NFL: RB Selection for Cash Games
Transcript of NFL: RB Selection for Cash Games
Course 4: NFL Strategy
RB Selection for Cash Games
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RB Selection: Key Stats
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Stat Notes
Touches Notes RB opportunity regardless matchup
YpC (Yards per Carry/Catch) Great indicator of performance and perceived ownership
Playcall Distribution Better offenses get more opportunities to score
DvP Matchup Great matchups indicate consistent and chalk plays
Salary Players don’t generally pay up for high-priced QBs
Value FPTs / Salary
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RB Selection: Vegas and Advanced Stats
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Stat Notes
Game Flow How a game is expected to play out via Vegas
Spread Larger spread = higher chance of blowout
Over / Under Higher O/U = high possibility of fantasy points
Team Projected Points Relate to opponent helps predict game flow
Snap Count Indicates how much opportunity a player gets during a game
Red Zone Attempts Touches inside the scoring area
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RB Selection: Using Vegas
4Source: Washington Post
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TDs Required to Hit DK Benchmark
5Source: 4for4
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TDs Required to Hit FD Benchmark
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RBs in Cash Game Lineups: Key Elements
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● RB CV
● Plus / Minus by Days Rest
● Rushing TD Success Rate by Yard Line
● QL Wire Content
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CV by Position
8Source: 4for4Note: data is from 2013-2014 NFL Season
Coefficient of Variation (CV)
Position
CV by Position
Coefficient of Variation (CV) -- the standard deviation of a data set divided by its mean. CVs can be used as a measure of consistency.
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Plus/Minus by Days Rest
9Source: Fantsay LabsNote: data is from 2014 NFL Season
Number of Days Rest
Plus/Minus
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Rushing TD Success Rate by Yard Line (‘04-‘13)
10Source: 4for4
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NFL Cash Game Lineup Example
Source: DFS Mancave11
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More Resources
Visit our Support Center to watch video tutorials on how to use RotoQL
• rotoql.zendesk.com
Monitor daily fantasy news, strategy and advice articles at the QL Wire
• rotoql.com/qlwire
If you are new to DFS or just need a refresher on the fundamentals, visit RotoU
• rotoql.com/university
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