Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM)

Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM)

1. BACKGROUND The Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM) is an information management tool designed to track displaced populations within Syria and identify their humanitarian needs. The aim of the NPM is to regularly collect and verify population data at the community level, and to provide humanitarian clusters and key stakeholders with baseline information and indicators to address priority needs, and required humanitarian interventions. The NPM initiative promotes a collaborative approach among aid actors, with local Syrian NGOs collecting data, and international partners providing technical support, capacity building and coordination. The NPM initiative is embedded within the Whole of Syria Needs Identification Framework, and as such supports established inter-agency coordination mechanisms at the regional and country levels.

2. Methodology The NPM aims at regularly collecting and disseminating data and information that is complete, accurate, and timely on affected populations accesible inside Syria. The information will include: 1. Overall number of affected population and their locations at the lowest geographical level 2. Demographics, timeline of movement and destination, type of residence 3. Population movement trends 4. Sectoral needs, gaps, and service provisions to the target groups The NPM is implemented through successive rounds of data collection, led by field teams with good access and knowledge of targeted locations. Each round lasts approximately 1 month for data collection, followed by review and input from key cluster partners. The three first rounds of NPM data collection will cover and ensure consolidations of points 1 and 2 above. Points 3 and 4 will be covered from round 4 expected to start in October 2015.

Over 80 field staff are currently working within 12 governorates to visit, assess and collect data at governorate, district and community level. The community level is the lowest level of human settlement, also called village and/or neighborhood. The NPM approach consists of primary data collection through key informants (KI) interviews and direct observation. Data collection teams are composed of one team leader and enumerators. Data verification is done through local and international partners operating at governorate/district level in a collaborative approach. NPM collects data distinguishing between 7 categories of possible affected population as follows into:

Current resident population affected by the crisis (living in damaged shelter and /or moved into another building/shelter in the same location)

Current resident population not affected by the crisis (not living in a damaged shelter and remaining in same pre-crisis residence)

Resident population that fled and did not return (left their location to another location within Syria currently absent from the location)

Resident population that fled and not returned (left the location) to another location out of Syria (currently absent from the location)

Returnees of the resident population that fled and returned to the location (currently present in the location):

Internally Displaced Syrians that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location)

Internally Displaced Non-Syrians that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location) Within the IDP category, the NPM project collects data distinguishing among 7 types of temporary accommodation: rented accomodations, host families, abandoned buildings or public spaces, formal collective shelters (schools, public buildings, vacated, etc.), informal collective shelters (schools, public buildings, vacated, etc.) , organized and structured camps and self-settled “camps”.

3. NPM Round 1 Report 31 July 2015 The round 1 of the NPM data collection took place between 22 May and 26 June 2015 in 3,285 locations within 12 governorates inside Syria. It involved 8 team leaders, 65 enumerators, and almost 5,000 key informants. This first report provides initial informantion on number and categories of affected population, their locations at the lowest geographical level including the type of residence, and timeline of movement and destination. All data sets are available to humanitarian partners for further analysis. Data collection for round 2 is ongoing and a second report is expected to be released end of August 2015. Regular sectoral assessments are expected to start in October 2015.

Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM) │ Version: 1 │ 31 July 2015

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4. Key findings - highlights

3,285 communities out of a total of 5,696 existing communities in Syria have been assessed by NPM teams,

representing an overall coverage of 58% of the country. A 80% or more coverage rate has been reached in 5

governorates (Al-Hasakeh, Aleppo, Ar-Raqqa, Dar'a, Deir-ez-Zor, and Idleb).

The total population currently residing in the communities assessed by NPM amounts to 17.4 million, including

4.1 million internally displaced (23.5%) and 1.1 million returnees (6.6%). The average household size

determined by the assessment is 5.

IDPs were identified in 2,080 communities assessed by NPM. A majority of IDPs in 45% of these communities

arrived in 2013. IDPs are originating mostly from Aleppo (48%) and Idleb (13%).

In a majority of the community assessed by NPM (51%), affected populations are accomodated with host

families.

In 37% of the assessed communities, affected populations are renting accomodations.

