NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR...

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NUMBERS NUMBER CRUNCHING

Transcript of NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR...

Page 1: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

NUMBERS

NUMBER CRUNCHING

Page 2: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.
Page 3: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.
Page 4: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

Trends in Inflation

JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

5.79%

6.10%

6.46%

7.00%

7.52%

6.29% 5.05%

4.68%

5.70%

5.20%

6.01%

5.43%

All COMMODITIES all commodities

JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

18.00%

8.99%

11.72%

13.54%

14.68%

15.92%

10.78%

6.84%

6.33%

7.66%

7.06%

8.58%

6.84%

PRIMARY ARTICLESPRIMARY ARTICLES

Page 5: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

11.91%

18.18%

18.40%

18.19% 19.93%

13.15%

8.80%

8.12%9.90%

8.64% 9.50%

8.14%

FOOD ARTICLESFOOD ARTICLES

JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

5.51%

1.06%

5.17%

6.79%7.60%

6.04%

4.40%

5.13%

4.62%

3.15%

4.94%

3.49%

NON FOOD ARTICLESNON FOOD ARTICLES

Page 6: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%11.31%

11.34%

10.08%10.33%

11.08%

10.98% 10.03%

8.75%

11.22%

8.93%

10.53%

9.04%

FUEL AND POWERFUEL AND POWER

JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

4.00%

2.81%

1.90%

2.03%2.50%

2.64%

2.64% 2.76%

2.76%

3.23%

3.15%

3.55%

3.61%

MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS

Page 7: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

As on June, 2014

(YoY Growth)

Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL)

4.6% In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14)

(latest available data)

As on July, 2014 GDP at Current Prices

GDP at Constant Prices(Base : 2004-05)

10.2%

4.6%

2801061

1538380

2542211

1470645

As on July,2014 Agriculture (Q-o-Q) 6.3% 214165 201410

As on July, 2014 Industries (Q-o-Q) -0.2% 400837 401609

As on July, 2014 Services (Q-o-Q) 6.4% 923378 867626

As on July, 2014 M3 13.2% 97622.6 86251.0

GDP

Source: http://finmin.nic.in/stats_data/nsdp_sdds/index.html

(Data for previous period)

Page 8: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.
Page 9: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.
Page 10: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

EXPORTS & IMPORTS : (US $ Million)

http://commerce.nic.in/tradestats/Indiastrade_press.pdf

EXPORTS(including re-exports)

2013-14

2014-15

May in bn USD

24.91

27.99

April-May in bn USD

492.64

536.32

IMPORTS

2013-14

2014-15

May in bn USD

44.28

39.23

April-May in bn USD

863.10

749.53

Page 11: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

http://commerce.nic.in/tradestats/Indiastrade_press.pdf

Growth2014-15/ 2013-2014

May

April - May

EXPORTSGrowth

12.40%

8.87%

IMPORTSGrowth

-11.41%

-13.16%

May(in bn USD) April –May (in bn USD)

Trade Deficit 11.24 213.21

Page 12: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

IIP

Page 13: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

IIP CHART

Source:http://mospi.nic.in/Mospi_New/upload/iip_pressrelease11apr14n.pdf

Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sept-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-140

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Basic goods

Capital goods

Intermediate goods

Consumer goods

Consumer durables

Consumer non durables

Page 14: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

FOREX

Page 15: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

As on 15th July, 2014 $/Rs.

As on 15th July, 2014 €/Rs.

As on 15th July, 2014 ¥/Rs

As on 15th July, 2014 £/Rs.

As on 15th July, 2014 Forex reserve(currency $ billion)

60.22

81.95

0.580.59

102.22102.79

316.39

1 billion =100 crores

Page 16: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.
Page 17: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

As on 15th July, 2014 Call rate

As on 15th July, 2014 Repo Rate

As on 15th July, 2014 Reverse Repo Rate

As on 15th July, 2014 Bank Rate

As on 15th July, 2014 SLR

As on 15th July, 2014 CRR

7.00%

22.50%

4.00%

9.00%

6.50%-8.95%

8.00%

Page 18: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.
Page 19: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

63.75

1 trillion = 100,000 crores

INDEX 15th July, 2014

15th June 2014 (1 month before)

15th April 2014 (3 months before)

15th July 2013(1

year before)

15th July 2009 (5

years before)

15th July 2004 (10

years before)

SENSEX 25228.65 25,228.17 22,484.93 20,034.48 14,253.244,888.19

NIFTY7526.65

7,542.10 6,733.10 6,030.80 4,233.501539.40

NASDAQ 4411.77 4,310.65 4,034.16 3,607.49 1,862.90 1,912.71

DOW JONES

17,028.99 16,775.74 16,262.5615,484.26

8,616.21 10,163.16

1 billion = 100 crores

As on 15th July , 2014 Market Capitalisation (USD In Billion)

35.74

Page 20: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

Percentage Change as on 15th July, 2014

15th June 2014 (1 month before)

15th April 2014 (3 months

before)

15th July 2013(1 year

before)

15th July 2009 (5 years before)

15th July 2004 (10 years before)

SENSEX 416.11% 80.62% 69.75% 60.04% 37.12%

NIFTY388.93% 79.59% 68.86% 59.55% 35.72%

NASDAQ130.66% 55.63% 49.21% 39.32% -1.16%

DOW JONES67.56% 39.42% 36.36% 31.72% -9.22%

Page 21: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.
Page 22: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

CHART

5/30/2

014

5/29/2

014

5/28/2

014

5/27/2

014

5/23/2

014

5/22/2

014

5/21/2

014

5/20/2

014

5/19/2

014

5/16/2

014

5/15/2

014

5/14/2

0140

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

Commodity Index

RICIXRICIERICIMRICIA

Page 23: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

As on 15th JULY 2014 GOLD Rs /10 gms &In $/ounce(LSE)

As on 15th JULY 2014 CRUDE/Barrel

As on 15th JULY 2014 SILVER /KG

Rs. 77593.41& $ 1298.9

Rs. 6471.05 $ 100.91 (WTI) $ 106.98(BRENT)

Rs. 44895.00

Page 24: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

BANKING

Page 25: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

As on 15 July, 2014 Aggregate Deposits (Rs trillion) & YOY growth

As on 15 July, 2014 Base Rate

As on 15 July, 2014 Bank Credit (non food) (Rs trillion), YOY growth

As on 15 July, 2014 M3, yoy

79.52 12.16%

10.00%-10.25%

60.08 13.30%

98.06 12.13%

Note : Rs 1 trillion = Rs 1 lakh crore

Page 26: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

For any Queries/Suggestion????

Co-ordinato

MOHIITH SHANKAR GADDAD

[email protected]

Page 27: NUMBERS. Trends in Inflation As on June, 2014 (YoY Growth) Indian GDP growth Rate (REAL) 4.6%In INR Crore (Jan/ 14-Mar/14) (latest available.

THANK YOUPrepared by:-

ARADHANA PRADHAN MOHIITH GADDAD (INFLATION, COMMODITY) (OUTSTANDING G-Sec, BOP, FISCAL No.’s , FOREIGN INVESTMENT INFLOWS)

ABDUL ZAID NIKITHA DARIRA (BANKING NUMBERS ) (FOREX,MONEY & RATES)

HARMEET SINGH PANNU MONICA SINHA (GDP, Q&A) (EXPORTS & IMPORTS )

HEMANT KUMAVAT (IIP)