NERRS Breast Imaging. 3 marzo 2012

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    Breast Cancer in LMICs:

    Meeting the Challenge and

    Closing the Cancer Divide

    Felicia Marie Knaul

    NERRS Breast Imaging Course

    Massachusetts Medical Society

    March 3, 2012

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    From anecdote

    to evidence

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    January, 2008

    June, 2007

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    From anecdote

    to evidence

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    Global Task Force on Expanded

    Access to Cancer Care and

    Control in Developing Countries

    = global health + cancer care

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    Closing the Cancer Divide:A Blueprint to Expand Access in LMICs

    I: Much should be doneII: Much could be done

    III: Much can be done

    1: Innovative Delivery

    2: Access to Affordable Medicines,

    Vaccines & Technologies

    3: Innovative Financing: Domesticand Global

    4: Evidence for Decision-Making

    5: Stewardship and Leadership

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    Challenge and disprove the

    myths about cancer

    M1. Unnecessary

    M2. Unaffordable

    M3. ImpossibleM4: Inappropriate

    Should,

    Could, andCan..

    be done

    Expanding access to cancer care and control inlow and middle income countries:

    Ch ll d di th

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    Challenge and disprove the

    minimalists:

    myths about cancer

    M1. Unnecessary NecessaryM2. Unaffordable

    M3. Impossible

    M4: Inappropriate: either/or

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    Breast cancer: myths and realities

    It is a disease ofdeveloped countries

    It is a disease ofolder women

    It is of lower prioritythan cervical cancer

    The majority of cases anddeaths occur in the

    developing world

    A large proportion of casesand deathsperhaps the

    majorityhappens in

    women

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    In developing regions, breast cancer

    Most frequent cause of cancer-related death in developingand developed regions

    Leading cause if death especially for young women

    268,000 of the 458,000 deaths per year are in LIMCs: 58%

    Most common cancer in developed and developing regions

    4.4 million women alive (diagnosed): how many in

    developing regions?

    2008: 1.38 million new cases; 50% of which are fromLIMCs

    10.9% of all incident cancerssecond to lung

    (Globocan, 2010; Boyle y Levin, 2008; Beaulieu, Bloom, y Bloom, 2009).

    40% i

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    ~40% occur in pre-menopausal

    women (55

    Age of

    Diagnosis

    Age ofDeath

    Source: Author estimates based on IARC, Globocan, 2008 and 2010.

    33%

    20%54%

    66.6%

    34.2%65%

    Th id i f b

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    The epidemic of breast cancer:Unforseen challenge in LDCs

    Some 45% of the more than 1 million new cases of breastcancer diagnosed each year, and more than 55% of breast-

    cancer-related deaths, occur in low- and middle-income

    countries.*

    Such countries now face the challenge of effectivelydetecting and treating a disease that previously was

    considered too uncommon to merit the allocation of

    precious health care dollars.

    Source: Porter, P. (2007). "Westernizing Womens Risks? Breast Cancer in

    Lower-Income Countries." New England Journal of Medicine 358(3):4

    Curado MP, Edwards B, Shin HR, et al., eds. Cancer incidence in five continents. France: International

    Agency for Research on Cancer, 2007.

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    The divide is the result of concentrating riskfactors, preventable disease, suffering,impoverishment from ill health and deathamong poor populations.

    fueled by progress in cutting-edge science andmedicine in high-income countries.

    The Cancer Divide:disparities in outcomes

    between poor and rich directly related to inequitiesin access and differences in underlying socio-

    economic and health conditions.

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    Cancer is a disease of both rich and poor;

    yet it is increasingly the poor who suffer:

    1. Exposure to risk factors2. Preventable cancers (infection)

    3. Death and disability fromtreatable cancer

    4. Stigma and discrimination

    5. Avoidable pain and suffering

    The Cancer Divide:

    An Equity Imperative

    Fac

    ets

    Whil th M i i h b ti l l

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    While the Mexican experience has been particularly

    profound, more women are working in the labour

    fource throughout LAC and other LDCs

    020

    60

    100

    140

    180

    M

    exico

    Venezuela

    Ecuador

    G

    uatemala

    Brazil

    Bolivia

    Colombia

    Peru

    Chile

    Nicaragua

    DR

    Paraguay

    Honduras

    Uruguay

    Argentina

    C

    ostaRica

    E

    lSalvador

    Panama

    Women

    Men

    Source: FLACSO, Mujeres Latinoamericanas en Cifras, 1995 and CEPAL

    (www.cepal.org/mujer/proyectos/perfiles/documentos/t_trabajo2.xls)

    Growth of the economically activepopulation, 1970-2002.

