North American Energy May 2012 Investor Presentation
-
Upload
company-spotlight -
Category
Investor Relations
-
view
523 -
download
2
Transcript of North American Energy May 2012 Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation May 2012
Rod Ruston President and CEO
David Blackley Chief Financial Officer
2
Forward-Looking Statements
The information provided in this presentation contains forward-looking statements and information which reflect the current view of North American Energy Partners with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual results could differ materially from those contemplated by such forward-looking statements as a result of any number of factors and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward-looking statements include success of business development efforts, changes in oil and gas prices, availability of a skilled labour force, internal controls, general economic conditions, terms of our debt instruments, exchange rate fluctuations, weather conditions, performance of our customers, access to equipment, changes in laws and ability to execute transactions. Undue reliance should not be placed upon forward-looking statements and we undertake no obligation, other than those required by applicable law, to update or revise those statements.
For more complete information about us you should read our disclosure documents filed with the SEC and the CSA. You may obtain these documents by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at www.sec.gov or on the CSA website at www.sedar.com.
Overview
Founded in 1953
TSX and NYSE listings: “NOA”
Current share price: $2.89
52 week high/low: $9.74/$2.89
Market capitalization: $108 million
Shares outstanding: 36 million
52 week average daily share volume: 213,300
3
Heavy Construction and Mining
Piling Pipeline
* Data from NYSE in USD as at May 17, 2012
Presentation Agenda
Corporate update
Oil sands realities
Opportunities
About the company
Financial results
Segment performance and opportunities
4
CNRL Contract Resolution
5
CNRL recognized that NACG is the best option for overburden removal & mining services
$38 million settlement for past cost escalations and change orders Removal of $10 million letter of credit for 2012 Profitable contract structure with reduced risk NAEP continues to operate all equipment with guaranteed base margin and
upside potential based on performance
~$40 million of additional net proceeds to NACG Early buyout of ~30% of contract-related assets Includes the buyout of contract-related operating leases, owned assets, inventory
and maintenance facility
Strengthened working relationship Opportunities to extend contract beyond 2015 Opportunities to provide broader range of services
Credit Agreement Amendments
Recent amendments to credit facility include: Temporary relief from Consolidated EBITDA-related covenants
Extension of credit agreement maturity date to October 31, 2013
Temporary facility capacity of $20.8 million to be eliminated by June 30, 2012, in line with receipt of proceeds from asset sale to CNRL
Capacity of the revolving facility after June 30, 2012 will be $85 million less any outstanding letters of credit
6
7
Reality #1: Low Sensitivity to Oil Prices
Oil sands mines keep operating despite changes in oil prices
Competitive unit costs achieved at full capacity
High risk of employee loss/ plant damage during shutdowns
Reality #2: SAGD Will Not Replace Mining
SAGD and mining are geologically distinct processes Mining Typical size: 100-300k bpd Base load production to feed upgrader Draws on full range of NAEP services Construction and recurring services
opportunities
SAGD Typical size: 10-50k bpd Supplements mining production Construction opportunities Draws on NAEP’s recently acquired
screw piling technology
8
Reality #3: Producers Outsource
Outsource
9
Seasonal work
Part-time labour requirement
Non core to oil production
Short-term equipment requirement
Specialized knowledge & equipment
10
Reality #4: Demand is Growing
The Opportunity
Largest heavy construction and mining contractor in high growth oil sands market
Poised to benefit from recently announced oil sands development
Position further entrenched by recent competitor difficulties
Significant barriers to new entrants
Proven base of stable recurring services business with recent long-term contract wins
11
Key Customer Contracts
3-year master services agreement 3-year muskeg removal contract
4-year master services agreement covering mining services & construction
Year 6 of 10-year overburden removal contract
12
5-year master services agreement covering mining services & construction
Recently commenced one-year contract Significant earthworks still to be awarded by the client
