New Who cares? · 2012. 3. 21. · 45 Dr Matthew Connell – Principal, Government and Industry...
Transcript of New Who cares? · 2012. 3. 21. · 45 Dr Matthew Connell – Principal, Government and Industry...
Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
2 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
contentsContents
3 Foreword
4 CIIanalysis
4 ExecutiveSummary
6 Long-termcare:definingtheproblem
9 Dilnot:towardsanewmodel
14 Consumerawareness
17 Engagingthepublic
19 Long-termcare:solvingamultifacetedproblem
21 Whattheexpertsthink
21 Summary
22 PaulLewis–FreelanceFinancialJournalistandPresenterofBBCMoneyBox
24 DrRosAltmann–DirectorGeneral,SagaGroup
27 AndreaRozario–DirectorGeneral,SafeHomeIncomePlans(SHIP)
29 JamesLloyd–Director,TheStrategicSocietyCentre
31 CliveBolton–AtRetirementDirector,AvivaUKLife
33 SteveGroves–ChiefExecutive,Partnership
36 TishHanifan–JointChair,SocietyofLaterLifeAdvisers
38 OttoThoresen–DirectorGeneral,AssociationofBritishInsurers
39 JulesConstantinou–HeadofMarketing,GenRe
41 RonWheatcroft–TechnicalManager,SwissRe
43 BrianFisher–LTCmarketingmanager,FriendsLife
45 DrMatthewConnell–Principal,GovernmentandIndustryAffairs,GlobalLife,Zurich
47 DrPatrickNolan–ChiefEconomist,Reform
49 DrBenRickayzen–CassBusinessSchoolandProfessorPhilipBooth–InstituteofEconomicAffairs
51 ConclusionandCIIView
52 Whotocontact
3 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
foreword
Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term careLong-termcareisanissueofsignificantpublicimportance.Itisestimatedthatoneinfourofthose
aged65willrequirelong-termcareatsomepointintheirlife.Thereforeitisvitalforeachofus,andfor
societyasawholetoarticulateapolicywhich,overthelong-term,ensuresaffordable,goodqualitycare
andsupportforourcitizens.Financialservicescanhelpinthisregardbyidentifyinganddeveloping
appropriatesolutionstomeetpeople’sexpectedfundingneeds.
Unfortunately,thecurrentlong-termcarefundingsystemisbroken.Asignificantnumberofindividuals
whoenterthelong-termcaresystemenduplosingthemajoritytheirassetswhenpayingforit.
Compoundingtheissue,themarketforlong-termcarefinancialproductsandservicessuffersfromlow
take-upstemmingfromsubstantialsupplyanddemandbarriers.
Withincreasesinthenumberofpeopleexpectedtolivebeyond90,andconcernsabouttheimplied
burdensonindividualsandsocietyasawhole,thereisnewmomentumforreform.InJuly2011,thefinal
reportoftheDilnotCommissiononFundingofCareandSupportsetoutitsrecommendations,whichif
fullyimplementedwouldchangethefaceoflong-termcarebycappingthetotalcoststhatindividuals
wouldhavetopayfromtheirassets.Thiswouldlikelyhavesignificantpublicinterestaswellasfinancial
servicesimplications.
Astheworld’slargestprofessionalbodyforinsuranceandfinancialserviceswithover100,000members,
theCIIiscommittedtoprotectingthepublicinterestbyguidingpractitionersinthesectortowards
higherethicalandtechnicalstandards.TheCIIisparticularlyinterestedintherolethatappropriate
financialadviceandinsurancecanplayinsupportingthoseneedinglong-termcare.However,inorderto
understandthisissueproperly,afullandproperanalysisofthecurrentandpotentialfuturelandscape
forlong-termcareisrequired.Thisreportisdevotedtothatanalysis.
Ourreportconsistsoftwosections.ThefirstisananalysisbytheCIIthatidentifiesthekeyissues
andsetsouttheirimplications.Thesecondsectioncomprisesasetofcontributionsfromkeyplayers
inthedebate.Overall,wehopetoteaseoutthemainrelationshipsbetweenthecarefundingmodel,
themarketforcareproductsandservicesandthedriversofconsumerawarenessandengagement.
Inevitablyitalsodiscussesthecurrentpoliticalclimateforreform,asthisremainsaseriousstumbling
blockforthewholeprojectofdeliveringasustainableandeffectivefuturefundingsystem.
Robert Fletcher
ChairmanofCIILifeandPensionsFaculty
TheCharteredInsuranceInstitute
12September2011
4 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CII analysisExecutive Summary
Why is the current funding system outdated?• Withlifeexpectancyincreasing,disabilityratesarealsolikelytoriseandbyimplicationthecostof
payingforlong-termcare(LTC).
• ThecurrentLTCfundingmodelisgenerallythoughttobeoutdatedandhasfacedcriticismforfailing
toadequatelyprotectthoseindividualswithlimitedwealth.
• Financialproductscanhelpindividualsmeetthecostofcarebutthecurrentmarketislimitedasa
resultofdemandsidebarriers.Thesesteminpartfromlowlevelsofpublicawarenessaboutthe
caresystemaswellasissueswithconsumertrust.Thelastproviderofpre-fundedLTCinsurance
exitedthemarketin2010.Today,whilstimmediateneedsannuitiesareoneofthefewLTCproducts
experiencinggrowth,only6%ofself-fundersusethem.
What reforms have been proposed? • TheDilnotCommissiononFundingofCareandSupporthassetoutitsrecommendationstoreform
thecaresystem.Itsmostnotableproposalsaretocapthetotalamountthatindividualswillhaveto
spendoncareandtoincreasethethresholdatwhichpeoplebecomeeligibleforstatesupport.
• Therearetwosignificantbarrierstoimplementationoftherecommendations:oneiscost;theother
iswhetheranappropriatefinancialservicesmarketcantakeroot.
How big a barrier is cost?• Thecostimplicationsofanyreformstolong-termcarefundingmustbeviewedwithinthecontext
ofotherGovernmentreformstotheretirementlandscape,suchasautomaticenrolment.Ifboth
thesereformshelptoincentiviseanincreaseinthepublic’slong-termsaving,thentheGovernment
couldactuallyrecoupsomeofthemoneyitspendsonimplementationovertimeduetofewer
individualsrequiringpensiontop-ups.
• OursurveyofMPssuggeststhatthereissomeconsensusovertheadoptionofanewapproachto
fundingcare,especiallyontheneedtoreformthesystemandthatanewpartnershipmodelisthe
bestwayforwardthoughthereisstillmuchtodebate.
Will a new market for appropriate financial services develop?• Dilnot’smodelmayprovideamoreconduciveenvironmentforthedevelopmentoffinancialservices
tohelpfundcare.However,thereremainquestionsabouttheviabilityofpre-fundedinsurance.Akey
determinantofanewLTCmarketiswhetherpotentialconsumerswillbeconvincedoftheneedto
purchaserelevantproductsinadvanceoftheirneedforcareand,inparallel,bewillingtoplacetheir
trustinproviders,suppliersandtheindustrygenerally.
5 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
What is the problem of consumer awareness and what is being done to tackle it?• ConsumerawarenessaboutLTCiscurrentlyverylowwithfewunderstandinghowmuchitcosts
orwheretogoforadvice.Thisincreasesthelikelihoodthatpeoplewillnotfindtherightfunding
solutionstomeettheirpriorexpectations.Asimplerfundingmodelcombinedwithagovernment-led
informationcampaignwouldbeanimportantstepforwardinthisregard.
What is the problem of consumer engagement and what is being done to tackle it?• Raisingawarenessthroughincreasedinformationwillnotbeenoughtoensuresufficient
engagementwithanewsystem.Researchshowsthatmanyconsumersareinertwhenitcomesto
financialservices,failingtoactevenwhenpresentedwithaccurateinformation.Evidencesuggests
thatthisis,atleastinpart,duetoaninherentdistrustoftheindustrygenerally.Itwillthereforebe
importanttobuildonkeyinitiativesalreadyunderwaysuchastheRetailDistributionReviewtoraise
professionalstandardsofadviceinthisarea.
A multifaceted approach is needed• Inorderforappropriatefinancialproductsandadvicetotakerootandsupportthoseneedingcare,
amultifacetedapproachtosolvingthelong-termcareproblemisrequired.Changingthefunding
modelmustbeconsideredaspartofawideragendatoraiseawarenessandengageconsumers
aboutlong-termcare.
6 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CII analysis
1 ONSstatisticsquotedinSwissRe(Dec2009),The Insurance Report: The Cost of Doing Nothing,p.102 Ibid3 TheCommissiononFundingofCareandSupport(Dec2010),Call for evidence on the future funding of Care and Support,p.84 Ibid5 M.Weston,E.WinpenyandJ.Manning(June2011)Take Care: The Future Funding of Social Care6 Ibid7 Ibid
Long-term care: defining the problemDisability rates are likely to increase over the next two decades leading to more demand for long-term care. Unfortunately, the current funding model is outdated, providing little protection from the sometimes ‘catastrophic’ costs of care. Compounding the problem, the market for long-term care financial products remains limited with only a few viable options to help individuals meet care home fees.
Longevity and disabilityContinuingimprovementstohealthcareandchangestopeople’sworkinglivesareensuringthatan
increasingnumberandproportionoftheUKpopulationliveswellbeyondretirementage.Accordingto
theOfficeofNationalStatistics(ONS),in1981lifeexpectancyforwomenwas76.7.By2004–2006it
hadincreasedto81.3.1Overthenexttwentyyearsitisestimatedthatthisdemographictrendissetto
continue–theresultbeingtoincreasethepercentageoftheUK’spopulationthatare65oroverfrom
16–23%.2
Aslongevityincreases,theproportionofpeoplewhoareveryoldwillgrowthefastest.Thenumber
ofpeopleover90isexpectedtonearlytrebleoverthenexttwentyyears.Accordingly,itisexpected
thatolderpeople’sdemandforcareandsupportwillincreasebyaroundtwo-thirdsoverthenexttwo
decades,assumingthatdisabilityratesbyagewillremainconstant.3
Onaverage,aroundoneinthreewomenandoneinfivemenaged65areexpectedtoenteracarehome
withtheriskofenteringresidentialcareincreasingwithage.Currentlytheaveragecarehomecosts
£26,000peryearandtheaveragestayistwoyears–thoughasignificantproportionstayformorethan
fouryears4andmanycarehomesaresignificantlymoreexpensive.Indeed,somesurveyshaveestimated
thataveragecostsarecloserto£35,000ratherthan£26,000.
Itisalsodifficulttopredictthefuturecostofcarehomefees.Therecentsolvencyproblemsexperienced
bySouthernCrosshaveraiseddoubtsoverthesustainabilityofcarehomeproviders’businessmodels
andthereisasignificantconcernthatcarehomefeesmaycontinuetorise.
The relationship between longevity and disability
AsnotedinarecentpaperpublishedbySaga5,therehasbeenmuchdebateoverwhetheran
increaseinlongevitywillmeangreaterdemandforlong-termcare.Ofthirty-twodifferentstudies
ofpeopleagedatleastfiftyfiveinhigh-incomecountries,onlysixfoundevidenceofdisability
ratesincreasing,comparedwithtwentysixwhichfounddisabilityratestobedecreasing.6
Similarly,analysisofhealthexpenditurehasshownthathealthcostsriseinthefinalyearsoflife
regardlessofage.Anageingpopulationmaythereforejustdefercostsratherthanincreasethem.7
Thesestudiessuggestthatdisabilityratesmaynotthereforeremainconstant.Iftomorrow’s
elderlyleadsahealthierlifethantoday’s,thendisabilityratesmayactuallyfallratherthanrise.
7 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
8 EmmaSimon(July2009),Long-term Care: How to Beat the Meanest of Means Tests,Telegraph9 FiguresobtainablefromDirectGovwebsite:
http://www.direct.gov.uk/en/MoneyTAXAndBenefits/BenefitsTaxCreditsAndOtherSupport/Disabledpeople/DG_1001871010 BrownlowWealthManagementLtd(April2010),Factsheet: Registered Nursing Care Contribution11 J.Carr-WestandL.Thraves(March2011),Independent Aging: Council Support for Care Self-Funders,LocalGovernmentIntelligenceUnit,pp.7-812 Seeourreport-CharteredInsuranceInstitute(May2011),An age-old problem: developing solutions for funding retirement
The current funding modelUnderthecurrentsystemmostindividualshavetopaysomethingtowardsthecostoflong-termcare.
Thecurrentruleisthatanyonewithassetsworth£23,250orabovewillbeexpectedtopayfortheircare
needsandthevalueofanypropertyownedisincludedinmostcases.Thereareimportantexceptionsto
thisrule,suchasifthereisasurvivingspouselivinginthehouse,orifthehomeownersaltertheterms
ofpropertyownership.8ThereisalsostatesupporttohelpcovernursinghomefeesincludingAttendance
Allowance(upto£71.40perweek)9andaRegisteredNursingCareContribution(upto£108.70per
week).10Nevertheless,evenwiththeseadditionalformsofStatesupport,alargeproportionofthe
populationareexpectedtocoverasubstantialchunkofLTCcosts.
Thecurrentfundingmodelhascomeundersignificantcriticismforproviding too little supportfor
thosewithonlymodestwealthwithmanyspendingasignificantproportionoftheirassetswhenpaying
forlong-termcare.ResearchfromtheLocalGovernmentIntelligenceUnithasfoundthataquarterof
self-fundersrunoutofmoneyandultimatelyfallbackontheStatetosupporttheircareneeds.11
Anotherdrawbackofthemeans-testedsystemisthatitreducestheincentivesforindividualsto
accumulateassetsandsavingstopayforretirement.JamesLloydoftheStrategicSocietyCentrehas
arguedthatasystemwheresomepensionersmustpay“catastrophiccosts”forcare,“doesmuchto
underminepensionsaving.”Thisisamajorfailinggiventheneedforpeopletosaveanincreasingly
largeproportionoftheiroccupationalincometoensureanadequateincomeinretirementaswellaspay
forthecostsoflong-termcare.12
Private sector solutions and productsSincecareisnotfreeatthepointofuse,thereisamarket(albeitlimited)forfinancialproductstohelp
fundcare.Therearetwotypesoffinancialproductsspecificallyforthispurpose,oneofwhichmust
bepurchasedinadvanceofneedingcare,andtheotherpurchasedoncetheneedforcarehasbecome
established.Theyinclude:
Productsinadvance:
• Pre-funded long-term care insurance (LTCI):apre-fundedinsuranceplaninvolvingregularor
lump-sumpaymentsbythepolicyholderbeforelong-termcareisneeded.
• Investment-based plans:awayofpayingforlong-termcareinsurance.Theconsumerpurchasesan
investmentbondwithalumpsum.Thecapitalistheninvestedandtheamountneededtopayforthe
insurancepolicyiswithdrawnbytheinsuranceprovidereachmonthfromthevalueofthebond.
Productsatthepointofneedingcare:
• Immediate needs annuities:purchasedwithalumpsumtopayforimmediatecare.Theyprovidea
fixedlevelofpaymenttowardscareneedsforaslongasisnecessary.
• Lifetime mortgage schemes: thisisanequityreleaseproductwherebyamortgagechargeistaken
fromacustomer’shomeinexchangeforalumpsumtothehomeowner.Themostpreferredproduct
istheFixedInterestLifetimeMortgage,wheretheinterestisaddedatafixedrateduringthelifetime
oftheloan.Other‘draw-downlifetimemortgages’payaregularincomethroughanannuitisation
processbasedonlifeexpectancy.Forboththeseclassesofproducts,mostprovidersoffera
voluntary‘no-negativeequityguarantee’toprotecttheconsumerfromtheeventualityofhavingto
owemorethanthepropertyisworth.
8 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CII analysis
13 JamesLloyd,(February2011),GoneforGood?Pre-fundedInsuranceforLong-termCare,TheStrategicSocietyCentre14 R.Dyson(June2007),Relief in sight for ‘Sam’ mortgage victims,
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/mortgageshome/article-1611112/Relief-in-sight-for-Sam-mortgage-victims.html15 CII(February2010) What we talk about when we talk about trust,p.12
• Home reversion schemes:anothertypeofequityreleaseproductwherebytheproviderbuysashare
inthevalueofacustomer’shomeatadiscountedpricewhilstthecustomerretainstherightto
remaininthehomerent-free.Oncethecustomerdiesormovesintoacarehome,thepropertyissold
andtheshareoftheincomegoestothereversioncompany.Again,mostprovidersofthisproduct
classnowoffera‘no-negativeequityguarantee’.
