NASA Instrument Cost Model: NICM 8.5

Joseph Mrozinski, NICM Task LeadAugust 13-15, 2018, Houston, TX

Copyright 2019 California Institute of Technology. Government sponsorship acknowledged

2019 NASA Cost and Schedule Symposium

jpl.nasa.gov

NICM TeamNICM VIII Team

• Gary Ball

• Luther Beegle

• Justin Boland

• Kyle Brown

• Robert Cesarone

• Mike DiNicola

• Michael Fong

• Joe Mrozinski

• Al Nash

• Matthew Ramirez

• Michael Saing

• Sherry Stukes

• Marc Walch

jpl.nasa.gov

Introducing NICM 8.5

• NICM 8.5 is the midway point between 2018’s NICM VIII release, and a future NICM 9 release.

• NICM 8.5 yields the SAME estimates as NICM VIII.

• We’re not rocking the boat on your current estimates.

• So, why should you download NICM 8.5?

jpl.nasa.gov

Why you should download NICM 8.5

• XXX New instruments added to support analogy tools.

• Upgraded Search Engine now supports:

• “Or” Searches

• String Searches, focused or global

• Wildcard Searches

• Parameter Display Toggles

• System Tool Tech Parameter Plot:

• Now displays the names and key parameters of each instrument

• Foreign Instrument Data added to the tech parameter plot only

• Subsystem Tool now supports user overrides for cost

• Instrument Datasheet Hyperlinks added in several new places to load instrument data instantaneously and automatically.

jpl.nasa.gov

Search Engine Upgrades

jpl.nasa.gov

OR Search• The Legacy NICM Search Engine performed AND searches only

• Below would find: Optical AND 50 kg +/-35% AND 50 W +/- 35%

jpl.nasa.gov

OR Search

• OR Searches are achieved via multiple GUIs. The Engine will return results fitting the first GUI OR the second GUI.

jpl.nasa.gov

OR Search

Simple Example

• GUI 1 is looking for Optical Instruments

• GUI 2 is looking for Active Microwave Instruments

jpl.nasa.gov

OR Search

Simple Example

• Search returns all Instruments that are Optical OR Active Microwave.

jpl.nasa.gov

Local String Search

The new local string search allows you to search for a string within a particular field.

Instrument Name Abbreviated Mission Name Abbreviated Mission Name

ASI_MET Mars Pathfinder Mars Pathfinder

CheMin MSL Mars Science Laboratory

CheMin_Cryocooler MSL Mars Science Laboratory

CRISM MRO Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter

CTX MRO Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter

GRS_MO Mars Observer Mars Observer

GRS_Odyssey Mars Odyssey Mars Odyssey

HiRISE MRO Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter

HiRISE Telescope MRO Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter

IDD MER Mars Exploration Rover

IMP Mars Pathfinder Mars Pathfinder

MAG MAVEN MAVEN Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution

MAHLI MSL Mars Science Laboratory

MARCI MRO Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter

MARDI-MPL MPL Mars Polar Lander

MARDI-MSL MSL Mars Science Laboratory

MARIE Mars Odyssey Mars Odyssey

MARSIS Mars Express Mars Express

MastCam MSL Mars Science Laboratory

MCS MRO Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter

MECA-Phoenix Phoenix Phoenix Mars Scout

MECA-Surveyor Mars Surveyor Lander 2001 Mars Surveyor Lander 2001

MECA-TECP Phoenix Phoenix Mars Scout

MER Camera MER Mars Exploration Rover

MET-MPL MPL Mars Polar Lander

MFEX Mars Pathfinder Mars Pathfinder

MiniTES MER Mars Exploration Rover

MIP Mars Surveyor Lander 2001 Mars Surveyor Lander 2001

MOC-MO Mars Observer Mars Observer

MOLA-MO Mars Observer Mars Observer

NGIMS_MAVEN MAVEN Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution

ONC MRO Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter

PMIRR Mars Observer Mars Observer

RAD MSL Mars Science Laboratory

jpl.nasa.gov

Global String Search• The new global string search allows you to search the entire

database for any string. It will return every instrument that contains the string in any parameter.

jpl.nasa.gov

Wildcard Searches now Supported

*https://www.deskbright.com/excel/excel-wildcard/

jpl.nasa.gov

Parameter Display Toggles• The Search Engine will always display a Field used to perform

a Search.