In 30% and 29% respectively, affected populations are living in unfinished buildings or public spaces, and

collective shelters (formal or informal).

Presence of camps (organised or self-settled) were identified in 7% of the communities assessed by NPM.

For all categories listed above (rented accomodations; unfinished buildings or public spaces, collective

shelters - formal or informal; camps - organised or self-settled), IDPs represent the largest group of residents

(between 85 and 92%).

In 1,404 communities assessed by NPM, households reportedly fled their communities to other locations

within Syria. Main governorates of destination are: Aleppo (20%), Idleb (18%) and Al-Hassakeh (15%).

In 2,453 communities assessed by NPM, households reportedly fled out of Syria. A majority of people who

fled from most of these communities (61%) went to Turkey.


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Coverage During the first round of data collection between 22 May and 26 June 2015, the NPM teams assessed 3,285 communities. Each community is defined based on administrative division lists of villages, towns and neighborhoods in governorate capital cities. The list of communities is based on existing datasets (p-code) in use by OCHA and humanitarian agencies in Syria. Table 1: Number of listed communities and assessed communities per governorate

Governorate Communities Total

NPM Assessed Communities

Percentage of Assessed

Communities

Total 5,696 3,285 58%

Aleppo 1,376 1,194 87%

Al-Hasakeh 785 669 85%

Ar-Raqqa 339 327 96%

As-Sweida 140 0 0%

Damascus 98 7 7%

Dar'a 161 129 80%

Deir-ez-Zor 145 135 93%

Hama 528 142 27%

Homs 489 27 6%

Idleb 471 453 96%

Lattakia 423 53 13%

Quneitra 42 33 79%

Rural Damascus 233 116 50%

Tartous 466 0 0%

Overall coverage based on listed and assessed number of communities is 58% for the whole county. Number of assessed communities varies by governorate. Governorates with 80% or more coverage are: Dar'a, Al-Hasakeh, Aleppo, Deir-ez-Zor, Ar-Raqqa and Idleb. Governorates with 50% coverage or more are: Rural Damascus (50%) and Quneitra (79%). Another 4 governorates (Homs, Damascus, Lattakia and Hama) have coverage below 50%. Two governorates (Tartous and As-Sweida) are not covered under the NPM Round 1.

Table 2: Number of district by percentage of coverage according to communities assessed

Percentage of Coverage 0 1 - 49 50 - 79 80 plus Total

Number of Districts 18 10 10 23 61

Percent by Coverage 30% 16% 16% 38% 100%

Table 3: Number of Sub District by percentage of coverage according to communities assessed

Percentage of Coverage 0 1 - 49 50 - 79 80 plus Total

Number of Sub Districts 105 20 22 125 272

Percent by Coverage 39% 7% 8% 46% 100%

On district level there are 38% of the districts with 80% or more coverage or on sub district level there are 46% of the sub districts with same coverage (Table 2 and 3).

*More details in Maps: NPM Coverage maps


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Demographics – Present population categories in assessed communities

Table 4: Number of individuals by population category present in the communities in assessed locations by

governorate

Population Category

1.Current Resident

population AFFECTED # IND

2.Current Resident

population NOT affected

# IND

5.RETURNEES # IND

6.IDP # IND

7.IDP NON Syrians #

IND

Estimated Present

Population # IND

Total in assessed communities

1,257,988 10,933,459 1,151,610 4,067,498 34,170 17,444,725

Aleppo 684,045 4,109,495 515,200 1,569,430 1,485 6,879,655

Al-Hasakeh 6,290 981,185 22,280 141,011 5,500 1,156,266

Ar-Raqqa 15,685 691,980 17,855 23,525 775 749,820

Damascus 10,085 115,680 112,685 56,535 1,315 296,300

Dar'a 99,795 577,940 19,820 184,575 505 882,635

Deir-ez-Zor 35,605 1,237,869 174,830 348,555 70 1,796,929

Hama 30,315 290,225 19,365 140,425 4,250 484,580

Homs 50,085 140,715 55,610 41,665 0 288,075

Idleb 139,478 1,515,360 179,825 920,972 1,240 2,756,875

Lattakia 1,460 9,685 215 8,060 370 19,790

Quneitra 2,775 49,415 0 30,345 25 82,560

Rural Damascus 182,370 1,213,910 33,925 602,400 18,635 2,051,240

Table 5: Number of households by population category present in the communities in assessed locations by