Barriers to private sector solutionsWhilsttheaboveproductsexist,take-uphasbeenlow–particularlyforpre-fundedschemes.Low
take-upofLTCIismainlyduetodemandsidebarriersincludingthecostoftheproducts,uncertaintyover
theavailabilityofcare,ignoranceoftheriskofneedingcare,inertiaandthecomplexityofproducts.13
Reputational issuesalsoactasabarriertoequityreleaseschemes,stemmingfromtheconsumer
detrimentcausedbypreviousproducts.Thenotorious‘homeincomeplans’ofthelate1980sleft
borrowersfacingbothmonthlyarrearsandnegativeequitywhilst‘sharedappreciationmortgages’ofthe
late1990slefthomeownerswithdebtssometimesthreetimeslargerthanwhentheyoriginallyentered
thescheme.14
Trustinfinancialservices,ingeneral,isrelativelylow.Thedeclineinlevelsoftrustwaswelldocumented
inasurveyundertakenbytheCIIinlate2010whichfoundthatoneinfiverespondentswillnevertrust
financialservicesagainand72%ofpeoplehavenotverymuchtrustornotrustatallinfinancialadvisers
andlifeinsuranceproviders.15
Therefore,whendeliveringafuturefundingmodelwhichisnotfreeatthepointofuse,theGovernment
andindustrymustaddressissuesassociatedwiththefairness of the system (suchasthepotential
forthosewithonlymodestwealthtolosethemajorityoftheirassets)andtheengagement barriers
thatexisttodeterpeoplefromseekingprivatesectorsolutionswhichcanhelptopayforcarewhilst
protectingkeyassets.
9 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
16 Commissiononfundingofcareandsupport(July2011),Fairer Care Funding – Report
Dilnot: towards a new modelOn 4 July the Commission on Funding of Care and Support (Dilnot Commission) set out its final recommendations16 to change the way in which long-term care is funded in England. It included proposals for a cap on costs and a new means test.
There are stumbling blocks to reform however – the first is the projected cost of reforming the system, the second is whether the new system will provide adequate incentives for long-term care financial products to take root.
BackgroundTheDilnotCommission(chairedbyeconomistAndrewDilnot)wassetupbytheGovernmentto
investigatehowtoachievean‘affordableandsustainable’fundingsystemforlong-termcare.Thefinal
reportoutlinestheCommission’sproposalsafterayear-longconsultationprocess.
The ‘new’ funding modelDilnotproposestolimitthemaximumamountthatpeoplewouldhavetopayforcaretobetween
£25,000and£50,000withtheCommission favouring a cap of £35,000.Dilnotalsorecommendsthat
only those with assets (including property) worth over £100,000 should pay for the full cost of care.
Individualswillstillhowever,havetocontributesomethingtowardstheirgenerallivingcosts(e.g.food
andaccommodation)ofupto£10,000ayear.Theplannedeffectofthesemeasuresistoensurethatno
one loses more than 30% of their assets.
Figure 1. Maximum possible asset depletion
Source:DilnotCommissionFinalReport
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
5% 25% Median 75% 95%
£0k £50k £100k £150k £200k £250k £300k £350k £400k £450k £500k
Assets on going into care
£35k cap with extended means test
Current system
Percentiles of housing wealth
10 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CII analysis
17 PensionsPolicyInstitute(Jan2011),Towards more effective savings incentives: a report of PPI modelling for AEGONestimatesthattheintroductionofauto-enrolmentwillsignificantlyincreasethenumberofindividualssavinginapensionfrom14millionin2012toaround22millionby2015.
18 T.Rutherford(June2011),Pension Credit statistics,HouseofCommonsLibrary,p.3
Alongsidethecapandnewmeanstest,theCommissionalsorecommendsthatthereshouldbea
national eligibility and assessment framework toensureconsistencyacrosslocalauthoritiesinthe
waythatindividual’sneedsareassessed.Thisnewapproachwouldallowindividualstotaketheir
assessmentwiththemshouldtheymovefromonelocalauthoritytoanother.
CostCostisthemainpotentialstumblingblockforreform.TheCommissionestimatesthattherecommended
changestothefundingsystemwouldcostfrombetween£1.3bn for a cap of £50,000 and £2.2bn for a
cap of £25,000 per annum.IftheCommission’srecommendedcapof£35,000wasintroducedthiswould
costanestimated£1.7bn per annum.Thecostofthecapisthenprojectedtoincreaseovertimereaching
£3.6bnby2025/2026,thoughDilnotarguesthatthiscostcouldbeoffsetbyapartialincreaseinthecap.
Dilnotarguesthatthereformsareactuallyrelativelylowcostat0.14%ofGDPandsuggestsanumberof
waystopayforthem.Theseincludetaxation,reprioritisingcurrentexpenditureoraspecifictaxincrease
whichwouldtarget,atleastinpart,thosewhoareoverstatepensionage.
The complex cost implications of Dilnot
TheCommissioncalculatestheimplementationcostofitsproposalsbyaddingtogetherthe
costofintroducingacap,tothecostofincreasingthemeanstestandapplyingthistotheyear
2010/11.Theestimatedcostofthenewmodelthenincreasesovertimerelativetotheprojected
costsofthecurrentsystem.Thisisfortworeasons:firstly,assumingdisabilityratesremain
constant,improvinglifeexpectancywillleadtoincreasingdemandforcare.Secondly,risinghome
ownershipamongsttheelderlyisforecasttorise,increasingthenumberofpeoplewhowillbe
ineligibleforthecurrentmeanstestedsupportandwhothereforederivegreaterbenefitfromthe
Dilnotcap.
Interaction with pensions reform
Thecostofanyproposalstoreformlong-termcarefundingshouldalsobeviewedinthewider
policycontextofpensionsreform.Manydevelopmentsaretakingplaceinthisarea,ofwhich
arguablythemostimportantisautomaticenrolmentbringinganestimated8millionpeopleinto
formallong-termsaving.17Asmentionedabove,thecurrentlong-termcaresystemdoesmuchto
underminepensionsavingasonlythosewithminimalwealthareguaranteedsomestatesupport.
Bymovingtoasystemwherecostsarecapped,individualscanpreserveagreaterproportion
oftheirassetsprovidinganincentivetoaccumulatewealthoverthelong-term.Awelldesigned
long-termcarefundingmodelcouldthereforecomplementpensionsreformssuchasauto-
enrolment–helpingtoensurethatlesspeoplerequireStateprovidedtopupstopensionincome
inretirement.
Currentlynearly3millionpeoplearebeingpaidanaverageof£50perweekinpensioncredit18
whichguaranteespensionersaminimumlevelofweeklyincome.Ifthecurrentrangeofreformsto
theretirementlandscapesuccessfullyreducesthenumberofpeopleinneedofsuchsupportby
athird(duetogreatersavings),thegovernmentwouldsavearound£2.6bnperannum–roughly
equivalenttothecostofDilnot’sproposals.TheGovernmentmustthereforethinkcarefullyabout
thecostimplicationsofanylong-termcareproposalsaspartofthewiderquestionaroundthe
futureofretirementplanning.
11 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
19 DeliveredtotheHouseofCommonson4August:http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201011/cmhansrd/cm110704/debtext/110704-0001.htm#1107044000628
20 PressRelease(4July)The King’s Fund Responds the Dilnot Reporthttp://www.kingsfund.org.uk/press/press_releases/the_kings_fund_33.html21 ThesurveyquestionswerewrittenwellinadvanceoftheCommission’sfinalrecommendationssothedescriptionofaPartnershipModelisonlyarough
approximationofDilnot’sfinalproposal.
Political reaction to the reportAgainstthebackdropofGovernmentspendingcuts,andachallengingeconomicenvironment,these
reformsmaybehardtosellpoliticallyandithasbeenrumouredthattheChancellorandTreasurywould
liketo“kicktheproposalsintothelonggrass”.
Indeed,inresponsetotherecommendations,HealthSecretaryAndrewLansleywasnoticeablyreserved
sayingthatGovernmenthasto“considercarefullyadditionalcoststothetaxpayer[oftheproposals]
againstotherfundingpriorities”19andthatthereportwouldbeused“asabasisforengagement”.
Anticipatingapush-backfromtheGovernment(oratleastHMTreasury),oppositionpoliticians,industry,
consumergroupsandcharitiesbroadlywelcomedthereformsrequestingthatGovernmentactquicklyin
forgingaconsensusandimplementingthechanges.
RichardHumphries,SeniorFellowattheKing’sFund,neatlysummedupthemoodwhenhesaid
“politiciansfromallpartiesmustnowseizethebestopportunityinagenerationtoensurethatpeople
canaccesscareandsupporttheydeserveinlaterlife”.20
TheGovernmenthassincecommittedtopublishingaWhitePaperinSpring2012andintheinterim
thereislikelytobefierceargumentsabouttheproposedfundingarrangements.AheadofDilnot’sfinal
recommendations,weconductedasurveyofMPstoseewhethertherewasaconsensusemergingon
thecharacteristicsofanidealfundingmodelforlong-termcare.Weasked:
Following the Dilnot Commission’s recommendations, the Government will be tasked with reforming the
funding of long-term care. What do you think is the most appropriate method of funding long-term care?
• Partnership model–thestatewouldfundafixed proportionofanindividual’sbasiccareneedswith
theremainder paid for by the individual(ThiswasaroughapproximationoftheDilnotmodel)21
• Means tested model–combinationofeachsystem,withcareforthepoorestfundedthrough
taxation,therichestpayingprivately,andamixedsystemforthosein-between(thecurrentsystem)
• Purely tax funded–long-termcarewouldbefullyfundedbythestatethroughtaxation
• Purely private system–apurelyprivatesystem,withnopublicfundingevenforthepoorest
andneediest.
12 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CII analysis
Source:ComResfortheCharteredInsuranceInstitute.SurveywasconductedinMay2011,158respondentsacrossthepoliticalspectrum.
ThemajorityofMPsfavouredthemodelmostcloselyresemblingtheCommission’sproposition–and
itwasthefavouredoptionacrossallparties(albeitmarginallyfortheliberaldemocrats).Thissuggests
thatthereissomeconsensusbothontheneedforreformandonanewpartnershipmodelbeingthe
bestapproach.Theresultsdoatleastthen,providesomehopethatbroad-basedsupportforproposals
toreformlong-termcarecanbefoundandalastingsettlementachieved.Nevertheless,thepolitical
battlesarelikelytobefoughtoverthenewsystem’sparameters(somethingwecouldnottestatthe
timeofwriting),intermsoftheproportionofanindividual’scarebillthatgovernmentwillcoverandan
individual’seligibilityforstatesupport.
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
52%
29%
11%
2%
Partnership model – the state would fund a fixed proportion of an individual’s basic care needs with the remainder paid for by the individual
Means tested model – combination of each system, with care for the poorest funded through taxation, the richest paying privately, and a mixed system for those in-between
Purely tax funded – long-term care would be fully funded by the state through taxation
Purely private system – a purely private system, with no public funding even for the poorest and neddiest
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%Partnership model – the state would fund a fixed proportion of an individual’s basic care needs with the remainder paid for by the individual
Means tested model – combination of each system, with care for the poorest funded through taxation, the richest paying privately, and a mixed system for those in-between
Purely tax funded – long-term care would be fully funded by the state through taxation
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
61%
45%42%
33%
1%
19%
10%
4%0% 0%
23%
43%
Purely private system – a purely private system, with no public funding even for the poorest and neddiest
Figure 2. MP support for LTC funding models (overall and split by party)
13 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
A role for the private sector?Dilnotarguesthatwhenthestateprovidesastableofferwhichcaps‘tail-endrisks’andwherepeople
aremadeawareoftheneedtoplanforcareneeds,anewmarketcandevelop.
IntheCommission’sview,pensions, ISAs and housingarethemostlikelyvehiclesthroughwhichpeople
willprivatelyfundcarethoughtheremayalsobeincreasedopportunitiestoconvertcritical illness cover
oflifeinsurancepoliciestobridgethegap.However,Dilnotthinksthepre-fundedmarketwillremain
stagnantas“productsareexpensive,andtherearesignificantreputationalriskstoinsurancecompanies
iftheyareunabletodeliverontheircontracts”.
SincepublicationofDilnot’sfinalreport,JamesLloydhaspublishedarguablythemostextensivepieceof
analysisonthereport’srecommendations.Hequestionedtheabilityofinsuranceproviderstopricecare
policiesundertheproposednewsystem.22Hearguesthatinsurerscanonlypricesuchpoliciesonthe
basisoftrendsindisabilityandlongevityyetunderthe‘cappedcostmodel’a“person’s£35,000liability
isdeterminedbytheavailability of informal careandhow much a council gives individuals with a
defined level of need”.Lloydarguesthattheseadditionalelementsarethingsinsurerscannotpricefor.
LloydalsopicksupontheCommission’srecommendationforanextensiontothecurrentdeferred
payment schemewhichallowslocalauthoritiestopayanindividual’scarebilliftheycannotaffordtodo
sowithoutsellingtheirhome.Thelocalauthoritythenrecoupsthemoneywhenthehouseissold.The
Commissionbelievesitsensibletorollthisoutnationallyandallowlocalauthoritiestochargeinterestto
removethedisincentivetheycurrentlyfaceinpromotingthescheme.Lloydarguesthatoneeffectofthis
proposalmaybetocrowdouttheequity release market.
Itseemsthen,thatwhilstthenewproposalsmaygivetheprivatesectormoreofanopportunityfor
involvementthanpreviously,thismaybelimitedtoafewproductsthatarepurchasedatthepointof
useratherthanpre-fundedschemes.Lloydestimatesthatthenumberofself-fundersusingimmediate
needs annuitiesmayincreasefrom6%ofself-fundersto20%.23Akeydeterminant,however,ofwhether
financialproductsbecomeanappropriateandwidelyusedsolutiontofundcare,iswhetherthereis
sufficientconsumer demandwhichis,inpart,afunctionofconsumer awareness and engagement.
22 SeeJ.Lloyd(Aug2011),TheFirstStep?AResponsetotheCommissiononFundingofCareandSupport,TheStrategicSocietyCentre23 J.Lloyd(Aug2011)p.8
14 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CII analysisConsumer awarenessPublic awareness about long-term care is very low with few understanding how much it costs or where to go for advice. This needs to change if people are able to identify the most appropriate solutions to their funding needs. However, on its own, a new funding model will not be enough to reverse this trend.
Using property to fund careAnexampleofthelackofawarenessinactionisthequestionofusingpropertytofundcare.Property
islikelytoremainabigpartofthefundingpictureeventhoughconsumersurveyssuggestthata
significantproportionofthepopulationarereluctanttouseittomeetthiscost.InanICMBBCpoll,80%
ofallrespondentsthoughtthatitwasunfairtohavetofundbasiccarethroughsellingtheirhome.24
Withoutraisingawarenessofthefactthatpropertywillremainakeyfeatureofthesystem,manywill
endupfundingcareinawaythatfailstomeetpriorexpectations.Thepublic,withthehelpofadvice
fromGovernmentandtheprivatesector,willneedtoplanaheadiftheywishtominimiselossesonwhat
theyholdmostdear.
Property will remain part of the picture
Manymaywellhavetousenon-pensionassetssuchaspropertytopayforlong-termcareevenif
theDilnotCommission’srecommendationsareimplemented.Thiscanbeshownthroughasimple
exampleoftheaveragepensionerrequiringacarehomeforfouryears.
CurrentlytheaverageUKpensionergetsaretirementincomeofaround£10,000perannum.25
WhilstthisisfarbelowwhattheOECDwouldconsideranadequatereplacementrate,forthesake
ofsimplicityweassumethatthisincomeisjustsufficienttocoverday-to-daylivingexpensesand
nothingmoreuptothepointatwhichtheyneedlong-termcare.Onceincaretheywillhavetopay
carehomefeesof£26,000ayear.
NowsupposingtheGovernmentoptstocaptheamountthatthepublicmustcontributetocareto
around£50,000.Forthefirsttwoyearsofcareinanaveragenursinghome,theaveragepensioner
wouldhavetofundthiscostindependently.However,anaverageperson’spensionincomewillnot
beenoughtomeetthiscostonitsownandwouldleaveanindividualwithashortfallofatleast
£30,000whichwillneedtobemetthroughnon-pension assets or some kind of insurance.The
ONS’AssetsandWealthSurvey2008indicatesthatthefinancial wealth(e.gsavingsaccounts,
ISAs,bondsetc)ofpensionersisnotenoughtocoverthiscost–medianfinancialwealthforthe
65–74agerangeisjust£13,900.26Asaresult,manypensionersmayhavetousetheirphysical
wealth(e.g.anycollectables,vehiclesetc)and/ortheirpropertytocovertheshortfall.
24 ICMandBBC(2010)77% ‘oblivious to social care costhttp://www.ageuk.org.uk/latest-news/archive/77-oblivious-to-social-care-cost/
25 OECD(2009),United Kingdom: Highlights from OECD Pensions at a Glance26 ONS(2009),Main Results from the Assets and Wealth Survey,EditedbyC.Daffin,p.33
15 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Itisworthstressingthattheaboveassumptionsabouttheadequacyofaveragepensionerincome
tocovercostsbeforecareandthecostofacarehomearerelativelyoptimistic.Therealityisthat
formany,£10,000willnotbeenoughtoliveoffdaytodayandsopensionersmaybebuildingup
debtsorusingnon-pensionassetstofundretirementwellbeforetheyevenenteracarehome.
Inaddition,somecommentatorshaveestimatedthattheaveragecostofacarehomeiscloserto
£35,000ayearratherthanthe£26,000assumedabove.Theoverallshortfallmaythereforebe
significantlygreater.
