Niels Keijzer PCD focal points meeting OECD, 9 February 2012 Promoting Policy Coherence for...
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Transcript of Niels Keijzer PCD focal points meeting OECD, 9 February 2012 Promoting Policy Coherence for...
Niels KeijzerPCD focal points meeting
OECD, 9 February 2012
Promoting Policy Coherence for Development
Exploring new opportunities for measurement
• 2007: Joint-evaluation of EU mechanisms promoting Policy Coherence for Development
• What impact of mechanisms? changed sector policies, improved reporting on PCD, increased levels of awareness…no common view
• “In the absence of a clearly stated view of what type and level of impact is realistic to seek to achieve, it will be hard to formulate clear result-oriented action plans and progress will continue to be hard to measure.”
A blast from the past?
Page 2
• …PCD objectives.• Existing objectives are process- instead of
result-oriented (i.e. “taking into account”, “creating mechanisms”, …)
• What is needed is managing expectations:• Baseline: what are the effects of policy X on
developing countries today?• Objectives: how should the effects of policy
X have changed by year Y?• Next step: how to know whether this
happens? (i.e. defining indicators and information needs)
One can only measure progress to PCD objectives if one has…:
Page 3
• Setting PCD objectives and then measure effects?
• Or measure first to be able to better define objectives?
• … low investments in research and measurement partly explain the limited progress in clarifying objectives
• Some issues worth further exploring for measurement relate to what is measured, how it is done, and who does it
Chickens and Eggs?
Page 4
• Inputs (actions, opportunities): direct actions and inputs, e.g. a decision to review a policy, a new mechanism [e.g.: review of the EU’s fisheries policy]
• Outputs (changes in policies): actual changes in policies, or changes at the policy implementation level [e.g.: stricter human rights conditions in fisheries agreements]
• Outcomes (‘effects’ in developing countries): what has 'changed' in developing countries and does it have anything to do with the policies? [e.g.: decreased overfishing in LDCs]
Once objectives are set, indicators could be formulated at these levels
What to measure?
Page 5
1. Before (Ex-ante): analysing economic, environmental and social effects of proposed policy, outlines potential synergies and trade-offs
2. After (Ex-post): evaluations addressing PCD, either commissioned by the leading ministry or as part of development cooperation evaluation
3. Continuous (programming and monitoring): Country Strategy Papers for development cooperation can identify key policies, monitoring can be done at HQ and/or field level
How to measure? Types and timing
Page 6
• Theory-based, or use existing data, or gather new data
• Data can be quantitative or qualitative• Currently insufficient research, hence (?)
discussions on PCD mainly stress the ‘mission impossible’ aspect
• Causal chains are complex (a change in policy in an OECD country having something to do with well-being of farmers in country X), best use a mix of methods
• Better operationalisation of development objectives also needed (what is ‘contributing to poverty reduction’?)
How to measure? (2)
Page 7
• Ongoing: preparation of the OECD strategy on development, exploration of country case studies by the DAC, and attempts to make progress at national level (SE, NL, IE)
• EC has made tentative progress in impact assessments looking at effects of policy options on developing countries (e.g. agriculture, fisheries)
• The CDI has been active since 2003, NGOs like Fairpolitics EU invest in case studies
• ECDPM is doing a study for BMZ and DGIS to explore next steps for PCD monitoring and comparisons between countries
Who does the measuring?
Page 8
• Getting the overview: which countries have invested in specific studies or are trying to get a national monitoring process going?
• Who (pays)? Line ministries (referee + player?), development ministry (PCD police?), independent evaluation body (e.g. UK or SE)?
• Unclear PCD results: how do OECD members justify investments?
• Can the DAC peer-reviews be improved to ensure a more detailed analysis of the results of PCD efforts (now process-oriented), e.g. in the field studies?
• Busan outcome document: will the new Global Partnership for Effective Development Cooperation work on this?
Questions for discussion
Page 9
European Centre for Development Policy Management (ECDPM)
Onze Lieve Vrouweplein 21NL 6211 HE Maastricht
The Netherlands
Tel: 011 31 43 350 2900Fax: 011 31 43 350 2902
Website: http://www.ecdpm.org