governorate

Population Category

1.Current Resident

population AFFECTED #

HHS

2.Current Resident


# HHS

5.RETURNEES # HHS

6.IDP # HHS

7.IDP NON Syrians #

HHS

Estimated Present

Population # HHS


251,406 2,179,639 232,318 812,241 6,854 3,482,458

Aleppo 136,809 822,296 103,040 313,898 297 1,376,340

Al-Hasakeh 1,258 196,157 4,456 28,201 1,100 231,172

Ar-Raqqa 3,137 138,596 3,571 4,705 155 150,164

Damascus 2,017 23,136 22,537 11,307 263 59,260

Dar'a 19,959 116,368 3,964 36,915 101 177,307

Deir-ez-Zor 7,121 247,574 36,966 69,711 34 361,406

Hama 6,063 58,164 3,873 28,060 850 97,010

Homs 10,329 28,191 11,122 8,333 0 57,975

Idleb 27,392 294,555 35,961 182,950 248 541,106

Lattakia 292 1,937 43 1,612 74 3,958

Quneitra 555 9,883 0 6,069 5 16,512

Rural Damascus 36,474 242,782 6,785 120,480 3,727 410,248


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Table 6: Percentage by population category present in the communities in assessed locations by governorate

Population Category

1.Current Resident

population AFFECTED

# IND

2.Current Resident


# IND

5.RETURNEES # IND

6.IDP # IND

7.IDP NON Syrians #

IND

Estimated Present

Population # IND


7.2% 62.7% 6.6% 23.3% 0.2% 100.0%

Aleppo 9.9% 59.7% 7.5% 22.8% 0.0% 100.0%

Al-Hasakeh 0.5% 84.9% 1.9% 12.2% 0.5% 100.0%

Ar-Raqqa 2.1% 92.3% 2.4% 3.1% 0.1% 100.0%

Damascus 3.4% 39.0% 38.0% 19.1% 0.4% 100.0%

Dar'a 11.3% 65.5% 2.2% 20.9% 0.1% 100.0%

Deir-ez-Zor 2.0% 68.9% 9.7% 19.4% 0.0% 100.0%

Hama 6.3% 59.9% 4.0% 29.0% 0.9% 100.0%

Homs 17.4% 48.8% 19.3% 14.5% 0.0% 100.0%

Idleb 5.1% 55.0% 6.5% 33.4% 0.0% 100.0%

Lattakia 7.4% 48.9% 1.1% 40.7% 1.9% 100.0%

Quneitra 3.4% 59.9% 0.0% 36.8% 0.0% 100.0%

Rural Damascus 8.9% 59.2% 1.7% 29.4% 0.9% 100.0%

Demographics – Absent population categories in assessed communities

Table 7: Number of households and individuals by population category absent from the communities in assessed

locations by governorate

Row Labels

3.FLED and not returned WITH

IN SYRIA # HHS

3.FLED and not returned WITH IN SYRIA # IND

4.FLED and not returned OUT of

SYRIA #HHS

4.FLED and not returned OUT of

SYRIA #IND


950,306 4,739,759 755,249 3,773,891

Aleppo 363,870 1,819,350 360,128 1,797,645

Al-Hasakeh 7,095 35,465 52,377 261,875

Ar-Raqqa 3,711 18,555 3,228 16,140

Damascus 89,074 445,370 21,539 107,695

Dar'a 25,546 127,630 41,398 206,990

Deir-ez-Zor 48,179 240,895 11,786 58,930

Hama 32,523 142,415 12,717 63,595

Homs 4,647 23,229 13,678 68,390

Idleb 58,038 298,735 38,364 192,511

Lattakia 2,018 10,090 1814 9,070

Quneitra 7,374 36,870 1826 9,080

Rural Damascus 308,231 1,541,155 196,394 981,970

*More detail in Maps: Population Category Maps by Governorate and Capital Cities & Dataset Demographics


