National broadband Plans - Maximizing Economic Impact

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CAPITALS

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RENE SUMMER

NATIONAL BROADBAND PLANS maximizing economic Impact

mailto:[email protected]

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text in the footer area National BB Plans - Maximizing Economic Impact | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-06-05 |

national Broadband plans as commonly understood

Source: ITU/UNESCO Broadband Commission for Digital Development.

COVERAGE, SPEED AND TIMING

Broadband Speed (Mbps)

Covera

ge (

% p

op o

r household

s)

0 20 40 60 80 100

20

40

60

80

100

Europe 2020

Sweden 2015

Europe 2020 (HH)

Spain 2015

New Zealand 2015

Sweden 2020

Australia, US

Denmark 2020

Finland 2016

Germany 2014 (HH)

Colombia 2014

Paraguay 2014

Brazil 2014 (HH)

Slovak Republic 2020

Austria 2013

Spain 2011

UK, France

Europe 2012

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Growth In national Broadband plans (nbbp)

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Regulatory Database

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How Governments GOT Involved in NBBP... IN THE PAST

Observer

US, Germany

Facilitator

Sweden, Norway

Driver

Japan, South Korea

Government Involvement

NG

A P

en

etr

ati

on

Low High

Low

Medium

High

Source: Booz & Company

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expanding scope of nbbp GOVERNMENT INVOLVEMNT GROWS ON DEMAND SIDE

NBBP TARGETS – DIGITIAL ECONOMY

Source: ITU/UNESCO Broadband Commission for Digital Development.

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text in the footer area National BB Plans - Maximizing Economic Impact | Public | © Ericsson AB 2014 | 2014-06-05 | Page 7

NBBP PolicIES conceptualized?

Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Regulatory Database

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Integration of demand side why is THE scope of NBBP expanding?

OPPORTUNITY

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public policy challenge ASSOCIATED WITH DEMAND SIDE EXPANSION

MAXIMIZING IMPACT BY CONNECTING SUPPLY AND DEMAND SIDE POLICIES

DIFFUSION & ADOPTION

INNOVATION IN PROCESSES, PRODUCTS,

SERVICES

Economic impact from ICT

Increases with broad & deep

and is sustained through …

TECHNOLOGY

TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS IS BY DEFINITION A NET

IMPROVEMENT TO THE ECONOMY*

* Source: Economist Joel Mokyr, The Levers of Riches.

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Also Depends on how much you want to change and hence also achieve!

› Definition of core

business

› Scale gain

opportunities

› Maturing technology

› Consolidation

THIS IS TRULY THE HARD STUFF TO FIGURE OUT!

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First we need to get the public policy fundamentals right ! WHAT DOES IT TAKE TO MAXIMIZE BENEFITS FROM NATIONAL BROADBAND PLANS

INNOVATION INVENTION

DIFFUSION & ADOPTION

PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS & POLICY

• Wise policies, that shape right incentives …

• Not all profit seeking is beneficial… • Deal with Market failures & • Reactionary public institutions,

Regulatory failures • State – different layers of authority

– alignment – systemic failures

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But also make sure WE Address Key ICT policy issues

ICT Supply Side

Roll-out of ICT infrastructure

Scarce resource management Market Efficiency

3. Spectrum Management 1. National Broadband Plans 2. Network Regulation

New consumer expectations, value-chain shifts and new business models

ICT empowerment for increased innovation and efficiency in industrial sectors

ICT Demand Side

Privacy Protection

5. Media & Content

Regulation

4. Industrial Internet /

Internet of things 6. Data Protection

Horizontal Frameworks Impacting ICT supply and demand Market access, Digital Services, Cross Border

Data Flows, Meta Regulation

Investment Incentives, Licensing, Diffusion

8. Trade Policies 7. Internet governance 9. IPR

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With A clear & holistic APPROACH REQUIRES AN APPROPRIATE policy reform strategy

Source: Ericsson Analysis inspired by, Transforming Government and Building the Information Society, Hanna 2010.

PARTIAL HOLISTIC

UNCLEAR

CLEAR

PU

BL

IC P

OL

ICY

/ S

EC

TO

R R

EF

OR

M

ST

RA

TE

GY

APPROACH TO ICT

STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATIONS

EXCELLENCE

SURGICAL PROCEDURE

GOOD LUCK WITH THAT

BUILD IT AND THEY WILL COME

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WHICH looks something like this Cohesive reform strategy

NBBP/DIGITAL ECONOMY REFORM AGENDA – ILLUSTRATIVE

FIRM AND DURABLE

POLICY COMMITMENT

FACTORS INFLUENCING

THE ECONOMIC IMPACT

Source: Copenhagen Economics,

Booz&Co, Ericsson Analysis

NATIONAL DIGITAL ECONOMY PLAN

› ICT Supply side reforms

Spectrum

Broadband plan

Network regulation

› ICT Demand Side reforms

Digital readiness/affordability

Media & Content

Digital services & e-commerce

E-health, -education, -work, -energy.

