November 2011 Food Security Final Report

8/3/2019 November 2011 Food Security Final Report

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REPUBLIC OF KENYA

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE

FOOD SECURITY SITUATION AS AT 30 TH NOVEMBER, 2011-DRAFT

REPORT.

1.0 HIGHLIGHTSThe national food security situation continued to improve in the month of

November. This was mainly attributed to the ongoing harvesting of long rains

maize crop in the high rainfall

areas which peaked during

the month. The ongoing

short rains boosted

availability and supply of

vegetables resulting in

reduced prices. Prices of

potatoes, bananas, onions, tomatoes and other vegetables remained low in

most parts of the country reflecting improved supply. Prices of maize

remained stable in most parts of the country with Eldoret recording the lowest

prices of ksh.2600 per 90kg compared to a high recorded price of Ksh4800

per 90kg in June of 2011. Food security in the ASAL counties continued to

improve as a result of the current short rains which saw a further

improvement of pastures and food supply in these areas.

However, the effects of the drought experienced earlier in the year continued

to be felt in some parts of Eastern, North Eastern and Coast Provinces.

Vulnerable households continued to require and receive relief food. This

MOA/DCM/MONTHLY FSR/11/2011


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situation is expected to improve around the month of January to March when

harvests from the short rains crop is expected to start.

Following the Governments removal of import duty on maize and wheat,

more imports of these commodities by private sector was witnessed during

the month.

National maize stocks as at 30th November, 2011 stood at 16,584,626 bags

up from 14,440,367 bags in October 2011 with NCPB holding 2,299,000

bags , farmers 11,453,825 bags, traders 2,227,891 bags and Millers

603,910 bags. The improvement of stocks is largely due to ongoing

harvesting of long rains crop in North Rift, parts of Western Province,

importation and inflows from neighboring countries. The NCPB is currently

purchasing a 90kg bag of maize at Ksh.3000 under the warehouse receipt

system. This is expected to assist farmers avoid exploitation as well as provide

safe storage as they await suitable prices for their maize.

2.0 WEATHER REVIEW FOR NOVEMBER 2011Most parts of the country continued to receive enhanced rainfall which had

both good temporal and spatial distribution. This was in line with forecasts

from the Kenya Meteorology Department which had predicted enhanced short

rains. The rains had a positive impact on the short rains crops in most parts of

the country. It however had adverse effects on harvesting of the long rains

maize and wheat with rotting being reported in some parts of Rift Valley.

Damage to crop from flooding was also reported in some parts of Western

and Nyanza Provinces. Most roads in the high rainfall areas also became

impassable posing a problem of transportation of produce to the markets.

2.1 Weather Forecast for December 2011

Forecast report provided by the Kenya Meteorology Department, the Outlook

for Short Rains Season (October-November-December 2011) indicated that

most parts of the country would experience near-normal rainfall except the

Coastal strip, Southeastern lowlands and the central highlands including


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Nairobi, that are likely to experienced enhanced rains. The distribution, both

in time and space, has generally been good over most areas as predicted

except in Northeastern and Northwestern regions.

The specific outlook for October-November-December (OND) 2011 is as

follows:

i) The areas likely to receive near-normal rainfall include: the Western

Counties (Kakamega, Busia, Bungoma, Vihiga etc.); Nyanza Counties (Kisumu,

Siaya, Nyamira, Kisii, etc.); Much of the Counties in Rift Valley Province

(Kericho, Nandi, Uasin Gishu, Trans Nzoia, Samburu, Turkana, etc); North

Eastern Counties (Mandera, Wajir) and northern parts of Eastern Counties

(Marsabit, Isiolo, etc).

ii) The areas likely to receive near-normal rainfall with a tendency to above-

normal (enhanced rainfall) include: Parts of Rift Valley Counties (Nakuru,

Narok, Kajiando, Laikipia, etc); Nairobi Counties; Central Counties (Kiambu,

Nyeri, Muranga, etc); Southern parts of Eastern Counties (Makueni,

Machakos, Meru, Embu, etc) and Coast Counties (Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, Voi,

Taita Taveta, etc).

Expected Rainfall Distribution

Rainfall distribution in space and time within the Short Rains Season of 2011

is expected to be generally good over the Highlands East of Rift Valley,

Nairobi area, the Lake Basin, Highlands West of Rift Valley, Central and

Sothern Rift Valley. Over North

Western, North eastern, Southeastern

Lowlands and some parts of Coastal

strip (North Coast) rainfall distribution

is expected to be poor.