RecentresearchfromPartnership27focusesonthislastpoint.Dilnot’sproposalswillnotresult
inthestatecovering‘hotelcosts’–thecostoflivingdaytodaywhichexcludesbasiccareneeds.
Partnershiparguesthatsincenursinghomescanchargeupto£50,000ayear–nearlydoublethe
costsofbasiccare–individualswillstillbeleftfacingsubstantialcosts(abovethe£50,000cap)
thatthestatewillnotbewillingtocover.
Awareness of the cost of careOnepreviousconsumersurveyfoundthatnearly eight out of ten peoplehavenoideahowmuch
theywillhavetopayforcareinoldage.28AseparatestudycommissionedbytheLocalGovernment
Associationfoundthat63%ofindividualswronglyestimatedtheaveragecostofacarehomeasless
than£25,000peryear.29AndasurveyfortheDepartmentofHealthfoundthat54%ofthepublicthink
thatcareservicesarefreeatthepointofuse.30
Will the proposed model close this perception gap?
TheproposedfundingmodelshouldhelptoclosetheperceptiongapbyincreasingtheState’s
contributiontowardstheprovisionofcarerelativetotheindividual’s–bringingitmoreinlinewith
people’sexpectationsthattheStatecoversmostofthecosts.Similarly,fixingthemaximumamountthat
peoplewillhavetopaytowardstheirowncareshouldimproveawarenessofpersonalresponsibility
and,toacertainextent,reducecomplexity.
Planning for careFewhavebeguntothinkabouthowtheywillpayforlong-termcare.In2008apollfoundthat87%of
peoplehadnotmadeanyplanstopayforpersonalcareinolderage,whilejust5%ofpeoplehadplans
alreadyinplace.Only6%saidthattheywerecurrentlyarrangingplanstofinancetheircare.31Similarly
asurveyconductedbyICMfortheBBCfoundthatmorethantwoinfivepeoplehadnotmadeanyplans
forcareintheiroldage.32Perhapstheseresultsareunsurprisinggiventhatmanyindividualsbelieve
theStatewillfootthebillwhentheyneedcare.Theproposedfundingmodelmayhelpinthisregardby
settingaclear limitonwhatanindividualneedstocontribute.
Worryinglyhowever,manypeopledonotevenknowwheretobeginwhenlookingforadviceonlong-
termcare.Onepolloftheover 50sfoundthataquarterofthepopulationhavenoideawhotocontactfor
advice.Only11%saidtheywouldcontacttheirlocalauthoritywhileonly 4% said they would contact
a financial adviser.33
27 Partnershippressrelease(Aug2011),Following Dilnot - Self Payers Still Pay 90% of all their Care Costs...28 ICMandBBC(2010)77% oblivious to social care cost29 Local Government Association (March 2009) Call to make the care of our ageing population a priority for
all political parties30 DepartmentofHealth/IpsosMORI(2010)Public attitudes towards care and support31 CounselandCare,CarersUKandHelptheAged(2008)Right care, Right deal Scary, depressing and
confusing: Voter’s view of Social Care Revealed32 ICMandBBC(2010)33 Partnership(2010)Over 50s drastically under estimate the cost of long-term care
16 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CII analysis
34 CELLOmrukSocial&MarketResearch(2009)CostandProvisionAdultSocialCareSurveyPreparedforLondonCouncils
Insurance to fund care Justonepreviousconsumerstudyhaslookedatwhatincentivesmayencouragepeopletocontribute
toaninsuranceschemetofundtheirsocialcareneeds(itonlylookedatLondonandwasthereforenot
necessarilyrepresentativeofthenationasawhole).Overhalftherespondentsagreedthat‘matched
contributions’fromtheGovernmentwouldencouragepeopletoparticipate–makingitthemostpopular
ofthesuggestedoptions.OtheroptionsincludedmoreGovernmentinformationonhowtoplanforthe
future,makingcontributionstaxfreeandspecialhighinterestrates.34
Byprovidingmorecertaintyaroundwhatindividualsmustpaytomeetthecostoflong-termcare,the
newmodelshould,asDilnothasacknowledged,makeitmorelikelythatindividualswillseekprivate
sectorsolutions.Consumersandindustrywill,however,needtohaveconfidencethatanynewruleswill
lastiftheyaretoeffectivelyplanahead.
Some tentative implicationsInshort,thenewapproachmayprovideimprovedincentivesforpeopletoconsiderfundinglong-term
careinadvance.Thiscouldprovidemoreopportunitiesforfinancialservicestoproveitsworthin
developingsolutionstohelpconsumersmeettheirlong-termcareneeds.However,thereisstilllikelyto
beaworryinglylowlevelofawarenessaboutthecostsofcareandwheretogoforadvice,increasingthe
likelihoodthatpeoplewillfailtofindfundingsolutionstomeettheirexpectationsandprotectassets.
17 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Engaging the publicMore information and education is needed to raise awareness about long-term care. However, this will not be enough to tackle the associated problem of inertia. As the survey results above show, whilst nearly half the population appears to understand that care services are not free, nearly 90% are doing nothing to prepare for the costs. Securing a simple and sustainable funding model as well as raising the level of trust in financial services are important ways to reverse this trend.
InapaperpublishedaheadofDilnot’sfinalreport,wecalledforawidespread,government-led
educationcampaigntoraiseawarenessaboutlong-termcare35–somethingwhichtheCommission
hasalsopressedfor.Wealsoarguedthatindustryandconsumergroupswillhaveimportantrolesto
playininformingthepublicabouttheoptionsthatareavailabletomaketheprocessofpayingforcare
lesspainful.
However,moreeducation and informationmaynotbeenoughtoensurethatconsumersarewillingto
engagewithlong-termcareissuesincludingfinancialproductsandservices.Anothercrucialbarrierto
engagementcitedintheliteratureisinertia–manyconsumersaredoingnothingdespitethefactthey
understandsomeofthepotentialrisksofinaction.
Inpart,inertiaislikelytobeafunctionoftheregularlychanginglandscapeforretirement.Thereisa
generalrecognitionthatpeopleexpectthelong-termcaresystem–aswithpensions–tochangeona
regularbasis.Peoplecannotbeexpectedtoeffectivelyplanforthefuturewithoutastableenvironment
inwhichtooperate,particularlywhentherearesomanyothervariables,suchasthemacroeconomic
environmentwhichremainuncertain.Inthiscontext,theDilnotreportwillactuallyhelptofuel
uncertaintyaboutneartermfuturecostsaspeoplewonderwhatfundingsystemwillultimatelyemerge.
However,thisdoesnot,onitsown,explainwhythepublicappearstobereluctanttoengagewith
financialservicesontheissueoflong-termcarefunding.Inthiscontextitisworthreferringtoarecent
reportbytheSocialMarketFoundationwhichneatlyexplainswhydistrustoffinancialservicesmaybe
the mostimportantcauseofinertia:
Apervasivesenseofdistrustamongconsumersmeanstheyarelikelytowritefinancialservice
providersoffas‘allthesame’,withoutevencheckingwhatisonofferonthemarket.Furthermore,
behaviouraleconomicssuggeststhatconsumersbecomedisengagedinthefaceofmarket
complexity:theyarethereforelesslikelytocheckthemarketiftheycannoteasilyunderstandor
compareproductsonit.36
Therefore,inorderforthepublictoviewfinancialservicesasakeypartofthesolution,initiativesare
requiredtoraisetheleveloftrustandconfidenceintheindustry.
35 CIIIssuesPaper(June2011)Who Cares? The Implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care36 SocialMarketFoundation(July2011)A Confidence Crisis? Restoring Trust in Financial Serviceseditedby
JohnSpringford,p.13
18 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Tackling distrustThereisevidencetosuggestthatpractitionersthatcommittobestpracticeintermsofqualifications,
continuingprofessionaldevelopmentandacodeofethicsbenefitfromgreaterlevelsofpublictrust.37
Currentinitiativestoraisetheprofessionalstandardsofthoseworkingintheindustrymaytherefore
helptoimprovelevelsofpublicconfidenceacrosstheboard.
TheRetailDistributionReview(RDR)isonesuchproject.Itsspecificobjectiveistoimprovepublictrust
inretailfinancialservicesbyraisingthemandatoryqualificationlevelforfinancialadvisersandbanning
commissionpayments.Thisenhancedqualificationrequirementcouldmeanthateventuallymore
practisingadvisersundertakespecialistlearningrelatedtolong-termcare.38Newrulesoncommission
willalsoensurethatadviserscanonlyreceivepaymentfollowingupfrontagreementwiththecustomer
onthecostoffinancialadvice.Themeasuresaredesignedtoreassureconsumersaboutthecompetence
offinancialadviceandthetransparencyofthedistributionprocess.
37 CII(PollingbyYouGov)(2009),Consumer Views of Chartered Status:http://www.cii.co.uk/downloaddata/Consumer_views_of_Chartered_status.pdfSeealsoWellsandGostelow(Nov2009,updated18March2011)Professional Standards and Consumer Trust,PreparedfortheFSA:http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/other/psct.pdf
38 TheCIIcurrentlyhas5000membersqualifiedtoprovidefinancialadviceonlong-termcare.
CII analysis
19 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Long-term care: solving a multifaceted problemFromtheaboveanalysis,itisclearthatdevelopingafairerlong-termcaresystemwherethepublic
activelyseeksappropriatefinancialproductsandadvicetohelpmeettheirfundingneeds,requiresa
multifacetedapproachfocusingonanumberofkey,relatedareas.
The funding modelThefundingmodelcanonlylimitwhatanindividualisrequiredtopayforcareanddeterminethetype
andsizeoftherisktobecoveredbytheinsuranceindustry.Assuch,themodelhassomeimportant
implicationsforthetypesoffinancialproductsthattheindustrycanofferandwhetherconsumersare
abletounderstandwhattheyareexpectedtopayfor.
The market for financial products However,stimulatingconsumerdemandforlong-termcarefinancialproductsisnotjustafunctionofthe
fundingmodel.Athrivingmarketwillonlybeachievedbysubstantiallyraisingawarenessaboutthecost
ofcareandthedegreetowhichconsumersarewillingtoengagewiththeindustry.
Consumer awareness and engagement Thelevelofpublicawarenessaboutcarecostsiscurrentlysolow,andlevelofpublicinactionsohigh,
thatmeasuresoutsideofthoserecommendedbyDilnotneedtobeconsidered.Improvingthedurability
oflong-termcarepolicyandthetrustworthinessoffinancialserviceswillbekeytotacklingtheseissues.
The cost of care homesWhilstthefuturecostofcarehomesisoutsidethescopeofthisreportmuchdependsonit.Ifthe
averagecostofcarehomessuddenlyincreaseswellbeyond£26,000ayear,thengovernmentmight
havetorethinkthelevelofthefundingcapandthiscouldhaveknockoneffectsforthemarketfor
long-termcareproductsandthelevelofconsumerawarenessandengagement.
Thediagramoppositesetsouttherelationshipsbetweensomekeypartsofthepuzzle.
20 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CII analysis
Consumer engagement
Market for LTC financial
products
Appropriateproducts
and advice
Trust andConfidence
The cost of residential care impacts upon the required size of the cap and in turn the market for financial products
Capping tail-end risk improves consumer understanding and insurability
Reliance on needs assessment approach reduces potential for prefunded insurance
Information campaign raises awareness
Dilnot proposals
Cost of residential care
Efforts to professionalise financial services raises standards of practitioner behaviour and consumer trust
Professionalism
Figure 3. A multifaceted approach to long-term care
Source:CharteredInsuranceInstitute
Withthedebateensuingaboutanewfundingmodel,nowisanopportunemomenttoconsiderthe
long-termcarefundingproblemassomethingmorethanjustthesumofitsparts.Thefollowingsection
containsshortessaysfromkeystakeholdersinthedebate,whoidentifypossiblesolutionstothe
wide-rangingissuesdiscussedabove.
21 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Summary
Inordertogainabetterunderstandingofthekeyissuessurroundingthefundingoflong-termcareandtheroleoftheprivatesector,weaskedanumberofexpertstoprovidetheirconsideredviews:
22 PaulLewis–FreelanceFinancialJournalistandPresenterofBBCMoneyBox
24 DrRosAltmann–DirectorGeneral,SagaGroup
27 AndreaRozario–DirectorGeneral,SafeHomeIncomePlans(SHIP)
29 JamesLloyd–Director,TheStrategicSocietyCentre
31 CliveBolton–AtRetirementDirector,AvivaUKLife
33 SteveGroves–ChiefExecutive,Partnership
36 TishHanifan–JointChair,SocietyofLaterLifeAdvisers
38 OttoThoresen–DirectorGeneral,AssociationofBritishInsurers
39 JulesConstantinou–HeadofMarketing,GenRe
41 RonWheatcroft–TechnicalManager,SwissRe
43 BrianFisher–LTCmarketingmanager,FriendsLife
45 DrMatthewConnell–Principal,GovernmentandIndustryAffairs,GlobalLife,Zurich
47 DrPatrickNolan–ChiefEconomist,Reform
49 DrBenRickayzen–CassBusinessSchoolandProfessorPhilipBooth–InstituteofEconomicAffairs
what the experts think
22 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Paul Lewis Freelance Financial Journalist and Presenter of BBC Money Box
Paying for care in old ageWeallagreethatthepresentsystemofpayingforcareinouroldageisconfusingandunfair.Weall
agreeitshouldbechanged.Weallagreethatmoremoneyisneeded.Weallagreethatsomeoneshould
pay.Andweallagreethatitshouldnotbeus.
AndrewDilnotwassetthetaskoffindingafairerwaytopayforcare.HisreportFairerCareFunding
publishedinJulyproposedshiftingthebalanceofpayingawayfromthosewithpropertywealthand
towardstaxpayersasawhole.No-onewouldbeworseoffandmanywouldgain.ButtheGovernmenthas
shownfeeblesupportforhisideasandagreedonlytopublishitsownreportearlynextyear.
Thecostofmakingcarefreeforallelderlypeoplewouldbearound£4billion.39Thereareonlytwoplaces
thatmoneyforcarecancomefrom.
First,youcouldraisetaxes.Topaytheentire£4billionayear,wouldrequireariseofabout1pon
thebasicrateofincometax,currently20pinthepound.Thosewhothinkthatisimpossibleshould
rememberthatincometaxbasicratewas22pinthepoundasrecentlyas2007/08.Oritcouldbedone
byaddingabout1%tothe20%rateofVAT–takingituptothelevelratechargedinIrelandorBelgium
andwellbelowthatincountriessuchasGreece(23%)orNorway(25%).
Butitishardtoseeanypoliticiangivingsuchacommitmentwhenthecostisexpectedtorisesharply
overthenextfewyearsandfurtherrisesintaxmaybeneeded.AnditisharderstilltoseeHMTreasury
allowingthemtoraiseaspecifictaxtomeetaspecifiedexpense.Hypothecation–asitiscalled–always
causesapoplexyamongTreasurycivilservants.
AndrewDilnotsuggestedhismoremodestproposals–whichwouldcostaround£2bnor½%onbasic
rateofincometaxoronVAT–weresosmalltheycouldbelostintheTreasury’smarginsorerror.He
pointedoutthat£2billionisamere1/400thoftotalgovernmentexpendituresoitwouldnotbenoticed.
Buttheguardiansofthenation’spursepointoutthatwhileanyparticularproposalisalwaysaffordable
byitself,itwouldinevitablyleadtoothersimilardemandsandbeforeyouknowwhereyouarethe
countrywouldhaveadebtof£950billion.Oh.Wedo.
ButhasDilnotgotitentirelywrongtoproposeshiftingthecostawayfromindividualstowards
taxpayers?Thereisanothersourceofmoneythatcouldcertainlybeusedtopayforcareformostpeople
foratleastthenextgeneration–theestimated£2.5trillionlockedupinowneroccupiedhousing.40
Thiswealthismainlyownedbythebabyboomerswhoboughttheirhomescheapandhaveseenthem
changefromaplacetolivetoalotterywininlittlemorethanthetimetheirchildrenhavetakento
becomeadults.
Thereareverystrongargumentstosaythatthosewhoownthiswealthshoulduseittopayfortheir
what the experts think
39Dilnot,FairerCareFunding–analysisandevidencep.8240Halifaxpressrelease15/5/2010UKHouseholdWealth41www.nationwide.co.uk/hpi
23 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
owncare.Takeatypicalcouple,JoanandMichaelCurwen,wholiveinCornwall.Theirhomeisworth
£260,000.Whentheyboughtitin1981theypaid£34,225.41EvenwhentheirchildrenwereyoungJoan
andMichaelbothworked,oftenlonghours,tomakesurethemortgagewaspaid.
Whentheyboughttheirhomeitwaswortharoundsixtimestheaveragewageof£5600.42Todaythe
houseisworthabout10timesaverageearnings43andtheyhavemadeagainof£225,775.Evenifthe
costofborrowingistakenintoaccount,whichroughlydoublestheamounttheypaid,thewindfallisstill
closeon£200,000.
JoanandMichaelbelievetheyearnedthismoney.Butinrealityitissimplyawindfallderivedfromthe
economytheyhavebeenfortunateenoughtolivein.Anditonlyseemsfairthattheyshouldbeexpected
topaysomeofthiswindfallgaintopayfortheirowncare.