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Timeline and Destination – When? Where to? From Where? Table 8: Locations by year of arrival of majority of the IDPs currently present in the assessed locations

Governorate Total Unknown year

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total assessed locations with IDP presence

2,080 22 40 430 943 330 315

Aleppo 975 6 9 151 543 153 113

Al-Hasakeh 107 7 2 12 20 44 22

Ar-Raqqa 180 1 83 60 17 19

Damascus 5 2 3

Dar'a 65 2 5 30 21 7

Deir-ez-Zor 119 1 21 83 6 5 3

Hama 81 2 1 2 56 12 8

Homs 24 1 11 12

Idleb 382 1 2 49 154 48 128

Lattakia 36 1 18 11 3 3

Quneitra 26 1 2 4 9 10

Rural Damascus 80 1 3 12 47 15 2

Total % of locations with IDPs by year of arrival

100% 1% 2% 21% 45% 16% 15%

Table 9: Locations by Governorate of ORIGIN for majority of the IDPs currently present in the assessed locations

Governorate Total

Un

kn

ow

n

Go

vern

ora

te

Ale

pp

o

Al-

Hasa

keh

Ar-

Raq

qa

As-S

weid

a

Dam

as

cu

s

Dar'

a

Deir

-ez-Z

or

Ham

a

Ho

ms

Idle

b

Latt

akia

Qu

neit

ra

Ru

ral

Dam

as

cu

s

Tart

ou

s

Total 2,080 17 997 55 72 1 66 44 163 167 75 267 43 3 108 2

Aleppo 975 3 908

14

6 9 29 3

2 1

Al-Hasakeh 107 6 10 42 9

14

24

1

1

Ar-Raqqa 180

47 3 62

56 1 11

Damascus 5

2

3

Dar'a 65 3

1

37

1

23

Deir-ez-Zor 119

10 1

20

83

5

Hama 81

2

48 19 12

Homs 24

1 23

Idleb 382 2 30

4

111 4 225 5

1

Lattakia 36

1 35

Quneitra 26 1

1 7

3 14

Rural Damascus 80 2

11

2

65

Total % of locations by

Governorate of ORIGIN of

majority IDPs

100% 1% 48% 3% 3% 0% 3% 2% 8% 8% 4% 13% 2% 0% 5% 0%


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Table 10: Locations by year when majority fled OUT WITHIN Syria

Governorate Total Unknown

year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total assessed locations with population that fled OUT WITHIN Syria

1,404 596 19 200 268 182 139

Aleppo 390 134 5 30 101 85 35

Al-Hasakeh 226 191 6 4 14 11

Ar-Raqqa 85 19

56 8 2

Damascus 4 1 1 1 1

Dar'a 92 62 2 11 12 5

Deir-ez-Zor 92 16 10 52 6 5 3

Hama 107 55

1 37 10 4

Homs 18 2 1 8 7

Idleb 217 56 1 18 50 27 65

Lattakia 48 17 15 10 3 3

Quneitra 33 8 2 4 9 10

Rural Damascus 92 35 2 9 30 14 2

Total assessed locations with population

that fled OUT WITHIN Syria 100% 42% 1% 14% 19% 13% 10%

Table 11: Locations by governorate of DESTINATION for majority of those who fled WITHIN Syria

Governorate Total

Un

kn

ow

n

Ale

pp

o

Al-

Hasa

keh

Ar-

Raq

qa

As-S

weid

a

Dam

as

cu

s

Dar'

a

Deir

-ez-Z

or

Ham

a

Ho

ms

Idle

b

Latt

akia

Qu

neit

ra

Ru

ral

Dam

as

cu

s

Tart

ou

s

Total 1,404 15 286 214 59 9 179 81 17 59 12 255 81 14 81 42

Aleppo 390 6 256 9 55 2 2 4 1 15 14 3 23

Al-Hasakeh 226 3 1 206 1 1 1 1 12

Ar-Raqqa 85 5 25 14 29 11 1

Damascus 4 1 3

Dar'a 92 1 6 8 74 3

Deir-ez-Zor 92 2 3 20 45 14 8

Hama 107 16 3 1 21 1 61 4

Homs 18 2 1 2 9 3 1

Idleb 217 3 11 1 14 1 3 155 23 5 1

Lattakia 48 15 33

Quneitra 33 16 1 8 8

Rural Damascus 92 2 25 3 3 59

Total % of locations by Governorate of DESTINATION majority of those who fled with in Syria