2.2 Potential Im pacts of theNovember Rains.


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Most parts of the country received enhanced rainfall in the month of

November. This had a very positive effect on the short rains crop. Over 95%

of the land which had been targeted for planting the short rains crop had

been prepared and planted. The crops were at various stages of growth and

exhibited good establishment in the field. With the continuing rains a good

harvest is expected.

However, owing to uncertainties now common with climate change,

diversification in crops production is being encouraged by the ministry; more

so in the arid and semi arid areas. In this regard, the Ministry of Agriculture in

partnership with other stakeholders distributed assorted drought tolerant

seeds to areas which were most affected by drought. The crops are reported

to be doing well in the field and a good harvest is expected. This will further

improve food security in the affected areas in the coming months. Water

harvesting and conservation measures should also be stepped up to take

advantage of the enhanced rains.

In the North Rift and parts of Western province, harvesting of long rains crop

has coincided with enhanced rains being experienced. Rotting of maize and

wheat crop was reported in some parts of Rift Valley where harvesting is in

progress. Farmers are advised to take adequate measures in preserving their

grains to avoid post harvest losses. Construction of drying facilities could go a

long way in alleviating this problem especially in high maize production areas.

Farmers are also encouraged to take advantage of the warehouse receipt

system to avoid postharvest losses and exploitation.

The high rainfall has also affected road networks in some areas hampering

transportation of produce to the markets. This has caused spoilage of farm

produce in some areas.

3.0 MAIZE AND BEANS INFLOWS, NOVEMBER 2011

The maize inflows during the month amounted to 188,276 bags with

169,976 bags coming from neighboring countries while 18,300 bags were


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received from outside East Africa through private imports via Kilindini Harbor.

(See Annex 1). Beans inflows reduced from 40,342 bags in October to

24,746 bags in November 2011.

4.0 MAI ZE STOCKS AS AT 30TH NOVEMBER 2011

The maize stocks increased to 16,584,626 bags from 14,444,367 bags in

the month of October. Current stocks held by farmers is 11,453,825 bags,traders 2,227,891 bags, millers 603,910 bags and NCPB 2,299,000 bags

(see Annex 2). The increase in stocks at various levels is mainly attributed to

the ongoing harvesting in North Rift and Western region. These figures are

likely to increase further in December as harvesting continues.

5. 0 MAI ZE BALANCE SHEET FOR P ERIOD 1ST DECEMBER 2011 to

30

TH

JUNE 2012 (7 MONTHS)Stocks as at 30th November 2011 in 90kg bags 16,584,626

a) Total East Africa Imports* (cross border trade) expected between1st December and 30th June 2012

1,250,000

b) Private sector estimated imports outside EAC between 1stDecember 2011 to June 2012

500,000

Expected harvest between December 2011 and June 2012

a) Long rains 9,310,740

b) Short rains 6,500,000KR Japanese food aid support 0

Post -harvest losses 10% (long & short rains) 1,581,070

NATIONAL AVAILABILITYas at 30th June, 2012 ( 90kg Bags) 32,564,296

Expected total exports to East Africa -

Expected exports outside the region -

NATIONAL CONSUMPTION at a monthly rate of 3.63 million bagsfor the current population of 40 million people for the next 7 months

26,110,000

Balance as at 30 th June, 2012 (surplus) 6,454,296

* Imports from EAC based on 7 months imports average.


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From this balance sheet, if anticipated short and long rains production is

achieved, imports sustained at current rates with no exports, the national

stocks level as at 30th June 2012 is estimated to be a surplus of6,454,296

bags. The short rains crop is expected to start boosting current stocks from

around mid January to February. Early harvests from the 2012 long rains from

South Rift in July/August, and inflows from neighboring countries and

importations will enhance the stock level.

6.0 BEANS STOCKS AS AT 30TH NOVEMBER 2011

The national beans stocks stood at 1,797,244 million bags by end of

November 2011.Beans stocks are currently reducing due to the continued

consumption of the long rains crop. These stocks can last for about 2.5

months. Stocks are expected to rise from the month of January when

harvesting of the short rains crop starts. A good beans harvest is expected in

most parts of the country due to the adequate short rains being received.

