Non-randomized and randomized trials
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Transcript of Non-randomized and randomized trials
DETERMINING SURGICAL EFFICACY
Non-randomized andrandomized trialsJeremy Wright
AbstractAlthough good quality randomized controlled trials provide high level
evidence for informing practice, they can be difficult to undertake within
surgery. Non-randomized trials, whilst easier to conduct, often contain
many biases that make it difficult to establish causation. It is no surprise,
therefore, that much surgical practice is established through little
evidence of efficacy, often being driven by external factors such as
industry and personal preference. The ways in which surgical practice
has evolved despite the evidence will be discussed. The difficulties of
undertaking randomized and non-randomized trials will also be outlined.
Keywords clinical trials; laparoscopy; non-randomized; randomized;
randomized controlled trials
Introduction
The randomized controlled trial (RCT), or systematic review of
RCTs, has become widely accepted to be the ‘gold standard’
evidence for evaluating the efficacy of clinical treatments. Through
the rigorous randomization process, group differences between
those receiving the treatment and those not receiving the treatment
are minimized. Moreover, the control group provides a ‘non-
treatment’ group whose health outcomes are compared with those
receiving treatment. In surgical trials it is usual to compare a ‘new’
treatment with a ‘standard’ treatment. It is rare for patients to
undergo sham surgery for ethical reasons but when this does occur
the results can be surprising. Any measured treatment effect,
therefore, can more confidently be said to be as a result of receiving
treatment. There are, however, many situations, particularly
when the treatment effect is very large, when a RCT is not required;
for example, performing a tracheostomy for tracheal obstruction.
There are also situations when it is difficult or unethical to carry
out a RCT; for example, when a second look operation is required
to assess outcome but the procedure, which carries risks, does not
provide any benefit to the patient.
Nevertheless, some important surgical RCTs have been
conducted, offering good quality evidence to support or refute
treatment efficacy. The recommendations from these trials,
however, often take many years to be implemented, with some
appearing to have little impact on surgical practice.
In this article two well-established treatments for common
surgical problems will be looked at specifically: laparoscopic
cholecystectomy and laparoscopic adhesiolysis. These will be
Jeremy Wright MBBS MBA FRCOG is a consultant gynaecologist at Ashford
& St Peter’s NHS Trust and Clinical Director of the MSc in Advanced
Gynaecological Endoscopy at the Postgraduate Medical School,
University of Surrey, UK. Conflicts of interest: none declared.
SURGERY 27:9 371
examined to see how they have become routine surgical practice,
despite the evidence from clinical trials available at that time.
The difficulties of undertaking RCTs within surgery and the role
that high quality non-randomized trials play in informing
surgical practice will then be discussed.
Laparoscopic cholecystectomy
In 1992, laparoscopic cholecystectomy was developing rapidly in
the United Kingdom. Petelin, of ‘dissector’ fame, a technically
skilled laparoscopic surgeon from Texas, was popularizing the
technique of laparoscopic cholecystectomy1 and it was enthusi-
astically taken up by surgeons in continental Europe and the
United Kingdom. Whilst laparoscopic cholecystectomy was
becoming popular amongst some surgeons, Shanahan and
Knight2 from the Pancreato-biliary unit at St George’s Hospital,
London, UK were concerned by an increasing number of
common bile duct injuries occurring during the procedure. They
undertook a telephone survey of 10 hospitals in the South of
England, discovering that the incidence of bile duct injuries was
1:53 following laparoscopic cholecystectomy compared with
1:300 at open surgery.2 At that time, it was suggested that mini-
laparotomy cholecystectomy, performing the procedure through
an incision that was <5cms, was a safer procedure, with
a similar rate of common bile duct injury to that experienced
during traditional open cholecystectomy. Moreover, patients
undergoing a mini-laparotomy cholecystectomy appeared to
have a similar hospital stay to those undergoing laparoscopic
cholecystectomy.
As Shanahan and Knight2 point out, the higher risk of
common bile duct injury associated with laparoscopic cholecys-
tectomy might be due to a learning curve effect and the low risk
associated with mini laparotomy might be due to it being per-
formed mainly by committed biliary surgeons who were skilled
in the technique.
Although at the time there was a lack of evidence to support
the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, and what
evidence there was suggested that mini laparotomy was a safer
and quicker approach, laparoscopic cholecystectomy grew in
popularity amongst surgeons. Media exposure was fuelling
patient demand for this new procedure and the instrument
makers responded very quickly to the demand. It was also a time
when hospital expenditure was available, the hospitals being
caught up at that time in ‘fee for service’ and a fear of losing
patients. It could be argued, therefore, that laparoscopic chole-
cystectomy was introduced into the United Kingdom on the basis
of a case series of 1236 patients reported by Cuschieri et al.3 in
1991 in which there were no reported deaths and an audit report
by Dunn4 in which there were two deaths in 1653 cases. At the
same time Voyles et al.5 reported a series of 500 patients treated
laparoscopically without any common bile duct injury, suggest-
ing that the initial high complication rate was resolving, at least
in the hands of those publishing in the literature of the time.
