n Jan-Apr · Change in EU pigmeat slaughter ('000 heads) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 China ... (agr.gc.ca) 146.72...

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Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185), GTA, FAO DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 11.07.18 EU Prices EU Prices World Quotations EU Production EU Trade EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2018/17) World Trade Evolution since last week 147.4 Average (S-E) + 0.1% World Production 148.6 Class S + 0.1% 145.3 Class E + 0.1% 42.2 Piglet - 2.8% €/head €/100 kg carcass weight Carcass Classes 246 571 248 726 255 544 256 942 254 714 200 000 210 000 220 000 230 000 240 000 250 000 260 000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 EU pig slaughter by year (In 1 000 heads) Livestock Survey Evolution since last month Evolution since last year + 0.5% + 0.7% Special Issues 3 034 3 368 4 156 3 834 1 295 1 299 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 4 000 4 500 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Apr 17 Jan-Apr 18 EU Exports evolution (In 1000 tonnes carcase weight) EU total exports + 0.1% - 6.2% - 17.6% - 17.6% - 17.7% - 23.4% 27 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 July Sept. Nov. Jan Mar. May July EUR = USD 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 July Sept. Nov. Jan Mar. May July EUR = BRL 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.45 1.50 1.55 1.60 1.65 July Sept. Nov. Jan Mar. May July EUR = CAN Period: Jan-Apr 17 Jan-Apr 18 % Chg Extra-EU 1 295 323 1 298 560 + 0.2% China 492 383 463 274 - 5.9% Japan 138 008 147 103 + 6.6% South Korea 97 210 121 498 + 25.0% Philippines 81 378 94 701 + 16.4% Hong Kong 122 595 90 101 - 26.5% USA 50 180 62 119 + 23.8% Others 313 569 319 763 + 2.0% PIGMEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Apr 115 130 145 160 175 190 EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices (€/ 100kg) Average (13 -17) 2016 2017 2018 Week 27 latest price ==> 147.40 EUR/100 kg/cw 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices (€/head) Average (13 - 17) Piglet - 2016 Piglet - 2017 Piglet - 2018 Week 27 latest price ==> 42.24 EUR/head EU EU United States United States Canada Canada China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Brazil Brazil Chile Chile Mexico (up to Mar) Mexico (up to Mar) Russia (up to Mar) Russia (up to Mar) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2017 (up to April) 2018 (up to April) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Exporters of PIG Products (up to April) China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Japan Japan Mexico (up to Mar) Mexico (up to Mar) South Korea South Korea United States United States Canada Canada Philippines (up to Mar) Philippines (up to Mar) Australia Australia 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2017 (up to April) 2018 (up to April) Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Importers of PIG Products (up to April) 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210 World weekly average Pig prices 2016 - 2018 in Euro/ 100kg carcase (EU, Brazil, Canada and USA) EU BR US CAN EU = weighted average of MS prices for classes S (62.72%) and E (37.28%). US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lb (Feedstuffs.com) BR = average of minimum prices in main producing states (cepea.esalq.usp.br/suino) CAN = Quebec Index 100 Hogs Weighted Average price (agr.gc.ca) 147.44 80.75 148.54 135.98 DE 5 455 23% ES 4 249 18% FR 2 177 9% PL 1 990 9% DK 1 530 7% IT 1 467 6% NL 1 456 6% BE 1 045 5% Others 3 941 17% EU Main Producers ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2017 Total EU = 23 311 8 MSs = (- 1% over 2016) 83% of total EU production China 55 041 46% European Union 23 618 20% United States of America 11 320 10% Viet Nam 3 665 3% Brazil 3 514 3% Russian Federation 3 368 3% Canada 2 048 2% Others 15 595 13% Main Producers of Pigmeat (In 1000 tonnes product weight) 87% of total production Year 2016 Total = 118 169 (+ 0.2% over 2015) 7 countries= 1.9% 3.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.8% 0.5% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Live swine, domestic species Piglets, less than 20 kg Pigs, from 20 kg to less than 50 kg Breeding sows Covered Sows Fattening pigs, 50 kg or over Fattening pigs, from 50 kg to less than 80 kg Fattening pigs, from 80 kg to less than 110 kg Change in pig population Livestock survey December 2017 compared to December 2016 S 58% E 32% U 7% R 2% O 1% P 0% Dispersion of pig carcases on grades (EU average 2017) S E U R O P 2016 over 2015 2017 over 2016 2018 over 2017 Q1 + 1.0% - 1.2% + 2.7% Q2 + 3.2% - 3.6% Q3 + 1.2% - 0.9% Q4 + 0.1% - 0.1% EU_28 + 1.3% - 1.4% Real Slaughter

Transcript of n Jan-Apr · Change in EU pigmeat slaughter ('000 heads) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 China ... (agr.gc.ca) 146.72...

Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185), GTA, FAO

DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT Last update: 11.07.18E

UP

rice

s

EU Prices

Wo

rld

Qu

ota

tio

ns

EU

Pro

du

ctio

nE

U T

rad

e

EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2018/17)

Wo

rld

Tra

de

Evolution since

last week

147.4Average

(S-E)+ 0.1%

Wo

rld

Pro

du

ctio

n

148.6Class S + 0.1%

145.3Class E + 0.1%

42.2Piglet - 2.8%€/head

€/1

00

kg

carc

ass

we

igh

t

Ca

rca

ss C

lass

es

246

571

248

726

255

544

256

942

254

714

200 000

210 000

220 000

230 000

240 000

250 000

260 000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

EU pig slaughter by year(In 1 000 heads)

Liv

est

ock

Su

rve

y

Evolution since last

month

Evolution since last

year

+ 0.5%

+ 0.7%

Sp

eci

al

Issu

es

3 0

34 3 3

68

4 1

56

3 8

34

1 2

95

1 2

99

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

4 500

2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Apr 17 Jan-Apr 18

EU Exports evolution(In 1000 tonnes carcase weight)

EU total exports

+ 0.1%

- 6.2%

- 17.6%

- 17.6%

- 17.7%

- 23.4%

27

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

July

Sep

t.

No

v.

Jan

Ma

r.

Ma

y

July

EUR = USD

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.8

4.0

4.2

4.4

4.6

July

Sep

t.

No

v.

Jan

Ma

r.

Ma

y

July

EUR = BRL

1.30

1.35

1.40

1.45

1.50

1.55

1.60

1.65

July

Sep

t.

No

v.

Jan

Ma

r.

Ma

y

July

EUR = CAN

Period:

Jan-Apr 17 Jan-Apr 18 % Chg

Extra-EU 1 295 323 1 298 560 + 0.2%

China 492 383 463 274 - 5.9%

Japan 138 008 147 103 + 6.6%

South Korea 97 210 121 498 + 25.0%

Philippines 81 378 94 701 + 16.4%

Hong Kong 122 595 90 101 - 26.5%

USA 50 180 62 119 + 23.8%

Others 313 569 319 763 + 2.0%

PIGMEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Apr

115

130

145

160

175

190

EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices

(€/ 100kg)

Average (13 -17) 2016 2017 2018

Week 27 latest price ==> 147.40 EUR/100 kg/cw

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices(€/head)

Average (13 - 17) Piglet - 2016 Piglet - 2017 Piglet - 2018

Week 27 latest price ==> 42.24 EUR/head

EU EU

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Ca

na

da

Ca

na

da

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Bra

zil

Bra

zil

Ch

ile

Ch

ile

Mex

ico

(u

p t

o M

ar)

Mex

ico

(u

p t

o M

ar)

Ru

ssia

(up

to M

ar)

Ru

ssia

(up

to M

ar)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2017 (up to April) 2018 (up to April)

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

ne

s

Main Exporters of PIG Products (up to April)

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Ch

ina

+ H

. K

on

g

Jap

an

Jap

an

Mex

ico

(u

p t

o M

ar)

Mex

ico

(u

p t

o M

ar)

Sou

th K

ore

a

Sou

th K

ore

a

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Un

ited

Sta

tes

Ca

na

da

Ca

na

da

Ph

ilip

pin

es (u

p to

Ma

r)

Ph

ilip

pin

es (u

p to

Ma

r)

Au

stra

lia

Au

stra

lia

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2017 (up to April) 2018 (up to April)

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

ne

s

Main Importers of PIG Products (up to April)

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

World weekly average Pig prices 2016 - 2018 in Euro/ 100kg carcase

(EU, Brazil, Canada and USA)