7.0 PERFORM ANCE OF THE DROUGHT RECOVERY RELIEF SEEDS.

The 2011 long rains season was characterized by long dry spells especially in

the Arid and Semi Arid areas of the country. This adversely affected

livelihoods of communities leaving in these areas. To assist the vulnerable

communities living in these areas recover from the drought, the government

through the Ministry of Agriculture distributed 1171MT of assorted drought

tolerant seeds worth Ksh.182 million. The seeds are reported to be doing well

in the field as a result of the adequate short rains. Most of the legumes are at

podding stage and harvesting is expected to start in the month of January.

The maize is between from knee to waist high with harvesting expected to

start from around mid January to February. A bumper harvest is expected,

especially in Eastern Province, if the rains continue.

8.0 CONCLUSION

With the current ongoing harvest of the long rains maize, the expected

bumper harvest of the short rains crop and imports, the food security


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situation is expected to remain stable for the next 7 months. The prices of

main food commodities such as maize, rice, millet, sorghum and potatoes are

likely to decline further in next month as harvesting continues in North Rift

and parts of Western Province. The price of beans is expected to rise slightly

in the coming month but start reducing in the month of January when

harvesting of the short rains beans crop starts. Wheat prices are expected to

remain high owing to reduced production from the major production areas.

Prices of vegetables are expected to remain low during the period of the

shorts rains. Any subsequent dry spells in the coming months is expected to

trigger an increase in price of vegetables.

With a bumper harvest expected for the short rains crop, farmers are advised

to take precautionary measures to avoid post harvest losses through pests

and aflatoxins.Proper drying, treatment with storage chemicals and storage is

encouraged. Farmers are also advised to take advantage of the warehouse

receipt system for safe keeping of their maize as they await better prices.

9.0 ANNEXES

Annex 1: MAI ZE AND BEANS INFLOWS NOVEMBER 2011

Border point

Maiz e (bags) Beans (bags)

Currentinflows

cumulativesince January

Currentinflows

CumulativesinceJanuary

Lwakhakha 314 15,664 420 11,790

Busia 14,240 266,295 18,700 313,947

Malaba 9,050 63,906 865 28,510

Moyale 800 79,460 3,950 167,045

Suam 1,400 27,749 328 3,848

Namanga 104,100 317,110 120 65,570

Loitoktok 0 575,461 54 328Taveta 39,450 467,157 309 7,615

Lunga Lunga 622 12,435 0 0

Kilindini Harbour 18,300 908,700 0 138,900

TOTAL 188 ,276 2,733,937 24,746 737,553


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There was a reduction of inflows for both maize and beans. Maize flows

reduced from 365,570 bags reported in October to 188,276 bags in the

current month while bean flows reduced to 24,746 bags as compared to

40,342 bags. A total of 18,300,000 bags of maize were imported through

Kilindini Harbour.

ANNEX 2: MAIZE STOCKS AS AT 30TH

NOVEMBER 2011Stocks of 90 Kg bags

Continued harvesting of long rains crops in parts of Rift Valley and Western

and imports by the private sector boosted maize stocks to 16,584,626 bags

in November 2011 as compared to 14,440,367 bags realized in October

2011. The stocks are likely to increase in the coming months as harvestingand imports continue.

ANNEX 3: BEANS STOCK AS AT 30 TH NOVEMBER 2011Stocks of 90 Kg bags

Province FARMERSSTOCKS

TRADERSSTOCKS

NCPBSTOCKS

TOTAL

Central 188,000 129,570 N/A 317,570

Coast 3,699 26,753 N/A 30,452

Eastern 110,402 99,541 N/A 209,943

Nyanza 223,698 63,927 N/A 287,625N. Eastern 200 600 N/A 800

R. Valley 578,113 129,543 N/A 707,656

Western 194,460 41,320 N/A 235,780

Nairobi 150 5,000 403 5,553

Total 1,298,722 496 ,254 2,268 1,797,244


TRADERSSTOCKS

MILLERSSTOCKS

NCPBSTOCKS

TOTAL

Central 380,013 164,256 20,960 N/A 565,229

Coast 529,597 88,235 10,462 N/A 628,294

Eastern 194,468 355,958 37,091 N/A 587,517

Nyanza 1,441,697 484,477 48,645 N/A 1,974,819

N. Eastern 650 2,800 900 N/A 4,350

R. Valley 5,408,250 791,945 287,435 N/A 6,487,630

Western 3,499,000 324,220 198,417 N/A 4,021,637

Nairobi 150 16,000 0 N/A 16,150

Total 11 ,453,825 2,227,891 603 ,910 2,299,000 16,584,626


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There was further decrease in the stocks of beans held from 2.01million bags

in October to about 1.8 million bags in November. This is as a result of

continued consumption of the longs rains crop. Stocks are expected to start

rising in January when harvesting of the short rains beans crop starts in most

parts of the country.

