No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP...

27
No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006

Transcript of No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP...

Page 1: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

No Hiding PlaceBrian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute

ECOP Leadership Advisory Council

Denver, ColoradoMay 22, 2006

Page 2: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2

“The world is being flattened. I didn’t start it and you can’t stop it…But we can manage it for better or for worse…”p.469

Page 3: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 3

Three Friedman themes

Page 4: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 4

1. The Triple Convergence

1. New playing field: Internet allows sharing of knowledge and work in real time –ignoring geography, distance, language.

2. New plays: Emergence of new business practices, new occupations, new habits.

3. New players: from China, India, Russia, Eastern Europe, Latin America, Central Asia – 3 billion more

Page 5: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 5

2. Three “Dirty Little Secrets”

1. The Numbers Gap: US stock of scientists & engineers shrinking – retirement, fewer students, fewer immigrants

2. The Ambition Gap: not a race to the bottom (low wages) but a race to the top

3. The Education Gap: foreign workforce not only less expensive but better educated

Page 6: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 6

3. The “Untouchables”People whose jobs cannot be outsourced

1. Specialized workers: knowledge workers whose skills are in high demand and leading edge

2. Adaptable workers: able to change as jobs change – adopt new skills

3. Anchored workers: tied to a specific location, face-to-face contact with customers, patients

Page 7: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 7

“Flatism” Policy Responses1. Political Leadership – explain and inspire, instill

sense of urgency – the next moon shot.2. Lifetime Employability and portable benefits –

lifelong learning, higher education, health care, multiple skills

3. Safety Nets for the casualties – re-engagement of the displaced

4. Corporate Social Responsibility – countering the excesses of corporate power

5. Parenting – raise expectations, US and its citizens have to earn their place in the world

Page 8: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 8

Indian Institute of Technology Bombay

IITB Bombay –200,000 applicants per year for 700 places –undergraduate to post-doctoral –science, technology, engineering

Page 9: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 9

Indian Institute of Technology Bombay

7 institutes created across India since1950s. But don’t be fooled by the decaying concrete…

Page 10: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 10

Indian Institute of Technology Bombay

Midnight tutorial with Master’s level science & engineering students studying entrepreneurship

Page 11: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 11

International Students in the United States

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1994 1999 2004

000sStudents0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1954 1964 1974 1984 1994 2004

000s Students

Over past 50 years, numbers have increased from 34,000(1.4% of total enrollment) to 565,000 (4.0%). Peak was in 2002: 586,000 (4.6%)

Source: Institute of International Education opendoors 2005 Fast Facts

Page 12: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 12

Countries of origin of international students

0102030405060708090

India

China

Korea

Japa

nCan

ada

Taiw

anMex

icoTu

rkey

German

yTh

ailan

d

2004-5

Source: Institute of International Education 2005

Page 13: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 13

States with most international students

01020

304050

607080

CA NY TX MA FL IL PA MI OH MD

2003-42004-5

Source: Institute of International Education 2005

Page 14: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 14

States with mostinternational students

Over 40,00020,000-39,99910,000-19,999

Source: Institute for International Education & RUPRI

Page 15: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 15

US Students AbroadIn 2003-4 over 191,000 students participated in study abroad (1.4% of total)Fourfold increase since mid-1980s, but still one-third of foreign students in US.

Source: Institute of International Education 2005

020406080

100120140160180200

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003

Page 16: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 16

Leading destinations for US students

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

UK IT SP FR AUS MX GER IRE CH CR

2003-42004-5

Source: Institute of International Education 2005

Page 17: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 17

US Student Geographic Literacy

Roper poll for National Geographic 200670% have not traveled to another country in past three years38% can speak another language fluently11% correspond regularly with anyone outside US22% have a passport80% have been online in past month27% use Internet for news (up from 11% in 2002)

Page 18: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 18

The World is Spiky?Richard Florida, Atlantic Monthly, October 2005

Page 19: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 19

The World is Spiky?Richard Florida, Atlantic Monthly, October 2005

The modern economic landscape:1. City regions that generate innovations – capacity

to attract global talent, create new products & industries

2. Places that manufacture the world’s established goods, take its calls, support its innovation engines

3. Places with limited or little connection to global economy and few immediate prospects

Page 20: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 20

The World is Spiky?Richard Florida, Atlantic Monthly, October 2005

Major structural challenges:Greater concentration of wealth and power in economic innovation leaders, but new players change established orderMajor transitional shifts in second order industrial/commercial centers – some adapt and grow, others decline painfullyThe unconnected fall behind – social strife, mass migration, global instability

Page 21: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 21

A Spiky America?

R. Florida Top 20 Creative Regions

Page 22: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 22

An “Untouchables”Policy?

Specializationasset-based, stewardship

Anchorageplace-based, regional collaboration, local engagement

Adaptabilitypeople-based, education for untouchability

Page 23: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 23

Specialization and Anchorage: Regional Competitiveness

Economic regions are basic unit of global competitiveness (Porter)

Innovation and entrepreneurship in a regional context are the engines of job creation, growth, prosperity (SACI Committee)

Competitiveness (Council on Competitiveness)$ sustained productivity growth $ regional prosperity≠ exploitation of location, natural resources, low cost labor= converting assets into intellectual capital, added valueDepends on productivity of all industries and assets; productivity based on continuous innovation

Page 24: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 24

Regional CompetitivenessInnovation (Council on Competitiveness)

Transformation of knowledge into commercial products, processes, servicesCan drive productivity in every sector

Creativity (Florida)

Emergence of creative class and growing economic cleavageSuccessful regional economies have assets that attract creative people -- 3 ‘Ts’ of Talent, Technology, Tolerance – certain metropolitan areas

Page 25: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 25

Rural CompetitivenessRural competitiveness is critical to regional prosperityInnovation and entrepreneurship are the keys to rural competitiveness Three key principles for rural entrepreneurship development

RegionalismSystemsAssets

Page 26: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 26

Education for “untouchability”?

Basic global understanding and experiencesGeopoliticsLanguagesCultural awareness

High level skillsProfession/discipline-specific skillsKnowledge managementCreativity, Innovation and Entrepreneurship

Personal adaptability skillsCritical thinking, problem-solving, reasoningCommunicationCommunity and Public Service

Page 27: No Hiding Place - RUPRI · No Hiding Place Brian Dabson, Rural Policy Research Institute ECOP Leadership Advisory Council Denver, Colorado May 22, 2006. May 22, 2006 RUPRI 2 ... products,

May 22, 2006 RUPRI 27

Brian Dabson

Rural Policy Research Institute

www.rupri.orgRUPRI Center for Rural Entrepreneurship

www.energizingentrepreneurs.org(573) 449-5060