.92 million tons in 2005
– Representing 45% of China’s total fertilizer imports
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Well positioned to capture value in the whole product chain
Largest phosphate and compound fertilizer producer in China
Production capacity of 2.73 million tons as of 2005
Wholesale and retail customersProduction Distribution
1,063 sales outlets
Covering 20 major agricultural provinces
Serving 71% of total farmland area in China
Providing value added service
Achieving high brand awareness and recognition
Procurement
Potash, phosphate, nitrogen, and compound fertilizers
Diversified and unparalleled procurement sources
Exclusive contract with 9 major global suppliers
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Strong and well known shareholders
Listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange via reverse takeover in July 2005
Sinochem Corporation
Sinochem HK (0297)
PotashCorp Public
53.53% 20.00% 26.47%
Established in 1950, a leading SOE under the SASAC
A Fortune Global 500 company with sales of US$20.4 billion in 2004
Total assets of US$6.2 billion
Core businesses – fertilizers, oil, chemicals and financial services
Sinochem Corporation
Listed on the Toronto and New York Stock Exchanges
Total production in 2005 over 13 million tons
Largest potash producer with 22% of global potash production capacity
Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan(“PotashCorp”)
* Note: as of Feb 2006
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Table of contents
Company overview
Investment highlights
Financial summary
Growth strategies
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Investment highlights
Favorable macro
environment
Supportive shareholders
Strong market
leadership
Well experienced leadership
team
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World population and food requirement
19502 billion people
19996 billion people
20258 billion people
1960One hectare to feed 2 people
1995One hectare to feed 4 people
2025One hectare to feed 5 people
Favorable macro environment
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Nurturing the most populous nation
0
50
100
150
200
250
95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06E
(Mill
ion
tons
)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stocks Stocks-to-use rate
Decreasing grain stocks
China’s farmland only represents 7% of the world, but needs to feed 22% of the world’s population
Grain storage in China has been decreasing for 7 consecutive years since 1999
Favorable macro environment
Source: USDA
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CAGR = 3.4%
China28%
U.S.14%
India11%
RoW39%
France3%
Brazil5%
China – the largest market with steady growth
China’s fertilizer consumptionFertilizer consumption by country (2003)
China is the largest fertilizer consumption country in the world
China enjoyed a CAGR of 3.4% in fertilizer consumption from 1996-2004, above the global average of around 2%
Source: FAOSTAT, IFA, China Statistics Yearbook
Total: 144 million tons
Favorable macro environment
38.3 39.8 40.8 41.2 41.5 42.5 43.4 44.1 46.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
(Mill
ion
tons
)
Nitrogen Fertilizer Phosphate FertilizerPotash Fertilizer Compound Fertilizer
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Agriculture: China’s No. 1 development priority
Agriculture considered a strategic sector of national importance
– Fertilizer plays an important role in feeding a nation of 1.3 billion people
The current rural policies designed most aggressively in decades to enrich farmers
– Elimination of agriculture taxes
– Fiscal support for “industrialization” of farming and agriculture technology
Fertilizer producers and distributors benefit from farmer’s increased disposable income
– Every US$1 spent on fertilizer returns estimated $3 in crop yield
Sinochem HK will be a key beneficiary of the new agricultural policies
Favorable macro environment
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Investment highlights
Favorable macro
environment
Supportive shareholders
Strong market
leadership
Well experienced leadership
team
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Strong market leadership
安徽
The largest agriculture distribution network1,063 sales outletsCovering 20 major agriculture provinces, representing 71% oftotal farmland area in China
Shanxi
Tianjin
Fujian
TaiwanGuangdongGuangxiYunnan
Guizhou
Hunan Jiangxi
Zhejiang
Jiangsu
Anhui
HubeiSichuan
Henan
Shandong
Gansu
Ningxia
Inner Mongolia
Liaoning
Jilin
Heilongjiang
Qinghai
Xinjiang
TibetShaanxi
Hainan
Chongqing
Shanghai
Beijing
Developing nationwide distribution network
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2,000
404552
1,063
590
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2008E
