NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Dropped in March 2011
9
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The Index of Small Business Optimism gave up 2.6 points in March, falling to 91.9. The decline in the percent of owners expecting higher real sales and better business conditions in six months account for 76% of the decline in the Index. http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
Transcript of NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Dropped in March 2011
1http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
OVERVIEW OF SMALL BUSINESS OPTIMISM APRIL 2011
Based on Ten Survey Indicators(Seasonally Adjusted 1986=100)
80
90
100
110
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
YEAR
Index
Val
ue (
1986=
100)
The Index of Small Business Optimism gave up 2.6 points in March, falling to 91.9. The decline in the percent of owners expecting higher real sales and better business conditions in six months account for 76% of the decline in the Index.
2http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
SMALL BUSINESS OUTLOOK APRIL 2011
Good Time to Expand and Expected General Business Conditions
January 1986 to March 2011(Seasonally Adjusted)
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
0
10
20
30
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
YEAR
Perc
en
t “G
oo
d T
ime t
o E
xp
an
d”
Per
cent
“Bet
ter”
Min
us
“Wors
e”
Exp
ecte
d G
ener
al B
usi
nes
s C
onditio
ns
3http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
Actual Last Three MonthsJanuary 1986 to March 2011
(Seasonally Adjusted)
SMALL BUSINESS EARNINGSAPRIL 2011
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
YEAR
Net
Perc
en
t
4http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
SMALL BUSINESS SALESAPRIL 2011
Actual (Prior Three Months) and Expected (Next Three Months)January 1986 to March 2011
(Seasonally Adjusted)
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
Expected
Actual
YEAR
Net
Perc
en
t
5http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
SMALL BUSINESS PRICESAPRIL 2011
Actual Last Three Months and Planned Next Three Months
January 1986 to March 2011 (Seasonally Adjusted)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
Planned
Actual
YEAR
Net
Perc
en
t o
f Fir
ms
6http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
SMALL BUSINESS EMPLOYMENTAPRIL 2011
Planned Next Three Months and Current Job Openings
January 1986 to March 2011 (Seasonally Adjusted)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
Planned
Job Openings
YEAR
Perc
en
t
7http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
SMALL BUSINESS COMPENSATIONAPRIL 2011
Actual Last Three Months and Planned Next Three Months
January 1986 to March 2011 (Seasonally Adjusted)
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
YEAR
Planned Higher
Actual Higher
Net
Perc
en
t
8http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
SMALL BUSINESS PRICES & LABOR COMPENSATION
APRIL 2011
Net Percent Increase and Net Percent Compensation
(Seasonally Adjusted)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
Actual Prices
Actual Compensation
YEAR
9http://www.nfib.com/sbetreport
SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT CONDITIONSAPRIL 2011
Loan Availability Compared to Three Months Ago(For the population borrowing at least once every three months)
January 1986 to March 2011
-18
-16
-14
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
YEAR
Net
Perc
en
t o
f Fir
ms