Total %.... 100% 1% 20% 15% 4% 1% 13% 6% 1% 4% 1% 18% 6% 1% 6% 3%


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Table 12: Locations by year when majority fled OUT of Syria

Governorate Total Unknown

year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Total assessed locations with population that fled OUT of Syria

2,453 879 27 328 702 275 242

Aleppo 994 174 8 140 442 135 95

Al-Hasakeh 548 461 2 11 14 42 18

Ar-Raqqa 84 28

37 16 3

Damascus 5 1 1 2 1

Dar'a 91 48 3 19 14 7

Deir-ez-Zor 102 11 11 66 6 5 3

Hama 128 50 1 2 55 12 8

Homs 19 2 1 9 7

Idleb 315 49 1 32 100 38 95

Lattakia 45 14 15 10 3 3

Quneitra 29 8 2 3 6 10

Rural Damascus 93 33 3 10 30 15 2

Total % of assessed locations with population that fled OUT of Syria

100% 36% 1% 13% 29% 11% 10%

Table 13: Locations by Country of DESTINATION for majority of those who fled OUT of Syria

Governorate Total Unknown Country

Iraq Jordan Lebanon Turkey Other

Total 2,453 36 200 238 290 1,491 198

Aleppo 994 17 12 58 113 730 64

Al-Hasakeh 548 1 188

31 271 57

Ar-Raqqa 84

84

Damascus 5

1 2 1 1

Dar'a 91

84 5 1 1

Deir-ez-Zor 102 4

2 82 14

Hama 128 2

34 12 61 19

Homs 19

1 15 3

Idleb 315 3

28 81 191 12

Lattakia 45 4

41

Quneitra 29 1

5 20

3

Rural Damascus 93 4

28 23 14 24

Total % of locations by Country of DESTINATION for majority of those who fled OUT of Syria

Total %.... 100% 1% 8% 10% 12% 61% 8%

*More details in Dataset Timeline and Destination


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Type of Residence – Who lives where? Table 14: Locations by type of residence for population categories affected by mobility, by governorate

(1. Resident population AFFECTED - moved from their house in same location 5.RETURNEES 6.IDP 7.IDP NON Syrians)

Governorate 1. In village/town,

using rented

accommodation

2. In village/town,

with host families no

rent fee

3. In village/town,

using unfurnished abandoned buildings or

public spaces

4. In formal collective shelters

5. In informal

collective shelters

6. Camps, organized

7. Camps, self-settled

Damascus 2 1 4

Aleppo 654 755 570 23 381 1 85

Rural Damascus

39 52 50 13 13 1

Homs 9 25 18 5 2

Hama 34 85 16 11 34 2 5

Lattakia 2 1 32 1

Idleb 226 351 177 126 145 20 68

Al-Hasakeh 57 75 4 1 2 1 1

Deir-ez-Zor 98 106 75 20 96 10

Ar-Raqqa 80 147 30 35 22 12

Dar'a 24 67 3 6 4 1

Quneitra 6 26 1 11 1 3

Total 1231 1691 980 241 710 25 186

Table 15: Percentage of locations by type of residence for population categories affected by mobility, by governorate

Governorate

1. In village/town, using rented

accommodation

2. In village/town,

with host families no

rent fee

3. In village/town,

using unfurnished abandoned buildings or

public spaces

4. In formal

collective shelters

5. In informal collective shelters

6. Camps, organized

7. Camps, self-

settled

Damascus 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Aleppo 53.1% 44.6% 58.2% 9.5% 53.7% 4.0% 45.7%

Rural Damascus

3.2% 3.1% 5.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.0% 0.5%

Homs 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Hama 2.8% 5.0% 1.6% 4.6% 4.8% 8.0% 2.7%