Building China’s agriculture distribution “Super Highway”
Enjoys direct access to end customers/farmers
Able to obtain valuable first-hand market information and customer feedback
Ideal platform to distribute other agriculture products
Double the number of outlets by 2008
Number of sales outlets
Strong market leadership
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Successful global sourcing strategy
Strong market leadership
5.92 million tons of fertilizers imported in 2005, accounting for 45% of total imports, being the largest in ChinaOver 50% market share of imported potash fertilizers and compound fertilizersExclusive supply contracts with 9 major fertilizer suppliers
Nitrex-Complex
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Advantageous production facilities
Largest phosphate and compound fertilizer producer in China
Production capacity of 2.73 million tons, 17% higher than 2004
Increasing production capacity
Access to resources/markets
Phosphate and potash fertilizer production bases close to resources
Compound fertilizer production bases close to customers
Strong market leadership
Compound Phosphate
Nitrogen
Potash
Yunnan and Guizhou account for around 70% of China’s total phosphate-rich ores
Qinghai, accounts for 97% of China’s potash chloride reserves
Shanxi is a major coal-based nitrogen production area
Comprehensive product offerings
The only domestic producer/provider of full-line product offerings
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No.1 brand in the sector
Strong market leadership
Nationwide toll free hotline(800 810 9991)
Nationwide public campaign targeting farmers
Joint promotional programs with research institutions and
universitiesTop 20 globalized Chinese brand (2006 China Radio International survey)
80% brand awareness in local fertilizer agents /distributors (2005 Company survey)
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Investment highlights
Favorable macro
environment
Supportive shareholders
Strong market
leadership
Well experienced leadership
team
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Full support from Sinochem Corp
Share parent company’s premier status and resources
Non-competition undertaking from Sinochem Corp in fertilizer business
Free usage of Sinochem Corp’s logo and brand
Free option to purchase Sinochem Corp’s remaining fertilizer assets
Salt Lake Potash (20%)Production capacity: − 1.5 million tons of
chloride potassiumLargest potash fertilizer producer in ChinaListed on Shenzhen Stock Exchange
Tianji Sinochem Gaoping Chemical Engineering (40%)Production capacity:− 0.6 million tons of
nitrogen fertilizersProduction commence in 2006
Sinochem Shandong (60%)Production capacity: − 0.6 million tons of
nitrogen fertilizersProduction commenced
Supportive shareholders
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Strong confidence from PotashCorp
Supportive shareholders
PotashCorp’s interest in Sinochem HK
Strong confidence from PotashCorp
PotashCorp exercised its call option on the earlier practicable date in Feb 2006
It demonstrated the strategic investor's – Strong confidence in China’s
fertilizer industry– Strong confidence in
Sinochem HK’s market leadership
20.00%
9.99%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Jul-05 Feb-06
+Call option
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Investment highlights
Favorable macro
environment
Supportive shareholders
Strong market
leadership
Well experienced leadership
team
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With an average of over 14 years’ experience with Sinochem Corporation, the management team
has accumulated a strong knowledge and
experiences in the sector
Well experienced leadership team
Mr. LIU Deshu, ChairmanJoined Sinochem Corporation in 199820 years of corporate managementNo.1 in the list of “Ten Most Valuable Managers” in 2004 in ChinaEMBA, China Europe International Business School
Mr. DU Keping, CEO Joined Sinochem Corporation in 1989Former official at Department of CommercePrevious experience with KPMGMBA, Univ. of Int’l Business & Economics
Mr. ZHANG Baohong, CFOJoined Sinochem Corporation in 1988Former CFO at Sinochem Japan Co., LtdEMBA, Guanghua School of Management, Peking University
Well experienced leadership team
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Table of contents
Company overview
Investment highlights
Financial summary
Growth strategies
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11,170
8,3557,602
2003 2004 2005
Rapidly increased sales
Turnover (HK$ ’000)
CAGR 41%CAGR 21%
9,750,37311,837,185
19,248,665
2003 2004 2005
Volume (’000 tons)
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8.17%8.66%
8.02%
2003 2004 2005
Steady profit margin
Gross margin Net margin
4.01%4.32%
4.05%
2003 2004 2005
