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STEAM

NO TEMPERATURE RISE WORLDWIDE for

12 -14 Years

NASA DATA TEMP

YEAR

TEMP

YEAR

NO TEMPERATURE RISE for 12 -14 Years

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PRIMARY DRIVING FORCE – Thermonuclear Reactor

DRIVES >>>

•  EVAPORATION / COOLING - [ Sea 70% of planet’s surface area ]

•  OCEAN CURRENTS - El Nino (warming) / La Nina (cooling)

•  ATMOSPHERIC CURRENTS - CONVECTION A VITAL FACTOR

•  WEATHER - hurricanes, tornadoes, storms, droughts

•  ENERGY for life - Photosynthesis

•  CLOUDS – Cosmic Radiation >>> control Climate Change

•  SUN SPOT ACTIVITY

Global Heat Balance !! THREE parameters swamp all others

•  Heat from the sun

•  70% of the planet is water covered

•  Heat re-radiating out to a very cold outerspace

SUN SPOTS - SOLAR FLARES - Cyclical

Variations in the Suns output

Electro-magnetic energy fluctuations

Earth’s irregular orbit

•  World Population - Grown from 2 to 7 Billion in 100 years •  Must be more EFFLUENT - into atmosphere and waterways •  Must be more DUST •  Must be more PARTICLES in the atmosphere •  Must be more POLLUTION CAUSE: MAINLY INCOMPLETE COMBUSTION Produces >>> Global Dimming

GLOBAL DIMMING

85% Active volcanoes under the SEA

And … Forest Burn offs

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GOD – CREATION FACTORS

•  MORE HEAT FROM the SUN - MORE EVAPORATION •  MORE EVAPORATION - MORE CLOUDS - SEAS COOL •  MORE CLOUDS - LESS HEAT REACHES EARTH •  MORE CLOUDS - MORE INSULATION at NIGHTS •  DYNAMIC EQUILIBRIUM – Self-compensating / Buffering

MOON - NO ATMOSPHERE : + 107 0C DAY - 153 0C NIGHT

‘MOSES’ DRY DESERT EFFECT

GOD – CREATION FACTORS

WATER H2 O Atomic Weight: 18 Boiling Point: 100 0C Freezing Point: 0 0C

AMMONIA N H3 Atomic Weight: 17 Boiling Point: - 33 0C Freezing Point: - 77 0C

H - O H H H

H

N

WATER H2 O AMMONIA N H3

ICE – LIQUID WATER: FLOATS on ITSELF

WATER SUBLIMATION: WATER >> GAS / VAPOUR Direct Low H, Low P, Low T <0C, Dry Winds – needs sunlight

WARM MOIST AIR RISES – bulk motion extremely important

WATER ‘SKIN’: SURFACE TENSION

EARTHS MAGNETIC FIELD PROTECTS US EXCESSIVE FROM RADIATION

WATER: as a UNIVERSAL SOLVENT

ONLY COVER A FEW POINTS •  Global Warming - Myth … Why? •  Climate is ALWAYS changing! •  Main Heat Driver - The SUN •  Temperature Changes •  Carbon Dioxide - Valuable Nutrient / NOT a pollutant - very minor player in Climate •  Exaggerated Sea Level rises - Myth •  Ice at the Poles - misunderstanding •  Hockey Stick Fake - IPCC withdrew it!

TONIGHT …

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•  WHAT IS THE LARGEST ‘GREEN HOUSE’ GAS? •  WATER! > 20 times more than CO2 •  WATER – CLOUDS: Equilibrium effect

CARBON DIOXIDE GAS CO2 •  NUTRIENT not a POLLUTANT •  VITAL for LIFE •  CROPS, TREES, PLANTS: Convert carbon to cellulose, sugars etc, fruit, vegetables and more •  PRODUCE OXYGEN O2 - leaf factories •  PLANKTON - ocean uptake of CO2

•  HUMANS EXHALE 1 kg/ CO2 DAY •  ALL RUMINATING ANIMALS PUT OUT MORE GHC per DAY THAN ALL CARS, BUSES AND TRUCKS IN THE WORLD

INCREASING CO2 INCREASES GROWTH

+450 ppm MORE

Dr. S. Fred Singer, atmospheric physicist, Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia, former director of the US Weather Satellite Service

GHG 1% ATMOSPHERE

CONTRIBUTION to the ‘GREENHOUSE’ EFFECT

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HOW SIGNIFICANT is Carbon Dioxide CO2 ?