Atthemomenttheygenerallywillnothavetodoso.Iftheyarethefirsttogointocareleavingtheir
partnerbehind,thenthevalueoftheirhomewillbeignored.Itwillalsobeignoredwhenthesecond
goesintocareifthereisarelativeaged60ormorelivingthereand,atthelocalauthority’sdiscretion,if
ayoungerpersonwhohasbeenacarerislivingthere.FiguresfromcarespecialistsLaing&Buissonand
theDepartmentforWorkandPensionsindicatethatonlyaboutoneineightoftheelderlypeopleliving
inacarehomehavesoldtheirhometopaythefees.
Theaveragetimeinacarehomeisabout2.5years.44Theaveragefeeisaround£30,000ayear.45That
putstheaveragecostofcareforanindividualataround£75,000–or£150,000foracouple.Thatis
belowtheaveragevalueofahome–whichisjustover£160,000.46Soasimplemechanismtotakea
chargeagainstthevalueofahometopayforcarewouldseethecostscoveredinmostcases.
Ofcoursemanyolderpeoplewillaskwhythosecarefullynurturedassetsshouldbetakenwhenothers
getcarefree?Butthepeoplewhowouldlosefromthispolicyarenotthoseincarebuttheirheirs
whowouldnolongerinheritthewindfalltheirparentshavemadefromtheeconomictimestheylived
through.Andwhyshouldtaxpayersasawholefootthebillsothatmiddleagedadultscaninheritmore?
42Calculated1981-2011usingONSindexLNMMand2%risein2010and2011432010AnnualSurveyofHoursandEarnings,2010table1.1atab4,OfficeforNationalStatisticswebsite44Laing&Buisson45£700aweekwithnursingcare,£500aweekwithout.Laing&Busisson2011.46LandRegistryHousePriceIndexAugust2011
24 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Dr Ros Altmann Director General, Saga GroupThecurrentsystemoflong-termcarefundingishaphazard,inefficientandunsustainable.Eventhough
ithasbeenobviousformanyyearsthatanageingpopulationwillmeanspendingmoremoneyoncare,
neitherGovernment,norindividuals,havepreparedproperlyforfuturecarecosts.Severalmajorofficial
reviewssincethe1990shavebeenparkedinthepoliticallonggrass,hopefullytheDilnotCommission
willnotsufferthesamefate.
TheDilnotreporthighlightshowfailuretoadjustsocialcarepolicyovertimehasleftcareunder-funded
acrosstheboard–atnational,localandindividuallevel.Thewelfarestatewasdesignedinthe1940s,
whentheideaofmillionsofpeoplelivingtoadvancedoldagewasunheardof.Thefewwhodid,would
haveapensionandbelookedafterbythehealthserviceiftheywereveryillorbytheirfamilies.Such
assumptionsnolongerhold.Timeshavechanged:morewomenwork,familiesarelivingfurtherapart
andtheNHSdoesnotprovideongoingsocialcare.PastGovernmentshavefailedtohelppeopleprepare
forcare,eventhougharoundoneinfourofuswillrequireexpensivecareinlaterlife.
Dilnotdescribeshowcareisthepoorrelationofpublicspendingontheover65s.Governmentspends
over£100bnonbenefits,over£50bnonthehealthserviceandjust£8bnoncare,leavingmillionsof
vulnerableolderpeopleatrisk.
Associalcareislargelyprovidedfromlocal,ratherthannational,budgets,Councilcost-cuttingmeans
reductionsincarespendingareleavingevenmoreindividualswithunmetneeds.
What has gone wrong? The‘problem’isthatpeoplearenowlivingsomuchlongerthanbefore,whichisactuallygreatnews,but
oursupportsystemsarebeingoverwhelmed.Inadequatefundingisinextricablylinkedwithpoorcare
delivery.Recentheadlinesofcarehomefailings,resultpartlyfromCouncilcostcuts,andsuchproblems
willonlyworsenwithoutreform.
Dilnot’sprimefocuswasonimprovingprivateprovisionforcareinEngland–buthisrecommendations
canextendtothewholeUK.Hehighlightedthecurrentsystem’sconfusingandinconsistentrules,with
paymentsandassessmentsbeingsomethingofa‘postcodelottery’.Thecurrentmeans-testoperates
veryharshly.Anyoneneedingresidentialcare,whohasassetsworthover£23,250(includingthevalue
oftheirhome,unlesstheirspousestilllivesinit)mustpayfortheircarehomecostsinfullthemselves.
Somostpeople’swholelifesavingsareatrisk,butmanydonotrealisethisatall.Itisimportanttohelp
themunderstandandprepareforcare,justasweencouragepeopletosavefortheirpension.
Unlikewithpensions,noteveryonewillneedcare,soinsuranceagainstfuturecarecostsisoneobvious
potentialsolution.However,potentialcostsareunlimited,soitisimpossibletofindaffordableinsurance
togivefullpeaceofmind.
what the experts think
25 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
How could an insurance market be encouraged?Dilnotrecommendsacapof£35,000–£50,000whichindividualsmustpayfortheirowncareneeds,
beforethestatestepsin.Healsorecommendsahighermeans-testingcut-offwithagentlertaperupto
£100,000,toprotectthosewithmodestassetsfromusingalltheirsavings.Withamaximumamount
of,say,£50,000,peoplecantakeoutaninsurancepolicyorasavingsplantocovercareneeds.They
couldalsoaddextrasavingsorinsuranceiftheywantmorethantheminimumstateprovision.Currently,
however,becausepotentialcarecostsareunlimited,itisdifficulttodevisepoliciesthatwillprovidereal
peaceofmind.
Dilnot’ssolutionisnotperfect(especiallyasresidentialhomeaccommodationcostsarenotincluded)
however,hisframeworkwouldbeasignificantimprovementonthecurrentsituation.Encouragingan
insurancemarketcouldalsohelpcutfuturecarecostsbyincentivisingmoretelehealthandtelecare
services,aswellashomeaidstohelppreventordetectaccidentsorinjuries.Forexample,insurersmay
insistonpeoplehavinghandrails,electronicmonitorsorotherdevicestokeepthemsaferandprevent
themneedingcare,justashomeinsurancecompaniesincreasinglydemandhouseholdershavealarms
andsecurelockstopreventburglaryorfire.
A cap on care costs could also facilitate a market in new savings products to prepare for care, if they prefer this to insurance.Atthemoment,however,Governmentincentivesforprivatefinancialprovisioninlaterlifefocusalmost
exclusivelyonpensions.Thebesttaxincentives,mandatoryemployercontributions,extensivefinancial
productsareallfocusedonpensions.Ofcourse,toofewpeoplearesavingenoughfortheirpensions,
butatleastmanyaremakingsomeprovision,withfinancialfirmsmanagingbillionsofpoundsfor
people’spensions.Butcareneedscanbefarmorecostlythanpensions,andyetthereisalmostnothing
setasideforthis.Moneyhastobefoundurgentlyatthepointofneed,causingindividualsandtheir
familiessignificantdistress.
MeasurestoencouragecaresavingcouldincludeCareISAs,allocatinganannualpension-style
allowancetoprovideforcare,incentivisingemployercareplansandadaptingannuityrulestoallow
pensionfundstobeusedtobuy‘CarePensionAnnuities’,withalowerstartingincomebutcanthen
providemuchlargersumsinlaterlifeifcareisneeded.
Greater use of Equity Release is inevitable, since most people needing care will have to access the value of their property – especially for those receiving domiciliary care. Anotherpotentialsavingsproductthatwouldbefacilitatedbyacaponprivatecarecostswouldbe
‘FamilyCarePlans’.Partoftheproblemputtingpeopleoffsavingforcare,isthatnoteveryonewill
actuallyneeditsoitistemptingtojusthopetheywillnotbeaffected.But,statistically,withinafamily
offour,onepersonwillprobablyneedcare–howevertheydon’tknowinadvancewhichone.Fourfamily
memberscouldclubresourcestogetherandsaveinajoint-accounttoensure,say,thatoneofthem
willhavetheircareneedscovereduptothecap.Suchaccountscouldalsobetiedinwithadditional
insurance,sothatifmorethanoneinfouractuallyneedscare,theywillbeinsured
againsttheextracosts.Byjoiningtogether,eachindividual’scostswillbemuchlowerthansaving
forcareseparately.
26 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
What will happen with Dilnot?TheCoalitionhascommittedtotryingtodealwithsocialcareinthisParliament.IthaspromisedaWhite
PaperinSpring2012,althoughthatwillbeaboutdeliveryofcare,notjustfunding.
OneobviousproblemwithDilnot’sproposalsistheircost–anextra£1-£2bnayear–whichmight
explaintheGovernment’sinitiallukewarmresponse.Itishardtoimaginethestatebeinglessgenerous
thanunderthecurrentstarkmeans-test,sotheTreasurymaybeinnohurrytoimplementchange.
However,thecapsandthresholdsofDilnot’sframeworkcouldbeadjustedtooperateinamore
cost-neutralmanner,andmoneycouldbeearmarkedfromtheNHSbudgettopayforcare.Thiscould
actuallysavethehealthservicehugeamountsinfuture.
Reformisessential.Carefundingmustimproveandthemorepeoplecanprovidefortheirowncare
needs,themoretheywillhavepeaceofmindthattheywillbewelllookedafterifrequired.
Whetheritisforourselvesorourlovedones,wewouldallbebetteroffknowingthatcarewillbethereif
weneedit,ratherthanhopingthatthedaywillnevercomeandfailingtobeprepared,orfindingthatthe
standardofcareisinadequatebecauseoflackoffunds.Ourcaresystemisnotdesignedfor21stCentury
realities.Thesoonerwebringitintothemodernworld,thebetterallourfutureswillbe.
what the experts think
27 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Andrea Rozario Director General, Safe Home Income Plans (SHIP)Therearemanyproblemsfacingthecurrentsocialcarefundingsystem,butthebiggestofthese
problemsislackofclarity.PeopledonotknowwhatisexpectedofthemandwhatGovernmentwill
provideforthem.Theydonotknowwhatsupporttheyareentitledtoorhowtheireffortstoprovidefor
themselveswillaffecttheirentitlementtobenefits.Governmenttoosuffersfromalackofclarity–not
knowinghowmuchthestatewillhavetocontributebecausethesystemisill-definedandill-equippedto
meettheneedsofanageingpopulation.
IntherecentreportfromhisCommissiononFundingofCareandSupport,AndrewDilnotmakes
proposalstoaddressthisproblem.Herecommendslayingoutacleardefinitionofhowmuchpeoplewill
havetocontributetotheircarecostsandhowpeoplewillbesupportediftheyarenotinapositionto
contribute.Thestatecannotaffordtopayforuniversalfreesocialcare.Dilnotacceptsthat.Norcanthe
stateaffordnottosupportpeoplewhentheyneedsocialcareprovision.Dilnotacceptsthattoo.Whathe
proposesisadefinedbalanceofresponsibility–aframeworkthatsaysGovernmentpaysforthismuch,
youpayforthismuchandthosewhoabsolutelycan’tpaytheirsharewillbesupportedtodoso.
CommentatorshavesaidthatDilnot’sproposalswillprovetooexpensiveforGovernment.Theyare
rightthatitisnotacheapsolution.Butsocialcarefundingisnotacheapproblemandthereisnocheap
solution.ThisisanopportunityforGovernmenttofinallyaddresswhatisagrowing,andevermore
costly,problem.Otherwise,thiswilljustendupbeingkickedintothelonggrass,ashashappenedso
manytimesbefore,andtheproblemwillgetworseandmorepeoplewillsuffer.
So,iftheGovernmenttakesthison,whatelseneedstobeconsidered?Akeyaspect,andonethat
theGovernmentcanhelptoaddressbyworkingwiththefinancialsector,ishowpeoplewillpaytheir
share.Themeanstestingforthiswilltakeintoaccountaperson’sincomeandtheirassets,tosome,as
yetundefined,extent.Howtheirhousingwealthistakenintoaccountwillbeimportant.Astoowillbe
howpeoplearesupportedtoaccesstheirhousingwealth,especiallygiventhedesireofGovernmentto
ensurethatpeoplearen’tforcedoutoftheirhomesbytheirneedtoaccesscashtopayforsocialcare
andtheincreasedfocusondomiciliarycare.
Equityreleaseisoneofarangeoffinancialservicesproductsthatcanhelptoaddressthisquestion.
Equityreleaseproductsallowpeopletoreleasesomeoftheequityfromtheirhomeswithouthaving
tomove.Therearenorepaymentstomakeduringthelifeoftheloanandbothmembersofacouple
arecovered.Theloanisgenerallyrepaidwhenthehouseissoldafterthedeathoftheindividualor
couplecovered.
SHIPisthetradebodythatrepresentstheequityreleaseindustry,currentlyrepresentingaround90%
oftheequityreleasemarketintermsofvolume.SHIPwasformedtoensurethatthesectorprovides
thebestpossibleprotectionandsecurityforpeopleconsideringreleasingequityfromtheirhomes.
Tothisend,allSHIPmemberssignuptoSHIP’scodeofconduct,whichincludespledgesforcustomer
protection.Thesepledgesincludeaguaranteethatcustomerscanliveintheirhomesforlifeaslongasit
remainstheirmainresidenceandanonegativeequityguarantee,sothatcustomerswillneverowemore
thanthevalueoftheirhomeandnodebtwilleverbelefttotheestate.
28 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Despitetheseguarantees,thereisasignificantbarriertopeopleaccessingtheseandotherretirement
financialservices:thereisalackofreliableindependentinformation.Peopleeitherdonotknowabout
theproductsthatareavailable,donotrecognisehowtheycouldbeusedtohelpthemorfinditdifficult
toknowwhichproductsrepresentasafeoptionforthem.Thesepeople,understandably,donotfeel
comfortablegettingalltheirinformationaboutfinancialservicesfromthefinancialservicessector.
Ifpeoplearegoingtohaveconfidenceinfinancialservicesproductstohelpthemmaketheircontribution
tocarecosts,theyhavetohaveindependentinformationaboutwhattheiroptionsare,clearguidanceon
ifandhowfinancialservicesproductswillaffecttheirbenefitentitlementsandwhatkindofcarecosts
theyshouldbeplanningfor.ThisiswhereGovernmenthasanimportantroletoplay.
Governmentshouldprovidepeoplewithunbiasedandindependentinformationaboutthevarious
optionsavailabletothemintermsofretirementandsocialcarefunding,includingthetypesoffinancial
servicesthatareavailable;informationonthetypesofcareservicesavailable,howtoaccessthemand
wheretoviewassessmentsofspecificservices,aswellasaguidetochoosingtherightservice;anda
guidetothebenefitsthatareavailabletopeopleandhowtheyareaffectedbyvariousmethodsofsaving
andaccessingequity.
Governmentshouldalsobeworkingwiththeretirementfinancialservicessectortodefinewhatproducts
areavailable,orcouldbedeveloped,tomeettheneedsofpeoplewhowanttoaccessfundingtopay
forsocialcare.Innovativeproductshavebeenandcouldbedevelopedtospecificallyaddressjustthis
typeofneed;thiscanbedonemuchmoreeffectivelyinthefuturewithGovernmentandthesector
workingtogether.
WithGovernment’ssupport,wecanensurethatpeoplehaveaccesstotherightsolutionsforthemand
theirspecificsituationsandthattheyhavetheconfidencetomakeuseofthem.
what the experts think
29 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
James Lloyd Director, The Strategic Society CentreByproposingthatthestateprovidesprotectiontothepopulationagainstthe‘catastrophiccosts’of
long-termcare,theCommissiononFundingofCareandSupporthaslaidthegroundforadebateabout
howindividualscoulduseproductsprovidedbythefinancialservicesindustrytomeetthecostoftheir
remainingliability.
The‘cappedcost’modelisperhapsbestdescribedasa‘cappedexclusionfrommeans-testedsupport’
model:individualswouldhavetheirneedsassessedbylocalauthoritiesandbeallocatedafinancial
valueforthesupporttheyrequire.Ifthepersonbeingassessedfallsbelowthemeans-testthreshold,
theywillreceivethismoney.Ifthepersonisabovethethreshold,thissupportwillremain‘notional’,and
itisonlywhenaperson’saccumulatednotionalsupportreachesatotalof£35,000thattheywillthenbe
entitledtoactualsupport.
However,throughoutthisprocess,localauthoritieswill–asnow–beundertakingso-called
‘carer-sighted’needs-assessments:ifapersoncanhavetheirneedsmetfullyorpartlythroughinformal
care,theywillnotbeentitledtolocalauthoritysupport–includingnotionalpackagesofsupport–even
iftheyareexperiencingrelativelyhighlevelsofdisability.The‘cappedcost’modelisthereforebuilt
around‘need’definedasafinancialvaluebylocalauthorityresourceallocationsystems,ratherthan
disabilityorexpenditureoncareservices.