• In the Search below, Element Type, Remote Sensing Type and Remote vs. In-Situ will all be displayed in the output

• Now, you can trigger the Search Engine to return Fields NOT used in your search. Clicking on a Field Label will make it bold, indicating it will be displayed in the output.

• The “Design Life” and “Instrument Name Abbreviated” will be displayed with the Search Engine Output in the Search above.

jpl.nasa.gov

System Tool Upgrades

jpl.nasa.gov

System Tool Tech Parameter Plot - Hovering

• Hovering over a data point will display the instrument’s name and key parameters:

jpl.nasa.gov

System Tool Tech Parameter Plot - Clicking

• Clicking on a data point will display load the instruments datasheet.

jpl.nasa.gov

Foreign Instrument Data• Foreign built instrument data now appear in the Tech

Parameter Plot in the System Tool.

jpl.nasa.gov

Subsystem Tool Upgrades

jpl.nasa.gov

Model Cost Estimate Overrides• The Subsystem Tool now supports user cost

• Overridden costs will highlight in yellow, as well as any downstream costs that are dependent on the overridden parameter.

Probability S-curve 30% 50% 70% Override?

Total Instrument Off $33,114 $45,900 $64,807

Management Off $2,496 $3,544 $5,437

Sys. Engrg. On $2,815 $4,144 $5,677

Prod. Assurance Off $1,428 $2,106 $3,174

I & T Off $2,941 $4,447 $7,271

Total Sensor Off $23,435 $31,660 $43,249

Optics Off $8,421 $11,408 $15,554

Electronics Off $10,472 $14,166 $19,308

Mech/Structures Off $1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $1,000

Detector Off $1,459 $2,189 $3,368

Thermal/Fluid Off $854 $1,270 $1,844

Software Off $1,229 $1,626 $2,174

Model Cost Estimates

jpl.nasa.gov

Instrument Datasheet Hyperlinks• Instrument datasheet hyperlinks added in the System Tool,

Subsystem Tool, and Search Engine to load instrument data instantaneously and automatically.

$1,000 $1,000

CRISM $100 MCS $100 NSSDC Home Page

CRISM $200 CRISM $200 NSSDC Home Page

CRISM $300 MRI $300 NSSDC Home Page

CRISM $400 PMIRR $400 NSSDC Home Page

$2,800 $2,800

CRISM $100 MOC-MO $100 NSSDC Home Page

CRISM $300 IRS $300 NSSDC Home Page

CRISM $400 IRAC $400 NSSDC Home Page

CRISM $500 UVIS $500 NSSDC Home Page

LOLA $600 HiRISE $600 NSSDC Home Page

CRISM $700 MRI $700 NSSDC Home Page

Bottom Up Analogues Instrument LinksTop Down Analogues

Analogy Cost EstimatesInstrument Name Abbreviated Element Type Instrument Type

ACD Instrument Particles

APS_LP Instrument Particles

ASM Instrument Particles

BAT Instrument Particles

BATSE Instrument Particles

BBXRT Instrument Particles

CAL Instrument Particles

CAMMICE Instrument Particles

CAPS Instrument Particles

CDE Instrument Particles

CEPPAD Instrument Particles

CINDI Instrument Particles

CPI Instrument Particles

CRATER Instrument Particles

CRIS_ACE Instrument Particles

EPD Instrument Particles

EPIC Instrument Particles

EPPS Instrument Particles

ESA_FAST Instrument Particles

ESA_THEMIS Instrument Particles

jpl.nasa.gov

Instrument Datasheet Hyperlinks• Even the instruments in the Cluster Tree are now hyperlinks!

jpl.nasa.gov

Sneak Peek: NICM 9

• Expect a full refresh of all CERs and SERs based off of freshly collected data.

• Exploring the role of Class in the Subsystem CERs and Wraps.

• Exploring splitting the Detector CERs into further subcategories.