TAKE: 1,000,000 molecules Air

Of the 500 molecules only 350 are Carbon Dioxide CO2 ?

1% Green Houses Gas GHG = 10,000 molecules

95% GHG Water = 9,500 molecules

5% GHG Other = 500 molecules (CO2, Methane etc..)

Of the 350 Carbon Dioxide CO2 < 10% (man made) = 35 molecules

35 CO2 in 1,000,000 molecules Air = 1 in 28,600 0.0035%

2008 Global CO2 Emissions from Fossil Fuel Combustion and some Industrial Processes

CO2

MAN-MADE CO2 IS ~3.0% of CO2. 120 year CO2 increased from 250 to 390 ppmv - 4 ppm man-made

Year

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0.8 0C in 120 years

IF < 20% is anthropogenic

< 0.2 0C due to mankind

NASA CO2 IS GOING UP - POOR CORRELATION WITH TEMPERATURE

WENT DOWN

WENT UP

WENT DOWN

WENT UP

FLAT

FOSSIL FUEL USE

CO2 IS CONTINUALLY GOING UP BUT TEMP IS

NOT

CO2 IS GOING UP BUT TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN ALMOST LEVEL

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IT HAS BEEN WARMER AND COLDER BEFORE!

0F 0F

MOON: +107 0C DAY -153 0C NIGHT - NO ATMOSPHERE

MARS, PLUTO, JUPITER : NO ATMOSPHERE! AVERAGE SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN OVER THE 1970 - 1990 period - Points to the SUN being the KEY FACTOR

•  OCEAN Heat Storage - huge

•  HEAT Accumulation / Loss primarily from oceans: LAGS

•  Equator primarily Oceanic - gets strongest sunlight

•  Poles: Heat Loss (alternating)

•  SEA is Cooling!

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OCEAN TEMPS DECLINING SEA TEMPERATURE IS GOING DOWN

Barrier reef sea temperatures constant over almost 30 years. Why blame that on any coral whitening?

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Satellite

ACTUAL NEW ZEALAND 2009 DATA - Linear Relative Sea Level Trends (After Hannah)

Auckland Wellington Lyttelton Dunedin

1990 sea level trend (mm/yr)

1.34 (0.11) 1.73 (0.27) 2.26 (0.14)

1.36 (0.15)

New sea level trend (mm/yr) 1.30 (0.09) 1.78 (0.21) 2.08 (0.11)

0.94 (0.12)

SEA LEVEL rise only about 1.6 mm/year Rate has NOT changed for 100+ years Actual measurements in New Zealand

Sea Level Rise (mm/yr) Error (mm/yr) Data Used (years) # of Tide Gauges References

2.8 ±0.8 1993-2009 ~200 Church & White (2011)

1.7 ±0.2 1900-2009 >38 since 1900 Church & White (2011)

1.9 ±0.4 1961-2009 >190 since 1960 Church & White (2011)

1.43 ±0.14 1881-1980 152 Barnett (1984)

2.27 ±0.23 1930-1980 152 Barnett (1984)

1.2 ±0.3 1880-1982 130 Gornitz and Lebedeff (1987)

2.4 ±0.9 1920-1970 40 Peltier and Tushingham (1989)

1.75 ±0.13 1900-1979 84 Trupin and Wahr (1990)

1.7 ±0.5 N/A N/A Nakiboglu and Lambeck (1991)

1.8 ±0.1 1880-1980 21 Douglas (1991)

1.62 ±0.38 1807-1988 213 Unal and Ghil (1995) +1.9 mm / year

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Month of Year

YEAR

Million square kilometers

NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SEA ICE

Winter

Summer

Million square kilometers

YEAR

Million square kilometers

Winter

Summer

Million square kilometers

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Square kilometers

Antarctic

Arctic

Total

1979 2013

SEA ICE

In JUNE: Winds - clockwise - inwards spiral >>> Ice extent diminished - ice concentration remain high.