    Ri k f t t ti

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    Risk factor concentration:

    Obesity Epidemic, Mexico

    10

    60

    8

    32

    57

    25

    10

    2

    37

    25

    36 37

    29

    2

    Malnutrition Adequate

    Overweight

    Obesity

    1988

    1999

    % women 20-49 years

    2006

    Th i i i LMIC

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    Source: Knaul, Arreola, Mendez. estimates based on IHME, 2011.

    The cancer transition in LMICs:

    breastand cervicalcancer

    53%

    20%19%

    -31%

    0%

    LMICs High

    income

    % Change in # of deaths1980-2010LMICs account for

    >90% of cervical

    cancer deaths and

    >60% of breast

    cancer deaths.

    Both diseases are

    leading killers

    especially of young

    women.

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    The cancer transition within countries:breastand cervicalcancer mortality

    Oaxaca

    1979-200825

    0

    8

    16 Mexico1955 - 2008

    Costa Rica

    1995 - 2005

    0

    0

    Nuevo Leon1979-2008

    25

    0

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    Adults

    Breast

    Cervix Prostate

    Testis

    HL

    N HL

    Leukaemia

    All cancers

    Source: Knaul, Arreola, Mendez. estimates based on IARC, Globocan, 2010.

    Children

    LOW

    INCOME

    HIGH

    INCOME

    Survival

    inequalitygap

    LOW

    INCOME

    HIGH

    INCOME

    100%

    The opportunity to survive (M/I)

    should not be defined by income.

    Yet it is.

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    Stigma:

    Juanita

    Cancer, and

    especially

    reproductive

    cancers, adds

    a layer of

    discrimination

    onto gender,

    ethnicity, andpoverty.

    The most insidious example of

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    The most insidious example of

    injustice is access to pain controlNon-methadone, Morphine

    Equivalent opioid consumptionper death from HIV or cancer in

    pain by income level

    Russia: 937 mg; ALL Developed

    countries 57,041

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    Mirrors the overall epidemiologicaltransitionprotracted and polarized*:

    LMICs increasingly face both cancersassociated with infection, and all other

    cancers.

    Cancers that were once considered only ofthe poor, now cease to be the only cancers

    of the poor. (e.g. cervical & breast cancer)

    The Cancer Transition

    * Frenk et al

    Ch ll d di th

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    Challenge and disprove the

    minimalists:

    myths about cancer

    M1. Unnecessary NECESSARY

    M2. Unaffordable: .for the poorM3. Impossible

    M4: Inappropriate: either/or

    Challenging cancer implies taking

    resources away from other diseases of

    the poor

    I ti I CCC

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    Investing In CCC:

    We Cannot Afford Not ToHealth is an investment, not a cost

    Tobacco is a huge economic risk: 3.6% lower GDP

    Total economic cost of cancer, 2010: 2-4% of global GDP

    Prevention and treatment offers potential world savings of

    $ US 131-850 billion mostly due to productivity gains and

    reducing suffering

    1/3-1/2 of cancer deaths are avoidable:

    2.4-3.7 million deaths

    Of which 80% are in LIMCs

    Investing In CCC:

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    Investing In CCC:

    The costs to close the cancer divide may

    be less than many fear:All but 3 of 29 LMIC priority, candidate cancer chemo

    and hormonal agents are off-patent: many < $100 / course

    Cost of drug treatment, cervical cancer + HL + ALL(k)in LMICs / year of incident cases: $US 280 m

    Pain medication is cheap

    Prices drop:HPV 2011 from $US 100 /dose to

    GAVI $5

    PAHO $14

    Challenge and dispro e the

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    Challenge and disprove the

    minimalists:

    myths about cancer

    M1. Unnecessary

    M2. Unaffordable:M3. Impossible POSSIBLE

    M4: Inappropriate: either/or

    Challenging cancer implies taking

    resources away from other diseases of

    the poor

    Successes treating other diseases:

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    Successes treating other diseases:MDR-TB treatment

    Source: Paul Farmer., 2009

    cured

    83%

    abandon

    therapy

    2%

    failed

    therapy

    8%

    died

    8%

    Mitnick et al, Community-based therapy for multidrug-resistanttuberculosis in Lima, Peru. NEJM 2003; 348(2): 119-28.