So what will the ‘capped cost’ model mean for financial services?TheCommissionpinpointsequityreleaseproductsasonewayinwhichfamiliescouldfundtheirliability;
withtheirliabilitycapped,individualsmaybelessaversetospendingdowntheirhousingwealth
throughtheuseofequityrelease.Thismaywellbetrue,althoughindividualsmaystillbeconcerned
abouttheadequacyoffuturesupportfromthestate.Butthebiggestissuefortheequityreleasemarket
wouldactuallylikelybetheCommission’sproposalforplacingadutyonallcouncilstooffer‘deferred
paymentschemes’,wherebycouncilspaytheresidentialcarefeesof‘self-funders’andreclaimthis
amountafteraperson’shomeissold.Wheretheseschemeshavepreviouslybeenavailable,theyhave
effectivelyamountedtosubsidised,publiclyrunequityreleaseschemes.Ifallcouncilsaretooffer
deferredpaymentschemes,evenchargingabasicrateofinterest,theinteractionwiththeequityrelease
marketwillhavetobethoughtthrough;crowding-outwouldbeaclearrisk.Givenmanycouncilsmay
struggletooffer‘deferredpaymentschemes’,itmaybethatahybridsolutionisarrivedatinwhichmore
councilsprovidedeferredpaymentschemeswithfinancialservicespartners.
Atpresent,theonlyactivemarketforcareinsuranceproductsisimmediateneedsannuities,boughtat
thepointofenteringresidentialcare.Givenmostpurchaserspaysignificantlymorefortheirresidential
carethanthosefundedsolelybylocalauthorities,thismarketwouldsurviveunderthe‘cappedcost’
model,astheseindividualswillalwaysbeleftpayingout-of-pocketforsomeoftheirfees,evenafter
theyreachthe£35,000thresholdofstatesupport.Indeed,thismarketwouldmostlikelygrow.With
self-fundersknowingthatfinancialsupportfromtheircouncilwouldjumpatacertainpointinthefuture,
bydefinition,agreaterproportionofthe120,000self-fundersinresidentialcarewillhaveanactuarial
interestinpurchasinganimmediateneedsannuity.Affordabilitywouldbegreaterformorepeople,and
thecurrentmarketofaround7–8000policiesmightincreaseto15,000–20,000.
30 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Turningtovarious‘pre-funded’insurance-basedcareproducts,thepicturebecomessubstantially
morecomplicated.Wouldindividualsbeabletopurchasepre-fundedinsuranceagainsttheir£35,000
liability?No.Thisisbecausetheliabilityis,strictlyspeaking,uninsurable.Insurerscanpriceproducts
onthebasisoftrendsinlongevityanddisability.But,underthe‘cappedcost’model,aperson’s£35,000
liabilityisalsodeterminedbytheavailabilityandreceiptofinformalcare,andlocalauthoritydecisions
onentitlementproportionaltodifferentlevelsofneed.Thesearefactorsthatinsurerscannotpricefor.
Whatwouldbetheresult?Anypre-fundedinsuranceproductswouldlikelybelimitedtoofferinga
£35,000lump-sumwhenapersonexperiencesadefinedleveloffunctionalimpairment.Thismayor
maynotbewhenapersonbeginsbeingallocatednotionalsupportbytheirlocalauthority.Itispossible
toimaginesomeonemakingasuccessfulclaimontheircareinsurance,receivinga£35,000lump-sum,
butbeingtoldthattheyarenotentitledtonotionalsupportfromtheircouncilbecausetheirpartneris
judgedabletomeetalltheirneeds.Insuchasituation,itwouldbelefttoindividualstospenddownthe
lump-sumastheysawfit.
Ultimately,suchasituationmayberatherunsatisfactoryforcustomers,andiscertainlyinefficientin
insurancetermsandfromtheperspectiveofpolicymakers.However,assumingsuchaproductcost
£10,000perpremium,recentanalysisbytheStrategicSocietyCentrefoundthattake-upwouldbe
unlikelygrowabove6%ofnewretirees(thosestillworkingwouldalwaysbebetteroffputtingmoney
intoapension).47Ataround45,000newpoliciesperyear,thiswouldnotrepresentasignificantnew
marketforproviders.
Asimilarsetofissuesfacedisability-linkedannuities,whichwouldalsolikelyhavetoofferlump-sum
payoutsunderthe‘cappedcost’model.Amongdefined-contributionpensionsavers,relativelyfewhave
suchabigpotatretirementthattheywouldbewillingorabletoallocate£10,000toprotectionagainst
carecosts.Pensionpolicymakersmightalsohavesomethingtosayaboutthisgivenongoingproblems
arisingfromsofewannuitantspurchasinginflation-protectionordual-lifepolicies.
Sooverall,the‘cappedcost’modelwouldlikelyresultinincreasedtake-upofdecumulationvehicleslike
equityrelease,andpoint-of-needproductslikeimmediateneedsannuities.
However,pre-fundedinsuranceprotectionunderthe‘cappedcost’modelislikelytobeverylimited
indeed.Thisisperhapsinevitablewhentwoverydifferentsystemsforallocatingresources–private
insuranceandlocalauthorityresourceallocationmechanisms–seektointeract.Itwouldbeleftto
individualstoresolvethecontradictionsthatwouldflowfromthisinteraction,buttheeffectwouldalso
likelybetofurtherinhibittake-up.
Doesthismatter?Ifthegovernmentweretoimplementthe‘cappedcost’modelwithagenerous,low
capof£35,000,thenprobablynot.But,ifacapwereinfactsethigher–£50,000to£100,000–the
inabilityofindividualstoprotectthemselvesfromthisliabilityinasatisfactorywaywouldlikelybecome
muchmoreofaheadacheforpolicymakers.
what the experts think
47LloydJ(2011)TheFirstStep?AresponsetotheCommissiononFundingofCareandSupport,TheStrategicSocietyCentre,London
31 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Clive Bolton At Retirement Director, Aviva UK Life
Consumer attitudes to long-term care fundingWeknowpayingforcareinlateryearsisasignificantconcerntopeoplethinkingabout,orinretirement,
andpublicinterestinthetopicofsocial,residentialandnursingcareinlaterlifehasbeenparticularly
highinrecentmonths.TheBBC’sinvestigationintostandardsofcareatresidentialhomes,thefinancial
difficultiesfacingSouthernCross,andlastlyJuly’sreportfromtheCommissionfortheFundingofCare
andSupporthasfocusedsustainedattentionontheissue.
Asaleadingproviderofannuities,equityrelease,andadviceforcustomersapproachingorinretirement,
Avivaisonlytooawareofthefinancialconcernspeoplehavearoundcare.Tohelpaddtothedebatein
thisimportantdiscussionpaperfromtheCharteredInsuranceInstitute,Iwanttoshareourinsightsinto
howcustomersviewpayingforcare,andhowtheymayrespondtothenewproposals.
Aviva’sRealRetirementReportresearchseriesanalysesthefinancialissuesfacingtheover55s,andwe
supplementedthiswithasurveyofover4000peopleinearlyJuly(throughICMResearch)investigating
attitudestocarefunding.
Firstlyit’sworthnotingthatcareandhealthworriesregularlyappearinretirees’topfinancialconcernsin
ourquarterlysurvey,butthere’sarealagedivide.Oneinthreeover75sisworriedaboutpayingforcare
–butthefiguresaresignificantlylowerinthe‘youngerretiree’groupof55–64yearolds.
Itthereforeseemsindividualsandfamiliesareyettopersonalisethisissueandtranslateitintotheir
ownfinancialplansandattitudes.TheGovernmentmayhaveachallengeonitshandstoeducatethe
averageUKfamilythatsocialcare(whetherintheirownhomeorinaresidentialhome)isnotfree,anda
newsystemthatattemptstofairlyapportionthecostsofcareisnecessary.
Whilstthemajorityoftheover55swesurveyedacceptedcarecostsshouldbedividedbetween
governmentandindividuals,thereisacleardividebetweenpeoplebelievingonlythe‘betteroff’should
makeacontribution(51%)andthosethinkingthiswouldbetheresponsibilityof‘mostpeople/ortheir
families’(19%).Overaquarterexpectcaretobefullycoveredbygovernmentspending(27%).
Thissuggeststherecommendationforahighermeanstestthresholdshouldbepopular,though
Governmentwillneedtoclearlycommunicatethatthoseunderthethresholdwillstillhavetomake
somecontribution,andthattherecommendedcapappliestocostsincurredonlyforcarethatisrequired
underthenationalassessmentcriteria,nomatterhowitispaidfor.
The reality of finances in retirementAviva’sresearchsuggestspeoplehaveareasonableunderstandingofthecurrentcostsofcarebuthave
noplanforhowtheymightmeetsuchcosts.72%ofallrespondentsdidnotknowhowtheymightpay
fortheirowncareinfuture,andamongstthe1300whoanticipatedafamilymemberwouldneedcarein
thenearfuture,59%hadnoplan.Soevenasrealitystartstobite,inactioniscommon.Anyreformneeds
tomakeiteasierforpeopletoknowwhattheyneedtopay,andtheoptionstheyhaveabouthowtodo
so.TheCommission’srecommendationsforanewawarenesscampaignandbetterinformationadvice
shouldhelpaddressthis.
32 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Whenweaskedtheover55showtheymightpayfortheircareifneeded,aboutathirdwoulduse
savings/investmentsandaquarterwouldconsiderequityrelease.Buthowlikelyisitthataverage
retireescouldmeetthecostsofcareusingthesesolutionsalone?TheJune2011RealRetirementReport
showedmediansavingsamongtheover-55sstandat£11,907–clearlytherewillbehouseholdswith
fargreatersavingsbutthe‘average’retiredfamilyorindividualisunlikelytohaveenoughinthebankto
easilycovercarecostsdespitetherecommendedcap.
Further,oneinfourhomeownersover55sstillhasoutstandingmortgagedebt,withtheaverage
amountowedstandingat£61,370.Forpeopleinthissituation,usingequityreleaseordownsizingin
thefaceofcarecostsmaynotbeanoption.However,theaveragepriceofhomesownedbytheover55s
is£231,306(May2011)–muchhigherthanthenationalaveragehouseprice(£160,519)despitefalling
propertyvalues.Forretireeswithaveragelevelsofsavingsandhousingequity,payingforcarelooks
withinreachifalifetimecapisintroduced,evenconsideringthepotentialresidentialbillsthis
mayinvolve.
How can the insurance industry help?Sowheredoinsurerscomeintohelppeoplewhowillneedtopayforcare?Differentagegroupswill
needdifferentsolutions–thoseatorclosetoneedingcarenowwillhavedifferentoptionstothose
atretirement,andyoungergroupsabletomakelongertermplans.Thesystemmustworkforeachof
thesegroups.
Thoseconsumersalreadyinorapproachingretirementhavelimitedopportunitiestosavemoreor
changetheirfinancialplans,andsoexistingproductscoupledwithamorestraightforwardsystemand
betteraccesstoadviceiscrucial.Weseeaclearroleforequityreleasehere,whichworkswellwitha
proposedcapthatmaybecomeanincentivetoseekcareandsupportearlier,andtoremaininthehome
forlongertoavoiduncappedresidentialcarecosts.
Theproposedcapcouldfosterinsuranceproductspayingafixedsumorincomeinspecificevents
ratherthanbeingtiedtopayingallcarecosts.Thisremovesthepoliticaluncertainty,becomesasimpler
customerpropositionandcouldbeeasierforinsurerstoprice,reserveforandunderwrite.Butwiththe
riskofcatastrophiccostsremoved(atleastforsocialifnotresidentialcare),itislikelytheincentivefor
peopletoinsureinadvancewillreduce.
TheCommission’sproposalsprovidesomecertaintyandamorestableframeworkforcurrentretirees
andthoseapproachingretirement.Acaponcostsandslidingpaymentscalecoupledwithahigher
meanstestingthresholdshouldmakelong-termsocialcostsappearmoreaffordableforaverage
families–oneofthekeyobjectivesofreform.
ItremainstobeseenhowmanyoftheCommission’smorecostlyproposalswillbeadoptedbythe
Government,andthekindofproductsconsumersmaywishtoturntounderthenewsystem.Untilthen,
it’shardtodefinewhatnewinsurancesolutionscouldlooklike.It’sstillearlydaysinwhatcouldbea
longpoliticaldebate,butwe’restartingtoseeopportunitiestohelpcustomersplanandpayforcare.
Aclearpictureofcurrentconsumerattitudes,wealthandassetsiscrucialinensuringthepoliticaland
industryresponsemeetsitsgoals.
what the experts think
33 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Steve Groves Chief Executive, Partnership PartnershipisthelargestproviderofLong-termCareAnnuitiesintheUK.
Partnershiphasbeencampaigningforself-funderstoreceiveappropriatefinancialadvice.Self-funders
arethoseinthecurrentcaresystemwithassets(includingproperty)ofmorethan£23,250inEngland
whohavetopayfortheirowncare.
Long-termCareannuitiesorImmediateNeedsAnnuitiesprovideanincomeforlifetofundcarecostsin
returnforaoneoffpremium.Providedtheincomeispaidtoaregisteredcareprovideritistaxfree.This
productisportableandprovidespeaceofmind.Anyresidualassetscanbeleft,typicallyasabequest,to
family,safeintheknowledgecarecostshavebeenmet.
What are the problems with the current funding system? • Achroniclackofawarenessamongconsumershasleadtoafailureofdemandforlong-termcare
insuranceproducts.Thiscoversachroniclackofawarenessof:
– Thecostsofcare
– Howlongpeoplewillliveincare.Whileaveragelifeexpectancyinresidentialcareis2yearsour
policyholdersliveonaveragefor4years
– Howmanypeoplewillneedcare.Webelievebetween1in2and1in3womenaged65todaywill
needcareduringtheirlifetime
– Wheretogetfinancialadvice.Ofthe130,000peoplewhoenteredresidentialcarein2009,41%
or53,000wereself-funders.Howeveronly7%receivedappropriatelyqualifiedfinancialadvice48
– ThetypesoffinancialproductswhichareavailableMostpeopledonotknowaboutanyofthe
fundingproductsavailable(76%).Only12%hadheardofalong-termcareannuity49
– 80%ofcarehomeshadneverheardofImmediateNeedsAnnuitiesandmostsocialworkers
andDirectorsofAdultSocialServicesareequallyignorantoftheproductsavailabletohelp
self-funders.79%ofcarehomeshavenorelationshipwithanappropriatelyqualified
financialadviser.
Other significant issues include:• LimitednumbersoffinancialadviserswithCF8(estimatedatapproximately8,000)whoare
appropriatelyqualifiedtoprovidefinancialadviceinthisarea.Lackofaccesstosuitablyqualified
advicehasasignificantimpactontheabilityforpeopletopurchasetheappropriatefinancialproduct
• Extremelyfewlocalauthoritiessign-postself-funderstoappropriatefinancialadvice–despite
thoseself-fundersbeingentitledtoit.Withoutappropriatefinancialadviceandfailuretopurchase
anappropriatefinancialproductitisinevitablethatself-fundersprematurelydepletetheircapital
andfallbackonthestate.Partnershipestimatesthatthecosttolocalauthorities(inEngland)from
self-funderswhodepletetheirassetsprematurelyisnearly£1bnayear.TheLocalGovernment
InformationUnit(LGiU)estimatesthat25%ofself-fundersdepletetheircapitalandfallbackonthe
state.50
48OliverWymanresearchforPartnership49GfKNOPresearchforPartnership50Independentageing:councilsupportforcareself-fundersMarch2011
34 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
what the experts think• Manylocalauthoritiescompleteafinancialassessment(meanstest)priortoacareneeds
assessmentinanefforttoavoidthecostofcarryingoutthelatteriftheelderlypersonisa
self-funder–eventhoughitisanentitlement!
• Transparencyandstandardisationoflocalauthoritycontributionsarenecessarytostopdistortions
inthemarketgreaterdemandmanagementwouldreduceoverallpublicsectorcosts.
Are Dilnot’s recommendations well designed to solve these issues?WebelievethefollowingrecommendationsbyDilnotwillplayasignificantroleinaddressingthechronic
lackofconsumerawarenessaboutcareandwheretoreceiveadvicewhichwebelieveisfundamentalto
thegrowthofaninsurancemarketforLong-termCare:
• Amajorcampaignpromotingawarenessofthesystem
• Betterinformationandadvicetobemadeavailable
WebelievethatdistortionscreatedbydifferentapproachestothefundingofLTCbylocalauthoritieswill
start,inpart,tobeaddressedbythefollowingrecommendation:
• Introductionofconsistentnationalassessmentcriteria
AlsowemustnotlosesightoftheimportanceoftheLawCommission’sresponseonAdultSocialCare
(whichwillfeedintotheSocialCareWhitePaper).Thisisamuchneededrationalisationwhichprovides
aclear,modernandeffectivelegalframeworkfortheprovisionofadultsocialcareservices.Previously,
byitsownassessment,therewas“anoftenincoherentpatchworkoflegislation,whichmakes
interpretationandapplicationofthelawcomplexandtimeconsuming”.
Ofparticularnoteisrecommendation(6)thatthe“statuteshouldplacedutiesonlocalauthoritiesto
provideinformation,adviceandassistanceservicesintheirareaandtostimulateandshapethemarket
forservices”.Thisofcourseneedsclarityaboutwhatservicesareandhowtheyaredelivered–however
appropriatefinancialadviceforself-fundersiscritical!