ANNEX 4: RI CE STOCKS AS AT 30 TH NOVEMBER 2011 (bags of 75 Kg

milled rice equivalent)


TRADERSSTOCKS

NCPBSTOCKS

TOTAL

Central 60,120 98,680 N/A 158,800

Coast 2,200 3,000 N/A 5,200

Eastern 0 250 N/A 250

Nyanza 9,092 24,685 N/A 33,777N. Eastern 150,00 500 N/A 500

R. Valley 0 2,000 N/A 2,000

Western 7,500 4,000 N/A 11,500

Nairobi 0 1,500 20,000 21,500

Total 78,912 134,615 31,096 244,623

Most rice stocks are being held by traders and millers such as National

Irrigation Board and Lake Basin Development Authority. The short season

crop has been planted and is expected to boost stocks when it matures.


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Annex 4: 2011 CROP PR ODUCTION TARGETS

Table 1: Maize Production

Planting of the short rains maize continued during the month. The good rains received during the month led to goodgermination and crop establishment in most parts of the country. About 610,810 Ha had been planted with the crop at

various stages of growth. If the rains continue, the short rains crop is expected to produce about 6,500,000 bags.Harvesting of the longs rains crop continued in parts of Rift Valley and Western Province. A decline in long maize yieldshas been reported in most parts of the country. This was attributed to shortage of fertilizers and recommended andpreferred seeds during the planting season, delayed onset of the long rains and high cost of farm operations.

TARGETS ESTIMA TED ACHIEVEMENTS

Province AREA IN HA ESTIMATED PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS AREA IN HAPRODUCTIONS I N

BAGS TOTA

LR SR TOTALLR+SR

LR SR TOTAL LR SR TOTAL LR+SR LR SR LR

2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR 2011 2011 2011 2011

Rift Valley 663,705 97,085 760,790 15,265,215 2,718,380 17,983,595 533,885 55,849 589,734 18,045,265 18,04

Nyanza 175,453 87,000 262,453 3,145,715 565,500 3,711,215 195,795 123,140 318,935 2,349,540 2,34

Western 232,975 50,521 283,496 3,494,625 656,773 4,151,398 204,130 23,605 227,735 5,648,525 5,64

Central 107,725 85,605 193,330 2,349,086 1,027,260 3,376,346 105,199 73,000 178,199 1,399,659 1,39

Eastern 247,674 270,152 517,826 3,477,821 1,350,760 4,828,581 214,924 287,427 502,351 515,818 5

Coast 111,083 60,187 171,270 1,555,162 421,309 1,976,471 130,027 46,225 176,252 743,756 74

N/ Eastern 5,450 5,350 10,800 14,950 11,000 25,950 1,616 1,500 3,116 800

Nairobi 798 420 1,218 3,360 9,542 12,902 490 0 490 7,840

Total 1,544,863 656,320 2,201,183 29,305,934 6,760,524 36,066,458 1,386,066 610,746 1,996,812 28,711,203 28,7


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Table 2: Bean Production

Province TARGETS ACHIEVEMENTS

AREA IN HA ESTIMATED PRODUCTION IN BAGS AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS I

LR SR TOTALLR+SR

LR SR TOTAL LR SR TOTALLR+SR

LR SR TO

2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR 2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+

Rift Valley 242,510 109,300 351,810 1,940,080 874,400 2,814,480 176,835 59,180 236,015 1,060,910 1Nyanza 163,930 109,358 273,288 1,178,411 780,397 1,958,808 102,598 70,745 173,343 533,510

Western 125,550 37,900 163,450 1,004,400 265,300 1,269,700 118,525 157,547 276,072 674,159

Central 59,100 54,443 113,543 354,600 326,658 681,258 61,928 52,010 113,938 390,467

Eastern 157,029 157,486 314,515 1,068,282 1,043,476 2,111,758 103,810 129,265 233,075 207,620