    Outcomes in MDR-TB patients in Lima,

    Peru receiving at least 4 months of therapy

    WHO 1997, Multidrug-resistant

    tuberculosis is too expensive to treat in

    poor countries; it detracts attention and

    resources from treating drug-susceptible

    disease.

    Drug % Decline inprice 1997-9

    Amikacin 90%

    Ethionamide 84%

    Capreomycin 97%

    Ofloxacin 98%

    Reduced prices of

    second-line TB drugs

    C

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    Campeonas:Drew G. Faust

    President of Harvard University22+ year BC survivor

    Abish Romeo

    Patient, 24 years oldAdvocate, Tmatelo a Pecho

    S i t ti l

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    Mexico: cervical cancer.

    Source: Knaul et al., 2008. Reproductive Health Matters, and updated by Knaul, Arreola-Ornelas and Mndez based on WHO data, WHOSIS (1955-1978), and Ministry of Health in Mexico (1979-2006)

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    19551965

    1975

    1985

    1995

    2005

    Success in treating several cancers.

    Challenge and disprove the

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    Challenge and disprove the

    minimalists:

    Myths about cancer& NCD

    M1. Unnecessary NECESSARY

    M2.Unaffordable AFFORDABLE

    M2. Impossible POSSIBLE

    M4: Inappropriate: either/or

    Challenging cancer implies taking resources

    away from other diseases of the poor

    Women and mothers in LMICs

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    Women and mothers in LMICs

    face many risks through the life cycle

    Women 15-59, annual deaths

    Diabetes

    120,889

    Breast

    cancer

    166,577

    Source: Estimates based on data from WHO: Global Health Observatory, 2008 and Murray et al Lancet 2011.

    Cervical

    cancer

    142,744

    Mortalityin

    childbirth

    342,900

    - 35%in 30

    years

    = 430, 210 deaths

    Th Di l A h t

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    The Diagonal Approach to

    Health System Strengthening

    Rather than focusing on disease-specific vertical

    programs or only on horizontal system

    constraints, harness synergies that provide

    opportunities to tackle disease-specific priorities

    while addressing systemic gaps.

    Optimize available resources so that the whole ismore than the sum of the parts.

    Bridge the divide as patients suffer diseases over a

    lifetime, most of it chronic.

    Di l S i

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    Diagonal Strategies:

    Positive Externalities

    Promoting prevention and healthy lifestyles:

    Reduce risk for cancer and other diseases

    Pain control and palliationReducing barriers to access is essential

    for cancer, for other diseases, and for

    surgery.Reducing stigma for womens cancers:

    Contributes to reducing gender

    discrimination.

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    Delivery: Harness platforms byintegrating cancer prevention,

    screening and survivorshipsupport into MCH, SRH,

    HIV/AIDS, social welfare andanti-poverty programs.

    A Diagonal Strategy:

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    Cases:

    Mexico

    Juanita

    M i f f t

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    Mexico: summary of facts

    Since 2006, breast cancer is the second leading cause ofdeath among women aged 30 to 54 years of age and the

    principal cause of death due to tumors.

    Seguro Popular: since 2007 all women diagnosed with

    breast cancer have very complete access to treatmentwith financial protection

    Only 5-10% of cases in Mexico aredetected in Stage 1 or in situ and

    70% in stage II-III-IV

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    IMSS Mxico: 40-50% of cases are

    detected in stages III-IV. 85+ in II+

    10%

    30%

    50%

    1992 2002 2006

    Stage I Stage II Stage III & IV

    Stage at diagnosis by level of municipal

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    Stage at diagnosis by level of municipal

    marginalization, Mexico, IMSS 2006(Mxico, IMSS 2006)

    Source: Authors estimation based on IMSS data, 2006.

