Next Steps of the P-20 Council Governor’s P-20 Council November 8, 2007.
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Transcript of Next Steps of the P-20 Council Governor’s P-20 Council November 8, 2007.
Next Steps of the P-20 CouncilNext Steps of the P-20 Council
Governor’s P-20 CouncilGovernor’s P-20 Council
November 8, 2007November 8, 2007
22
IntroductionIntroduction
► Created by Executive Order in 2005
► Co-chairs: Governor Napolitano and Dr. Rufus Glasper
► Membership■ Superintendent Horne■ Business■ Parent and Community Organizations■ P-20 Education Representatives■ Boards and Commissions
33
VisionVision
“Every graduating student will be prepared for work and postsecondary education in
the 21st century.”
44
Our GoalOur Goal
“Every young person who graduates from Arizona’s schools is truly prepared for a world of competition and innovation.”
-Governor Napolitano
55
P-20 RecommendationsP-20 Recommendations
► The Council presented 32 recommendations to the Governor in December 2006.
► Since that time, the Council has been aggressively working to implement each recommendation.
66
Higher Education Demand & Higher Education Demand & Feasibility StudyFeasibility Study
► Background
■ P-20 Council made a recommendation to conduct the study in December 2006
■ National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS) was selected in April to conduct the study
77
Higher Education Demand & Higher Education Demand & Feasibility StudyFeasibility Study
► Purpose
■ To better understand the ability of Arizona’s higher education system to meet student, business and industry demands
■ To establish a baseline of data
88
Arizona is Behind the U.S. in the
Education Attainment Levels of its
Young Adult Population…
…And is Losing Ground Rapidly.
Study Findings:Study Findings:
99
Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group—Arizona, U.S. and Leading OECD Countries, 2004
Source: Education at a Glance 2005, Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
53.3
51.6 49.1
42.3
40.7
40.4
39.2
39.0
31.8
47.0 45.1
33.5
35.7 32.3 28.9
34.1
39.4 35.6
41.4
32.7
16.4
32.9
25.2 21.5
29.4
40.7 37.234.5
19.2
9.7
27.3
20.0 15.7
23.2
36.2
38.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Canada Japan Korea Sweden Belgium Ireland Norway U.S. Arizona
Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64
1010
Percent of Adults with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher by Age Group—Arizona, U.S. and Leading OECD Countries, 2004
Source: Education at a Glance 2005, OECD
37.0
31.8
30.8
30.2 28.2
27.5
23.5
31.8
27.0
26.3
29.5 26.7
22.7
26.3
26.4
26.2
14.0
30.6
20.6
20.0
27.5
21.1
21.8
8.7
28.3
15.6
17.8
29.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Norway Netherlands Korea United States Iceland Canada Arizona
Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64
1111
Educational Attainment and Rank Among States—Arizona, 2005 (Percent)
42nd
41st
19th
35th
24th
01020304050
Age 25-64 withGraduate/Prof. Degree
Age 25-64 withBachelor's or Higher
Age 25-64 withAssociate Degree
Age 25-64 withHigh School Diploma
Age 18-24 withHigh School Diploma 77.7%
9.2%
84.2%
9.0%
26.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS
1212
Arizona Historically Has Relied on
In-Migration for Much of its Workforce…
…But this Workforce is Not Bringing High
Levels of Education Attainment with them.
Study Findings:Study Findings:
1313
Arizona Net Gain of Residents by Degree Level and Age Group, 1995-2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% PUMS Files
22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds
224,491
23,911
40,341
17,547
48,431
49,275
44,986
0 75,000 150,000 225,000
97,626
4,906
19,564
5,414
22,807
18,358
26,577
025,00050,00075,000100,000
Less than HS
High School
Some College
Associate
Bachelor’s
Graduate/Prof.
Total
1414
Becoming Internationally Competitive
Would Require a Large Increase in Annual
Degree Production.
Part of this Increase Would Have tocome from “Re-Entry” Students.