Coast 3,343 1,559 4,902 20,058 9,354 29,412 3,010 1,096 4,106 24,078

N/ Eastern 140 140 280 140 140 280 560 0 560 210

Nairobi 438 305 743 1,752 1,220 2,972 370 0 370 2,220

Total 752,040 470,491 1,222,531 5,567,723 3,300,945 8,868,668 567,636 469,843 1,037,479 2,893,174 2,8

A total of 567,636 Ha was achieved for the long rains, with a production of about 2,893,174 bags. Delayed, erratic rains

and inadequate certified seed affected production of 2011 long rains crop. About 469,840 Ha of the short rains crop has

been planted and is doing well.


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Table 3: Wheat Production

TARGETS ACHIEVEMENTS

Province AREA IN HAESTIMATED PR ODUCTION I N

BAGS AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS

LR SR TOTALLR+SR


LR SR TOTAL

2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR 2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR

Rift Valley 109,107 8,790 117,897 5,450,500 309,200 5,759,700 98,330 0 98,330 1,948,630 1,948

Western 65 25 90 1,800 700 2,500 80 0 80 2,436 2

Central 9,108 4,965 14,073 172,332 62,020 234,352 4,575 1,800 6,375 53,750 97

Eastern 11,025 14,540 25,565 72,200 250,320 322,520 8,015 8,923 16,938 176,030 441

Total 129,305 2 8,320 157,625 5,696,832 622,240 6,319,072 111,000 10,723 121,723 2,180,846 2,489,

Out of the targeted 129,305 Ha of long rains crop, 111,000 Ha has been achieved. Erratic rains in most wheat growing

zones and crop failure in many places led to prolonged long rains planting up to the month of June 2011. Failure of long

rains wheat in Narok County in particular, which contributes about 40% of total production, has severely affected

production of long rains crop in 2011. Hence out of the target 5.69 million bags, only 2.18 million bags have been

achieved for the long rain season crop. More harvesting of late planted crop is expected to boost the overall long rains

production figure. About 10,720 ha of wheat have been planted for the short rains.


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Table 4: Irish Potato Production


ProvinceAREA IN HA

ESTIM ATED PRODUCTION I NBAGS AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS IN BAG

LR SR TOTAL

LR+SR

LR SR TOTAL LR SR TOTAL

LR+SR

LR SR TOTA

2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR 2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SRift Valley 33,780 28,965 62,745 466,608 391,471 858,079 36,340 17,114 53,454 430,890 43

Western 6,505 6,495 13,000 125,425 126,175 251,600 5,970 5,970 11,940 94,340 9

Central 48,600 41,075 89,675 3,303,070 2,494,216 5,797,286 44,290 15,940 60,2301,953,730 1,95

Eastern 12,528 13,223 25,751 54,770 422,366 477,136 10,750 12,520 23,270 382,020 38

Nairobi 85 63 0 274 211 485 50 0 50 2,000

Total 101,413 89,758 191,171 3,950,147 3,434,439 7,384,586 97,400 51,544 148,944 2,862,980 2,862

About 51,540 Ha of Irish Potatoes has been planted for the short rains season. The high rainfall being experienced in

most areas may affect production through increased incidences of fungal diseases. Farmers are advised to take

preventive measures through spraying with appropriate fungicides. For the long rains, out of the 101,413 hectares

targeted, 97,400 Ha was achieved, representing 86%.


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Table 5: Rice Production


ProvinceAREA IN HA

ESTIMATED PRODUCTION I NBAGS AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS IN BAG

LR SR TOTALLR+SR


LR SR TOTA

2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR 2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+S

Rift Valley 31 11 42 752 252 1,004 20 4 24 780 Nyanza 8,175 3,710 11,885 560,910 202,920 763,830 1,760 3,158 4,918 49,280 2

Western 1,615 861 2,476 32,692 17,212 49,904 1,365 960 2,325 30,203

Central 4,215 8,096 12,311 389,846 472,018 861,864 3,410 520 3,930 104,665 4

Coast 2,219 377 2,596 15 34,327 34,342 2,840 747 3,587 62,068

N/ Eastern 75 75 150 750 750 1,500 12 0 12 360

Total 16,330 13,130 29,460 984,965 727,479 1,712,444 9,407 5,389 14,796 247,356 70

About 5,390 Ha has been planted for the short rains season against the target of 13,130Ha.This is expected to increase in

the coming months with the ongoing planting. During the long rains about 9,407Ha was achieved against a target of

16,330Ha.To increase rice production, a comprehensive Rice Development Strategy has been developed and is being

implemented by the government with support from development partners. Rice production has further been boosted by

the support from Economic Stimulus Programme that is focusing on irrigation expansion and rehabilitation of major rice

schemes. More rice production is expected in the near future.