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Strong profit growth
Net Profit (HK$ ‘000)
CAGR 41%
390,943
510,824
2003 2004 2005
779,421
Note: * Guaranteed 2005 net profit in Company circular
Guaranteed profit *
23%
633,000
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Sales and gross profit breakdown
Potash55%
Compound fertilizer
14%
Phosphate14%
Nitrogen17%
2005 sales breakdown 2005 gross profit breakdown
Compound fertilizer
13%
Phosphate10%
Nitrogen8%
Potash69%
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87,987
106,931
11.6%10.8%
2004 2005
Working capital / sales
Cash flow and capital expenditure
Cash flow before financing activities (HK$’000) Capital expenditure* (HK$’000)
189,147
270,890
2004 2005
Note: *Cash expenditure on fixed assets and project investment,excluding goodwill
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1413
2004 2005
116
90
2004 2005
Working capital management
Inventory days Accounts receivable days
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Strengthening balance sheet
1.27
1.41
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
1.45
2004 2005
Current ratio Debt to equity ratio
86.06%
34.40%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2004 2005
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Global fertilizer majors comparison
Revenue growth (03–05 CAGR)
2.0%
14.8%
17.2%
19.8%
40.5%
14.7%
9.7%
KemiraGrowHow
Yara
IsrealChemicals
Agrium
PotashCorp
Terra
Average = 17.0%
Sinochem HK
ROE* (2005)
4.5%
24.1%
25.5%
27.7%
28.8%
24.0%
9.3%
Terra
KemiraGrowHow
Agrium
Yara
PotashCorp
IsrealChemicals
Sinochem HK
Average = 20.5%
Note: *Excluding the effect of increase in share equity as a result of share listing
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Table of contents
Company overview
Investment highlights
Financial summary
Growth strategies
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Continuing to integrate production, procurement and distribution and focus on distribution
Achieve at least one distribution center for each of the major 1,800 agricultural counties
Acquire major ports facilities and build up regional warehouse centers
Brand building and technical service
Increase to7-8 million tons in three years
Build up production facilities in proximity to resources
Potential asset injections: – Salt Lake Potash– Tianji Sinochem– Sinochem Shandong
Continue to strengthen international strategic alliance
Long-term supply agreement with domestic large producers
Over 50% of domestic procurement
Expand the reach of China’s agriculture “Super Highway”
Further increase production capacity Grow domestic procurement
Excellent platform to achieve significant growth
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Nurturing China’s Agriculture Sector
Pesticide
Seeds
Other
agricultural
products
Fertilizers
Q & A
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Glossary
Fertilizer Organic or inorganic material containing one or more of the nutrients—mainly nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium, and other essential elements required for plant growth. Added to the soil or other medium, fertilizers provide plant nutrients that are naturally lacking or that have been removed by harvesting or grazing, or by physical processes such as leaching or erosion
Potash fertilizerPotash fertilizer is the commonly used term for the soil fertilizer forms of potassium (element K). Potash fertilizers should generally be applied at sowing time. The K+ ions are adsorbed in the soil and thus remain available, yet largely protected against leaching. Potash fertilizer involves in production, transportation and accumulation of sugar in plants. It maintains electrical balance in plant cell and assists hardiness of plants and their resistance to water stress, pests and diseases
Phosphate fertilizerPhosphate fertilizer is the commonly used term for the soil fertilizer forms of Phosphate (element P). Phosphate fertilizer encourages rooting, blooming and fruit production
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Glossary (continued)
Nitrogen fertilizerNitrogen fertilizer is the commonly used term for the soil fertilizer forms of nitrogen (element N). It is an important component of proteins and chlorophyll and is most responsible for yield increase
Compound fertilizerCompound fertilizer provides a mix of nutrients that can be tailored to a specific plant’s nutritional needs, taking into account soil and climatic conditions. Compound fertilizers contain at least two of the three main plant nutrients: nitrogen (N), phosphate (P) and potassium (K), which together is often referred to as NPK fertilizer
Mt nutrientMillion tonnes of nutrient, quantity of consumption and production of fertilizers are expressed in weight containing 100% effective nutrient