Study Findings:Study Findings:
1515
The “Gap”—Difference in Annual Degrees Currently Produced and Annual Degrees Needed to Meet Benchmark
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, PUMS and Population Projections, IPEDS Completions Survey 2004-05
Accounting for MigrationN
orth
Da
kota
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skaIo
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Rh
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Uta
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131,749
94,162
140,533
29,19028,84628,582
25,22724,87224,37423,77723,424
21,467 16,21415,34314,47714,45514,43414,14414,09013,67512,82612,07311,943
10,78810,410
9,4658,811
6,9486,9416,054
4,2624,2323,7263,639
2,392
1,551959950411290
-719-2,122-3,195-3,372-4,028 -8,768
-11,369
7698
-18,389
1,944
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
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rizona
Georgia
No
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ichiganK
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ashington
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ississippiO
klahoma
Missouri
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est Virginia
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Maine
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Monta
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innesota
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ermont
Arizona’s 29,190 = 101% Increase (Assuming All Growth in Public Sector)
1616
Closing the Gap in the Educational Pipeline
Source: “Making Opportunity Affordable” project (Lumina, Jobs for the Future, NCHEMS), Summer 2007
2,7
88
893,504
12
2,0
61
0
150,000
300,000
450,000
600,000
750,000
900,000
Te
xas
Flo
ridaC
aliforn
iaN
ew
Jersey
Te
nnesse
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eva
daLo
uisiana
Arkansas
Ke
ntuckyN
orth
Carolina
Arizo
naM
ississippi
Oh
ioS
outh C
arolin
aA
labam
aW
est V
irgin
iaA
laska
Oklaho
ma
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ichiga
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ew
Mexico
Wiscon
sinM
ain
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Co
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Missou
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iana
1,333,645
In order to reach international competitiveness by 2025, the U.S. and 32 states cannot close the gap with even
current best performance with traditional college students. They must rely on the re-entry pipeline—getting older adults back
into the education system and on track to attaining college degrees.
1717
To Be Internationally Competitive, To Be Internationally Competitive, Arizona Must…Arizona Must…
► Increase its bachelor’s degree production levels■ Produce about 29,000 more degrees each year to
close the education attainment gap by 2025
■ Engage re-entry students in attaining bachelor’s degrees
■ Close its race/ethnic gap
■ Not rely on educated in-migrants to meet workforce needs
1818
► Major Strategies Include
■ Increasing the state’s competitiveness nationally and internationally
■ Ensuring that students enroll and complete college, with a particular focus on increasing the number of bachelor’s degrees in Arizona
■ Developing effective funding models and governance structures for higher education
Moving Forward…Moving Forward…
1919
Moving Forward…Moving Forward…
► Action Steps■ Expanding university branches in high-growth areas
■ Allowing community colleges to provide expanded degrees in areas where universities can or will not
■ Expanding 2+2 and similar agreements
■ Using matching funds to increase our innovation capacity
■ Developing hybrid models of education delivery, such as university centers on community college campuses
■ Increasing early college options for high school students
2020
Moving Forward…Moving Forward…
To do this effectively, we are encouraging:► Increased collaboration among the community colleges,
universities and private institutions.■ To increase transfer and articulation, 2+2 programs, and
university centers on community college campuses, among other things.
► Increased collaboration among postsecondary institutions and K-12 system to ensure that students are ready for college.
■ For example, Arizona’s math standard and State Board of Education's proposal to increase graduation requirements.
2121
Arizona’s Math StandardArizona’s Math Standard► Goal – To revise Arizona’s math standard in
partnership with the Arizona Department of Education (ADE) to effectively prepare students for college and work.
► A team of university and community college math faculty worked with ADE and the P-20 Council earlier this year to revise Arizona’s math standard and ensure that it was equivalent to Achieve, Inc.’s national benchmark.
2222
Arizona’s Math StandardArizona’s Math Standard► The team continues its work with ADE and other
teachers as they take a comprehensive look at K-12 math standards.
► This work has impacted the State Board of Education’s proposal to increase graduation requirements, and includes a level of rigor that all students need to be college and work ready.
2323
QuestionsQuestions
WWW.AZGOVERNOR.GOV/P20