Lattakia 0.2% 0.1% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Idleb 18.4% 20.8% 18.1% 52.3% 20.4% 80.0% 36.6%

Al-Hasakeh 4.6% 4.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 4.0% 0.5%

Deir-ez-Zor 8.0% 6.3% 7.7% 8.3% 13.5% 0.0% 5.4%

Ar-Raqqa 6.5% 8.7% 3.1% 14.5% 3.1% 0.0% 6.5%

Dar'a 1.9% 4.0% 0.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.5%

Quneitra 0.5% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 1.5% 4.0% 1.6%

Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%


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Chart 1: Population categories identified using rented accommodation

Chart 2: Population categories identified living with host families

.

0.8%

7.3% 1.2%

90.5%

0.2%

Unknown

Current Resident populationaffected

Returnees of the residentpopulation

Internaly displaced Syrians thatarrived in the location since2011

Internaly displaced non-Syriansthat arrived in the locationsince 2011

1.1%

11.8% 1.9%

85%

0.2%

Unknown



Internaly displaced Syriansthat arrived in the locationsince 2011

Internaly displaced non-Syrians that arrived in thelocation since 2011


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Chart 3: Population categories identified using abandoned buildings

.

Chart 4: Population categories identified in formal collective shelters

2%

10% 3%

85%

Unknown




7.1%

5% 0.8%

86.3%

0.8%

Unknown




Internaly displaced non-Syriansthat arrived in the locationsince 2011


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Chart 5: Major four population categories identified in formal collective shelters

Chart 6: Population categories identified in organized camps

4.9% 5.2%

0.6%

89.3%

Unknown




4%

92%

4%

Unknown


Internaly displaced non-Syrians that arrived in thelocation since 2011


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Chart 7: Population categories identified in self settled camps

*More details in: Maps - Type of Residence - Temporary Settlement Maps & Dataset Type Residence Settlement

Appendix 1: Links to Products and Datasets –

1. Datasets - https://www.dropbox.com/sh/bzgr6pfzuoth1zt/AAB9tbXFJz7FBeS7hSvbNqZPa?dl=0 2. KMZ (Google Earth files) - https://www.dropbox.com/sh/ae8u9tzr0jkhenk/AAA-gp77Va6enoH2YrJeoUOYa?dl=0 3. Coverage maps by percentage of Locations all Administration levels -

https://www.dropbox.com/s/imphhy9b8d15egu/MAPS_COVERAGE_ALL_ADMINISTRATION_LEVELS_NPM_ROUND1.pdf?dl=0

4. Coverage by Cities - https://www.dropbox.com/sh/khgkq0hp18l27ad/AABuDmMsUS5IunxgZL0E5ON_a?dl=0 5. Coverage by Governorates - https://www.dropbox.com/sh/7enp3nq306lbx72/AAA48OheHLWwVsYqN6CQsES_a?dl=0 6. Temporary Settlement type maps - https://www.dropbox.com/sh/b5u6h57rtvs7djo/AACc8H83hQXJKJ5Bots-yPMFa?dl=0

Appendix 2:

Contact: [email protected]

4.5%

8.6% 2.3%

84.5%

Unknown

Current Resident population affected

Returnees of the resident population

Internaly displaced Syrians thatarrived in the location since 2011

https://www.dropbox.com/sh/bzgr6pfzuoth1zt/AAB9tbXFJz7FBeS7hSvbNqZPa?dl=0

https://www.dropbox.com/sh/ae8u9tzr0jkhenk/AAA-gp77Va6enoH2YrJeoUOYa?dl=0



https://www.dropbox.com/sh/khgkq0hp18l27ad/AABuDmMsUS5IunxgZL0E5ON_a?dl=0

https://www.dropbox.com/sh/7enp3nq306lbx72/AAA48OheHLWwVsYqN6CQsES_a?dl=0

https://www.dropbox.com/sh/b5u6h57rtvs7djo/AACc8H83hQXJKJ5Bots-yPMFa?dl=0

mailto:[email protected]

Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM)

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