What might a Consumer Engagement Strategy Look Like?Partnershiphasspentsignificanttimeworkingwithlocalauthoritiesandotherpublicfacing
organisationstoensurethatpeoplewhoneedinformationandadvicereceivethem.Focusingresources
totheseexistingsourcesofconsumerinformationisclearlyimportant.
Itisclearthatprovidinga‘onesizefitsall’bookletorgenericwebsiteisnotsufficient.Consumers(the
elderlyandpeoplewithpowersofattorney)willbemakingcarefundingdecisions,typicallyatatimeof
distress,followinganaccident.Theyneedhelpandadvicetailoredtotheirneeds!
• Local authorities,whichareakeypointofcontactforconsumers–requiresystemswhichare
focusedonindividualneeds.Ideallytheyshouldidentifyself-funderswellinadvanceoftheirneed
forcare.Partnershipisworkingcloselywithover30localauthoritiestogenerateawarenessofthese
issues,andhelpthemdevelopconsumerfocusedprocessestosignpostself-funderstoindependent
financialadvice
35 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
• payingforcare.co.ukPartnershiplaunchedthissiteinresponsetoaseriousinformationgapabout
wheretogetadviceoncareoptionsandinparticularwheretogetqualifiedfinancialadvice.Thissite
alsoprovidesopportunitiestodirectly‘chat’withqualifiedcarefeesadvisers.Partnershippioneered
thiswhenitrecognizedthat29millionpeople‘Googled’theterm‘payingforcare’andthat69%turn
totheinternetforinformationoncareforolderpeople.
What preconditions are necessary for the development of a healthy market for long-term care financial products and services?AsthePolicyExchangesetoutinitsreport–‘Careless,FundingLong-termCarefortheElderly’
June2010
Political uncertainty about the future of social care funding over the last 12 years has
caused the private care insurance market to fail. Why pay for something that the State
will provide for free.
This requires a clear statement from the Coalition Government that free personal care for the
elderly cannot be provided entirely by the State.
Partnershipbelievesthatclarityaboutwhattheconsumerisrequiredtopayforandwhattheindividual
hastopayforiscritical.Withoutthisconsumerswillbeunabletoplaneffectivelyfortheircareprovision.
Thisis,inouropinion,theprincipalpre-condition.HoweveritisworthnotingthattheRetailDistribution
Review(RDR),willrequiremoreadviserstoachievehighlevelsofqualification,whichformanywill
includeCF8,enablingmoreadviserstoadviseoncareproducts.
How can we ensure that consumers have trust and confidence in financial advice and products related to long-term care?Partnershipbelievesthataccesstoappropriatelyqualifiedfinancialadviceiskeytothis.
AdvisersmustgetCF8qualificationstoprovideadviceoncareandideallyER1forequityrelease.
AnothervaluableconsumerbenchmarkintheprovisionofcarefinancialadviceisSOLLA(theSocietyof
LaterLifeAdvisers),whichisanindependentlyauditedsocietyofadvisersskilledinprovidingadviceto
theelderly.
36 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Tish Hanifan Joint Chair, Society of Later Life Advisers TheDilnotCommissionhashighlightedsomekeyaspectsofthecurrentshortcomingsofthecare
system;thecomplexityofthestateprovisionforcarefundingandtheresultinglackofclarityforthe
olderpersonortheirfamilywhoaretryingtonavigatetheirwaythroughamyriadofoptionswithno
clearsignposts.
Muchhasbeensaidofthe‘postcodelottery’bothintheprovisionofNHScareandforlocalauthority
fundedsocialcare.Thislotteryisalsotrueinrelationtothepathwaysbywhichtheolderpersonenters
thesystemandfindstheirwaythroughit.
TheneedformuchofmiddleEnglandtofundtheircareinwholeorinparthasbeeninplaceforover18
yearsyetthereisstillmuchconfusioninthemindoftheconsumerastowhopaysforwhatandwhen.
Partofthisconfusionisahistoricaccidentinthatgovernmenthascarvedoutcarefundingintotwo
discreteareas;continuingcareprovidedbytheNHSandsocialcarefundedbytheLocalAuthority.
WiththesocialimperativebeingthatNHScareisfree[orseentobe]andlegalandfinancialconstraints
ofLocalAuthorityprovisionofsocialcarerequiringthattheindividualcontributetothecostoftheircare,
thefinancialimplicationoffallingintoonecategoryratherthananotherareverydifferentandpotentially
costly.Howevertheboundariesbetweenthesecategoriesareblurredandindistincteventothosewho
workwithinthemorprovidelegaladviceastoentitlement.
Againstthisbackgrounditislittlewonderthattheconsumerfindsthesystemdifficulttounderstand.
Theyexperiencecarewithinthecontextoftheirneedsandarebewilderedatthefinancialimplications
ofbeingdesignatedintocategories.ThisconfusionleadstowhatDilnotandothershaveidentified;a
feelingofinjusticebasedonpoormanagementofexpectations.
AsuccessofDIlnotandthedebateithasengenderedwillbeifthepublicarehelpedtowardsa
greaterawarenessoftheuniversalneedtoconsidertheprospectofbothneedingcareinthefuture
andtherecognitionthat,formanyofthem,thiswillalsoinvolveafinancialburdenwhichtheymust
factorintotheirretirementplanning.Financialserviceshasakeyroletoplayinthisbyworkingalong
sidegovernmentdepartmentstoensurethatconsumereducationisgivenahighprioritywithinthe
forthcomingWhitePaper.Governmentdepartmentsarewellpositionedtoprovideaccesstoinformation
andtohelpwithsignpostingtheindividualthroughthesystemandtheoptionsavailable.
Dilnotreferstothepossibilityofanationalwebsiteasapossiblevehiclefordeliveryofthisinformation.
Whilstduplicationofpublicsector,NFPandcommercialsitesisalmostcertainlyawasteofresources
andpotentiallyincreasescomplexity,thereareinherentproblemswiththeprovisionofjustone
‘approved’resource.Notleastoftheseisthepotentialforaprescriptiveandnarrowapproach.There
areanumberoforganisationsfromboththepublicandthecharityandNFPsectorwhoallprovideclear
informationinanaccessibleway.
Theevidentneedisforgoodcoordinationoftheseresourcesinordertobalancewiderangingadvice
withclarityofinformation.ThepivotalroleofLocalAuthoritiesinsignpostingtheirself-fundersis
increasinglybeingrecognised.Therehavebeenanumberofdepartmentalinitiativestotryandassist
LocalAuthoritiestomeettheirresponsibilitytoself-funders.51
what the experts think
51J.Carr-WestandL.Thraves(March2011),IndependentAging:CouncilSupportforCareSelf-Funders,LocalGovernmentIntelligenceUnit
37 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
DilnotsupportstherecentLawCommissionrecommendationthatthisresponsibilitytoself-funders
shouldbemandatory.HoweverDinotalsohighlightsthatitisnotonlyinformationandsignpostingthat
theindividualneedsbutalsoadvice.Inthisregard,financialserviceshasanimportantroletoplay.The
financialsectorcanandwillrisetothechallengeofprovidingproductsandsolutionstomeettheneed
ofanageingpopulation.Inallaspectsofretirementplanningthisisalreadybeingachievedandthe
sectorwillcontinuetomakeprogress.However,iftheindividualistobenefitfromtheinnovationwhich
financialservicescanprovidethentheymustbehelpedtounderstandtheoptions,makedecisionsand
actonthem.
Behaviouraleconomicscontinuestoprovidemuchenlighteningresearchintheareaofdecisionmaking.
Oneaspectofthiswhichisaconstantisthatcomplexityanduncertaintyleadstoinertia.Facedwith
tryingtomakesenseofmanynewfactorsandasystemwhichisusuallyunknownterritory,theability
ofpeopletotakecleardecisiveactionisunderstandablyoftencompromised.Factorintothisdecision
making,theadditionalproblemthat,inthecurrentsystem,decisionsareoftenmadeatatimeofcrisis
anditbecomesapparenthowdifficultcleardecisionmakingisfortheindividual.Whateveroptionsare
available,thesewillonlybebeneficialifthedecisionmakerknowsaboutthemattheappropriatetime,
andisguidedthroughthemsothattheyfeelconfidentinthedecisiontheyneedtomake.
Awellinformedconsumerwhothenhasaccesstogoodandclearfinancialadvicewillbeabletomake
theimportantdecisionsneededinrelationtocareplanningandotheraspectsofretirementplanning,
bothforthemselves,andforthoseforwhomtheymayactasattorneys.
However,abarriertothetake-upoffinancialadvicebytheconsumeristhelackoftrustthatmany
peoplehaveinthefinancialservicessector.Muchresearchsupportsthisview.TheCIIforexample,
foundthatoneinfiverespondentswillnevertrustfinancialservicesagainand72%ofpeoplehavenot
verymuchornotrustatallinfinancialadvisersandlifeinsuranceproviders.52
TheSocietyofLaterLifeAdviserswasfoundedin2008asanotforprofitorganisation,toassist
consumersandtheirfamiliesinfindingtrustedaccreditedfinancialadviserswhounderstandfinancial
needsinlaterlife.Itwasestablishedtoaddressthisneedbyenablingtheconsumertofindspecialist
independentfinancialadviceinwhomtheycouldhaveconfidence.TheLaterLifeAdviserAccreditation
(LLAA)wasdevelopedinconjunctionwiththeFinancialServicespartnership(thentheFinancialServices
SkillsCouncil).Inestablishingtheappropriatestandardsforthisaccreditation,theworkinggroup
includedAgeConcernandWhich?whobothstressedtheneedforadviserstobeabletodemonstrate
theirsoftskillsandevidencetheirabilitytounderstandthespecificneedsofthissector.Thestandards
forthisaccreditationcanbefoundat:
http://www.societyoflaterlifeadvisers.co.uk/PDF/Prospectus_Brochure-v.07.pdf
Byensuringcontinuedconsumeraccesstoinitiativessuchasthisandbydevelopingspecialistfinancial
advicetomeetstheneedofanageingpopulationaswellastheimplementationoftheincreased
professionalismunderpinningtheRDR,financialserviceswillbeabletotoprovidetheconsumerwitha
keyproductforasuccessfulretirement–high quality advice.
52CII(2010)Whatwetalkaboutwhenwetalkabouttrust
38 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Otto Thoresen Director General, Association of British Insurers53
Long-termcareaffectsusall.Itishighlylikelythatmanyofuswillrequiresomeformofspecial
assistancelaterinlife,whenthroughfrailtyordisability,wefinditincreasinglydifficulttocarryout
normaldailyactivitiessuchaseating,dressingandshopping.Eventhosefortunateenoughnottoneed
thissupportwillalmostcertainlyknowsomeoneintheirfamilyorcircleoffriendswhodoes.
Thefactthatwearelivinglongerisoneofthegreatachievementsofthelastcentury.However,thisis
placingnewpressureonsocietytomeettheadditionalcostsofanageingpopulation.Thestatealone
cannotpaythebillsinvolved.Theaveragecostofcareinaresidentialhomeis£25,000ayear.Thisrises
tonearly£39,000perannumwhennursingisrequired.Despitethispotentialfutureexpenditure,most
peoplearefailingtoplanaheadforthefullrangeofneedstheymayhaveinretirement.
What contribution can the insurance sector make?1) Weneedtohelppeoplebetterprepare.Wearedevelopingpoliciesandactivelyengagingwith
keystakeholderstopromotetheimportanceofbuildingamorefinanciallyresilientsociety.The
insuranceindustryisuniquelyplacedtorelievesomeoftheburdensonthestatebyproviding
savingsandinsuranceprotectionproductsthathelppeopleplanforretirementandanyunexpected
eventsthatmayresultinalossofincome.Byencouragingindividualstotakemorepersonal
responsibilityfortheirownandtheirfamily’sfinancialsecuritywecanhelpconstructasocietythatis
lessdependentonthewelfarestate.
2) TheABIsupportstherecommendationsbytheDilnotCommissionasaframeworkforasustainable
solutiontofundinglong-termcare.ItisessentialthatMPsfromallpartiesworktowardsa
sustainablesettlementandthattheissueisnotputontheshelf.Thereneedstobeclarityover
therespectivecontributionswhichgovernmentandindividualswillbeexpectedtopay.Oncethis
frameworkisinplace,insurerscandevelopthenecessaryfinancialproductstoenableapersonto
covertheirshareofcarecosts.
3) Mostimportantly,weneedtogetpeoplesaving.Aroundhalfthepopulationareeithernotsavingina
pensionatallorarenotsavingenoughforadecentretirementincome.TheABIisthereforeastrong
supporterofautomaticenrolmentintoworkplacepensionsavings,startingfrom2012.Itwillbea
socialrevolutionforretirementsavings,theimportanceofwhichishardtounderestimate.
InsurersarereadytoworkinpartnershipwithgovernmentandotherkeystakeholderstoensureBritain
isaresilientsociety.Wewillcontinuetoexplorewaystheprivatesectorcanfillthegapbetween
people’sprotectionneedsandtheservicesofferedbythestate.
what the experts think
53ThetextwasfirstpublishedonEpolitixhere:http://www.epolitix.com/latestnews/article-detail/newsarticle/building-a-more-financially-resilient-society/
39 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Jules Constantinou Head of Marketing, Gen Re
How should the insurance industry respond to Dilnot?TheDilnotReportwaspublishedonJuly4th2011andoutlinestheNationalCommissionontheFunding
ofSocialCare’srecommendationsonfundingandsupport.54Sinceitspublicationthefocusofdebate
hasbeenaroundthe‘three’numbers;35,000,100,000and10,000referredtointhereport.£35,000
representsthemaximumthatanyindividualwouldcontributetothecostoftheirsocialcare.£100,000
istheproposedmaximumvalueofassetsanindividualcouldholdbeforetheirentitlementtofullstate
fundingdisappearsandtheywouldberesponsibleforthefull£35,000.Thisisasignificantchange
fromthecurrentlevelof£23,250andmuchfairergiventhattheassetsofmostwhorequiresocialcare
aretiedupinbricksandmortar.Althoughthisrepresentsasignificantshiftfortheindividual,most
commentatorsbelievethiswillnotmateriallyaddtothecostsforthestate.Finally,£10,000isthe
recommendedmaximumcostpermonthforfoodandaccommodationwhilstrequiringsocialcare.There
willbeacontinuedfocusonthesenumbersoverthenextfewmonths,asthedebateaboutturningthe
broadframeworksetoutbytheCommissionintoapracticalstructuredevelops.Thedevilwillbeinthe
detailandalreadytherearesignsthatthe“three”numbersareinherentlymisleadinginthatthepublic
arelikelytopayalotmorethan£35,000beforetheStatetakesfullresponsibility.
DespitethesecaveatstherearetwomessagesfromtheCommissionofparticularimportance.Firstly,
everyonewillpaysomethingfortheirsocialcareunlesstheyareunabletodosofinancially.Thisisan
importantmessageasitcreatesadistinctdifferencebetweenthefundingforsocialcareandtheNHS,
whichiscurrentlyfreeforallatthepointofentry.Secondly,thattheStatewillassumeresponsibility
forthepotentiallycatastrophiccoststhatattendsomeonerequiringsocialcareformanyyears
(currently,self-funderswhosefundsbecomeexhaustedarecostinglocalauthoritiesbetween£500m
and£1bnperannum).
Boththesemessagesshouldreinvigoratetheprivateinsuranceindustryandprovideaplatformfor
insurerstodevelopproductstoassistthepublictomeettheircommitmentsunderanewsystem.Sofar
theindustryhasunderperformedwithonly30,000prefundedpoliciesinforcebytheendof2010andno
morethan1500newimmediateneedspoliciesbeingboughtperannum.
Inordertomakethemostoftheopportunitiesthereareanumberofissuesthatstillneedtobeclarified
beforethemarketwillgainmomentumandadviserswilldeveloptheconfidencetorecommend
Long-termCare(LTC)policies.
Fundamentaltotheprocessisthedevelopmentofafundingsystemthatisbasedonanational
assessmentframeworkwithaclearexpectationofthecarethatcanbeexpectedasaresultofthat
assessment.Thecurrentsystem,inwhichtheavailabilityoflocalauthorityresourceleadstodiffering
levelsofcareforsimilarneedsdependentuponwhereanindividuallives,hasledtogreatdifficultyin
givingclearadvicetopotentialpurchasers.TheCommissionhasmaderecommendationsontheneedfor
portableassessments,butitisthepracticaldeliveryofthesethatwillalsohaveabearingonthefuture
ofanyprivateproducts.
54https://www.wp.dh.gov.uk/carecommission/files/2011/07/Fairer-Care-Funding-Report.pdf
ThisarticlereferencessourcematerialthatissubjecttoCrownCopyright2011.CrownCopyright2011materialisreproducedwiththepermissionoftheControlleroftheHMSOandtheQueen’sPrinterforScotland.