    N=221(3.8%)

    N=1737(30%)

    N=2877(49.8%)

    N=946(16.4%)

    % diagnosedin Stage 4

    Late detection by state

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    Poor (High) Middle Low Very low

    Stage 1 Stage 2

    Stage 3 Stage 4

    < low

    > mid

    > high

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    Why?

    Social and health systems

    barriers to early detectionand

    non-price barriers totreatment

    J anita

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    br

    Juanita

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    Barrier 1: myth and machismo

    Barrier 2: poor primary careBarrier 3: access to screeningBarrier 4: financing for treatment

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    Barrier 2: Poor quality primary care

    women diagnosed with bc reported problemswith providers when seeking diagnosis.

    In routine, annual repro health/OBGYN visit/

    PAP screening, there was no BCE

    Physician insisted woman was overreacting and

    sent her home with no diagnosis

    Health professionals and first-level care

    providers report lack of sensitivity of healthpersonnel relating to the requests of women

    regarding breast health

    Results from a national qualitative studynigenda et al, 2009

    Barrier 3: Inequity in addition to

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    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    + Poorest

    Q1 Q2 Q 3 Q 4Least poor

    QV

    16%

    21% 22%24%

    28%

    Source: ENSANUT, 2006

    Barrier 3: Inequity in addition to

    lack of overall access and utilization

    Only 1 in 5women 40-69

    report a

    preventivehealth visit

    including

    mamography2006

    Mexico Seguro Popular Insurance

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    e co Segu o opu a su a ce

    a diagonal strategy that includes financial

    protection for catastrophic illness

    Accelerated universal vertical coverage by disease

    with a specified package of interventions

    2004/5: ALL in children, cervical, HIV/AIDS

    2006: All pediatric cancers

    2007: Breast cancer

    2011: Testicular cancer, prostate and NHL

    Seguro Popular and cancer:

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    Seguro Popular and cancer:

    Evidence of impact

    Since the incorporation of childhood cancersinto the Seguro Popular

    30-month survival: 30% to almost 70%

    adherence to treatment: 70% to 95%.

    Access to medicinesan anecdote

    Breast cancer

    adherence to treatment - NCI Mexico:2005: 200/600 (30%)

    2010: 10/900 (1%)

    Barrier 4: distance and caregiving

    Programs to reduce

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    Programs to reduce

    barriers

    C j t t

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    Core project components

    1) Expand potential for early detection

    Harness anti-poverty and MCH Oportunidades program

    Training of health promoters

    Improved referral system

    Training of primary care-level physicians and nurses

    2) Expand potential for care and treatment in secondary levelhospitals

    Supervision and capacity building from tertiary to secondary

    district hospitals

    Centers for chemotherapy and survivorshipsecondary and

    primary level

    Acreditation of secondary centers so SPSS can finance

    3) Increase data-for-decision-making, evaluation and monitoring

    Improved or new registries

    Evaluation and monitoring

    P ti i ti i tit ti

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    Participating institutions:

    Seguro Popular and MOH Mexico

    Ministry of Health of Jalisco, Morelos, Nuevo Leon,

    Puebla, Sinaloa.

    National Cancer Institute of Mexico

    National Institute of Public Health

    Cncer de mama: Tmatelo a pecho

    Mexican Health Foundation

    The Global Task Force on Expanded Cancer Care and

    Control in Developing Countries through the Secretariat

    based at the Harvard Global Equity Initiative and Seattle

    Cancer Care Alliance

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    Challenge and disprove the

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    Challenge and disprove theminimalists:

    Myths about breast cancer,cancer& NCD

    M1. Unnecessary NECESSARYM2. Impossible POSSIBLE

    M3.Unaffordable AFFORDABLE

    M4. Inappropriate : APPROPRIATE

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    Be anoptimist

    optimalist

    Expanding access to cancer care and control:

    Should, Could, and Can be done

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    Breast Cancer in LMICs:

    Meeting the Challenge and

    Closing the Cancer Divide

    Felicia Marie Knaul

    NERRS Breast Imaging Course

    Massachusetts Medical Society