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Transcript of Nothing will ever be the same again ABP webinar
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Nothing will ever be the same again: The impact of Artificial Intelligence, Deep
Learning and Social Robotics on work and the workplace
An ABP webinar, 19 August 2016 start time 9.00 am
Anton Fishman, ABP Board member and Chair of the Social Robotics and AI conference sponsored by the ABP and
Oxford Brookes
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What I hope to cover in this webinar
• The ABP’s co-sponsorship with Oxford Brookes of a ground-breaking conference on the impact of AI on work and working life: – How this came to be– Why the impact of AI is important to businesses, those
who lead and manage them and those who work in them
– Why it is important to those who apply psychology in business
– Why business psychology is important to it
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Our first Poll• How familiar are you with advances in AI?
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How the conference came to be
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Nicola Strong, Strong Enterprises
How the conference came to be
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Nicola Strong, Strong Enterprises
Prof. Nigel Crook, Oxford Brookes
How the conference came to be
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Nicola Strong, Strong Enterprises
Prof. Nigel Crook, Oxford Brookes
Artie
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https://youtu.be/I8nMKH3y_1I
Cobots are here
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And those conversations led to this . .
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Top level messages• Technology advances have accelerated beyond most people’s imagination
in the last 18 months [and I’ll share these in this webinar]• ‘Robots taking your jobs’ have hit the popular press • There are optimists and pessimists about the impact on employment – no
one yet knows which will play out• What is clear is that over the next few years there will be jobs lost, jobs
diminished, jobs enriched, new jobs created• Few roles will escape impact, including many in professional and
managerial roles who think they are immune from incursion• There will be knock on effects on career paths, skills and capability,
engagement, teams, organisational culture, performance, health and safety, employee relations, work-life balance, employment branding, and the customer’s experience of service.
• All domains that ABP members have expertise in and in which they can take a lead position as they support organisations manage the impending changes
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Fishman &
Partners
THE FUTURE?
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Fishman &
Partners
http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/gadgets-and-tech/news/stephen-hawking-artificial-intelligence-could-wipe-out-humanity-when-it-gets-too-clever-as-humans-a6686496.html
https://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/
http://www.nickbostrom.com/
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/oct/27/elon-musk-artificial-intelligence-ai-biggest-existential-threat
http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/
Understanding the AI landscape
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Fishman &
Partners
THE FUTURE?
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Fishman &
Partners
http://www.kurzweilai.net/
http://singularityhub.com/
https://twitter.com/demishassabis https://deepmind.com/
http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/videos/view/336
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Fishman &
Partners
EITHER, OR BOTH?
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The Bank of England believes that machines might take over 80 million American and 15 million British jobs over the next 10 to 20 years, or 50% of the workforce in each of the two countries.
“These machines are different,” the bank’s chief economist Andy Haldane said. “Unlike in the past, they have the potential to substitute for human brains as well as hands.”
According to the bank, administrative, clerical and production workers might be the first to be replaced by robots in the coming years.
That’s not to say unemployment will suddenly rise. Humans will “adapt their skills to the tasks where they continue to have a comparative advantage over machines.”
