My foresight 3rd edition

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Insights into foresight & future oriented activities in Malaysia

Transcript of My foresight 3rd edition

  • 1. inside August 2011 featuresEditors Notep02 Initial Thoughtsp04Leaders InsightsEnvisioning Asia 206022Experts Insightsp06 Foresight and Challenges in Communicatingits Result to Decision MakersIndustry Insightsp09 New Business Potential Via Resource Recoveryin the Wastewater Sectorp15 Growing Together - Future Forum 2020:A Foresight Project for Natural Fiberp20 The Challenges of Research in Malaysia:Prioritisation of Research and Bringing Research to the Market32Foresight Interconnectp14 myForesight Bookclubcover storyp22 Greening the Future Through Malaysian Biomass Initiatives (MBI)Trends & Issuesp32 Cloud Computing for SMEs in Malaysia:A Public Private Partnership- Unlocking the Potentialof Cloud Computing for a New World of Businessp34 The National Science and Research Council 34p38 Can We Ignore Nuclear?Viewpointsp40 Foresight on Construction TechnologyManufactured Housing/Industrialised Building System (IBS)p48 A Letter From The FutureEDITORIAL BOARDEDITOR-IN-CHIEFPUBLISHED BYRushdi Abdul Rahim Malaysian Industry-Government Group for High TechnologyWRITERSPrime Ministers Department 3517, Jalan Teknokrat 5Datuk Ir. Abdul Kadir Mohd Din 63000 Cyberjaya Selangor Darul Ehsan40Claudio Chauke Nehme De Miranda SantosLelio Fellows FilhoFOR INQUIRIESGilda Massari Coelho myForesightDilip TambyrajahNik Ahmad Faizul Abdul MallekPhone: +603 8315 7888Puvaneswary Ramasamy Fax : +603 8312 0300John GalliganE-mail : Dzaharudin MansorWebsite: www.myforesight.myDr. Vilasini PillaiMuhammad Hasif Hasan DISCLAIMERAbdul Rahman HamdanAny article included in this publication and/Patrick Ethe Raj or opinions expressed therein do not necessarilyK. Thambiratnamreflect the views of the myForesightM.S. Shahirbut remain solely those of the author(s).CONTRIBUTORS The Publisher is not to be held responsible forMohd Nurul Azammi Mohd Nudri any copyright violation of articles, which have been provided by contributing writers.Natrah Mohd EmranMohd Afzanizam Mohd BahrinAni Suzila AnasAhmad Nazri AbudinMohd Kamaruzaman Abdullah