In JULY: Patterns reversed - counterclockwise winds – ice pushed from pole.

RESULT: Ice area/extent scarcely changed. Gradual decline in average ice thickness.

ARCTIC ICE - WIND EFFECTS

ALSO: COSMIC RAYS FROM OUTSIDE THE SOLAR SYSTEM

Correlation between cosmic ray flux (orange) as measured in neutron count monitors in low magnetic latitudes, and the low altitude cloud cover (blue) using ISCCP satellite data set [Marsh & Svensmark (JGR, 108 (D6), 6, 2003)]

Cosmic ray flux and the low altitude cloud cover

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CO2 ppm

ARCTIC Temp

ARCTIC Temp

Sun’s Radiance

HARMONY BETWEEN

SUN’S RADIANCE and TEMPERATURE

POOR RELATIONSHIP

BETWEEN TEMPERATURE

and CO2

Total Solar Irradiance w/m2

Temperature

Temperature

Annual global temperature change (thin light red) with 11 year moving average of temperature (thick dark red). Temperature from NASA GISS. Annual Total Solar Irradiance (thin light blue) with 11 year moving average of TSI (thick dark blue). TSI from 1880 to 1978 from Solanki. TSI from 1979 to 2009 from PMOD.

Global Temperature

Solar Radiance

Total Solar Irradiance w/m2

Temp Change C0

CORRELATIONS WITH SUNSPOT ACTIVITY

Water Level Rawdah island – Nile River / Cairo >>> since 641AD

Water Level Lake Victoria

Water Level Parana River South America

Water Level Vaal River Dam

Drilling Sediments Lake Ossa Cameroon

Swiss Lakes, ice records, tree rings, vegetation, marine micro-organisms, marine sediments, cave stalagmites, peat bogs, seeds, pollen and spores

HEAT WAVES, DROUGHTS, STORMS, SNOW DUMPS, RAIN, FLOODS Europe – USA – Australia: RECENT WILD SWINGS IN WEATHER

Large year-to-year fluctuations in the rate of atmospheric accumulation are tied to temperature changes mostly due to El Nino / La Nina as well as volcanic eruptions.

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•  EARTH is SELF REGUALATING – Self Compensating •  WATER is UNIQUE – Freezing/Boiling Points, ice floats, sublimation, surface tension •  CONVECTION a MAJOR DRIVER AT SEA LEVEL •  CLOUD DYNAMICS a KEY FACTOR •  El NINO / La NINA are MAJOR secondary causes •  EARTHS MOLTEN CORE - Magnetic field

•  CO2 NOT A PROBLEM •  POLAR ICE NOT AN ISSUE

INCOMPLETE COMBUSTION -- THE BIGGEST HUMAN PROBLEM

Climate science uses computer models like a drunk uses a lamppost, not for illumination but for support

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Observed decadal temperature change at surface, 300 hPa (9km high) and 200 hPa (12km), between 200 N and 20oS, since 1979. Data source: HadAT and HadCRUT3. Click here . To compare modelled temperature change pattern (stippled boxes) with altitude for doubling atmospheric

CO2. Last month included in analysis: December 2009 Last diagram update: 23 March 2010. Radiosonde and surface meteorological data from the Equatorial region do NOT at the moment display the signature of enhanced greenhouse warming. With the observed warming rate of about 0.120 C/decade at the surface, a warming rate of at least 0.30 C/decade would have been expected at the 200 and 300 hPa levels to comply with the CO2 hypothesis.

MODEL PREDICTION FAILURE - There is NO THERMAL blanket as models predict’

MEASURED

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OTHER VITAL ISSUES •  El Nino warming - La Nina cooling •  Sun driven •  Sun spot activity •  Tree ring problems •  Proxy Methods – ice cores, sediments, radioactive elements,

7 ATMOS