40 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
ThepurchaseofLTCpoliciesinthepasthavemostlybeen‘distressedpurchases’.Thedevelopmentof
anillnessoftenpanickedfamiliesintomakingquick,uninformeddecisionsontheprovisionandthe
financingofcarefortheirlovedones.Thelackofclearsignpostingtoadviceonboththeprovisionand
thefinancingofsocialcarehasbeenhighlightedbytheCommissionwhomaderecommendationsfora
Stateeducationcampaigntoaddresstheseissues.
InadditiontothesestructuralissuesthatcanbeaddressedbytheState,theinsuranceindustryitself
needstocloselyexamineandaddresscriticismsoftheexistingsuiteofproductssotheybecomemore
attractivetoadvisersandtheirclients.
ThemaincriticismofprefundedLTCproductshasbeenthelackoflong-termpremiumguarantees.Most
oftheproductshadpremiumreviewsbuiltineverytenyearsinordertomanagetheuncertaintyofthe
underlyingexperience.Thisresultedinlargepremiumincreasesorbenefitreductionsonpoliciesfor
ageingpolicyholders.Thosewhoseassetsweretiedupintheirpropertyoftenlackedthefluidresources
torestorethecovertotheleveltheyhadplannedforyearsinadvance.Astheexperienceofthose
policeshasbeguntoemerge,pricingactuarieshavegainedgreaterconfidencewhich,coupledwiththe
State’sappetiteforthecatastrophicclaims,shouldcreateanenvironmentwherepremiumguarantees
areeasiertoprice.
Theothermajorchallengeisthedifferencebetweenthepublicperceptionofhowtheindustry
providescoverandtheactualprocessesthatallowittodoso.Onlyaround25%to33%willrequire
LTCeventually.Lookingatthisfromadifferentperspective,67%to75%ofuswillnot!Theaesthetic
appealofpre-fundedproductsisvastlydifferentfromthesetwocontrastingviewpoints.Themajorityof
peoplewillfeelthattheywillnotbenefitfromtheirhardearnedmoneyandthattheinsurerswill.Whilst
thoseintheindustryunderstandthatinsurancereliesonhomogeneouspoolstospreadriskacrossthe
populationandthatthepeoplewhoeventuallyclaimarebenefitingfromthosewhodon’t,thisisnotthe
perceptionofthemaninthestreet.Insurerscannotbecomplacentandshouldseektodesignproducts
thatprovidebenefitstothosewhodonotclaimaswellasthosewhodo.Examplesofthesearedisability
linkedannuitiesthatpayalesserinitialamounttothepolicyholderandthenpayamultipleofthat
amountiftheyrequiredcare.TheUnitedSatesmarkethasseenthegrowthofintergenerationalproducts
whereanyunusedbenefitsarebequeathedtospousesorheirs.Inotherspheres(termassurance)
productspromisingafullorpartialreturnofpremiumstopolicyholdersthathaven’tclaimedorlapsed
havebeendeveloped.
ShouldtheproposalsoftheCommissionbeadopted,theinsuranceindustryneedstobereadytotake
advantageofthenewenvironment.Theuncertaintiesthathaveattendedthefundingofsocialcare
forsolonghavemeantthatithasbeendifficulttodevelopproductsthatmeetpeople’sneedsandare
attractivetobuy.Whilstthesepotentialchangesleadtooptimism,itisclearthatanyinsuranceproduct
isnotthepanaceathatwillprovidecompleteindemnityagainstthepublic’ssocialcarecostsbutoneof
rangeoftoolsorfundingmechanismsthatpeoplecanaccesstogetbetterfinancialpeaceofmind.
what the experts think
41 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Ron Wheatcroft Technical Manager, Swiss Re
Has Dilnot loosened the ties stifling long-term care funding?Itisgenerallyacceptedthatthecurrentsocialcaresystemisnolongerfitforpurpose.Itiscomplex,
poorlyunderstood,andcreatesextrastressforfamiliestryingtocopewithemotiveissuesinfundingand
arrangingcarefortheirlovedones.Hence,theDilnotCommissionreportisbothtimelyandwelcome.
Fundingincreasinglongevity,whetheringoodorpoorhealth,willbeachallenge.Researchpublishedat
theendof2010bytheDepartmentforWorkandPensions,basedonONSpopulationprojectionsandlife
expectancyestimates,suggeststhatnearlyoneinfivepeoplecurrentlyintheUKwillliveto100.
Despiteincreasedlongevity,theaveragepersonwillspendagreaterproportionoftheirlifeinpoor
health.ONSdatashowthatamalebornbetween2004and2006canexpecttospend11.2%ofhislifein
poorhealth,comparedwith9.0%forsomeonebornin1981.Forfemales,theproportionhasremained
broadlystableat13.2%.
Weneedtoaddressthefinancialconsequencesofincreasedlongevitygenerallytoachievethe
appropriatecostbalancebetweenthoseinworkandthosenotworking.Increasestothestatepension
age,auto-enrolmentandtheremovalofthedefaultretirementagewillstarttoaddressthis.
Whiletheseinitiativeswillhelp,thereisagreatriskthatpeoplemakinganyprovisionwillthinkit
sufficienttoprovidetheretirementincomeandlifestyletowhichtheyaspire.Realistically,wecannotget
awayfromthefactthatasignificantincreaseinfundingtomeetthecostoflateryearsisessential.
The Commission’s recommendationsShortofcompulsion,thereisnosinglewaytomeetcarecosts.ItispossiblethattheCommission’s
recommendationsmaybeacceptedbythegovernmentinwhole,inpart,orevenrejectedastoocostly.
Nonetheless,theysetoutsomestrongindicatorswhich,ifadopted,shouldencouragethefinancial
servicessectortodesignanddeliverproductsthatdovetailwithstateprovision.
Thecommissionproposesapartnershipmodel,basedonacaponcarecostsofaround£35,000,tiered
forthoseagedbetween40and65.Themeans-testedthreshold,setat£100,000,shouldencouragethe
creationofsavingsandinsuranceproductstocoversome,orall,ofthecostofcareforpeoplewhose
assetsexceedthislimit.
Currently,noinsurersofferpre-fundedlong-termcareprotectionpolicies.Thecaponcosts,particularly
ifupratedinlinewiththebasicstatepension,couldencourageprovidersotherwiseworriedaboutthe
possiblelong-termliabilityforclaimscosts.Thissupportsthedevelopmentofspecificcareproducts,
orcarebeingcoveredaspartofawiderpackage.Oneexamplemightbeanextensiontocoverunder
acriticalillnessorincomeprotectionpolicy.Forpureprotectionproducts,andinordertomaximise
consumeraccess,theregulatoryregimeforpureprotectionbusiness(ICOBS)shouldbeused.
Equityreleaseproductsshouldalsohaveaplaceforpeoplewhoarecash-poorbutasset-rich.Inthe
absenceofotherprovision,manypeoplewillstillneedtodrawonthevalueoftheirpropertytomeet
theircarecosts.
Itisappropriatethatthosewhoareunabletoprovideforthemselvesthroughsavingsorother
meansshouldbeprotected.Consequently,theproposedsafetynetforthoseforwhomcarecostsare
unaffordableiswelcome.
42 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
what the experts thinkLinkage with pensionsGreaterflexibilityandcloserlinkswithpensionprovisionshouldbeexplored.Pensionshavebecome
moreflexibleinresponsetochangingconsumerneeds.Forexample,thereisagrowingmarketfor
annuitieswhichrecognisereducedlifeexpectancyandothercharacteristicsatthepointofvesting.
Impairedlifeandenhancedannuitiesarenowcommon.Themarketdoesnot,however,provideanatural
vehiclewhichrecognisesandaddressestheneedforextramoneyincludingpayingforcarewhen
circumstanceschangeaftervesting.
TheCommissionrecommendsthatfurtherconsiderationbegiventodisability-linkedannuitieswhere
paymentsincreasewhentheannuitantbecomeseligibleforcare.Currently,thisdesignwillnotbe
approvedbyHMRCunderthepensiontaxrules.
Meanwhile,thegovernmentshouldconsiderallowingpre-fundingofcarecoststositalongsidepension
savings,withtaxreliefoncontributionsasanextensionto,orwithin,theannualallowance.
Engaging consumers to prepare for possible care needsAlthoughsomecomplexityremains,thesimplersystemproposedbytheDilnotCommissionshouldhelp
toclarifywherepersonalresponsibilitylies.Agovernmentcampaigntohelppeopleunderstandthenew
systemisessential,withindustrypromotioncomplementingthismessaging.
Weneedtoencourageconsumerstolookholisticallyattheirfundingrequirementsandthefinancial
consequencesofnotbeingabletomeetthem.Thesolutionsmayincludedrawingonsavings,income–
whereconsumersareeffectivelyself-insuringtherisks–andinsuredbenefits.Thishassimilaritieswith
thewaythatconsumersarelookingbeyondtraditionalpensionproductsandusingISAsandpropertyas
partoftheirretirementincomeplanning.
Accesstohigh-qualityadvicethathelpspeopleplanwillbevital.Therearealreadyanumberofexcellent
advisersprovidingatop-classserviceforpeopleenteringcareandfortheirfamilies.Ahighstandard
isappropriateheregiventherangeofotherdistressingissueswhichcanemerge.Theproposals,if
adopted,shouldcreatefurtherdemandforadviceservicesforcareandestateplanning.
Weneedtorecognisethatsomeconsumerswillnotwanttouseadvisers,butwillinsteadbuydirectly
fromaninsurer.Thisismostlikelytobethecasewherecarebenefitsformpartofaprotectionpackage.
Makingpeopleawareoftheoptionswillbekeyhere.ThereisalsoanimportantrolefortheMoney
AdviceServiceinclarifyingpeople’sresponsibilities,irrespectiveofwhethertheyuseanadviserornot.
ThisshouldbeanintegralpartoftheFinancialHealthCheck.
Overall,theseproposalsarepositivenewsfortheindustry.Ifimplemented,ourresponsewillneedtobe
onethatwilldeliverresultsandtheplanningtowardsthatshouldstartnow.
43 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Brian Fisher LTC Marketing Manager, Friends LifeTheDilnotCommissionreportonthefundingoflong-termcarehasraisedthepublicawarenessof
theneedtoconsiderhowfuturecarewillbefunded.Againstademographicbackgroundofincreasing
numbersofpeoplelivinglongerandbeinglikelytoneedcarelaterinlife,itisessentialthatthisissue
isaddressed.
Thereportthrowsupanumberofpositiveproposals:
• Thereshouldbeauniversaleligibilitycriteriaforcaretoendthe‘postcodelottery’andcare
packagesshouldbe‘portable’ifindividualsmove–althoughthereisalsoaschoolofthoughtthat
localauthoritiesshouldbefreetodeliversolutionstolocalsituations
• TheGovernmentshouldinvestinanawarenesscampaignanddevelopanewstrategytoimprove
accesstoinformationandadviceforthepublic.Thisisavitallyimportantarea.Fundinglong-term
careiscomplexbyitsverynaturesoarobustinformationandadviceprocessisessential.
• Thereshouldbebettersupportforcarers.
Followingpublicationofthereport,therewasmuchfocusontheproposalsregardingthemeanstest
thresholdandtherespectivecapsontheamountthatthepublicwillbeexpectedtocontributetowards
theirowncare.
Theseareasarefundamentallyimportantandtheyarealsotheareasofgreatestcomplexity.Anumberof
headlinesfollowingthereportsuggestedthatthemeanstestthresholdwillbe£100,000,witha£35,000
caponthecostofcareanda£10,000caponthecostofaccommodation.However,thereisalevelof
complexitybeneaththiswhichneedscarefulconsideration.
Regardingthemeanstestthresholds,theproposalsrecommendchangingtheuppermeanstest
thresholdleavingthelowermeanstestfigure–thecapitaldisregard–at£14,250.Capitalbetween
theupperandlowerfiguresisconvertedintotariffincomeattherateof£1perweekforevery£250.
Thismeansthatfulllocalauthoritysupportbecomesavailablewhenanindividual’sassetsaredown
to£14,250.
The£35,000caponthecostofcareisaccruedattherateofalocalauthorityassessedneedandnotthe
amountthatanindividualmayhavepaidfortheircare.Thisisanimportantareaasitisonlythecostof
carethatthelocalauthoritydeemsnecessarythatwillaccruetowardsanindividual’scap.
Similarly,foranindividualpayingfortheirowncareinaprivatecarehome,irrespectiveofwhattheypay
infees,thecapwillonlyaccrueatthelocalauthority’scontractrate(whichislikelytobelessthanthe
rateschargedbyaprivatecarehome)lessthe£10,000p.a.accommodationcharge.
Intheareaofmeanstestingtheremaybesomeusefulexperiencewecandrawon.Walesremovedthe
gapbetweenthetwothresholdsinApril2010,leavingasinglemeanstestfigure.Theremaybesome
valueinlookingatthiswithaviewtodevelopingasystemthatisveryeasytounderstandandcost-
effectivetoadminister.
Encouragingpublicengagementiscrucialasweknowanecdotallythatmanypeoplestillpreferto
thinkthattheywillnotneedcareinthefuture.TheDilnotCommissionplaysavitalrolehereinraising
awarenessandputtingforwardproposalsforimprovingthesysteminthefuture.
44 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
what the experts thinkInaddition,localgovernmentandtheNHShavetheinfrastructuretofacilitatetheflowofinformation
tothepublicthrougharangeofpublictouchpoints.ConsumerorganisationsliketheSocietyofLater
LifeAdviserscanworkwithlocalauthoritiestoprovideaccesstospecialistindependentadvicetothose
requiringcareandtheirfamilies.Allofthiscanhelptoboostawarenessandknowledge.
Allofthoseactiveintheprovisionoflong-termcarehaveadutytoengageinshapingtheproposalsput
forwardbytheDilnotCommission.ConsiderationalsoneedstobegiventotheStatebenefitssystemand
howthisrelatestothefundingoflong-termcare.
45 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Dr Matthew Connell Principal, Government and Industry Affairs, Global Life, ZurichThecurrentsystemoflong-termcareinEnglandandWalesisnotsatisfactory–ittriestomuddle
throughwithmeanstestedbenefitsthatcanbeparticularlyharshonpeoplewhohavesavedhard
throughouttheirlives.
However,experiencearoundtheworldshowsthatstatesocialinsuranceforlong-termcarecanbevery
expensive,puttingsignificantupwardpressureonlabourcosts.
Dilnot’splansseemtobeasensiblemiddlewaybetweenthesetwoextremes,settingouttherole
oftheindividualandthestateinawaythattheycanbothmanage.However,therearestillthree
majorchallenges:
• Anyincreaseinstateexpenditure,howevermodest,willbedifficultinthecurrenteconomicenvironment
• Overtime,itwillbedifficulttomaintainthebalancebetweenstateandindividualresponsibilities–an
externalbodymaybeneededtomonitorandreinforceanysettlementthatcomesoutofthisprocess
• Dilnot’sproposalsdonotincludemuchscopeforindividualsto‘topup’thelong-termcareservices
thatapplytothem–theycouldbemademoreflexible,sothatindividualscan,forexample,make
provisionfor‘hotel’servicesthatextendbeyondthestandardoffering.
Long-term Care Insurance – The ChallengesAtfirstsight,long-termcareisperfectlysuitedtoinsurance,forthreereasons:
• First,itaffectsasignificantminorityofpeople.Around20%ofmenand30%ofwomenneed
long-termcareduringtheirlives
• Second,forthosewhodoneedit,thecostcanbehuge–around£39,000ayearforsomeonewho
needsnursingcareinanursinghome
• Third,thehealthconditionsthatforcepeopletorelyonlong-termcarearevariedandonlypartly
influencedbyfamilyhistory,soitishardforindividualstoknowwhethertheywillneeditornot.
Itisthiskindofdistributionofriskthatusuallymakesforasuccessfulinsurancemarket–itenablesa
largenumberofpeoplewhopotentiallyfaceacatastrophiccosttosharetheburdenbetweenthem.
However,viableprivatemarketsinlong-termcareinsurancehavenotsprungupspontaneously.Even
intheUS–acountrywithalongtraditionofprivatehealthinsurance–onlyabout4%oflong-termcare
costsarefundedfromprivateinsurance.Mostpeopleareunwillingtoplanfordistant,costlyandoften
unpleasantscenarios.
Onewaytoovercomethisisthroughacompulsoryinsurancescheme,andseveralcountrieshaveset
upsuchschemesoverthelasttwentyyears.However,theyhavebeenexpensive.Acompulsorylong-
termcareschemesetupinGermanyinthemid-1990swas€500millionindeficitby2005,andin2008
contributionstothefundhadtoberaised.AsimilarschemeintheNetherlandssawariseincostsof
37%infouryears.
46 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Dilnot’s SolutionGiventhechallengesthatfaceattemptstobuildpurelystate-runsystemsoflong-termcareinsurance,
Dilnothasattemptedtocreateamixtureofprivateandstatefundinginsettingoutasystemofcarefor
theUK.
Recognisingtheneedtocapthehighlyuncertaincostsoflong-termcare,hehaschosenamodelwhere
individualsmakeasetcontribution(withmeans-testedhelpforthosewhocannot),andthenthestate
picksuptherest.