About the Company
Expertise 30+ years in Northern Alberta’s harsh
operating environment Knowledge to come up with best
solutions for customers
Broad Service Offering Unique suite of services across project
lifecycle
Operational Flexibility Unrivalled equipment fleet Active on every site
Long-Term Customer Relationships Reliability; on-time delivery
13
12 Months Ended December 31, 2011
Revenue by End Market
Largest Construction & Mining Contractor in the Oil Sands
11% 69%
8%
12%
Commercial & Public Construction
Canadian Oil Sands
Pipeline
Industrial
First On, Last Off
14
Explore and Design Initial Development and Secondary Upgrades / Expansions
Build Relationship Major Projects
Initial mine site development, project site development, airstrips, pipeline construction
Overburden removal, mine infrastructure development, reclamation, tailing ponds remediation, equipment and labour supply
Project Development Phase (3-4 years) Ongoing Operations Phase (30-40 years)
Operation / Ongoing Services
Recurring Services
86% of NAEP’s Oil Sands Revenue
Mine Services
Service NAEP Client Season Haul Truck (tonnes)
Ore Mining Year-round 300 - 400
Overburden Removal Year-round 240 - 400
Muskeg (Removal/Remediation) Winter* 100 - 240
Site Construction Summer 100 - 240
Tailings Management Summer 100 - 240
15
Muskeg & Topsoil Active Mine
Overburden
Ore
* Occasionally we will complete this work outside the winter season for our customers
Swing Supplier
16
NAEP achieves higher equipment utilization rates by working on every major site in the oil sands
NAEP demand
Multiple Customers
Single Customer
Excess production requirement
Fixed production capacity
Active on Every Oil Sands Mining Site
Current or recent NOA job site Providing estimates
EXXON KEARL
SHELL/ALBIAN JACKPINE AND MUSKEG RIVER
SYNCRUDE AURORA
UTS
CANADIAN NATURAL
HORIZON
TOTAL JOSLYN
SUNCOR VOYAGEUR
SUNCOR MILLENNIUM and
STEEPBANK
SYNCRUDE BASE PLANT
Fort McMurray
70 k
m
SUNCOR FORT HILLS
17
Current Activity: 10-year overburden removal and dyke construction, mine operations and projects group support
Future Opportunities: plant site civil projects
Current Activity: site development (ditching, water diversion, reclamation, haul roads, camp grading, etc.)
Future Opportunities: MSE wall, compensation lake, long-term overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes), contract mining (unknown if Total will contract this scope of self perform)
Future Opportunities: Phase 2 Kearl Expansion Project (earthworks), long-term overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes)
MRM Current Activity: major tailings projects (AFD Phase 2 & 3 construction, tailings corridor), plant site civil support
Future Opportunities: major tailings projects, haul road construction, debottlenecking & civil scopes
JPM Current Activity: reclamation, major tailings projects (TTD construction)
Future Opportunities: major tailings projects, starter dyke construction, debottlenecking & civil scopes
Future Opportunities: site development, haul roads, civil construction, MSE walls, compensation lake, long-term overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes), contract mining
Current Activity: overburden removal, reclamation (Dyke 11A, stacking, ditching), ramp removal, heavy civil (STP finger dyke, Dyke 12 drains, NSE road, equipment rental (8 x 793s)
Future Opportunities: overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes), light and heavy civil for mining and tailings operations and projects groups
Future Opportunities: mine train relocations, MSE walls & associated civil scopes
Current Activity: 2012 winter reclamation prep, MLMR shear key construction, base mine tailings dam, manmade water shed construction, mine operations support
Future Opportunities: overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes), MSE wall construction, various construction projects for mining, tailings and projects group
Future Opportunities: civil underground construction
18
Mining Project Lifecycles
Engineering and Design
Initial Construction
Commissioning and Start-up
Operational Phase
Project Development Recurring Services
2-3 3-4 0.5 40+ years years years years
Suncor - Original Lease
Suncor – Voyageur South
Shell - Muskeg River Mine Shell - Jackpine 1 Canadian Natural - Horizon
Suncor - Fort Hills
Total - Joslyn
Syncrude - Aurora
Exxon - Kearl
Suncor - Steepbank
Syncrude - Base
Proceeding Delayed
Syncrude – Aurora South
Tailings & Environmental Services
Engineered Earth Structures
19
Pipeline & infrastructure Fluids Transfer &
Hydraulic Transport
Tailings Management Pond Closure & Land Reforming Final Reclamation
Fluid Fine Tailings Inventory Projections
New regulations require dramatic reduction in tailings inventory