2. August 2011editors noteInitialThoughtsBYRUSHDI ABDUL of the future has never failed to illicit comments from individuals with diverseand marginalizing opinions. This is especially true in the form of things we need tofocus on to reach our desired future.I t has been an interesting quarter for us at u Utilization of a well-known framework/model;account; social & environmental impacts, safety & myForesight. The past few months saw ussecurity etc. It is worth to note that PEMANDU2presenting our body of work to the global u The process must be transparent;themselves acknowledges the NKEA are not audience during the FTA conference inintended to be definitive but serves as a starting Seville, Spain; experts and colleagues in u Will be problems or issues based either point.Manchester Institute of Innovation Research realized or anticipated;(MIoIR) as well as participants of a seminarTan Sri Dato Zulkiflis article on envisioningorganized by ISTIC-UNESCO. Whereas atu Trans-disciplinary and diverse engagement ofAsia 2060 describes on the need of taking variousthe home front, recommendations were beingstakeholders; factors into account in developing visions of theconsidered, uptakes on the focus areas arefuture.made and to be implemented into realizable u Considerations into long term impact andprogrammes. strategies; Through our participation of FTA conference inMay, we have managed to widen our network,This is particularly true in the case of conversionu Considerations of resourcesandleverage on the experience of other countries thatof palm oil into bio mass energy which is our competencies. has also conducted foresight initiatives. Therefore,cover story. The Malaysian Biomass initiative in this issue, we are providing the Brazilian(MBI) is a programme under the Global ScienceForesight anyone? Keep watching this space for case study of the challenges in communicatingInnovation Advisory Council (GSIAC) whichmore updates on this matter. You will find details foresight results to decision makers.was announced with much fanfare in New Yorkon the NSRC on page our Prime Minister on the 17th of May 2011.For this issue, insights from the industry includesLeveraging on global network and expertise,Talk of the future has never failed to illicit Datuk Abdul Kadirs piece on the business potentialGSIAC will be the platform for Malaysia to tap comments from individuals with diverse and of waste water sector as well as contributions frominto the knowledge of world renowned experts inmarginalizing opinions. This is especially true in International Natural Fibre Organization on thetheir respective field in the realm on S&T. Sufficethe form of things we need to focus on to reachfuture of natural say that the selection of the initiative took stock our desired future. Now, it seems that everybodyof the focus areas identified by currently jumping into the PEMANDU ETPAs usual, we hope you find the magazine NKEA bandwagon. Unfortunately, there are beneficial and thought provoking.We have also presented findings that were made widespread misconceptions that anything thatduring the last National Technology Foresight to is not part of the NKEA is not worth takingWe expect you to have your opinion on certainthe newly formed National Science & Research a look. People tend to forget the NKEA are matters. We want to hear them. We welcome yourCouncil (NSRC). One of the main tasks of the short to medium term focus areas which isfeedback and contributions.NSRC was to identify and prioritize the focusintended on trying to achieve our aspirationsareas for Malaysias R&D activities. Note that the of being developed nation by 2020. Howevercouncil members pointed out that to prioritize in envisioning the future, there are otherthe areas, it must satisfy the following:- considerations that needs to be taken into 3. August 2011leaders insightsEnvisioningAsia 2060BYProfessor Tan Sri Dato Dzulkifli Abd RazakVice-ChancellorUniversiti Sains Malaysia Experience has shown that countries that grow rich are not necessarilythose well-endowed with naturalresources but those that invest wisely in building their human capital and4allocating a reasonable percentageof their gross domestic product toresearch and development.Agroup of experts met last weekThe competing interests of economics and Union may be too Eurocentric to be modelled byat Tamkang University Graduategeopolitics are still measured and characterised Asians in creating a common platform.Institute of Future Studies in Taipei by rules and procedures dictated by severalto discuss "Global Transitions andinternational agencies marked by their vested, ifInterestingly, Jeremy Rifkin made a similar Asia 2060". The broad focus of the subtle, pro-West agenda. Hence, virtually nothingobservation vis-a-vis the US when he recognisedmeeting, co-hosted by the US-based Foundation new emerges based on the "tangibles". Asia isas early as 2005 that the American Dream wasfor the Future was on three areas climate,trailing very much behind, struggling with the dying. "The American model is not workingpolitical economy and identity. The writer gave the catch-up game laid out by the West.and globalisation under American stewardshipkeynote address. has failed totally," he was quoted as sayingIn contrast, the contending view based on the(International Herald Tribune, March 26-27,The meeting came out with four possible scenarios "intangibles" is a more challenging one, drawing 2005).for the future, ranging from a borderless Asia in a from the strengths and norms that are closelychanging world to one that is fragmented over and associated with, if not uniquely, Asia.He envisioned an European Dream "while tryingabove the current geopolitical boundaries. The to make European policies the default for the restpossibility of some of the bigger countries splitting The key argument is about bringing into focusof the world..."up into North and South, or even East and Westthe unifying elements that could make an Asianportions was not ruled out. "entity" based on commonalities as a source of In the same way, Asia needs to be doubly cautiouscohesiveness. These are by and large the enduringabout blindly emulating the existing models inOverall, perhaps the two most contentious ideas shared Asian values, without which it is difficult the West, especially in a new millennium with itsin the discussions related to the issue of theto imagine even a cluster as successful as ASEAN multitude of new challenges, given the perception"tangibles" against the "intangibles". The former lasting. This is critical to realise because Asia is that a shift of gravity is taking place from the Westreflected the thinking of the previous century andtoo diverse in terms of not only its population andto Asia as the worlds economic dynamo.was dominated by the existing Western-centric geographical size, but its level of development,matrixes despite the increasingly precariousgovernance and democracy, distribution of wealth,However, some are still in denial this is happening.position of the so-called "Washington consensus". as well as existing disparities. Thus, the EuropeanOne view expressed in the Foreign Policy 4. August 2011leaders insights 5magazine ( July-August 2009) noted that Asia is Second, unlike the Western hemisphere, its Easternclimate, for example, Asias large population basenowhere near closing the economic and militarycounterpart has somehow been fragmented and the worsening overall pollution trends cangap with the West. It added that Asia does notinto at least "Near", "Middle" and "Far" East thatcripple its future ambitions.seem to play an equally inspiring role as the Westultimately make up much of Asia. To what extentas a thought leader. It seems that we are back to the can Asia iron