Fishman &
Partners
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Fishman &
Partners
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Fishman &
Partnershttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-34066941
http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf
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Fishman &
Partners
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Fishman &
Partners
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Fishman &
Partnershttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-34066941
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Fishman &
Partnershttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-34066941
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Fishman &
Partnershttp://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-34066941
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https://www.accenture.com/_acnmedia/PDF-19/AI_in_Management_Report.pdf Fishman &
Partners
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Fishman &
Partners
https://soundcloud.com/legaltalknetwork/the-future-of-the-professions-an-interview-with-richard-and-daniel-susskind
https://youtu.be/Dp5_1QPLps0 https://youtu.be/ulXwTpW2oFI
‘How technology will transform the work of human experts’
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Fishman &
Partnershttp://www.wired.co.uk/article/alphago-deepmind-google-wins-lee-sedol
9 Mar 2016
Beating the world's best Go players has been the holy grail of AI research. ... 'WE MADE HISTORY'
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“AI is the most important technology that anybody on the planet is working on today.”Dave Coplin, chief envisioning officer at Microsoft UK,May 2016
http://uk.businessinsider.com/microsoft-exec-ai-is-the-most-important-technology-that-anybody-on-the-planet-is-working-on-today-2016-5? Fishman &
Partners
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OUT OF THE LAB AND INTO BUSINESS
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CHATBOTS MACHINE LEARNING
NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSINGINTERNET OF THINGS
MACHINE VISIONDEEP LEARNING
INTERNET OF EYESEMOTION READING TECHNOLOGY
INTELLIGENCE AS A SERVICESOCIAL ROBOTICS
COBOTSROBOTIC PROCESS OUTSOURCING
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Fishman &
Partners
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Fishman &
Partners
http://www.thenational.scot/business/rbs-cuts-550-jobs-after-robo-advisers-introduced.15032
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Fishman &
Partners
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https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/jun/17/self-driving-trucks-impact-on-drivers-jobs-us
Fishman &
Partners
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Machine Learning Is Redefining The Enterprise
Fishman &
Partners
Source: Tata Consultancy Services, Using Big Data for Machine Learning Analytics in Manufacturing – TCS
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Machine Learning Is Redefining The Enterprise
Source: Tata Consultancy Services, Using Big Data for Machine Learning Analytics in Manufacturing – TCSFishman &
Partners
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http://www.zdnet.com/article/companies-employees-not-quite-ready-for-cognitive-technology-wave-of-robotics-ai-machine-learning/ Fishman &
Partners
Prepared on the HR and Tech front
Partially Prepared but not HR aspects
Partially Prepared but not Tech aspects
Somewhat Prepared
Poorly Prepared
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http://www.zdnet.com/article/companies-employees-not-quite-ready-for-cognitive-technology-wave-of-robotics-ai-machine-learning/ Fishman &
Partners
Prepared on the HR and Tech front
Partially Prepared but not HR aspects
Partially Prepared but not Tech aspects
Somewhat Prepared
Poorly Prepared
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http://www.zdnet.com/article/companies-employees-not-quite-ready-for-cognitive-technology-wave-of-robotics-ai-machine-learning/ Fishman &
Partners
Prepared on the HR and Tech front
Partially Prepared but not HR aspects
Partially Prepared but not Tech aspects
Somewhat Prepared
Poorly Prepared
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http://www.zdnet.com/article/companies-employees-not-quite-ready-for-cognitive-technology-wave-of-robotics-ai-machine-learning/ Fishman &
Partners
Prepared on the HR and Tech front
Partially Prepared but not HR aspects
Partially Prepared but not Tech aspects
Somewhat Prepared
Poorly Prepared
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http://www.zdnet.com/article/companies-employees-not-quite-ready-for-cognitive-technology-wave-of-robotics-ai-machine-learning/ Fishman &
Partners
Prepared on the HR and Tech front
Partially Prepared but not HR aspects
Partially Prepared but not Tech aspects
Somewhat Prepared
Poorly Prepared
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So, as with any other business disruption the business psychology disciplines must address:
• The impact on jobs: which lost? Which diminished? Which enhanced? Which new? Which immune to change?
• Impact on skills and capabilities• Impact on employee engagement • Impact on talent attraction and retention• Impact on performance: metrics, management, and reward• Impact on careers• Challenges of change management• Attitudes of key stakeholders and how to get their support• Impact on employment brand and reputation• There is a key role for people in HR, OD, and for Business
Psychologists in all of this: now, next 6 months, next 1 – 2 years – but we have to figure out what that is
Fishman &
Partners
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Shock and Awe
A rapid fly through of recent articles and research in the application of AI, Machine
Learning and Social Robotics in the world of work
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And is what you do safe from the incursions of AI?
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So, let’s pause for breath . .
What’s all this saying to you?• How are you feeling?
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So, let’s pause for breath . .
What’s all this saying to you?• Opportunity or threat?
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So what might you do next?
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So what might you do next? • Well you might want to invest personal time in reading, exploring
and reflecting:
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www.flipboard.com
Recommended channels:• Artificial Intelligence• Robots• Ideas for the Future• Chatbots• The Future of HR• Machine Learning
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So what might you do next? • Well you might want to invest personal time in reading, exploring
and reflecting:
• You may want to learn more in the company of others
– £200 discount for ABP members– £200 discount for your guests– Free place for you if you bring along three or more paying guests
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So, in conclusion, what is this saying to you: a time to grow or a time to retrench?
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One final thought
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AI WILL NEVER BE AS PRIMITIVE AS IT IS TODAY
One final thought