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Table 6: 2011 Sorghum Production

Prov inces TARGETS ACHIEVEME NTS

AREA IN HA ESTIMATED PRODUCTION IN BAGS AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS IN BA

LR SR TOTALLR+SR


LR SR TOTA

2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR 2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+S

Rift Valley 682 653 1,335 4,509 3,912 8,421 6,245 1,284 7,529 69,605 69

Nyanza 96,691 31,512 128,203 1,179,833 379,415 1,559,248 51,021 11,813 62,834 408,168 408

Western 7,825 4,430 12,255 88,330 50,030 138,360 6,680 10,789 17,469 62,880 62

Central 951 891 1,842 6,340 7,070 13,410 550 180 730 3,300 3

Eastern 83,989 94,537 178,526 1,053,523 1,406,782 2,460,305 54,993 82,751 137,744 65,992 65

Coast 1,868 1,293 3,161 14 25,400 25,414 4,350 1,274 5,624 32,800 32

N/ Eastern 7,150 7,050 14,200 13,400 12,400 25,800 159 0 159 200

Nairobi 7 5 0 82 62 0 6 0 6 20

Total 199,156 140,366 339,522 2,345,949 1,885,009 4,230,958 124 ,004 108,091 232,095 642,965 642,

A total of 108,090Ha of sorghum has been planted for the short rains season. This is against the target of 140,366Ha

Adoption of sorghum has generally been low in most parts of the country with maize being given preference. Increased

sorghum demand for alcohol production in the private sector has however triggered interests for sorghum farming. The

ministry is promoting growing of Gadam sorghum through bulking of seeds and distributing to farmers under the

Traditional High Value Crops Programme. The produce is mainly sold to EABL. Attack by Quelea birds is becoming a

challenge to Gadam sorghum production.


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Table 7: Finger millet production


Province AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS IN

LR SR TOTALLR+SR


LR SR TOTA

2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR 2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+S

Rift Valley 7,921 555 8,476 103,812 5,12 103,812 1,253 266 1,519 16,400 1

Nyanza 18,219 14,960 33,179 126,371 90,080 216,451 5,928 9,508 15,436 71,200 15

Western 5,383 0 5,383 37,350 0 37,350 4,304 4,300 8,604 47,344 4

Central 91 84 175 371 365 736 30 20 50 240

Eastern 47,463 45,851 93,314 698,231 797,974 1,496,205 2,390 3,520 5,910 74,700 7

N.Eastern 3,752 4,082 7,834 42,161 44,498 86,659 1,700 0 1,700 11,140 1

Coast 412 279 690 10 4,115 4,125 177 34 211 1,770

Total 83,241 65,811 149,051 1,008,306 937,032 1,945,338 15,782 17,648 33,430 222,794 304

As with the case of sorghum, millet production has been severely affected by poor rains in the major producing areas.

Out of the national targets of 80,241 Ha during the long rains, only 37,360 Ha have been achieved with estimated

production of 222,794 bags. About 12,125 Ha has been planted for the short rains and more is expected.


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Table 8: Cassava Production


Province AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS AREA IN HA PRODUCTIONS IN

LR SR TOTALLR+SR


LR SR TO

2011 2011 2011 2011 LR+SR 2011 2011 2011 2011 LR

Rift Valley 845 124 969 13,976 2,251 16,227 460 161 621 11,960

Nyanza 12,056 6,097 18,153 120,560 60,970 181,530 11,105 8,070 19,175 288,700 2

Western 10,323 7,836 18,159 186,765 472,134 658,899 9,709 10,060 19,769 310,680 3

Central 508 491 999 6,007 5,760 11,767 380 390 770 5,700

Eastern 5,220 7,011 12,231 96,777 124,195 220,972 3,920 4,160 8,080 117,600 1

Nairobi 18 13 0 183 109 0 12 0 12 240

Coast 17,366 5,513 22,879 173,660 55,130 228,790 9,180 1,520 10,700 119,770 1

Total 46,318 27,072 73,390 597 ,745 720 ,440 1,318,185 34,766 24,361 59,127 854,650 85

About 46,318 Ha had been targeted for long rains crop out of which 41,655 Ha has been achieved with estimated

production of 854,650 Metric tons. It is anticipated that following poor performance of most staple crops in many parts of

the country due to poor distribution of long rains, production of root crops such as cassava shall increase. Towards this

end, the Ministry has initiated several policy measures aimed at encouraging farmers to increase production of this crop.