• Exploring data imputation methods to utilize incomplete data.

• Implement improved correlation approach to sum the NICM Subsystem Tool CERs.

• And much more!

jpl.nasa.gov

Sneak Peek: NICM 9

NICM 9 will incorporate the notion of Mission Class into subsystem CERs and wraps, as appropriate.

Interaction effects of Mission Class with destination type (EO/PL) need to be consideredAs we investigate Mission Class, other relationships may surface in the data that were masked before

Max Power may play more of a role in the subsystem model

Significant Effect of Mission Class

Observed to-date?Subsystems

Yes Electronics, Mechanical

Possibly Optics, Software, Thermal, Wraps

No Antennas*, Detectors*

*Not enough data YET for Antenna and CCD Detector subsystems to evaluate the effect of Mission Class.

jpl.nasa.gov

Training and Download

• Email NICM@jpl.nasa.gov to RSVP for the next Live or WebEx training opportunity

• NICM can be downloaded from www.oncedata.com for NASA users.

• All other users can request a copy at: NICM@jpl.nasa.gov

jpl.nasa.gov

NICM Stakeholders

• Sponsor: NASA HQ OCFO/SID/CAD/IPAO

• Legacy Co-Sponsor: JPL Cost Estimation & Pricing Section

• Development Team

• JPL Systems Modeling, Analysis & Architectures Group

• JPL Engineering Cost Estimation Group

• JPL Technical Division Experts

• Science

• Communications, Tracking, and Radar

• Instruments and Science Data Systems

• Mechanical Systems

• Last but not least, all of the NASA Centers, Contractors, Universities and others who have built instruments and contribute data to NICM

jpl.nasa.gov

Questions?

1. International Cost Estimation and Analysis Association (ICEAA)

• NASA Instrument Cost Model (NICM), 2014 International Cost Estimation and Analysis Association (ICEAA) Professional Development & Training Workshop, Denver Colorado , June 2014, H. Habib-Agahi, J. Mrozinski, G. Fox.

2. IEEE Aerospace• NASA Instrument Cost Model for Explorer-like Mission

Instruments, 2014 Aerospace Conference, Big Sky, MT, March 2014, H. Habib-Agahi, J. Mrozinski, G. Fox.

• NASA Instrument Cost and Schedule Model, 2011 Aerospace Conference, Big Sky, MT, March 2011, H. Habib-Agahi, G. Fox, J. Mrozinski.

3. AIAA Space• NASA Space Flight Instruments: Cost Time Trends, 2016 Space

Conference, Long Beach, CA, September 2016, J. Mrozinski, M. DiNicola, H. Habib-Agahi.

• Latest NASA Instrument Cost Model (NICM): Version VI, 2014 Space Conference, San Diego, CA, August 2014, J. Mrozinski, H. Habib-Agahi, G. Fox, G. Balls.

4. NASA Cost and Schedule Symposiums• NASA Instrument Cost Model: NICM VIII Major Improvements,

Goddard Space Flight Center, August 2018, J. Mrozinski, et. al.

• NICM: Cryocooler, NASA Headquarters, August 2017, J. Mrozinski, M. DiNicola

• The Silent S in NICM: NICM Schedule Capabilities, NASA Headquarters, August 2017, J. Mrozinski, M. DiNicola

• NASA Instrument Cost Model: Impact of Mission Class on Cost, Glenn Research Center, August 2016, J. Mrozinski, M. DiNicola, H. Habib-Agahi.

• NICM Version VII, Ames Research Center, August 2015, H. Habib-Agahi, J. Mrozinski, M. DiNicola.

• Telescope Cost Estimating, Langley Research Center, August 2014, H. Habib-Agahi, J. Mrozinski.

• NASA Instrument Cost Model for Explorer-like Mission Instruments, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, August 2013, H. Habib-Agahi, J. Mrozinski, G. Fox, G. Ball.

• NASA Instrument Cost Model, Applied Physics Laboratory, August 2012, H. Habib-Agahi, J. Mrozinski

• NICM, Johnson Space Center, August 2011, J. Mrozinski

NICM@jpl.nasa.gov

jpl.nasa.gov