Smart City

E-government

OBJECTIVES

DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE

DIGITAL READINESS

DIGITAL CONTENT & SERVICES

DIGITAL UTILITY SERVICES & e-GOVERNMENT

ECONOMIC IMPACT

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BUT STILL THERE ARE ADDITIONAL CHALLENGES SIX VERSIONS OF A PROMISE OF A change

VISION SKILLS INCENTIVES RESOURCES ACTION PLAN =

x SKILLS INCENTIVES RESOURCES ACTION PLAN =

x VISION INCENTIVES RESOURCES ACTION PLAN =

VISION SKILLS RESOURCES ACTION PLAN =

x

VISION SKILLS INCENTIVES ACTION PLAN =

x VISION SKILLS INCENTIVES RESOURCES =

x

SUCCESS

CONFUSION

CONCERN

RESISTANCE

FRUSTRATION

OPTIMISM

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aggrAvated by complexity of THE Instituional context of NBBP

LEGISLATION

Primary legislation

Courts

Judiciary

Enforcement -

Agencies

REGULATION

Secondary legislation

> multiple sectors

Competent Authorities

Enforcement

EXECUTION

Private, Public and

PPP > Network and

Service providers

ICT Vendors

Standardization bodies

Research Institutions

POLICY

FORMULATION

PM & Cabinet

Portfolio Ministers

Advisors

Ministries or

Departments

POWER

OF

WHY & WHAT

POWER OF

CHECKS

&

BALANCES

THE

REAL

WORLD

OUTSIDE

INSTITUTIONS

POWER

OF

HOW

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Hence Managing institutional implementation of nbbp is curtail

NBBP STAKEHOLDER MAP GOVERNANCE &

ORG. STRUCTURE IMPLEMENTATION PLAN

SWOT ANALYSIS PROJECT WORK PLAN PROGRESS ASSESSMENT

KEY STAKE HOLDERS

CENTRAL FUNCTIONS

KEY INDIVIDUALS

MANDATE OWNERS

PROGRAMME

PROJECTS

WORKING GROUPS

STRATEGY

ACTION PLANS

COORDINATION

RESOURCES

REPORTING

OBJECTIVES

INSTRUCTIONS

ACTIVITIES

RESOURCES

ACTIONS

REPORTING

ESCALATION

REMEDIES

ADJUSTMENTS

REVIEWS

REALITY ASSESSMENT

IDENTIFY COUNTER

MEASURES

EXPLOIT STRENGTHS &

OPPORTUNITIES

CROSS INSTITUTIONAL IMPLEMENTATION GOVERNANCE MODEL

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STRENGTHS

High: working ethics, educational system, entrepreneurship, human capital, access to capital, high readiness, agile institutions, support by the pubic, positive attitudes towards ICT, effective innovation system.

WEAKNESS

Excessive optimism and/or pessimism, lack of political will, short term perspective, window dressing, growing gap between goals, strategy and results, institutional resistance, political/budget cycles, silo thinking.

OPPORTUNITIES

Socio-economic benefits, national competitiveness, well being, standard of living long term sustained, sustainable and re-enforcing growth, structural reform capability, ability to create new opportunities as conditions change & develop.

THREATS

Slow reaction to global/regional change, inability to reform structures and operating models, fragmented/disconnected approach, reduction in investments, innovations, entrepreneurship, equality.

Make sure you have done a SWOT: illustrative

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And that you have a SOLID Implementation plan illustrative

Cooperation &

Inclusion

Source: Ericsson Analysis inspired by, Transforming Government and Building the Information Society, Hanna 2010.

Organize Partnerships & Accountability

Coordinate & Align

Stakeholders

Stimulate Innovation, Adoption &

Transformation

National Competitiveness

Strategy

Formulate Objectives & Identify

Stakeholders

Formulate Strategies

Prioritize Actions & Projects

Readiness Assessment incl. SWOT

Establish Governing

Mechanisms

Formulate Sector

Strategies

Review & Update Policy Frameworks

Mobilize Resources

Monitoring Implementation Process

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And Don’t FORGET TO Measure & monitor progress Example:

European Digital Agenda scoreboard European Digital Single Market

(Pillar 1 out of 7, in total 111 actions)

http://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/scoreboard

http://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/our-goals/pillar-i-digital-single-market

National broadband Plans - Maximizing Economic Impact

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