EU BR US CAN

EU = weighted average of MS prices for classes S (62.72%) and E (37.28%).US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lb (Feedstuffs.com)BR = average of minimum prices in main producing states (cepea.esalq.usp.br/suino)

CAN = Quebec Index 100 Hogs Weighted Average price (agr.gc.ca)

147.44 80.75 148.54 135.98

DE5 45523%

ES4 24918%

FR2 177

9%PL

1 9909%

DK1 530

7%

IT1 467

6%

NL1 456

6%

BE1 045

5%

Others3 94117%

EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)

Year 2017Total EU = 23 311

8 MSs =

(- 1% over 2016)

83% of total

EU production

China55 041

46%

European Union23 618

20%

United States of America11 320

10%Viet Nam3 665

3%

Brazil3 514

3%

Russian Federation

3 368

3%

Canada2 048

2%

Others15 595

13%

Main Producers of Pigmeat(In 1000 tonnes product weight)

87% of total

production

Year 2016

Total = 118 169

(+ 0.2% over

2015)

7 countries=

1.9%

3.1%

4.2%

1.1%

0.0% 0.0%

-0.8%

0.5%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

Live swine,domesticspecies

Piglets, lessthan 20 kg

Pigs, from 20kg to less

than 50 kg

Breedingsows

CoveredSows

Fatteningpigs, 50 kg

or over

Fatteningpigs, from 50

kg to less

than 80 kg

Fatteningpigs, from 80

kg to less

than 110 kg

Change in pig populationLivestock survey December 2017

compared to December 2016

S58%

E32%

U7%R

2%O

1%

P0%

Dispersion of pig carcases on grades (EU average 2017)

S E U R O P

2016 over 2015 2017 over 2016 2018 over 2017

Q1 + 1.0% - 1.2% + 2.7%

Q2 + 3.2% - 3.6%

Q3 + 1.2% - 0.9%

Q4 + 0.1% - 0.1%

EU_28 + 1.3% - 1.4%

Real Slaughter

back to Dashboard

Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185)

EU Prices Evolution since

last week

147.4Average

(S-E)+ 0.1%

148.6Class S + 0.1%

145.3Class E + 0.1%

42.2Piglet - 2.8%€/head

€/1

00

kg

ca

rca

ss w

eig

ht

Evolution since last

month

Evolution since last

year

+ 0.5%

+ 0.7%

+ 0.1%

- 6.2%

- 17.6%

- 17.6%

- 17.7%

- 23.4%

27

back to DashboardSource : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185)

115

130

145

160

175

190

EU evolution of the EU pig carcase prices

(€/ 100kg)

Average (13 -17) 2016 2017 2018

Week 27 latest price ==> 147.40 EUR/100 kg/cw

back to Dashboard

Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 2017/1185)

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

EU evolution of the EU average piglet prices(€/head)

Average (13 - 17) Piglet - 2016 Piglet - 2017 Piglet - 2018

Week 27 latest price ==> 42.24 EUR/head

back to Dashboard

50

70

90

110

130

150

170

190

210

World weekly average Pig prices 2016 - 2018 in Euro/ 100kg carcase

(EU, Brazil, Canada and USA)

EU BR US CAN

EU = weighted average of MS prices for classes S (62.72%) and E (37.28%).US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lb (Feedstuffs.com)BR = average of minimum prices in main producing states (cepea.esalq.usp.br/suino)

CAN = Quebec Index 100 Hogs Weighted Average price (agr.gc.ca)

147.44 80.75 148.54 135.98

back to Dashboard

Source : ECB (European Central Bank)

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

July

Sept

.

Nov

.

Jan

Mar

.

May July

EUR = USD

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

3.8

4.0

4.2

4.4

July

Sept

.

Nov

.

Jan

Mar

.

May July

EUR = BRL

1.30

1.35

1.40

1.45

1.50

1.55

1.60

1.65

July

Sept

.

Nov

.

Jan

Mar

.