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Annex 5: MARK ET PRI CES AND TRENDS

Table 9: Maize Price Trends in Major Markets (Ksh/90kg bag)

Month Nairobi Eldoret Kisumu Mombasa Karatina Kakam ega Garissa

Sept -10 1,650 1,600 1,400 1,450 1,300 1,350 3,150

Oct -10 1,690 1,000 1,600 1,400 1,400 1,300 3,000Nov -10 1,700 1,000 1,600 1,700 1,450 1,400 2,950

Dec -10 1,750 1,200 2,000 1,700 1500 1,470 2,000

Jan -11 1,800 1,900 2,000 1,700 1,700 1,500 3,150

Feb -11 2,100 1,350 2,200 2,200 1,800 2,000 3,150

Mar -11 2,250 1,700 2,400 2,700 2,000 2,400 4,050

Apr- 11 2,730 2,500 3,200 3,000 2,600 2,800 4,050

May- 11 3,200 3,000 3,600 3,400 3,000 3,100 4,200

Jun -11 3,800 3,500 4,800 3,500 4,000 4,500 4,450

Jul -11 3,850 3,750 3,500 3,450 4,000 4,000 4,200

Aug -11 3,250 3,200 3,200 3,330 3,650 3,200 3,800

Sept- 11 3,000 2,800 3,000 2,900 3,600 2,800 3,600

Oct -11 3,100 2,600 3,200 3,000 3,200 3,200 3,700

Nov -11 3100 2,600 3400 3000 3400 3000 3700

The price of maize remained stable in most markets. Prices have reduced from the highest of Ksh.4800 per 90 Kg bag

reported in Kisumu in June, 2011 to current price of Ksh 2600 per bag in Eldoret.Further reduction in prices is expected in

the coming month as harvesting continues in the main maize growing areas. Table 9 shows the price movements of 90 kg


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bag across selected towns and cities between September 2010 and November 2011. Slight price increases were reported

in Kisumu and Karatina and most parts of Eastern Province.

Table 10: Beans Price Trends in Major M arkets (ksh/ 90kg bag)

Month Nairobi Eldoret Kisum u Momba sa Karatina Kakam ega Garissa

Sept- 10 5,500 4,500 4,800 4,600 5,000 4,400 5,400

Oct- 10 5,300 4,500 5,800 4,500 5,000 4,300 5,600

Nov -10 5,300 4,500 5,800 4,560 5,000 4,300 5,600

Dec- 10 4,600 4,000 4,000 3,750 5,000 4,000 5,600

Jan -11 5250 5,491 5,800 3,700 5,000 4,000 7,200

Feb- 11 4,950 4,000 5,800 4,800 5,000 5,400 7,200

Mar -11 5,000 4,500 5,800 5,850 5,000 6,000 7,200

Apr- 11 5,600 4,900 6,200 6,000 5,800 6,300 7,200

May- 11 7,200 5,900 6,800 7,000 6,800 7,200 8,000

Jun -11 5,900 5,600 7,600 5,600 6,500 6,800 7,200

Jul -11 5,300 5,400 6,400 7,200 6,000 6,000 7,200

Aug -11 4,800 4,800 5,400 6,200 5,000 5,200 7,200

Sept -11 4,800 4,800 5,800 5,400 5,200 5,000 6,600

Oct -11 4,800 5,200 7,200 6,300 5,500 6,400 6,600

Nov -11 5,000 5,145 7,200 6,300 5,500 5,400 6,700


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There was a slight increase in prices of beans in

the month of November as compared to October.

This may be attributed to reduced stocks resulting

from the continued consumption of the already

harvested long rains crop. Prices are expected to

reduce in the month of January when harvesting

of the short rains crop is expected to start.


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November 2011 Food Security Final Report

Documents

Transcript of November 2011 Food Security Final Report