20
Fluid Line Tailings Inventory (After Tailings Directive) Millions of Cubic Metres (LHS)
Bitumen Production Million of Barrels per day (RHS)
Fluid Line Tailings Inventory Millions of Cubic Metres (LHS)
FFT Inventory (millions m3) 6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2050 2045 2060 2055
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
Bitumen Production (millions bbls/d)
Forecast Mined Bitumen Production
Forecast Fluid Tailings Inventory AFTER Directive 74
Source: Silver Birch Energy Presentation – Peter’s & Co. Winter Energy Conference January 28, 2011
21
12%
Sep 10
Sep 10
$862
Financial Performance
Rolling LTM Revenue Rolling LTM EBITDA* C ($) millions C ($) millions
14%
*Consolidated EBITDA as defined within the credit agreement Consolidated EBITDA as percentage of revenue
Jun 10
Jun 10
$798
8%
Dec 09
$716
Dec 09
17%
Mar 10
$761
Mar 10
16%
10%
Dec 10
Dec 10
$904
$105 $114 $120 $122
$87
Mar 11
$858
10%
Mar 11
$84
Jun 11
$868
Jun 11
$78
9%
Sep 11
$879
Sep 11
$83
10%
Dec 11
$899
Dec 11
$73
Operating Leases
Significant growth in operating lease portfolio during 2008-2010
Operating lease expense directly impacts Consolidated EBITDA
22
200
150
100
50
0
($) millions
Impact of Operating Leases Consolidated EBITDA
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Lease Expense
150
125
100
75
50
25
0
($) millions
Operating Lease Portfolio Lease Additions Lease Expense
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Fiscal Year Fiscal Year
* Future lease expense reflects operating lease commitments as at September 30, 2011
Purchase Price $5.0M $5.0M Lease Term / Asset Life 5 years 12 years
Residual / Salvage Value $1.0M $0.3M
Depreciation $1.2M -
$3.0M NBV - End of Period
Interest
Lease Expense
Consolidated EBITDA
$5.2M
($5.2M)
-
$1.0M
$2.0M
-
Cumulative Impact (5 years): -
Operating Leases
23
Operating Lease Purchase Large Truck Example
Pros: Low cost financing Readily accessible
Cons: Accelerated amortization Consolidated EBITDA impact
Operating Leases
24
$66 million of potential equity value in operating lease portfolio
Potential equity value can be realized through future earnings
($) millions
* Values are as at September 30, 2011 and exclude leases related to the Canadian Natural overburden removal contract
$224
$158
Calculated Net Book Value Actual Lease Buyout Value
Current Lease Portfolio Value
$66 million of potential equity
50
100
150
200
250
0
Reporting Segments
Construction & Mining Piling Pipeline
Leveraged to high-growth construction markets Offers geographic &
sector diversification Proprietary technology
and expertise creates high barriers to entry
Suited to cyclical industry with low capital commitment & scalable operating model Proven environmental
& safety record offers significant competitive advantages
Recurring services provide stable base Oil sands project
development provides strong growth potential Long-term customer
relationships create high barrier to entry
25
26
Heavy Construction & Mining
Revenue and Gross Margin % Impact of temporary shutdown at Canadian Natural and late
winter freeze-up partially offset by new contracts and increased tailings and environmental work
*Excluding the writedown, FY2011 segment revenue would have been $710 million and segment margin would have been 13.1%
($) millions 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100
0 FY 2009
$716
15%
FY 2010 FY 2011*
$666
17%
$667
8%
9 mos. FY 2011
$521
12%
9 mos. FY 2012
$490
13%
Heavy Construction & Mining Outlook
Strong recurring services volumes anticipated in the 4th quarter Resumed overburden removal operations at Canadian Natural
Heavy demand for overburden and muskeg removal work under new and existing contracts
Building shear key foundation for mine relocation at Syncrude
Recently awarded initial site development contract for Joslyn
27
Source: Oil Sands Developers Group, CAPP and Nichols Applied Management
Oil Sands Opportunities
Production capacity increasing All active oil sands mines
expected to be operating later this year
Kearl mine scheduled to begin production in 2012
$124 billion in new investment forecasted over next 5 years
28
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
15
26 27
29 27
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
($) billions
14
18 18
11
13
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Oil Sands Investment
Actuals Forecast
29
Piling
Revenue and Gross Margin % Q3 revenue up 37%, reflecting increased demand, favorable
weather and positive impact of Cyntech acquisition Continued Q3 and YTD margin improvement
($) millions 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
FY 2009
$155
FY 2010
$69
25% 17%
FY 2011
$106
18% 9 mos.
FY 2011
$83
20% 9 mos.