May July

EUR = CAN

back to Dashboard

Source : Eurostat

1.9%

3.1%

4.2%

1.1%

0.0% 0.0%

-0.8%

0.5%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

Live swine,domesticspecies

Piglets, lessthan 20 kg

Pigs, from 20kg to less

than 50 kg

Breedingsows

CoveredSows

Fatteningpigs, 50 kg

or over

Fatteningpigs, from 50

kg to less

than 80 kg

Fatteningpigs, from 80

kg to less

than 110 kg

Change in pig populationLivestock survey December 2017

compared to December 2016

back to Dashboard

Source : MSs

S58%

E32%

U7%R

2%O

1%

P0%

Dispersion of pig carcases on grades (EU average 2017)

S E U R O P

back to Dashboard

Source : Eurostat

DE

5 45523% ES

4 24918%

FR

2 1779%

PL

1 9909%

DK

1 5447%

IT

1 4676%

NL

1 4536%

BE

1 0455%

Others

3 93817%

EU Main Producers of Pigmeat(In 1000 tonnes product weight)

Year 2017

Total EU = 23 3198 MSs =

83% of total EU

production

(- 1% over 2016)

back to Dashboard

Source : Eurostat

246

571

248

726

255

544

256

942

254

714

200 000

210 000

220 000

230 000

240 000

250 000

260 000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

EU pig slaughter by year(In 1 000 heads)

back to DashboardSource : FAO

China 55 041 46%

European Union 23 618 20%

United States of America 11 320 10%

Viet Nam 3 665 3%

Brazil 3 514 3%

Russian Federation

3 368 3%

Canada 2 048 2%

Others 15 595 13%

Main Producers of Pigmeat

(In 1000 tonnes product weight)

87% of total production

Year 2016 Total = 118 169

(+ 0.2% over 2015)

7 countries=

China55 041

46%

European Union23 618

20%

United States of America11 320

10%Viet Nam3 665

3%

Brazil3 514

3%

Russian Federation

3 368

3%

Canada2 048

2%

Others15 595

13%

Main Producers of Pigmeat(In 1000 tonnes product weight)

87% of total

production

Year 2016

Total = 118 169

(+ 0.2% over

2015)

7 countries=

back to Dashboard

Source : Eurostat

2%1%0%

2016 over 2015 2017 over 2016 2018 over 2017

Q1 + 1.0% - 1.2% + 2.7%

Q2 + 3.2% - 3.6%

Q3 + 1.2% - 0.9%

Q4 + 0.1% - 0.1%

EU_28 + 1.3% - 1.4%

Real Slaughter

- 4%

- 2%

+ 0%

+ 2%

+ 4%

2016 2017 2018

Change in EU pigmeat slaughter ('000 heads)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

back to Dashboard

Source : Eurostat

3 0

34 3 3

68

4 1

56

3 8

34

1 2

95

1 2

99

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

4 500

2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Apr 17 Jan-Apr 18

EU Exports evolution(In 1000 tonnes carcase weight)

EU total exports

back to Dashboard

Source : Eurostat & GTA

EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2018/17)

Period:

Jan-Apr 17 Jan-Apr 18 % Chg

Extra-EU 1 295 323 1 298 560 + 0.2%

China 492 383 463 274 - 5.9%

Japan 138 008 147 103 + 6.6%

South Korea 97 210 121 498 + 25.0%

Philippines 81 378 94 701 + 16.4%

Hong Kong 122 595 90 101 - 26.5%

USA 50 180 62 119 + 23.8%

Others 313 569 319 763 + 2.0%

PIGMEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Apr

back to Dashboard

Source : Eurostat & GTA

EU EU

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Cana

da

Cana

da

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Braz

il

Braz

il

Chil

e

Chil

e

Mex

ico

(up

to M

ar)

Mex

ico

(up

to M

ar)

Russ

ia (u

p to

Mar

)

Russ

ia (u

p to

Mar

)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2017 (up to April) 2018 (up to April)

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Exporters of PIG Products (up to April)

back to Dashboard

Source : Eurostat & GTA

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Japa

n

Japa

n

Mex

ico

(up

to M

ar)

Mex

ico

(up

to M

ar)

Sout

h Ko

rea

Sout

h Ko

rea

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Cana

da

Cana

da

Phil

ippi

nes

(up

to M

ar)

Phil

ippi

nes

(up

to M

ar)

Aust

rali

a

Aust

rali

a

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2017 (up to April) 2018 (up to April)

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Importers of PIG Products (up to April)