In April 1996 Majeed et al. reported a prospective randomized
trial comparing laparoscopic and small incision cholecystectomy
in 200 patients.6 This well-conducted trial found no difference in
any of the outcome parameters except that the laparoscopic
procedure took significantly longer to perform. By this time
however, laparoscopic cholecystectomy was such a well-
� 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
DETERMINING SURGICAL EFFICACY
established technique that the trial was largely overlooked and
most surgeons in training will now learn the laparoscopic tech-
nique and will rarely have the opportunity or need to perform an
open cholecystectomy.
A later meta-analysis of laparoscopic versus mini-laparotomy
cholecystectomy RCTs7 reported no differences in morbidity and
no difference in operative time in a subgroup of trials published
after the year 2000, when the procedure was more established
and surgeons were further along the learning curve.
Laparoscopic adhesiolysis
Postoperative adhesions are commonly regarded as a cause of pain
and repeated hospital admissions. Although a laparotomy
approach to adhesiolysis has never gained acceptance, the advent
of laparoscopy has meant that patients with chronic pain are often
offered laparoscopic adhesiolysis in an attempt to try and reduce
their pain. Although non-randomized studies of laparoscopic
adhesiolysis report a reduction in pain of between 38% and 87%,
there is also an associated morbidity of around 10%.8
In a well-conducted blinded RCT,8 patients were assigned to
a diagnostic laparoscopy alone or a laparoscopic adhesiolysis,
the procedure being concealed from both the patients and
assessors. The patients’ pain was subsequently assessed at 1 year
by visual analogue scores, and their use of analgesics and quality
of life scores were also measured. Participants in both groups
reported good pain relief and significantly improved quality of
life, with no differences between the two groups. The authors
concluded, therefore, that adhesiolysis cannot be recommended
as a treatment for adhesions in patients with chronic abdominal
pain.8
Despite the high quality evidence produced by this study,
laparoscopic adhesiolysis continues to be undertaken for patients
with chronic abdominal pain. It is associated with considerable
morbidity, inadvertent enterostomy, damage to the mesentery
leading to areas of ischaemic bowel and bleeding from the
mesenteric vessels. Recurrent adhesions from surgery also
remain a problem.
Difficulties in conducting randomized trials in surgery
There are many reasons why surgical RCTs pose difficulties,
although not all are entirely specific to surgery. Commonly cited
reasons are:
� Difficulties in the recruitment of patients. Studies have shown
that key reasons for patient reluctance to participate in RCTs are:
the dislike of possibly receiving the placebo or potentially inferior
treatment; the potential side effects or complications of the new
treatment; the trial treatment may not be the best option; and
a general unease with the research process. Surgical RCTs can
have the added difficulty in that the patient may have to agree to
have a surgical procedure, with its associated risks, when there is
a 50% chance that they are assigned to a ‘non-treatment’ group
where they may not receive the best therapeutic benefit. To some
extent, this problem can be overcome by the use of a crossover
design, where half of the patients receive the treatment in the
first phase of the trial and the other half receive it in the latter
phase of the trial.
� Surgical procedures tend to develop over time, with each
development stage improving the technique by a small amount.
SURGERY 27:9
Such small improvements require large sample sizes to demon-
strate differences between intervention and control.
� A new surgical procedure generally requires the acquisition
of new skills, which can take a considerable time to develop
before a trial can be conducted. Surgical trials are commonly
criticized for being conducted too early in the learning curve
when complication rates are higher and the chances of a posi-
tive outcome are lower. However, during the time that it takes
for the surgeon to develop these new skills, the new procedure
becomes accepted as ‘normal practice’ and therefore it becomes
difficult to justify or secure funding for a trial. A further problem
arises in being able to determine when the surgeon has the
expertise to participate in the trial, with studies varying in the
number of procedures necessary to achieve technical
competence.
� Changes in surgical procedures are often influenced by the
manufacture of surgical instruments and therefore a widespread
shift towards adopting the new procedure can occur. Once this
happens, it is difficult to undertake a trial on what has become
accepted practice.
� It can be difficult to blind patients to the group assignment
and therefore the knowledge of being in the ‘new treatment’
group may influence the perceived benefits from surgery.
With all these difficulties surrounding the design of surgical
trials, the majority are conducted in big centres where the
patient population may be different, often with tertiary referral
of complex cases, to that of a district general hospital. Moreover,
the expertise of the surgeons in the trials may be greater than the
average expertise in general hospitals. It is important, therefore,
that the results are interpreted with these potential biases in
mind.
Although randomized surgical trials are difficult to conceive
and there are enormous problems to overcome with patient
selection, blinding and ensuring that exclusions do not make
them irrelevant to the real world, they are very important in
establishing whether procedures offer clinical efficacy. Sadly,
funding for surgical trials is lacking and the confluence of
clinical trial specialists, statistical planning and surgical
expertise is rare. Ethical and research governance issues make
the implementation of a trials culture a difficult challenge when
ideally all patients undergoing a surgical procedure should be
invited to take part in a trial to continually and rigorously
test treatment efficacy and safety. Patients entered into trials do
better, irrespective of which arm they are in, than patients
who are not in trials and this adds to the compelling reasons to
properly and rigorously assess what we do to our patients and
why we do it.