FY 2012
$132
25%
30
Piling Outlook
Strong activity levels across all regions and sectors Large backlog of projects expected to contribute to strong Q4
activity levels
31
Pipeline
($) millions 125
100
75
50
25
0 FY 2009
$101
22%
$25
FY 2010
(16%)
$85
FY 2011
(4%)
9 mos. FY 2011
$80
9 mos. FY 2012
$102
(2%) (2)%
Revenue and Gross Margin % Q3 revenue up 57%, as work continued on two contracts in BC
and Alberta Margins compromised by client-driven start-up delays, scope
changes and cost escalation
Pipeline Outlook
Focus on completing two current pipeline projects and moving forward with new maintenance contract
Industry fundamentals improving, but current contract structures continue to create cost uncertainty
32
Investment Highlights
Largest construction and mining contractor in the oil sands
Solid core business of recurring services with high barriers to entry and near-term growth potential
Investment in Canada’s oil sands without direct exposure to the price of oil
Financially secure with the ability to generate strong cash flow
Attractive near-term growth potential
33
Thank you
Appendix
36
Pipeline Construction Opportunities
2011 TCPL (NW AB, NE BC – 7 projects) 217+ km (20”-48”) TCPL (Tanghe Creek - Sloat) 38 km (48”) Enbridge (Husky (Sunrise)) Norealis Pipeline 112 km (24”) Enbridge (Wood Buffalo/L18) 95 km (30”) Enbridge – Cdn. Mainline Integrity Program 1,875 digs scheduled Spectra Energy (T-North Looping) 100+ km (36”-48”)
Beyond 2011 TCPL (NW AB, NE BC – 4 projects) 500+ km (24”-48”) Access Pipeline (50/50 JV Devon/MEG Energy) 300 km (42”) Spectra Energy (NE BC) Looping 300-400 km (24”-36”) Enbridge (Woodland) Extension 385 km (36”) Enbridge (Athabasca) Twinning Project 345 km (36”) Enbridge (Bakken Oil Pipeline) 123 km (24”-30”) Kinder Morgan (TMX Expansion) 800-1,000 km (36”) Pacific Trails Pipeline (PTP) 462 km (36”) Enbridge (Northern Gateway) 1,170 km (36/20”) TCPL Keystone XL 2,673 km (36”) CO2 Pipeline (Enhance Energy) 240 km (12”) Alliance Pipeline (Fort St. John) 60 km (24”) Alaska Pipeline est. 2020-2025 Mackenzie Valley Pipeline est. 2020-2025 Nova (Vantage Pipeline) 575 km (10/12”)
Anchor Loop
TMX-3 TMX-2
Edmonton
Vancouver
TMX Project
Active on Every Oil Sands Mining Site
Current or recent NOA job site Providing estimates
EXXON KEARL
SHELL/ALBIAN JACKPINE AND MUSKEG RIVER
SYNCRUDE AURORA
UTS
CANADIAN NATURAL
HORIZON
TOTAL JOSLYN
SUNCOR VOYAGEUR
SUNCOR MILLENNIUM and
STEEPBANK
SYNCRUDE BASE PLANT
Fort McMurray
70 k
m
SUNCOR FORT HILLS
37
Current Activity: 10-year overburden removal and dyke construction, mine operations and projects group support
Future Opportunities: plant site civil projects
Current Activity: site development (ditching, water diversion, reclamation, haul roads, camp grading, etc.)
Future Opportunities: MSE wall, compensation lake, long-term overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes), contract mining (unknown if Total will contract this scope of self perform)
Future Opportunities: Phase 2 Kearl Expansion Project (earthworks), long-term overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes)
MRM Current Activity: major tailings projects (AFD Phase 2 & 3 construction, tailings corridor), plant site civil support
Future Opportunities: major tailings projects, haul road construction, debottlenecking & civil scopes
JPM Current Activity: reclamation, major tailings projects (TTD construction)
Future Opportunities:, major tailings projects, starter dyke construction, debottlenecking & civil scopes
Future Opportunities: site development, haul roads, civil construction, MSE walls, compensation lake, long-term overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes), contract mining
Current Activity: overburden removal, reclamation (Dyke 11A, stacking, ditching), ramp removal, heavy civil (STP finger dyke, Dyke 12 drains, NSE road, equipment rental (8 x 793s)
Future Opportunities: overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes), light and heavy civil for mining and tailings operations and projects groups
Future Opportunities: mine train relocations, MSE walls & associated civil scopes
Current Activity: 2012 winter reclamation prep, MLMR shear key construction, base mine tailings dam, manmade water shed construction, mine operations support
Future Opportunities: overburden and reclamation (undefined volumes), MSE wall construction, various construction projects for mining, tailings and projects group
Future Opportunities: civil underground construction