Thisisabitlikethemodelthatisemergingforuniversityfunding,withindividualspayingaset
feefortuition,andthestatecoveringtherest.Itisverydifferentfromthemodelsinpensionand
medicalprovision,wherethestateoffersabasicbenefitthatindividualscantopupwithprivatesavings
andinsurance.
Giventhatpeopletendnottoprepareforeventslikemovingintoacarehome,thekindof
financialproductsthataremostlikelytoflourishinthiskindofenvironmentaresavingsproducts
orequity-releaseproducts.
Dilnot’splansseemlikeapracticalmiddlewaybetweenhigh-costsocialinsurance,whichputshigh
burdensonlabourcosts,andthecurrentsysteminEnglandandWalesofmeanstestingandmuddling
through,whichcanleavepeoplewhohavesavedhardthroughtheirlivesallbutdestitute.
However,therearethreeoutstandingissues:
• Atatimewhengovernmentsarefightinghardtokeepcovetedcreditratings,theUKTreasurywillbe
waryaboutsigninguptonewspendingcommitments,eventhoughthecostsofDilnot’sscheme,at
around£2bn,aresmallcomparedtotheUK’soverallspendingonsocialsecuritybenefitsof£170bn
• Itwillbedifficulttomaintainasteadyboundarybetweenthestateandtheindividual.Inthe
pensionsarenawehaveseenunexpectedchangestotaxandbenefitrulesthathavechangedthe
boundaryovertime,underminingpublicconfidenceinthesystemasawhole.Thesamecouldbe
truewiththeDilnotsettlementif,forexample,theGovernmenttinkersthe‘hotel’costcontribution
orthelevelsatwhichmeans-testingkicksin.Itwillprobablybenecessarytosetupanindependent
bodytooverseelong-termcarepolicy,toensurethatdecisionsaremadeaccordingtotechnical
considerationsratherthanpoliticalexpediency
• Currently,thereisnotagreatdealofchoiceinDilnot’sproposals.Forexample,thereisnoscope
forpeopletopayextra‘hotel’coststogetahigherlevelofaccommodation,yetsomepeoplemight
want,say,asuiteofroomsinalong-termcareestablishmentthatallowvisitingrelativestostay
withthemovernight.Withoutthiskindofflexibility,peoplemayfeelthattheyneedtosinkthelion’s
shareoftheirlifesavingsintocompletelyprivateoptions,inordertogetthelevelofservicethatthey
andtheirrelativesfeelisimportant.
Dilnot’sproposalsonlong-termcareareflexibleandintelligent.Thechallengeforpolicymakersandthe
industryistoturnthemintoaworkablesystemthatindividualsunderstandandtrust,andthatwilltake
manyyearstoaccomplish.
what the experts think
47 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Dr Patrick Nolan Chief Economist, Reform
Time for an honest conversation Withpeoplelivinglongerandbirthratesdecreasingthepopulationasawholeisgettingolder.By2050
itisprojectedthat22.9%ofthepopulationwillbeaged65andover.Peoplearelivinginretirement
longer,livingwithmorecomplexillnessesandrequiringmorespecialisedcaretowardstheendsof
theirlives.
Yettoomanypeopleareunpreparedforthecostsnecessarytolivecomfortablythroughlongerperiods
ofretirement.Governmentsarealsowaryofintroducingrealreformtoagerelatedspendinggiventhe
influenceofoldervotersinelections.Inshort,thereisalackofanhonestconversationoverthereal
costsofanageingpopulationandhowtoaddressthem.Thisisagambleas,astheCIIhaspreviously
argued,inmanycasesitisnotpossibletobeconfidentthatstatebenefitswillprovideacomfortable
lifestyleinretirementorcoverthecostsoflong-termcare.55
Thisisalsonotjustaproblemforpeoplefacingretirementbutaffectsyoungermembersoffamiliestoo.
AsAvivahasshown,middleagedpeople(fromaged35upwards)areincreasinglybearingsomeofthe
costoftheirparents’ageing.56Aroundhalfofthoseinthis“SandwichGeneration”areprovidingfinancial
supportlikecontributingtohouseholdbillsorpayingthefeesforcarehomes.Manypeopleinthis
cohortarealsofacingthecostsofraisingchildren,greaterlevelsofstudentdebttopayoffandlower
levelsofhousingaffordability.Toooftenthisfinancialsqueezecomesasasurprise.
Theneedforanhonestconversationoverthecostsofanageingpopulationcanperhapsbeshownmost
clearlyinthecaseoffundinglong-termcare.Thelatestinstalmentinthelongrunningdebateonhowto
fundthecostsoflong-termcarewasreleasedinearlyJuly2011(thereportoftheCommissionon
Long-termCare).Butwehavebeenherebefore.In1997theLabourGovernmentmadereforming
thefundingofcareapriority.ARoyalCommissionreportedinin1999andittookuntil2009forthe
Governmenttosetoutoptionsforfundamentalreform.
Thistimetheresponsehastobedifferent.Changehastotakeplace.Withoutreformlong-termcarewill
onlybecomemorecostlyanddelaywillreducethetimepeoplehavetoprepareforchangesinpolicy.By
proposingamodelbuiltaroundtheneedforpeopletotakeresponsibilityfortheirowncostsofcarethe
Commission’sreportmakesanimportantcontributiontodebate.Yettheproposalsitcontainsaretoo
expensiveandwillrequirerevisiontobeseriouslyconsidered.
TheCommission’sreportisrighttoemphasisethatpeopleshouldmakeprovisionfortheirown
long-termcareneeds.Thereissufficientwealthheldinassets(especiallyhomes)toadequatelyfund
care.Theseassetsshouldplayapartinanyfundingbase.AsthePensionsPolicyInstitutehasnoted
thevalueofhousingwealthownedbypeopleoverStatePensionAgeisalready£907billionandwillbe
likelytoincreaseto£1,274billionby2030(in2009earningsterms).57
TheCommissionproposescappinghowmuchpeoplearerequiredtopaytowardsthecostsoftheir
careat£35,000.Theideaofcappingcontributionsisright.Thiswouldprovidegreaterclarityover
entitlementsandexpectations.Itwouldmeanthatpeoplecouldpayforthebulkofthecostsofthecare
thattheyneedbutwhenthesecostsrisetocatastrophiclevelstheStateprovidessupport.Thiscertainty
wouldencouragepeopletolooktovehicleslikeinsurance,annuitiesandequityreleasetohelpmanage
55TheCharteredInsuranceInstitute(2011),Anage-oldproblem:developingsolutionsforfundingretirement.56Aviva(2008),UnderstandingtheSandwichGeneration.57PensionsPolicyInstitute(2008),Retirementincomeandassets:howcanhousingsupportretirement?
48 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
thesecostsandmakethemarketmoreattractiveforprivateproviders.Butthelevelofthecapistoolow.
Increasingthecapfrom£35,000to£50,000wouldreducetheimmediatecostoftheproposalsfrom
£1.7billionto£1.1billion.Goingevenhighershouldbeconsidered.
Thereport’sproposalstoreformthecurrentmeanstestarealsoagoodstart.Thecurrentmeanstest
operateswithasharpcliffedgesoonceapersonhasassetsover£23,250theyfacethefullcostsof
theircare.Again,however,theproposalsinthereportaretooexpensive,withpeoplewithassetsbelow
£100,000beingexemptedfromsomeofthecostoftheircare.This£100,000thresholdistoohighand
shiftingthethresholdlowerwouldhelpreducethecostsoftheseproposals.
ThesecostsmustbereducedasthelongertermoutlookfortheGovernment’saccountsisbleak.As
Reformillustratedearlierthisyearthefiscaltimebombofpopulationageingisalreadyexplodingwith
thebabyboomergenerationretiringandtheproportionofthepopulationofworkingagefalling.58As
aresultthecostofhealthandcare(beforetoday’sproposals)isprojectedtoincreaseby£40billion
(intoday’smoney)by2041andthecostofpensionsisprojectedtoincreaseby£32billion.Addingthe
Commission’sproposalsontothis(projectedtoaccountforanadditional£3.6billionby2025)will
meanatotalincreaseofcostaround£75billionayear.ThisismoneythattheGovernmentsimply
doesnothave.
58Cawston,Haldenby,Nolan,ParsonsandTrewhitt(2011),OldandBroke,Reform.
what the experts think
49 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Dr Ben Rickayzen, Cass Business School and Professor Philip Booth, Institute of Economic Affairs
Helping customers with new products - will the EU get in the way?Adisability-linkedannuityisaninnovativeproductwhichcouldbedevelopedwithintheinsurance
industryasameansforindividualstohelpmeettheirlong-termcarecosts.Thistypeofannuitywas
acknowledgedwithintheDilnotReportasbeingpotentiallyveryattractivetoconsumers(seepage21
of“Summaryofresponsestothecallforevidence”April2011andpage40ofthemainreport).Itwas
alsogivenahighprofileinthepressfollowingthepublicationoftheDilnotReport(forexample,seeThe
Timeson4thJuly2011).
Adisability-linkedannuityisaspecialtypeofannuitywheretheproductispurchasedbyapolicyholder
whoisinreasonablehealthattheoutset.Thekeyfeatureoftheproductisthattheincomepaid
increasesifthepolicyholderbecomesdisabledand,forexample,requireslong-termcare.Assuch,a
disability-linkedannuitycouldbeusefulinprovidingforbothpensionandlong-termcareneedsfrom
onesavings“pot”.
Thispolicyisaneasyonefortheinsurertounderwrite,unlikeconventionaldisabilityandlong-termcare
insurance.Thereasonforthisisthattheriskthattheinsurerhastopaytheenhancementtotheannuity
ifthepolicyholderbecomesdisabledislikelytobenegativelyrelatedtotheriskoftheannuitantliving
foralongtime.Iftheannuitantbecomesdisabled,theirexpectedlifespanisshorter.Assuch,thetwo
mainriskstotheinsurertendtopullinoppositedirections.Withaconventionaldisabilityorlong-term
careproduct,aninsurancecompanyisveryexposedtoanti-selectionbycustomerswhoarepoorrisks
–inordertoreducethatexposureexpensiveunderwritingprocedureshavetobefollowed.Withthis
product,ifacustomerwerelikelytobecomedisabled,theywilltendtohaveashorterlifeexpectancy.
Fromthepointofviewofthepolicyholder,theannuityenhancementwouldhelptomeettheadditional
carecostsassociatedwithseveredisabilityandtherebysupportanybequestmotive.Attheveryleastit
wouldmaketheamountofanybequestapolicyholderislikelytobeabletoleavemorepredictableand
helpinpersonalfinancialriskmanagement.
Theannuityisalsomoreflexiblethanastandardannuitysinceitincreasestohelpmeetlong-termcare
costswhenrequired.Indeed,suchanannuitycouldenablethepurchasertoreceivecareintheirown
homeratherthanhavingtomoveintoaninstitutionsuchasaresidentialhomebecauseitwouldhelp
resolvetheproblemofindividualsbeing“incomepoorandcapitalrich”.
Inourresearchintothisproduct,wealsofindthatthepricingisrelativelyinsensitivetoassumptions
abouthowlikelypolicyholdersaretobecomedisabled.Again,thisisbecauseapoorerdisabilityoutlook
islikelytogiverisetoashorterlifespan.Becauseofthis,theproductshouldbequiteeasytoprice,
thoughtheinsurerisstillatriskfromincreasedlongevityingeneral,orfromthedevelopmentofnew
treatmentsthatwouldincreasetheexpectedlifespanofthosewithdisabilities.
Oneratherworryingfinding–somethingthatshouldconcerntheDilnotCommissionandthegovernment
–isthatthemale/femalepricingdifferentialiswiderthanforastandardannuity.Womenshouldpay
moreforthisproductbecausetheyhavealongerlifeexpectancy,ahigherprobabilityofaconditionthat
wouldgiverisetoanenhancementoftheannuityandalsotendtospendlongerwiththatconditionwhen
itarises.TherecentjudgementoftheEuropeanCourtofJustice(1March2011)requiringtheelimination
ofmale/femalepricingdifferentialscouldthereforebedamagingtothisformofproduct.
50 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Togiveanindicationofhowmuchinitialincomemustbesacrificedfromastandardlifeannuityinorder
toconverttoadisability-linkedannuity,welookedatadisabilitylinkedannuitythatpays£10,000per
annumattheoutsetwhilstthepolicyholderisingoodhealth,£15,000perannumifthepolicyholder
failstwoofthestandardsixactivitiesofdailyliving(ADLs)and£25,000perannumifthepolicyholder
failsthreeormoreADLs(i.e.isdeemedtorequirelong-termcare).Assumingthattheannuityincreases
inlinewithpriceinflation,weestimatethatamaleaged65wouldneedtopayaround10%morefor
thedisability-linkedannuitythanforanindex-linkedstandardannuitypaying£10,000perannum.This
extrapremiumis,perhaps,surprisinglylowgiventhehighlevelofdisabilitybenefitsbeingprovided.
Thereasonforthisisthatindividualswhoarehealthyatoutsetareexpectedtospendrelativelyshort
periodsinastateofmoderateorseveredisabilityinthefuture.Furthermore,suchperiodswilltendtobe
attheendoftheindividual’slifeandthereforetheannuityenhancementswillbeheavilydiscounted.
So,whatneedstobedone?Firstly,asnotedintheDilnotReview(andinanearlierpaperbyoneof
theauthorsofthisarticle),thetaxtreatmentofdisability-linkedannuitiesneedstobeclarifiedbefore
insurersundertakeworkinproductdesign.Itisimportantthatthepensionfundtaxregimeisnota
barriertothemarketabilityoftheproduct.Itisespeciallyimportantthatsuchannuitiescanbebought
withtheproceedsofpensionfunds,forexample.Itwouldbehelpfulifdefinedbenefitpensionfunds
couldofferthemtoo.Insurancecompaniesmightthenwishtoexamineandmarketvariantsofthese
products.Itisalsopossiblethattheycouldbecombinedwiththoseformsofequityreleaseproduct
thatprovideannuities.But,allthisworkcouldbewastediftheproductswerestrangledatbirthbythe
recentECJruling.Giventhatthemarketintheseproductshasnotreallygotofftheground,insurersmay
notbeawarethatthisislikelytobeanissue.Itisdifficulttoimaginewhatgoodcancomefromthesex
discriminationrulingifitpreventsthedevelopmentofaproductthatcouldallowpeopletoinsurefor
long-termcarecheaplyandeasilyandreceivecarewhilstcontinuingtoliveintheirownhomes.
what the experts think
51 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
Conclusion and CII viewDilnot’srecommendationsareagoodstart–settingoutafairerapproachtothefundingoflong-term
carewhichwill,ifimplemented,helppreventself-fundersspendingthemajorityoftheirassetson
payingcarehomefees.Theproposalswouldalsoprovideimprovedincentivesforthedevelopmentof
financialproductssuchasimmediateneedsannuities,andcouldleadtogreaterdemandforfinancial
adviceasthecostofcarebecomesclearer.However,onitsownanewfundingmodelcannotresolvethe
chronicproblemsofalackofconsumerawarenessandengagementwhichwill,ifleftunresolved,deter
peoplefromadequatelyprotectingtheirassetsthroughfinancialservicesastheygrowold.Fromthe
CII’sperspective,therearethreeareasinparticularwheremoreeffortmustbemadetoreversethese
detrimentalbehaviouraltrends.
• Political consensusonthelong-termcarefundingmodeliscrucial.Governmentandoppositionmust
dotheirbesttoprovidecertaintyaboutfuturerules–makingcrosspartysupportfortheeventual
settlementvital.Peoplecannotbeexpectedtoeffectivelyplanforthefuturewithoutastable
environmentinwhichtooperate.
• TrustisakeyissueandtheindustrymustembracereformssuchastheRetailDistributionReview
(RDR)whichisaimedatimprovinglevelsofconfidencearoundfinancialservicesandproducts.There
isaconcernhowever,thatwithoutactivelypublicisingtheRDR’saimsandsuccesses,theprojectwill
passunnoticedbythepublic.RecentCIIresearchfoundthatjust20%ofadultswereawareofthe
RDRbutonceinformedweremorelikelytoconsiderseekingfinancialadvice.59Thosewithaninterest
inraisingthelevelofconsumertrustandengagementmustthereforedomoretoimprovepublic
awarenessabouteffortstoprofessionlisefinancialservices.
• Education and easy access to understandable information is also important.Inthisregard,
wewouldreiterateourearliercallforagovernment–lededucationcampaignandbackDilnot’s
proposalsinthisarea.
Thereisgeneralconsensusthatthecurrentfundingsystemisoutdated.Nowallinterestgroupsmust
ensurethatthemomentumforreformcreatedbyDilnotissustained,andanewlastingsettlement
formed,whichdeliversmuchimprovedfinancialsecurityandpeaceofmindforourelderly.
59 CIIIssuesPaper(June2011)Financial Capability: The Money Advice Service and Educating the Public on the RDR
conclusion and CII view
52 Who cares? the implications of a new partnership to fund long-term care
CIIBen Franklin
PolicyandResearchCo-ordinator
CharteredInsuranceInstitute
20Aldermanbury
London
EC2V7HY
Email:
About the Chartered Insurance Institute (CII)
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ho to contact
Ref:CII_long-termcare(09/11)CII_6102
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