Surgical procedures are of course very different from drug trials.
They are often conceived and subsequently expanded by individ-
uals or small research groups and compared to drug trials have
modest cost implications. They are said to have a high degree of
‘determinism’ in that the outcomes are clear and they are rarely, if
ever, compared to a placebo treatment. They are also not free from
selection biases in that only participants thought to be fit enough to
undergo the new procedure will be invited to have the procedure,
or alternatively, if a less invasive procedure is being developed,
only those who have a poor chance of survival with the standard
procedure will be invited to take part.
372 � 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
DETERMINING SURGICAL EFFICACY
The value of non-randomized trials in surgery
Although deemed to provide the highest quality evidence, RCTs
can suffer from being underpowered, being applicable to a very
selective type of patient group, and having biases arising from
inadequate blinding and concealment. This is particularly impor-
tant when the treatment has side effects that allow patients to
detect that they are receiving the treatment and not the placebo. It
has been suggested, therefore, that the majority of RCTs are of
insufficient quality to establish causation with confidence.9 It is
also important to recognize that the value of randomization (i.e.
reduction in biases) may not be overly important for all studies,
particularly those that demonstrate a very large treatment effect.
Indeed, if the treatment effect is larger than the possible effect from
all of the potential biases, there is probably no need for
a randomized double-blind study. What is important, however, is
that the study is properly designed to minimize any biases and that
the treatment effect is large enough to account for the potential
affect of biases. Indeed, a non-randomized study needs to
demonstrate a larger treatment effect size than what you would be
prepared to accept from a RCT.
Since surgical RCTs are notoriously difficult to conduct, it is
unsurprising that the majority of research on the efficacy of
surgical procedures is undertaken through non-randomized
studies. Rigorous research design, however, can help to mini-
mize biases and reduce the confounding factors that often lead to
misinterpretation of the results. Confounding is a situation in
which extraneous variables correlate both with the dependent
variable and the independent variable and therefore may cause
the study to be subject to bias. Confounding may well have
occurred in the case series of laparoscopic cholecystectomy
previously reported in this article5 if the patients in the laparo-
scopic cholecystectomy group were fitter or less likely to have
had previous surgical procedures than those in the mini-lapa-
rotomy group. This selection bias is often present when a new
surgical technique is being tested as the surgical skills required
for the more complex cases have yet to be developed. Yet if the
laparoscopic group are at less risk of complications before they
receive the surgery, this is likely to lead to an incorrect conclu-
sion that laparoscopy is safer or equivalent in risks to mini-
laparotomy cholecystectomy.
One of the advantages of a non-randomized trial is that it is
possible to allow the surgeons to continue to operate using the
technique that is most familiar to them. Key to the design of a non-
randomized trial, therefore, is the careful selection of respondents
in the treatment and the control groups to ensure that both groups
are similar in terms of any potential confounding factors (for
example, body mass index, previous treatments, age, gender,
morbidity). If group differences do occur, it is important that
appropriate statistical tests are used to adjust for any potential
biases. A further element of the research design that can effectively
reduce any biases is the use of an objective outcome measure.
Measures such as pain and quality of life are very subjective, being
influenced by many factors. In a non-randomized and non-blinded
study, where patients are aware of the treatment that they have
received, it is better to use an objective outcome measure, which is
less likely to be influenced by external factors.
The surgical discipline is, however, adopting a ‘trials culture’
and there have been good if contradictory trials on laparoscopic
SURGERY 27:9 373
colectomy. An early American trial,10 showed no real difference
between laparoscopic and ‘open’ colectomy, but later trials showed
much reduced morbidity for successfully completed laparoscopic
colectomy.11 However, these trials show that conversion from
laparoscopic surgery to open surgery is associated with significant
increased morbidity and that laparoscopic rectal surgery remains
more morbid than laparoscopic colonic surgery.12
Conclusion
Whilst RCTs can provide good quality evidence to inform
surgical practice, the difficulties involved in undertaking these
types of trials often mean that they are underpowered and are
only applicable to a very specific group of patients. Good quality
non-randomized trials can also provide high quality evidence but
need to be designed so that biases are minimized, as well as
needing to demonstrate a large treatment effect. One of the
reasons why trials have not been extensively used in surgical
practice is that new interventions are often intuitively justified as
they have large treatment effects and offer favourable risk/
benefit ratio when applied to the right patients. Changes in
surgical technique are in fact little regulated other than by local
clinical governance rules. Changing clinical surgical practice,
particularly in the field of laparoscopic surgery, is increasingly
driven by the equipment manufacturers who have sponsored
surgical meetings, run their own courses and offer extremely
good, if selective, training to surgeons wishing to learn new
techniques. A
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DETERMINING SURGICAL EFFICACY
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FURTHER READING
Piantadosi S. Clinical trials: a methodological perspective. 2nd edn.
Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2005.
� 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.